Wednesday Service Play Thread 5/8/2019

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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Let's go Brandon!
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Rob Veno

Game: (509) Boston Celtics at (510) Milwaukee Bucks
Date/Time: May 8 2019 8:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 218.0 (-110)
 

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Larry Hartstein


HOUSTON +6


HOUSTON @ GOLDEN ST. | 5/08 | 10:30 PM EDT
12:03 PM
Writeup to come, but I'm grabbing the points with a Rockets team that's covered three of the four games thus far.

102-79-1 IN LAST 182 NBA ATS PICKS | +1495
35-27-2 IN LAST 64 GS ATS PICKS | +620

5-1 IN LAST 6 HOU ATS PICKS | +390
 

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Toby Maxtone-Smith (VegasInsider Soccer Handicaper)

WEDNESDAY

UEFA Champions League Semifinals - Second Legs
Ajax vs Tottenham Hotspur (TNT, 3:00pm Eastern)

Prediction - Tottenham Hotspur +225
 

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Ben Burns

3*GOW
San Jose -133
 

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Dave essler

3*underdog GOM
Toronto +100
 

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Spartan

3*
Golden State -6
 

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Stephen Nover

2*
Houston +6

2*
Oakland-116
 

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Sleepyj

3*
Houston +6
 

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11th Hour

11th: MLB, 8u: 975 TEX+112 1st 5. TEX+117g. 977 ARI+145 1st 5. ARI+150g. 954 STL-.5-110 1st 5. STL-1.5+130g. 955 NYM+125 1st 5. NYM+130g
 

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[h=4]BIG AL's 38-15 SHARKS/AVALANCHE GAME 7 WINNER![/h][h=5][/h]Game Date/Time: 5/8/19 9:00 pm
Our Selection: Sharks Opponent: Avalanche Line: -137 Rating: 3*
Analysis: At 9:00 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Sharks over the Colorado Avalanche. Midway through their first-round series against the Golden Knights, Sharks' goalie Martin Jones looked like he might be taking an extended seat on the bench in favor of his back-up. But Jones got things straightened out, and the Sharks survived to advance into the quarterfinals. Now, Jones has a chance to go from near-goat to hero if he can lead his team to one more victory and a trip to the semi-finals. To be fair to Jones, the defense in front of him has played much better lately as the Sharks have limited the Avalanche to just 103 shots over the last four games (the Golden Knights logged 156 shots in the last four games of the first round series). This series has been as back-and-forth as a series can be. But the home ice advantage that the Sharks will enjoy tonight should be enough to put them over the top. To wit: the home team is 39-16 in the last 55 meetings and the favorite is 38-15 in the last 53. Moreover, Colorado hasn't seen a Conference Finals in almost 20 years (2002), so this is unfamiliar territory to most of its current roster of players. Take San Jose.











 

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[h=4]BIG AL's 50-19 ATS WEDNESDAY NBA ELITE INFO WINNER![/h][h=5][/h]Game Date/Time: 5/8/19 8:05 pm
Our Selection: Celtics Opponent: Bucks Line: +9 Rating: 1*
Analysis: At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks won their 3rd straight game -- 113-101 -- to take a 3-1 lead in this Best-of-7 series. But off that win, we will fade Mike Budenholzer's team tonight. Indeed, the Bucks are a horrid 19-50-2 ATS at home off 3+ wins when playing a rested opponent. Even worse, since 1991, NBA underdogs of more than six points have cashed 73% off back-to-back home playoff defeats by 6+ points. This game will go down to the wire. Take Boston + the points.
 

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Dirty Bear Sports

MLB:
PHI F5 +.5 -110 3u
WAS/MIL F5 UNDER 5 -130 1u
SFG F5 +.5 -120 1u

MLB Season: 27-31-4 47% -27.85 units
 

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Marco/Sports Unlimited
PLAY: (979) CINCINNATI -103
RATING: 3% PLAY

Oakland was in a horrible travel spot yesterday having played in Cincinnati on Monday then traveled to play in Oakland on Tuesday with Oakland having a day off. I look for Cincinnati to bounce back tonight behind the pitching of Sonny Gray. This will be the first time Gray has been back in Oakland since he was traded away to the Yankees. I expect a big effort from him tonight. Note Oakland is just 8-17 vs right handers this year.

TAKE CINCINNATI as MARCO’S 3% MLB PLAY
 

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Lee Sterling (Paramount Sports) has a 50 unit max bet tonight in NBA if anyone has it. I had him for season football but did not continue into hoops. Thanks in advance.
 

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DWAYNE BRYANT

BASKETBALL PLAYS

GUARANTEED! 5% NBA MAX BET
Game: (511) Houston Rockets at (512) Golden State Warriors
Date/Time: May 8 2019 10:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Golden State Warriors -6.0 (-110)

View Analysis

10:35 PM ET -- NBA


511 Houston Rockets

512 Golden State Warriors


PLAY: 512 GOLDEN STATE -6 (-110)

BET SIZE: 5%



DB's THOUGHTS:



Looks way too easy to take Houston +6. These two teams have met eight times this season, including this playoff series. Houston is 5-3 SU against the Warriors, and the Rockets' biggest loss was by a 6-point margin. So, if Houston were a 6-point dog in each of this season's eight meetings, the Rockets would be 7-0-1 ATS. Like I said, looks way too easy to grab Houston +6.



But the situation screams Golden State, in my opinion. Since the start of the 2012 season, NBA playoff teams that won two straight games versus a #1 or #2 seed to tie the series at two games apiece (Houston) are 0-8 ATS in Game 5.



The situation is also strong for Golden State specifically. The Warriors are 6-1 SU and ATS when they are coming off back-to-back playoff losses, including a 115-86 beating of these Rockets last season.



I expect the Warriors, off back-to-back losses in Houston, to play its best game of the series and come away with a double-digit win tonight.
 

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