Monday Service Play Thread 5/13/2019

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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

Please do not post Twitter plays or forum member plays in this thread.

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ROB VENOBASKETBALL PLAYS


  • Game: (533) Portland Trail Blazers at (534) Golden State Warriors
    Date/Time: May 14 2019 9:00 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Westgate
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Total Over 218.5 (-110)
BASEBALL PLAYS


  • Game: (903) Pittsburgh Pirates at (904) Arizona Diamondbacks
    Date/Time: May 13 2019 9:40 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+118)
 

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baseball33

Cleveland Indians -1
 

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Dave Essler

3* LA ANGLES +120


1* Detroit / Houston over 8.5

1* Seattle / Oakland over 8.5
 

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Goodfella

3* Seattle / Oakland over 8.5


1* Minnesota / LA ANGLES over 8.5
 

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TONY FINNBASEBALL PLAYS


  • FINN MONDAY NIGHT BASEBALL CASH (5-0)
    Game: (907) Houston Astros at (908) Detroit Tigers
    Date/Time: May 13 2019 7:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Westgate
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Detroit Tigers +138


    PLAY: Detroit Tigers +138 (good to +120)
    3% game rating

    LIST PITCHERS: Peacock and Boyd
    (907) Houston Astros at (908) Detroit Tigers
    This AL event on Monday night pits a public Astros squad vs a rebuilding Tigers outfit at Comerica Field. The forecast for the Motor City on Monday night is cool and overcast with a slight chance of light showers. In addition the pitcher-friendly venue is less so with a 10 mph wind blowing out to center field.
    The visiting Astros are the cream of the American League West and with or withou improving their starting rotation will, all things being equal and the current roster staying healthy, will win by 10-plus games. In truth this Houston squad would be the best in the entire American League if they still had Dallas K as one of their starting five.
    The Astros send Brad Peacock to the hill to oppose the Tigers Matt Boyd.
    Peacock has been pushed into a starting role this season when the club didn't resign free agent Keuchel. And while Peacock is a quality long reliever his posture as a starter isn't one that stands tall and walks with a swager. Peacock is the fifth stater and is by any measure pitching like such. The right-hander is coming off a seven inning and three hit scoreless outing that resulted in a 9-0 win over the Royals at Minute Maid Park. However what Peacock accomplished in the win over the Royals doesn't speak to his true form.
    Peacock's last six turns has resulted in the Astros going 3-3. He has only two decisions in those half dozen starts, one win and two loses. The win, as mentioned, came against KC in his last start, the pair of loses are - at Minnesota and home versus the same Twins.
    The outing before his last turn and victory against the Royals wasone of the two losses against the Twinkies. Peacock got the hook after just 3.2 innings in which he surrendered 7 runs on 8 hits with 2 walks while striking out a pair. The short outing elevated his ERA to 5.28, and his 4.66 xFIP which offers evidence besides me stating that he simply has not been good in 2019. His 7.63 K/9 is a shadow of the 10.98 K/9 and 13.29 K/9 that he posted in 2017 and 2018, respectively, And while his 2.64 BB/9 is actually lower than last year’s career-low 2.77 clip it isn't so signficant that it make one dig harder for postive underlying peripherals.
    Peacock is striking out fewer batters and opposing hitters are making a ridiculouly high hard contact of 41.3 percent. Peacock’s average velocity is down as much as two m.p.h. with his fastball and his command is, being nice, less than middling.
    His surface WHIP coming into this game is a Magic Mushroom edible mirage. The 1.09 WHIP isn't in the same orbit as his 4.30 ERA and 4.56 xFIP.
    The Tigers left-handed starter, Boyd, is producing and excelling with an average offense inside of a franchise that has sold off their high salaries and isnt just rebuilding but doing so... in no hurry.
    Boyd is coming off another quality outing, another victory and across his last seven starts has seven quality qualifications. It is becoming old hat, routine and expected that when the big lefty takes the mound all the Tigers have to do is support him with three-plus runs and it will result in a victory.
    Boyd raised his record to 4-2, allowing only three hits and no walks while striking out six, in a win over Mike Trout and the Angels. The seven straight quality starts for Boyd have come against the Angels, Royals, at the White Sox, at Fenway Park, against the Pirates, the Indians and at Yankee Stadium.

    He has tossed 6 innings of two runs baseball allowing five hits, two walks and 9 K’s against the White Sox. Boyd has out-pitched Chris Sale and the Sox and the start of his seven straight QS he struck out a career high 13 batters versus the Yankees.

    Boyd as a 2.86 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, he is striking out 31 percent of the batters he faces and walking less than five percent. His K to BB ratio is a ridiculously good 63:13 in 50 innings of work. And his 16% SwStr ranks with the elite in the league. And is comes via his elite slider -- behind a 43% O-swing and 21% SwStr. His GB to FB rate is a career high, moving from a career low 29% last season to a solid 40% this season because of that slider. Throw in his 0.57 HR/9 this season and it makes him a value-packed investment in any venue in the American League --- especially at Comerica -- with any wind blowing out.

    The same can't be said of Peacock whose flyball tendencies and 40 percent hard contact put him in line to be yanked from Monday nights game early... unless he pitches above his pay grade and season peripherals.

    Getting Boyd on home dirt and grass at a plus-money price against a pitcher that is struggling to get swings and misses, keep the ball in the ball park and allow less than five runs per start, is a no-brainer.

    DETROIT TIGERS +138
 

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Ben Burns

3* San Jose / st.louis under 5.5
 

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Stephen Nover

3* Seattle -125
 

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Spartan

3* Seattle -124
 

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Master Sports

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3* #905/906 Orioles/Yankees OVER 8.5
 

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Tony Chau/John Morrison Sports Betting Champ

{A** Bet on Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5, I believe it's official. McMister???
 

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Dirty Bear Sports

MLB:
MIL F5 +.5 +100 3u
SEA F5 -.5 +110 1u

MLB Season: 31-34-5 48% -25.15 units
 

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Tony Chau/John Morrison Sports Betting Champ

{A** Bet on Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5, I believe it's official. McMister???

Now, let's go onward to the upcoming bets for the Exterminator MLB betting system for Monday May 13th:






Baltimore {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is an unofficial betting series because the RPI difference is too great.

Pittsburgh {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is an unofficial betting series because the RPI difference is too great.











Remember that if the {A** bet does not win, you should go take the potential {B** and {C** bets again on the same team(s) on the following day(s) until you get a winner.

Out of these two unofficial series, I believe that Pittsburgh is a much stronger play.










































All the best,





The Champ Team
 

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Hey McMister, what is the RPI variance for The Champ Team System?

On the first day of the rematch between the two teams, as long as the team that was swept previously has an RPI rating of no less than .015 than the opposing team, AND the opposing team is not a top-2 RPI team, then the bet still qualifies as an official bet.
 

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