Thursday Service Play Thread 5/2/2019

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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Let's go Brandon!
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Stephen Nover

2*
Milwaukee / Colorado under 9

2*
San Jose / Colorado over 6
 

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JR ODONNELL

3*
Philadelphia / Toronto over 216.5
 

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Sleepyj

3*
Philadelphia +1.5
 

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Spartan

3*
Toronto -1
 

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King creole

2*
Philadelphia / Toronto over 216.5
 

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Ben Burns

3*
Philadelphia / Toronto over 214.5
 

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Rocky Atkinson

2*nba
Toronto - 1
 

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H&H Sports - Afternoon Card

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4* Houston Astros +109
3* Braves/Padres Under 8.5
 

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11th: MLB, 8u: 951 CIN+160 1st 5. CIN+168g. CIN O 41st 5. CIN O 8g. 953 SD+130 1st 5. SD+135g. 956 MIL-.5+125 1st 5. MIL-1.5+165g.

11th: MLB, 8u: 960 MIN-.5+140 1st 5. MIN-1.5+180g. 962 KC+145 1st 5. KC+150g. KC O 4 & O 8. 957 STL+125 1st 5. STL+130g.
 

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[h=4]BIG AL's 84% NBA CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH![/h][h=5][/h]Game Date/Time: 5/2/19 8:05 pm
Our Selection: Raptors Opponent: 76ers Line: +1.5 Rating: 4*
Analysis: At 8:05 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors over Philadelphia. The Raptors are having a great season, as they went 58-24 in the regular season (and are now 5-2 in the playoffs), and are outscoring their opponents by 6.50 points per game. Toronto was upset at home in Game 2, so it's critical to get at least one win at Philadelphia in order to take this series back to Toronto no worse than tied at 2 games apiece. We'll play on the Raptors in Game 3, as NBA teams, off exactly one SU/ATS playoff defeat, have covered 64% the last 29 years (and 11-2, 84% ATS the past 3+ years), if that defeat was at home, and they have a margin of victory greater than 6.35 points per game. That bodes very well for Toronto. As does the fact that the 76ers are an awful 4-22 straight-up, and 8-18 ATS in the last 26 meetings between these two Atlantic Division rivals. Finally, #3-seeded teams are a wallet-busting 25% ATS since 1991 when tied at 1 game apiece in the NBA Playoffs, and off an upset road win in Game 2. Take the Raptors.
 

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[h=4]BIG AL's 76ERS/RAPTORS TOTALS WINNER (80-43 TOTALS RUN)![/h][h=5][/h]Game Date/Time: 5/2/19 8:05 pm
Our Selection: Raptors/76ers 'under' Line: 215 Rating: 1*
Analysis: At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Toronto/Philadelphia game. The Raptors have gone 'under' the total in six of seven Playoff games this season. And they haven't been close. Indeed, in the Orlando series, the first four games went 'under' by 7, 19.5, 20, and 14 points, while the 5th game did go 'over' the total, but by just 5 points. And this series is following down a similar path, as Games 1 + 2 have gone 'under' the total by 20 and 36.5 points. In the Magic series, the oddsmakers were slow to adjust, as the first three games had totals of 212, 212.5 and 211. Here, in this series, the oddsmakers have adjusted a bit more, as the first three games have had lines of 223, 219.5 and (currently) 216.5 for tonight's game. But, based on my numbers, the line should be significantly lower, still. Philly has gone 'under' in 27 of its last 40 home Playoff games, while Toronto has gone 'under' in 14 of its last 20 road Playoff games. Finally, the total falls into 91-55, 89-54, 99-67, 22-12, 137-91 and 33-13 Totals systems of mine. Take the 'under.'
 

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Millerlocks

4:05 pm est mlb
st. Louis cardinals vs. Washington nationals

pick: St. Louis cardinals (+143)

risk: 11 units

8:00 pm est nba
toronto raptors vs. Philadelphia 76ers

pick: Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 (-102)

risk: 11 units

10:07 pm est mlb
toronto blue jays vs. Laa angels

pick: Toronto blue jays (+140)

risk: 11 units
 

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NBA Playoffs(Bob Balfe)
8:05 PM EST
Rotation #581-582
Sixers +1.5 over Raptors
Toronto should be concerned because if you look at the numbers in the last game it’s hard to believe they lost that game. In the NBA you just don’t lose when you turn a team over 20 times, but they did. This Raptors team might be the better seed, but they can get bullied with their lack of rebounding. The Sixers dominated them on the glass. Kawhi Leonard has been unstoppable in this series and this Raptors team defense has been amazing yet they still are only 1-1 in the series. The atmosphere in Philly will be electric tonight. If the Sixers can limit their turnovers and Toronto’s points off those turnovers they can really set the tone in this series by grabbing a big win. Take the Sixers.
 

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