Ncaa season long trends / angles

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Go get em this year !!! ....

Bought the Phil Steele Magazine ....that has some new trends ...in which I might throw in here ....


Date
29-AugTexas A/M / 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
29-AugUCF / 6-2 Ats as Home Fav in 2018



31-AugKentucky 0-4 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
31-AugMemphis / 5-1 Ats at Home Fav in 2018
31-AugSan Diego St 0-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018
31-AugTCU 0-4 as a Home Fav in 2018
31-AugWashington 1-5 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018



7-SepDuke 1-5 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
7-SepKentucky 0-4 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
7-SepMemphis / 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
7-SepUtah St / 6-0 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
7-SepWashington 1-5 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018
7-SepWisconsin 1-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018



14-SepSINCE 2016 New Mexico / 0-4 Ats after a bye
14-SepSouth Fla 0-4 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018
14-SepTexas A/M / 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
14-SepWashington 1-5 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018



21-SepSINCE 2016 Appl St / 5-0 Ats after a bye
21-SepSINCE 2016 Michigan / 1-5 Ats after a bye
21-SepTexas A/M / 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
21-SepTCU 0-4 as a Home Fav in 2018
21-SepWisconsin 1-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018



26-SepMemphis / 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
28-SepSouth Fla 0-4 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018
28-SepTCU 0-4 as a Home Fav in 2018
28-SepUCF / 6-2 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
28-SepUtah St / 6-0 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
28-SepWashington 1-5 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018
28-SepWisconsin 1-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018




5-OctSINCE 2016 Army / 5-1 Ats after a bye
5-OctDuke 1-5 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
5-OctSINCE 2016 FIU / 5-0 Ats after a bye
5-OctWisconsin 1-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018




12-OctDuke 1-5 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
12-OctSINCE 2016 Houston / 0-6 Ats after a bye
12-OctKentucky 0-4 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
12-OctSan Diego St 0-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018
12-OctWisconsin 1-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018




19-OctMemphis / 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
19-OctSINCE 2016 North Carolina /5-0 Ats after a bye
19-OctUCF / 6-2 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
19-OctUtah St / 6-0 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
19-OctWashington 1-5 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018




26-OctKentucky 0-4 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
26-OctSINCE 2016 New Mexico St / 1-5 Ats after a bye
26-OctTexas A/M / 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018




2-NovMemphis / 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
2-NovTexas A/M / 5-1 Ats asHome Fav in 2018
2-NovUCF / 6-2 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
2-NovUtah St / 6-0 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
2-NovWashington 1-5 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018




9-NovKentucky 0-4 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
9-NovSan Diego St 0-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018
9-NovTCU 0-4 as a Home Fav in 2018
9-NovWisconsin 1-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018




15-NovSan Diego St 0-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018




16-NovSINCE 2016 Houston / 0-6 Ats after a bye
16-NovSINCE 2016 Michigan / 1-5 Ats after a bye
16-NovTexas A/M / 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
16-NovUtah St / 6-0 Ats as Home Fav in 2018




23-NovSINCE 2016 FIU / 5-0 Ats after a bye
23-NovKentucky 0-4 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
23-NovUtah St / 6-0 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
23-NovWisconsin 1-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018




29-NovMemphis / 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
29-NovTCU 0-4 as a Home Fav in 2018
29-NovUCF / 6-2 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
29-NovWashington 1-5 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018



30-NovSINCE 2016 Army / 5-1 Ats after a bye
30-NovKentucky 0-4 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
30-NovSINCE 2016 New Mexico / 0-4 Ats after a bye
 

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Updated........... You won't find Trends like these anywhere online ... Put these together myself

