Saturday Service Play Thread June 1, 2019

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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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[FONT=&quot]

[June 1] Official Play for TOMORROW:
HOU -152 (we recommend playing the overnight lines because the market can move fast on sharp plays)

embeddable_3ba30f80-566a-41c7-8359-8606f78a2691.JPG


Stros at Athletics -- Basewinner Line Stros -214[/FONT]

  • A first look at Brett Andersonshows a decent ERA with a 3.86 that puts him 46[SUP]th[/SUP] out of 87 qualified starters. However, his .75 bb/k is the 3[SUP]rd[/SUP] worst among these qualifiers.

  • The BW kbb model has this one priced as HOU -203 which concurs with the BW Crunch line.
[FONT=&quot]
Cheers,
BaseWinner
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Spartan

3*GOW
Houston -152
 

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Dave Essler

3* TOM

Texas / Kansas City over 10.5


2*
Chicago Whitesox / Cleveland over 10
 

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Ben Burns

3*(NHL)
St.louis -111
 

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Tim Wilkinson (VegasInsider)

UFC on ESPN+ 11
Alexander Gustafsson -300 (Best Bet)
Damir Hadzovic -165 (Best Bet)
Daniel Teymur +115
Makwan Amirkhani -115
Jimi Manuwa +175
Stevie Ray +135
Frank Camacho -117
Devin Clark -120
 

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Toby Maxtone-Smith (VegasInsider Soccer Handicaper)

UEFA Champions League Final
Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool (TV - TNT - Game Time 3:00 p.m.et)

ATS Picks
Best Bet - Liverpool
Liverpool to Win in 90 minutes at 10/11
First Goalscorer: Sadio Mane at 5/1
 

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Tim Wilkinson (VegasInsider NHL - Stanley Cup Finals Game #3) - Top Play Boston Bruins +101
 

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Carmine Bianco
5% Boston Bruins Over 5
 

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Kyle Markus (VegasInsider Soccer)

UEFA Champions League Final (TNT 3:00 p.m. et)
Tottenham Hotspur vs Liverpool

ATS Pick - Tottenham Hotspur +310
 

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VSI Soccer

Saturday champions league final
3*-under-2.5-tott-liver...3pm

saturday mls
3 *-dc united-120....8pm
 

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Nick Borrman

UEFA Champions League Final

4% Liverpool -110

Liverpool has the experience in this game and learned the best lesson last year losing to Real Madrid in the Champions League final. This game is similar to the Super Bowl with the amount of time off since these teams' last matches. There is also a ton of distractions from every angle with the amount of media coverage and travel schedules getting to Spain well over a week in advance to prepare. That being said, a big edge to Liverpool here in terms of experince.

As fas as the field goes, edge goes to Liverpool as well with the better team. I don't need to go into too much detail on how strong they were in league play this year while also having the player of the year in Virgil van Dijk along with their offense stars in Mo Salah, Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino. They lost just one game on the year and had the best defense in the league.

Tottenham went through hot and cold phases this year and in all honesty are lucky to be here with a late stoppage time goal needed to get past Ajax in the semifinals. Harry Kane is expected to return after a two month absense which will certainly help their offensive attack but I think it could also hurt them in the sense that they may need some time for everyone to get back in sync with one another. That could lead to an early mistake and is Liverpool can capitalize on something early, it will be tough for Tottenham to claw back.

This play is on regulation+stoppage time only. If they game goes to extra time and/or penalities this is graded as a loss. You can take Liverpool to win the Champions League at around -200, but I don't think it's worth the price.

TAKE LIVERPOOL ML or -0.5 (whichever line is better)
 

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Carmine Bianco

CHAMPIONS LEAGUE FINAL

4% Liverpool -106
Europe's premier club tournament comes to a conclusion on Saturday with two familar foes taking the field as Tottenham and Liverpool meet in the Champions League Final and it'll be a play on Liverpool. We'll start with Tottenham who put together an improbably comeback in the semifinals needing 3 goals in the final 35 minutes of leg 2 and managed to complete that with a final minute (96th) goal and a 3-2 win to earn a birth into the final. Liverpool used a similar leg 2 miracle beating Barcelona 4-0 to overturn a 3-0 Leg 1 loss and earn a chance at redemption after last seasons 3-1 loss in the final to Real Madrid. These sides have met twice in league play this season with Liverpool coming out on the right side of 2-1 decisions in both. Both sides have had almost 3 weeks to rest/prepare which has allowed key players to come back off injuries with Roberto Firmino returning for Liverpool and he'll be a major key to the teams attack and breaking down the Spurs backline. Harry Kane has also reportedly returned and has been the Spurs main threat over the past few seasons but at writing it's uncertain whether he'll start or come off the bench and the concern here is that with the injury he suffered originally the timetable for return seems quicker than normal and he has just started to take part in first team drills. Is an 80% Kane better than what they could otherwise field? Not entirely convinced and in my opinion it'll likely hurt more than help. Putting league results aside this Reds team has made it a mission to get back to the CL Final after last years loss in which for at least the first 45 minutes they looked the better side. After 52 competitive matches this season (37 wins) they've made it back and a win on Saturday would complete the mission.

PROPS

Some prop plays (1% plays) These are wagers I have played. Also Liverpool (-185) to Lift the Trophy which is a safer alternative for those that think Liverpool will win but that it might come in extra time or penalty kicks. Our wager is Liverpool in Regulation time and the price has dropped a few cents since posting but I don't believe it'll hit lower than -110 and likely stays in the same price range. GL Guys.

Roberto Firmino To Score +187 (Firmino has been ruled fit and has scored in both Liverpool 2-1 wins this season over Tottenham.

Liverpool To Score In First Half -120 (Liverpool have broken through for a first half goal in 7 straight games vs Tottenham dating back to 2016)

Liverpool Exact Score 2-0 +800 (In last years Champions League Final only a late game goalkeeping miscue by Karius preventing us from sweeping all props included a 2-1 Exact Score selection. I'll take another shot here on Saturday looking for a cleansheet win).

Liverpool To Score a Penalty +600 (This should only be a 0.5% of wager but one that I'll play now that VAR (video assisted review) has become to play a bigger part in penalties being awarded. We saw one in the Final of the World Cup so it's not outside of the relm of occurring)
 

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Wise Guy Insider

MLB 9:10 pm Toronto Blue Jays at Colorado Rockies Colorado Rockies -145 for 1 units
ACTION
 

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MLB(Bob Balfe)
2:10 PM EST
Rotation #965-966
White Sox -105 over Indians
Nova/Rodriguez
 

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Seabass first report : 400 Indians , 400 brewers RL, 600 royals game over , 300 reds , 300 braves RL
 

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