Thursday Service Play Thread 5/16/2019

BuzzKill · May 16, 2019

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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BuzzKill · May 16, 2019

TONY FINN BASEBALL PLAYS

FINN EARLY PITCH MLB HI-ROLLER (9-1)
Game: (961) Oakland Athletics at (962) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time: May 16 2019 1:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 8.5 (+106)

View Analysis

PLAY: Under the Total of 8.5 runs (good to 8)
4% game rating
LIST PITCHERS: Bassitt and Turnbull

(961) Oakland Athletics at (962) Detroit Tigers

Bassitt is off a turn in which he surrendered a home runs earned his first loss of the season. This a week ago versus the Reds in a Thursday afternoon event. The underlying numbers in the game are aligned with Bassitt's high level farm numbers. Bassitt worked 7.2 innings, giving up three earned runs (two home runs) while striking out nine. Bassitt has been solid in his four major league starts this season --- this after starting the year in Triple-A. His ERA sits at 2.55 and his xFIP is at 3.18. Bassitt has struck out at least six batters in each of his outings and boasts an 11.31 K/9 ratio. His small sample in the bigs finds him with a 1.82 HR/9, but this parallel with his minor league numbers and --- all things being equal -- what pitcher hasn't allowed more home runs this season compared to their career average.

Bassitt's ratios are impressive. The righty has 32.1% O-Swing% and 12.7% SwStr% which are closing in on a five percent increasse on his career marks.

Spencer Turnbull has allowed only four earned runs on 18 hits in 29 2/3 innings across five starts. His ERA of 2.42 isn't sustainable but his FIP and xFIP are in truth in line with his ERA and WHIP. Turnbull has an above average spin rate on his pitches, including a plus-curveball thjat has created a large number of swing-and-misses and includes a 40-percent whiff rate.

Turnbull has solid starts against a good hitting Phillies, a pedestrian Pittsburgh offense and has shutout the Red Sox in five innings this season. His 3.69 FIP is mitigated by his 10.7% swinging strike rate that has reached 16% against a Phillies offense that saw him generate 15 swinging strikes absent contact in just 94 pitches. His command of his secondary pitches has made him a tough out for lineups seeing him for the first time; e.g. Oakland on Thursday afternoon.

TOTAL UNDER 8.5 runs

BuzzKill · May 16, 2019

ROB VENO

Game: (543) Portland Trail Blazers at (544) Golden State Warriors
Date/Time: May 16 2019 9:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 218.0 (-110)

sailfish · May 16, 2019

Vegas Killers

the shark

brewers team total over 4.5 +110

sailfish · May 16, 2019

Mlbtotal

Philadelphia Phillies , Over 9

sailfish · May 16, 2019

Sleepyj
3* Golden State / Portland over 218

sailfish · May 16, 2019

Ben burns
3* Golden State / Portland over 218

sailfish · May 16, 2019

Spartan
3* Atlanta -108

sailfish · May 16, 2019

Stephen Nover
2* Kansas City / Texas over 10
3* Golden State / Portland over 218
2* Carolina+102

sailfish · May 16, 2019

11th hour

11th: MLB, 8u: 952 WAS+121 1st 5 WAS+126g. 953 MIL+100 1st 5. MIL+105g,962 DET+120 1st 5. DET+125g. 964 KC+110 1st 5. KC+115g. KC O 5.5 & O 10.5.

Twuan_Almighty · May 16, 2019

Dirty Bear Sports

MLB: OAK/DET F5 UNDER 4 +100 3u

MLB Season: 32-39-5 45% -32.85units

sailfish · May 16, 2019

NBA(Bob Balfe)
9:05 PM EST
Rotation #543-544
Blazers +7 over Warriors
Portland was a mess in Game 1. This is a team that didn’t shoot the ball well, couldn’t make a three pointer and most important turned the ball over 21 times. The Blazers did do some positive things like getting to the foul line for 31 attempts, played better in the paint and were better on the glass. Portland has play makers and this Warriors team with their weak bench is vulnerable. The starters for the Warriors are going to have to do everything perfect in order to win a game by double digits. Kevin Durant being out is going to effect this team sooner or later. Take the Blazers.

MMfan · May 16, 2019

Chip Chirimbes - 48-26 last 30 Days MLB

Reds
Braves

htowncoogs · May 16, 2019

VSL ( Vegas Super Locks )

Late Afternoon Play

Cinn -138

Last 14 Days 75% +460.02 units

LeopoldsS · May 16, 2019

Goodfella triple dime : Seattle Twins over 9

Any Essler? Tia

htowncoogs · May 16, 2019

VSL added

St. Louis +101

Mango88 · May 16, 2019

Vegas Interaction says Kevin Rogers is 27-4 in his last 31 MLB guaranteed and 10-1 in last 11. Anyone have it? If not I will buy ($39.95) and post, but wanted to double-check before I lay out the $. Game is ChiSox in Toronto. Thanks

RobbieGould · May 16, 2019

Seabass : 300 bruins , 300 bruins game under , 600 Portland , 600 Portland game over , 700 mariners , 500 braves game over

Mango88 · May 16, 2019

[h=3]Kevin Rogers's Pick Pack[/h]

[h=5]MLB Guaranteed Pick[/h]

[h=4]Guaranteed Plays[/h]

Matchup: 967 Toronto at 968 Chi. White Sox
Time: 8:10 PM EDT (Thu)
Listed pitchers must go: Stroman, Marcus (R) vs. Covey, Dylan (R)
Play: Toronto (ML -130)
Line Source: 5Dimes
Posted on: May 16, 2019 @ 10:14:08 AM EDT

The Blue Jays split a pair of games in San Francisco as Toronto heads to Chicago to begin a four-game set with the White Sox. Chicago had a rare Wednesday off after splitting a pair of home games with Cleveland, while taking two of three from Toronto on the road last weekend. Marcus Stroman lost the second game of that series as the right-hander looks to rebound tonight. Stroman is winless in his past three starts, while Toronto is 2-7 in his nine starts. However, Dylan Covey hasn't had much luck for Chicago on the mound as the White Sox are 0-11 since last July when the right-hander makes a start. Chicago is 6-1 in home series openers this season, but I'll back Toronto here as a road favorite to grab Game 1.

tbaer · May 16, 2019

Mango88 said:
Kevin Rogers's Pick Pack

MLB Guaranteed Pick

Guaranteed Plays

Matchup: 967 Toronto at 968 Chi. White Sox
Time: 8:10 PM EDT (Thu)
Listed pitchers must go: Stroman, Marcus (R) vs. Covey, Dylan (R)
Play: Toronto (ML -130)
Line Source: 5Dimes
Posted on: May 16, 2019 @ 10:14:08 AM EDT

The Blue Jays split a pair of games in San Francisco as Toronto heads to Chicago to begin a four-game set with the White Sox. Chicago had a rare Wednesday off after splitting a pair of home games with Cleveland, while taking two of three from Toronto on the road last weekend. Marcus Stroman lost the second game of that series as the right-hander looks to rebound tonight. Stroman is winless in his past three starts, while Toronto is 2-7 in his nine starts. However, Dylan Covey hasn't had much luck for Chicago on the mound as the White Sox are 0-11 since last July when the right-hander makes a start. Chicago is 6-1 in home series openers this season, but I'll back Toronto here as a road favorite to grab Game 1.

Thank you Mango

Thursday Service Play Thread 5/16/2019

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