2 Trends
*******
Date


29-AugTexas A/M 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

29-AugUCF 6-2 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

















30-AugOregon St 0-5 Ats as a Home Dog

















31-AugDuke 5-0 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

31-AugFlorida Atlantic in 2018 as a Road Dog 4 Over to 0 Under

31-AugGeorgia 2018 as a Road Fav 4 Over to 0 Under

31-AugGeorgia St 0-5-1 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

31-AugKentucky 0-4 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

31-AugMemphis 5-1 Ats at Home Fav in 2018

31-AugNew Mexico St 0-4-1 ATS as a Road Dog in 2018

31-AugNorthwestern 4-0 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

31-AugSan Diego St 0-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

31-AugSouth Alabama 2018 as an Away Dog 5 Over to 1 Under

31-AugTCU 0-4 as a Home Fav in 2018

31-AugWashington 1-5 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

















1-SepOklahoma in 2018 as a Home Fav 6 Over to 1 Under

















7-SepBoston College 2018 as a Home Fav 5 Over to 0 Under

7-SepCincinnati 2018 as an Away Dog 0 Over 4 Under

7-SepDuke 1-5 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

7-SepKentucky 0-4 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

7-SepMemphis 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

7-SepNew Mexico St 0-4-1 ATS as a Road Dog in 2018

7-SepOklahoma in 2018 as a Home Fav 6 Over to 1 Under

7-SepOregon St in 2018 as an Away Dog 6 Over to 0 Under
********7-SepUtah St 6-0 Ats as Home Fav in 20182018 as a Home Fav 6 Over to 0 Under

7-SepVanderbilt 2018 as an Away Dog 0 Over 4 Under

7-SepWashington 1-5 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

7-SepWestern Kentucky 2018 as an Away Dog 0 Over to 6 Under

7-SepWisconsin 1-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

















13-SepBoston College 2018 as a Home Fav 5 Over to 0 Under

















14-SepDuke 5-0 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

14-SepFlorida Atlantic in 2018 as a Road Dog 4 Over to 0 Under

14-SepGeorgia St 0-5-1 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018
********14-SepLouisville 0-4 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018Big Look ahead spot with Fsu on Deck on 9/21

14-SepMaryland 0-4 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018
********14-SepNew Mexico 0-4 Ats after a bye /SINCE 2016New Mexico in 2018 as an Away Dog 4 Over to 0 Under

14-SepOklahoma 2018 as Away Fav 4 Over to 0 Under

14-SepPittsburgh 2018 as an Away Dog 0 Over to 4 Under

14-SepSouth Fla 0-4 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

14-SepTexas A/M 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

14-SepWashington 1-5 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

















21-SepAppl St 5-0 Ats after a bye /SINCE 2016

21-SepGeorgia St 0-5-1 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

21-SepLouisville 0-4 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

21-SepMichigan 1-5 Ats after a bye / SINCE 2016

21-SepNew Mexico St 0-4-1 ATS as a Road Dog in 2018

21-SepSan Jose St 2018 as a Road Dog 1 Over 5 Under

21-SepSouth Alabama 2018 as an Away Dog 5 Over to 1 Under

21-SepTexas A/M 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

21-SepTCU 0-4 as a Home Fav in 2018

21-SepWisconsin 1-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

















26-SepMemphis 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

















27-SepDuke 5-0 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

27-SepSan Jose St 2018 as a Road Dog 1 Over 5 Under

















28-SepBoston College 2018 as a Home Fav 5 Over to 0 Under

28-SepFlorida Atlantic in 2018 as a Road Dog 4 Over to 0 Under

28-SepNorthwestern 4-0 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

28-SepOklahoma in 2018 as a Home Fav 6 Over to 1 Under

28-SepOregon St 0-5 as a Home Dog

28-SepSouth Alabama 2018 as an Away Dog 5 Over to 1 Under

28-SepSouth Fla 0-4 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

28-SepTCU 0-4 as a Home Fav in 2018

28-SepUCF 6-2 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
********28-SepUtah St 6-0 Ats as Home Fav in 20182018 as a Home Fav 6 Over to 0 Under

