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Thread: Wednesday Service Play Thread 6/12/2019

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  1. #1 Wednesday Service Play Thread 6/12/2019 
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    Stephen Nover

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    Spartan

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    Fezzik

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    Ben Burns

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    Boston / st.louis under 5.5
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    CleInsidersports

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    Blues/Bruins UNDER 5.5

    **NHL Game 7, after game 6 went over, the UNDER is 9-3-1. When the total opens at 5, the UNDER is 5-1-2
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    +EV: MLB 3u: 915 Texas Rangers +155 (L Lynn | R Porcello) (Wednesday, June 12th)
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  8. #8  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Buzz Kill View Post
    +EV: MLB 3u: 915 Texas Rangers +155 (L Lynn | R Porcello) (Wednesday, June 12th)

    MLB 3u: 901 Chicago Cubs -124 (C Hamels | A Senzatela) (Wednesday, June 12th)
    MLB 4u: 914 Baltimore Orioles +105 (E Jackson | D Hess) (Wednesday, June 12th)
    MLB 3u: 910 San Francisco Giants +135 (J Lucchesi | S Anderson) (Wednesday, June 12th)
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  9. #9  
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    DR. CHUCK

    Game: (911) Oakland Athletics at (912) Tampa Bay Rays
    Date/Time: Jun 12 2019 12:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Tampa Bay Rays -153

    View Analysis

    Anderson v. Chirinos

    System on the A's today is 9-28 with the spot they are in and the heading to a rest day. Also adding in a factor of this being the rubber game of a 3 game series and we have the Rays in a spot where they've won 11 of 15 times.

    Anderson has looked good and it certainly won't be easy...but I also think the line reflects largely what we have in this spot...which also gets better in our favor going from a night to a day game on a get away day!

    Game: (911) Oakland Athletics at (912) Tampa Bay Rays
    Date/Time: Jun 12 2019 12:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: 1H Total Under 5.0 (-120)

    View Analysis

    Anderson v. Chirinos

    Hard to imagine this not being a pitcher's duel, especially to start off. Oakland got a win over Stanek last night to make this a rubber match this morning, but as we mentioned on our side play with the Rays, we have a nice spot for an Under play, and a solid 9 to work with.

    Chirinos as a starter has only gone over 9 once this season and Anderson has been grooving the same way allowing 12 total runs in his last 4 road starts since the start of May and 22 runs total in the 7 starts he's had over the past 6+ weeks.

    Choi for the Rays is really poor against lefties in his career and likely is a stopper in the middle of that lineup if he gets the go...also is a key factor for the offense if he doesn't go

    Without using teams and going agnostic we also have a 29-17 (and 24-13) Under trend as well as a 38-11 trend for the Rays to win in a lower scoring game today.
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  10. #10  
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    Miller locks
    4:05 pm est mlb
    texas rangers vs. Boston red sox

    pick: Texas rangers (+130)

    risk: 11 units

    7:10 pm est mlb
    st. Louis cardinals vs. Miami marlins

    pick: St. Louis cardinals (-161)

    risk: 11 units

    7:20 pm est mlb
    pittsburgh pirates vs. Atlanta braves

    pick: Atlanta braves -1.5 (-103)

    risk: 11 units

    8:23 pm est nhl
    st louis blues vs. Boston bruins

    pick: Boston bruins (-173)

    risk: 11 units

    8:23 pm est nhl
    st louis blues vs. Boston bruins

    pick: Over 5.5 (+128)

    risk: 11 units
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  11. #11  
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    You guys have the +EV system record/units thus far for the season cause seems like they been very good since at least Friday..thanks!
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  12. #12  
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    Per The Site

    +$2,777 FIRST 8 DAYS

    +$800 3-1 MLB TUESDAY!
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  13. #13  
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    Dr. CHUCK

    Game: (913) Toronto Blue Jays at (914) Baltimore Orioles
    Date/Time: Jun 12 2019 7:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Westgate
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Baltimore Orioles 1.5 (-145)

    View Analysis

    Jackson v. Hess

    2 pitchers which are quite hard to back, but the road pitcher going tonight Edwin Jackson has been epically easy to fade so far this season. Each time his name appears on the card as a starter for the Blue Jays. He has been so bad we are purposely choosing to back a pitcher for the Orioles who has already allowed 20 home runs in 273 total batters faced. His one time out agains this Blue Jays offense however, he threw 6+ innings of no hit ball.

    Edwin Jackson is starting already for the 6th time this season...amassing not even 20 innings in his previous 5 starts combined. He has a monstrous 8.43 FIP, allows 60% of baserunners to score, and a 28% HR/FB rate! The former 2 good for a solid worst in the MLB...and the home run rate close to the worst, yet a few starters have a 30+% rate going....most every starter putting up these sabermetrics atrocities have been relegated to the pen, dropped down, or released...you go record setting Edwin Jackson!

    We get all 9 at bats with this play at an amazing price and a run loss also gets us a huge win!

    The value here is best of the year type stuff guys!
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    ROB VENO


    Game: (905) St. Louis Cardinals at (906) Miami Marlins
    Date/Time: Jun 12 2019 7:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
    Play Rating: 5%
    Play: St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-115)
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    Wow!! Ok thanks!
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  16. #16  
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    You paying? If so I'll contribute
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    Seabass day baseball : 300 Indians , 500 Indians game over , 400 cubs , 400 Red Sox game under
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  18. #18  
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    [June 12] Official Play for TOMORROW:
    SEA/MIN u9.5 -110 (we recommend playing the overnight lines because the market can move fast on sharp plays)



    Mariners at Twins (under 9 Ĺ) -- BW Projection = 8.2 runs


    • Milone has been very good in his 3 2019 starts with a BAR of 60 and a bbk of .21.
    • Berrios has been stellar in 2019 with a 72 BAR and a .19 bbk.
    • bbk model projects 8.17 runs.

    Bb/k is a simple yet powerful metric that shows great handicapping promise based on a Basewinner Data Study:https://www.cleardatasports.com/basewinner-data-studies/

    Cheers,
    BaseWinner
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    This Bb/K system is not the same as Tony Chau, is it?
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    Quote Originally Posted by SD3 View Post
    This Bb/K system is not the same as Tony Chau, is it?
    correct
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  21. #21  
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    Quote Originally Posted by SD3 View Post
    This Bb/K system is not the same as Tony Chau, is it?
    next Tony Chau is June 14 Seattle and Atlanta (2 games)
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  22. #22  
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    Thanks!
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  23. #23  
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    Very cool thank you
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  24. #24  
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