Tues / Lar's Look

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IL = Inter League

GS = Games Started

ER = Earned Runs

TY = This Year

TT = Team Total

BA = Batting Average

LHP = Left Handed Pitching

RHP = Right Handed Pitching

Unit = $5 ...no remarks


Game 1

Nym ... Wheeler .. IL ...15 GS / 5-4 Rec / Era 4.93 ..........in only career start vs Yanks ... 4.1 IP / 5 ER

So far TY in Day Games ... Wheeler 1-3 Rec / Era 6.93

vs

Nyy ....Tanaka ... IL ... 19 GS / 7-8 Rec / Era 3.61 .... never pitched vs Mets at Home in 4 Career Starts ....1-2 Rec / Era 3.08


When on Return Home Games after Road Trip ... Yanks are 3-1 in first game back at home ... scoring 5 runs per game ...


Game 2

Nym ... Vargas ... IL ...29 GS / 10-10 Rec / Era 4.26........In 6 GS in Yankee Stadium ... 0-5 Rec / Era 7.53....only problem here is Yanks Ranked # 22 in BA vs LHP ...

Vargas last outing ... 117 Pitches ...the most since way back in 2011 .... he's a soft thrower so not sure that matters much here ?

Small Lean Over TT Yanks ...when available

vs

Yanks .... Paxton ....IL ... 14 GS / 5-6 Rec / Era 3.53 .....only 1 start vs Mets in Career ... 6 IP / 0 ER


Toronto .... Thornton ...bit better pitcher Away from Home so far TY ....numbers below .....NIGHT GAMES TY ... 1-4 Rec / Era 5.92
By BreakdownERAWLSVSVOGPGSCGIPHRERHRBBSOAVG
Home6.39030077031.034222291538.272
Away3.21110066033.223121221631.192

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vs


Balt .....Means ....pitching real well TY 5-4 Rec / Era 2.67 ....

Means ...Pitching better at Home
By BreakdownERAWLSVSVOGPGSCGIPHRERHRBBSOAVG
Home1.53310075029.118952626.173
Away3.73230075031.131131351024.261

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Hard to back bad teams ... Sm Lean ... Balt 1st 5


Arizona ... rolling with the bats right now 4 straight games scoring 6 or more runs .... does Philly Arrieta shut them down tonight ?

Arizona Pitcher .... Duplantier ....making his 1st road start here in Philly .... Minimal numbers in 22 IP / Era 3.27 ....all at home for most part a 3 IP relief appearance earlier this year in SD ...

vs

Philly... Arrieta ....Zona Jake Lamb 7/15 BA .467 vs Arrieta

Arrieta ....back to back starts giving up 5 ER ....Philly opened up as a - 143 Favorite down to - 124 ????

Rookie making 1st start on road vs Cy Young Winner .... and line dropping ???????


A stay for me


Reds ... Castillo ...just 3 Career IL Starts ... 0-1 Rec / Era 6.39 .....Castillo 6-1 Rec TY / Era 2.26 ..solid ....6 Days since last start which can only help his velocity ...

Castillo ... 6-0 at Night TY / Era 1.50

He has never faced Cleveland ....

Cleve ..... Bauer ... IL... 26 GS ...11-5 Rec / Era 2.66 .....Reds hitter ...Iglesias 8/20 BA .400 vs Bauer ....

Bauer 5 Career starts vs Reds / 1-2 Rec / Era 3.54


Over / Under set at 8.5 ...looks fishy to me a bit ?


Just a small lean ... Reds 1st 5



Pitt ... Archer ...vs Current Braves Team ... 149 At Bats / BA just .168 ...wow .... Only 3 Games started vs Braves 1-1 Rec / Era 1.69 ...