28-SepWashington 1-5 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

28-SepWisconsin 1-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

















5-OctArmy 5-1 Ats after a bye /SINCE 2016

5-OctDuke 1-5 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

5-OctGeorgia 2018 as a Road Fav 4 Over to 0 Under

5-OctMaryland 0-4 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

5-OctOklahoma 2018 as Away Fav 4 Over to 0 Under

5-OctOregon St in 2018 as an Away Dog 6 Over to 0 Under

5-OctFIU 5-0 Ats after a bye /SINCE 2016

5-OctNorthwestern 4-0 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

5-OctVanderbilt 2018 as an Away Dog 0 Over 4 Under

5-OctWestern Kentucky 2018 as an Away Dog 0 Over to 6 Under

5-OctWisconsin 1-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

















12-OctDuke 1-5 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

12-OctGeorgia St 0-5-1 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

12-OctHouston 0-6 Ats after a bye /SINCE 2016

12-OctKentucky 0-4 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

12-OctLouisville 0-4 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

12-OctMaryland 0-4 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

12-OctNew Mexico St 0-4-1 ATS as a Road Dog in 2018

12-OctOklahoma 2018 as Away Fav 4 Over to 0 Under

12-OctOregon St 0-5 as a Home Dog

12-OctSan Diego St 0-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

12-OctSan Jose St 2018 as a Road Dog 1 Over 5 Under

12-OctWisconsin 1-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

















16-OctSouth Alabama 2018 as an Away Dog 5 Over to 1 Under

















18-OctPittsburgh 2018 as an Away Dog 0 Over to 4 Under

















19-OctBoston College 2018 as a Home Fav 5 Over to 0 Under

19-OctDuke 5-0 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

19-OctMemphis 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

19-OctNew Mexico in 2018 as an Away Dog 4 Over to 0 Under

19-OctNorth Carolina 5-0 Ats after a bye /SINCE 2016

19-OctOklahoma in 2018 as a Home Fav 6 Over to 1 Under

19-OctOregon St in 2018 as an Away Dog 6 Over to 0 Under
********19-OctUCF 6-2 Ats as Home Fav in 20182018 as a Home Fav 6 Over to 0 Under

19-OctUtah St 6-0 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

19-OctWake Forest 0-5 Ats as a Homg Dog

19-OctWashington 1-5 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

















26-OctDuke 5-0 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

26-OctFlorida Atlantic in 2018 as a Road Dog 4 Over to 0 Under

26-OctKentucky 0-4 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

26-OctMaryland 0-4 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018
********26-OctNew Mexico St 1-5 Ats after a bye/SINCE 2016New Mexico St 0-4-1 ATS as a Road Dog in 2018

26-OctOklahoma 2018 as Away Fav 4 Over to 0 Under

26-OctSan Jose St 2018 as a Road Dog 1 Over 5 Under

26-OctTexas A/M 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

26-OctWestern Kentucky 2018 as an Away Dog 0 Over to 6 Under

















2-NovFlorida Atlantic in 2018 as a Road Dog 4 Over to 0 Under

2-NovGeorgia 2018 as a Road Fav 4 Over to 0 Under

2-NovMemphis 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

2-NovNorthwestern 4-0 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

2-NovOregon St in 2018 as an Away Dog 6 Over to 0 Under

2-NovTexas A/M 5-1 Ats asHome Fav in 2018

2-NovUCF 6-2 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

2-NovUtah St 6-0 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

2-NovVanderbilt 2018 as an Away Dog 0 Over 4 Under

2-NovWashington 1-5 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

















8-NovOregon St 0-5 as a Home Dog

















9-NovGeorgia St 0-5-1 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

9-NovKentucky 0-4 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

9-NovLouisville 0-4 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

9-NovMaryland 0-4 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

9-NovNew Mexico St 0-4-1 ATS as a Road Dog in 2018

9-NovOklahoma in 2018 as a Home Fav 6 Over to 1 Under

9-NovSan Diego St 0-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

9-NovSan Jose St 2018 as a Road Dog 1 Over 5 Under

9-NovSouth Alabama 2018 as an Away Dog 5 Over to 1 Under

9-NovTCU 0-4 as a Home Fav in 2018

9-NovVanderbilt 2018 as an Away Dog 0 Over 4 Under

9-NovWestern Kentucky 2018 as an Away Dog 0 Over to 6 Under

9-NovWisconsin 1-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

















15-NovSan Diego St 0-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

















16-NovGeorgia 2018 as a Road Fav 4 Over to 0 Under

16-NovHouston 0-6 Ats after a bye/SINCE 2016

16-NovLouisville 0-4 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

16-NovMichigan 1-5 Ats after a bye/SINCE 2016

16-NovNew Mexico in 2018 as an Away Dog 4 Over to 0 Under

16-NovOklahoma 2018 as Away Fav 4 Over to 0 Under

16-NovOregon St 0-5 as a Home Dog

16-NovTexas A/M 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018
********16-NovUtah St 6-0 Ats as Home Fav in 20182018 as a Home Fav 6 Over to 0 Under

















