Playoffs Part II

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Milwaukee -5 1H

The Bucks came out flat Game One while everything went the Celtics way. Bucks missing open looks, Celts hitting open looks. Got a sense we'll see a reversal of that tonight. If anything, Milwaukee will play with that extra effort and intensity that will make this play at worst a close loss. Bucks coaches will make adjustments and it will show here 1st half.

Small play:
Golden St. -5.5 A small contrarian play since everyone thinks the Dubs got lucky 1st game with the help of the refs. They did get help from the refs, but tonight ref Scott Foster, who is reviled by the Rockets, will get Houston more riled up and possibly lose their composure. The Warriors will just play basketball.

Milwaukee -7 (-117)
 

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Two Small wins do not equal a large loss. Oh well...

Small:
Denver/ Portland- under 219.5 Playoff time and everyone is playing their best D. The Nuggets are already an offense that develops their plays, while their D can upset the shooting opportunities of the Blazer guards. I doubt we'll see another 1st quarter like last game so a little on the 1H under 107.5
 

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3 small wins. A large one:

Boston/ Milwaukee- under 219.5 I'm surprised this number is this high. Milwaukee's up tempo during the season means almost nothing now. Much of those high scoring games were vs. the cream puffs of the East. Boston at home in the playoffs will be a tough place to play. Last year these two played a 7 game playoff, and only one reached this number in regulation. The Bucks have transformed their D this season from last year's inconsistent defense- in scheme and effort. Liked the adjustments both teams made in Game one and two to frustrate the opposition's offensive plays. No easy baskets here unless a defender screws up.
 

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Milwaukee -7(Game 5) A play on a very good team, a team that has prove itself all year, after a really poor performance. This Bucks team lacks almost nothing, except avoiding occasional complacency…like that West Coast team that wins championships. They needed to be woken from their slumber early on, in games, from a mediocre Pistons team, punched in the face by the Celtics in Game 1 of their series, and in this series:
Game 1: Played so-so and uninspired throughout, but good enough to stay close, and then came alive in the 4th quarter.
Game 2: Dominated. They played as expected, on both sides of the ball.
Game 3: A very good defensive effort in a game the Raptors were desperate to win at home. Liked what the Bucks did here in a game they didn't have to win.
Game 4: Milwaukee plays weak D for stretches in this game, a game that I'm thinking will make them realize how well they'll have to play to knock off this solid, but not spectacular Raptors team.

If I'm Budenholzer, I shake up the lineup and rotations tonight. The Bucks are deep enough to make it work. Anyone who can't go all out defensively, hogs the ball(other than sometimes Giannis), can sit. Anyways, win or lose, like this play.
 

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The Bucks folded. Their body language showed doubt whenever the Raptors made a run, game 5 and 6. For Game One of the finals, after a long rest, the Dubs could be rusty, and lose- or maybe show why their champs as usual.

Golden St./Toronto- under 215
The line on this game, regular season when players are playing half-assed D, would only be about 8-10 points higher. So many good defenders on both teams, especially at the perimeter. Kerr will also come up with a better defensive game plan for Kawhi than Bucks did. Both coaches good at D adjustments mid-game. Golden State is underrated defensively, and play "up" in the playoffs. The Raptors will keep Curry and Thompson more occupied offensively than the Blazers could, by far. Durant out.
Small play: under 1H 110.5
 

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