Just faced Braves in Pitt on June 6th ... last start .... 6 IP / 1 ER .........NIGHT GAMES ... ARCHER JUST 1-2 / ERA 7.31

vs

Braves ... Foltynewicz ....took the loss vs Archer in Pitt last start ... on June 6th ... .......NIGHT GAMES Foltynewicz 1-3 / ERA 7.16



Seattle .... Leake ...........Limited At Bats vs Current Twins Team ...but numbers not great
MINNESOTA TWINS CAREER STATISTICS VS. MIKE LEAKE
BATTERABH2B3BHRRBIBBSOAVGOBPSLGOPS
Ehire Adrianza30000000.000.000.000.000
Byron Buxton50000000.000.000.000.000
Jason Castro83100121.375.500.5001.000
C.J. Cron113000012.273.333.273.606
Nelson Cruz73101502.429.3751.0001.375
Marwin Gonzalez148001413.571.625.7861.411
Max Kepler40000010.000.200.000.200
Eddie Rosario75100001.714.714.8571.571
Miguel Sano42200121.500.6671.0001.667
Jonathan Schoop51001102.200.200.8001.000
Totals682550312712.368.429.5741.002

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But in 4 Career starts vs twins 2-0 Rec / Era 4.32


Last time Leake went over 110 Pitches in a game ... the next start ... gave up 5 ER / 6.1 IP ... Leake seldom goes over 110 Pitches in a game


Sm Lean Over TT Twins


Minn ... Perez ...has not made it out of the 4th inning in last 2 starts .... better pitcher at home so far ty
By BreakdownERAWLSVSVOGPGSCGIPHRERHRBBSOAVG
Home2.51310054028.226882929.243
Away4.66410086036.237231932131.259
Day5.27210032013.215883916.268
Night3.315100108051.248231922144.247

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Milwaukee ... Spot Starter ...Peralta ... notice not the greatest night numbers ....
By BreakdownERAWLSVSVOGPGSCGIPHRERHRBBSOAVG
Home5.68220074025.128191661128.267
Away4.34100043018.2231192224.284
Day3.50210033018.0141072323.203
Night6.23110084026.037201861029.316

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Believe making his 1st start under a dome and 1st start vs Houston

Houston and Milwaukee have not played each other since 2016

Houston has gone 3 straight games of scoring 4 or less runs ...... and they are coming off a day off .....


Houston ...pitcher Peacock numbers ...better at home and at night .... So why is the Line dropping here ??? Fishy ???
By BreakdownERAWLSVSVOGPGSCGIPHRERHRBBSOAVG
Home2.38210066034.026992741.205
Away4.11320075030.223151431326.207
Day7.98010033014.21913132412.311
Night1.805200108050.030111031655.169

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Small Lean Over TT Houston and Houston 1st 5 .... the line movement scares me off this game ?



Wash ... Corbin ... not great numbers Away and at Night ...
By BreakdownERAWLSVSVOGPGSCGIPHRERHRBBSOAVG
Home2.32310066142.227111121045.182
Away5.02230077037.242262181744.278
Day1.88200044128.219663527.190
Night4.53340099051.250312672262.251

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Corbin ...IL ...16 GS / 7-4 Rec / Era 3.46


Washington is 3rd in MLB vs LHP TY .... Sox throw Banuelos who in my opinion is horrible ( Now watch em pitch a great game )


Play .... 3 Units ....Over 5.5 TT Wash


Detroit ... Turnbull faced KC 2 times this year ... 2-0 record / 13 IP / 3 ER / Era 2.08 ....

Plus Turbull's numbers Away and at Night are solid
By BreakdownERAWLSVSVOGPGSCGIPHRERHRBBSOAVG
Home3.16030077037.039201331340.264
Away2.86320066034.226121131428.208
Day3.72040077038.240221651346.265
Night2.18310066033.02510811422.205

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vs

KC Junis .. faced Det 1 time TY in Det 6 IP / 3 ER

Junis has struggles more at Home and at Night
By BreakdownERAWLSVSVOGPGSCGIPHRERHRBBSOAVG
Home6.27230077037.145282631534.290
Away4.93230066034.235211991332.265
Day4.76310077039.239222121637.253
Night6.68150066032.1412724101229.308

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Never trust betting bad teams ...and line is moving up with KC ...opened - 125 ...now - 143 ??

I don't like getting caught up on line moves


Lean ... Detroit 1st 5


Cubs ... Quintana faced Rocks in last start 7 IP / 3 ER ...