23-NovDuke 5-0 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

23-NovFIU 5-0 Ats after a bye/SINCE 2016

23-NovKentucky 0-4 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

23-NovOklahoma in 2018 as a Home Fav 6 Over to 1 Under

23-NovOregon St in 2018 as an Away Dog 6 Over to 0 Under

23-NovPittsburgh 2018 as an Away Dog 0 Over to 4 Under

23-NovSan Jose St 2018 as a Road Dog 1 Over 5 Under

23-NovUtah St 6-0 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

23-NovWestern Kentucky 2018 as an Away Dog 0 Over to 6 Under

23-NovWisconsin 1-6 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

















29-NovCincinnati 2018 as an Away Dog 0 Over 4 Under

29-NovMemphis 5-1 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

29-NovTCU 0-4 as a Home Fav in 2018

29-NovUCF 6-2 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

29-NovWashington 1-5 Ats as a Home Fav in 2018

















30-NovArmy 5-1 Ats after a bye/SINCE 2016

30-NovGeorgia 2018 as a Road Fav 4 Over to 0 Under

30-NovGeorgia St 0-5-1 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

30-NovKentucky 0-4 Ats as Home Fav in 2018

30-NovLouisville 0-4 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

30-NovMaryland 0-4 Ats as a Road Dog in 2018

30-NovNew Mexico 0-4 Ats after a bye/SINCE 2016

30-NovNew Mexico St 0-4-1 ATS as a Road Dog in 2018

30-NovOklahoma 2018 as Away Fav 4 Over to 0 Under

30-NovOregon St in 2018 as an Away Dog 6 Over to 0 Under

30-NovVanderbilt 2018 as an Away Dog 0 Over 4 Under
 

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This is a Breakdown of some of the Phil Steele Trends from his Magazine .... he posts various trends on whether a team will improve or decline in their Win Totals from the previous year .... By far not a say all .... just something to glance at once in awhile if on the fence in a game ...or me ....I use this to Wager on Team Total Wins in my Future Wagers.....

Worked very hard on this .... so only positive feedback is appreciated ......

Using Phil Steele's Magazine
Improving Record in Black
Declining Record in Red
Split = Improving and Declining TrendsAlphabetical Order
Akron75%
Air Force79%
Alabama73%
Arizona79%
2XArkansas89%77%
Arkansas St72%
Army75%
Ball St67%
Baylor81%
Boise St81%
Bowling Green68%
2XBuffalo83%89%
3XCentral Michigan81%67%72%
2XCentral Florida85%85%
Cincinnati85%
Clemson83%
Colorado85%
2XColorado St67%77%
3XConnecticut81%67%77%
4XEast Carolina81%67%72%77%
Eastern Michigan79%
2XFlorida Atlantic81%72%
3XFlorida St81%71%77%
2XFresno St83%83%
Georgia72%
4XGeorgia Southern85%73%75%85%
Georgia St
2XGeorgia Tech85%83%
SplitHawaii75%78%83%
Indiana81%
SplitKansas72%85%
2XKansas St72%71%
Kentucky83%
Kent St72%
La Monroe77%
Louisiana Tech81%
4XLouisville67%68%83%77%
Memphis79%
Michigan St67%
SplitMiss St83%72%
3 Good / 1 BadNavy81%79%81%83%
2XNebraska81%89%
2XNorth Carolina89%71%
2XNotre Dame84%89%
Ohio St85%
Oklahoma75%
Old Dominion71%83%
Oregon83%
2XOregon St83%77%
Purdue72%
Rice67%
3XRutgers83%79%77%
2XSan Diego St67%71%
2XSan Jose St81%79%
South Alabama83%
South Florida75%
Syracuse89%
Texas84%
SplitTexas Christian81%75%
3XTexas St67%79%83%
SplitToledo73%72%
Tulsa72%
Uab75%
Ucla83%
UMass83%
3XUsc72%81%77%
Utah81%
3XUtah St85%73%85%
3XUtep67%79%77%
Utsa67%
Vanderbilt72%
Virginia72%
Virginia Tech81%
Washington83%
Washington St75%
3XWestern Kentucky67%89%81%
SplitWestern Michigan68%75%
West Virginia85%
SplitWisconsin85%81%
 

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Always important to do the dirty work. Uncovering positive, meaningful situations takes time and effort and of course each situation has to stand the test of time and changing variables (coaching staffs, conference realignment, weather, game placement, etc.). Only advice I'd give right now is this: Beware of low sample sizes. Much of the stuff Steele puts out is random. You can't back (almost) anything on such low sample sizes. Touts use this gimmick often. Careful, and keep on doing the legwork, it pays off over time.
 

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Always important to do the dirty work. Uncovering positive, meaningful situations takes time and effort and of course each situation has to stand the test of time and changing variables (coaching staffs, conference realignment, weather, game placement, etc.). Only advice I'd give right now is this: Beware of low sample sizes. Much of the stuff Steele puts out is random. You can't back (almost) anything on such low sample sizes. Touts use this gimmick often. Careful, and keep on doing the legwork, it pays off over time.