Quintana ... 3 starts in Colorado ... 2-0 / Era 4.58

vs

Colorado ...Lambert who just beat Quintana in his last start ... 7 IP / 1 Er


SD ... Paddock ... last 2 starts gave up 4 and 5 ER's ....

vs

SF ... Beede ... prone to long ball in limited starts ....
By BreakdownERAWLSVSVOGPGSCGIPHRERHRBBSOAVG
Home3.8600001002.1411035.364
Away8.80020043015.120171541214.313
Day3.3801002108.0833066.267
Night12.1001003209.21615134913.356

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Small Lean ...Over TT SD



Only play so far ... 3 Units ... Over 5.5 Washington
 

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Adding

3 Units .... Over TT Lad

Last 8 Times the Lad have been held to 1 run or less in a game .... they have averaged 6 runs per game in the next outing ...
 

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:toast:
 

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Hi Kaboom,
The Reds first 5 looks good .. [FONT=&quot]The Reds are 6-0 the First 5 Innings with Luis Castillo on the mound while the Indians are 0-7 with Trevor Bauer on the hill.[/FONT]
 

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Kaboom....The Dodgers were held to 1 run Sunday and then lost 5-3 yesterday to LAA
 

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Hi Kaboom,
The Reds first 5 looks good .. The Reds are 6-0 the First 5 Innings with Luis Castillo on the mound while the Indians are 0-7 with Trevor Bauer on the hill.

Like it bro ... thanks for the share !
 

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Thank you for all you do Kaboom. Enjoy reading your post everyday.
 

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another interesting tidbit for you ... The White Sox haven't faced a LH starter since May 18th. [FONT=&quot]Small sample size but since 2011 only 11 previous times has a team gone 22 days without facing a LH starter.Those teams are 2-9 avg 3.3 runs/game.[/FONT]
 

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Arizona ... rolling with the bats right now 4 straight games scoring 6 or more runs .... does Philly Arrieta shut them down tonight ?

Arizona Pitcher .... Duplantier ....making his 1st road start here in Philly .... Minimal numbers in 22 IP / Era 3.27 ....all at home for most part a 3 IP relief appearance earlier this year in SD ...

vs

Philly... Arrieta ....Zona Jake Lamb 7/15 BA .467 vs Arrieta

Arrieta ....back to back starts giving up 5 ER ....Philly opened up as a - 143 Favorite down to - 124 ????

Rookie making 1st start on road vs Cy Young Winner .... and line dropping ???????


A stay for me


PHL overnight lines have been dropping every day it seems. CIN received a lot of early $ as well. May also be people who have been on AZ during this streak and playing blindly til they lose (not a bad strategy)

That said I like PHL but more 1st 5 as I do not trust that bullpen at all
 

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Arizona ... rolling with the bats right now 4 straight games scoring 6 or more runs .... does Philly Arrieta shut them down tonight ?

Arizona Pitcher .... Duplantier ....making his 1st road start here in Philly .... Minimal numbers in 22 IP / Era 3.27 ....all at home for most part a 3 IP relief appearance earlier this year in SD ...

vs

Philly... Arrieta ....Zona Jake Lamb 7/15 BA .467 vs Arrieta

Arrieta ....back to back starts giving up 5 ER ....Philly opened up as a - 143 Favorite down to - 124 ????

Rookie making 1st start on road vs Cy Young Winner .... and line dropping ???????


A stay for me


PHL overnight lines have been dropping every day it seems. CIN received a lot of early $ as well. May also be people who have been on AZ during this streak and playing blindly til they lose (not a bad strategy)

That said I like PHL but more 1st 5 as I do not trust that bullpen at all

Arrieta looks better on the surface than what he is. Not saying play D'Backs but Jake makes me a bit nervous. Although not as much as Yu Darvish does. Really Theo?
 

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Thank you for all you do Kaboom. Enjoy reading your post everyday.

Thanks brother ... I try to share stats that require a bit more digging .... Some win / some lose ....like anything in bases ... LOL / True dat !
 

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another interesting tidbit for you ... The White Sox haven't faced a LH starter since May 18th. Small sample size but since 2011 only 11 previous times has a team gone 22 days without facing a LH starter.Those teams are 2-9 avg 3.3 runs/game.

Moon brotha ... that's the digging that makes u a winner my friend .... Thx for sharing ...
 

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Won't be around much on Wednesday or Thursday .... family issues ... Go get em !!!
 

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