I get it bro ....thx .... Good luck TY
 

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2019 Coaching Changes
​​​​​​​

fbs_coaches_2019.jpg
 

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2019 Coaching Changes
​​​​​​​

fbs_coaches_2019.jpg

Over the years, I have found that new coaches who inherit a team who had a losing season the previous year
will have a losing season during his first campaign...at least a good percentage of the time.
 

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Over the years, I have found that new coaches who inherit a team who had a losing season the previous year
will have a losing season during his first campaign...at least a good percentage of the time.

I will try to dig that trend up a bit .... Thx for the share ...
 

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Injury/Suspension Report


Georgia

(!)[WR] 06/21/2019 - Jeremiah Holloman is out for season ( Dismissed ) .... Top Returning WR .... HUGE LOSS

Only other Returning WR from last year ... Woerner ...just 11 receptions ....


Illinois ....

[DL] 07/08/2019 - Bobby Roundtree is out for season ( Back )........HUGE LOSS .......TOP SACK MAN 7.5 Last Year / 2nd in Tackles


Iowa St

[P] 07/09/2019 - Corey Dunn is out for season ( Achilles )



Southern Mississippi

[WR] 07/08/2019 - Quez Watkins is out indefinitely ( Academics )....HUGE LOSS ... TOP RETURNING WR ( 9 TD'S )


UCF
[QB] 07/11/2019 - Darriel Mack Jr. is out indefinitely ( Ankle )...... HUGE LOSS .... now former transfer Wimbush will start ....


Utep

[QB] 06/08/2019 - Kai Locksley is out indefinitely ( Suspension )......... Starter .... they do have a guy who saw some snaps last year ....fyi
 

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Injury/Suspension Report


Georgia

(!)[WR] 06/21/2019 - Jeremiah Holloman is out for season ( Dismissed ) .... Top Returning WR .... HUGE LOSS

Only other Returning WR from last year ... Woerner ...just 11 receptions ....


Illinois ....

[DL] 07/08/2019 - Bobby Roundtree is out for season ( Back )........HUGE LOSS .......TOP SACK MAN 7.5 Last Year / 2nd in Tackles


Iowa St

[P] 07/09/2019 - Corey Dunn is out for season ( Achilles )



Southern Mississippi

[WR] 07/08/2019 - Quez Watkins is out indefinitely ( Academics )....HUGE LOSS ... TOP RETURNING WR ( 9 TD'S )


UCF
[QB] 07/11/2019 - Darriel Mack Jr. is out indefinitely ( Ankle )...... HUGE LOSS .... now former transfer Wimbush will start ....


Utep

[QB] 06/08/2019 - Kai Locksley is out indefinitely ( Suspension )......... Starter .... they do have a guy who saw some snaps last year ....fyi

Adding

San Diego St ... BIG LOSS >>> TOP WR LOST ....Tim Wilson Jr...... retired ...

Wilson, a 6-foot-4 junior from Plano, Texas, would have been SDSU’s top returning wide receiver after catching 19 passes for 362 yards (19.1 yards/reception) and three touchdowns last season. (Ethan Dedeaux had 22 catches but for an average of 11.9 yards and zero TDs.)
 

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Hi Kaboom,
Great work and thank you for sharing the info. What are the differences in the percentage columns?
Thank you,
 

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A meaningless trend or...….


In the last 6 years Indiana has not beaten Michigan or Ohio State and has defeated Mich St once, in 2016, in OT, when MSU went 3-9. With that said...


After playing Indiana......
Mich St, Michigan, and Ohio State are 3-15 ATS after playing Indiana last 6 years. Michigan has lost twice to Ohio State after Indiana and Ohio State lost at home to Oklahoma as a 7-point favorite after Indiana.
This year Ohio St gets Miami of Ohio after Indiana.
Michigan State gets Ohio State after Indiana.
Michigan gets Ohio State after Indiana.

What is it about Indiana???

Ohio State is 0-6 ATS after playing Indiana.
Michigan is 2-4
Mich. St is 1-5
 

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A meaningless trend or...….


In the last 6 years Indiana has not beaten Michigan or Ohio State and has defeated Mich St once, in 2016, in OT, when MSU went 3-9. With that said...


After playing Indiana......
Mich St, Michigan, and Ohio State are 3-15 ATS after playing Indiana last 6 years. Michigan has lost twice to Ohio State after Indiana and Ohio State lost at home to Oklahoma as a 7-point favorite after Indiana.
This year Ohio St gets Miami of Ohio after Indiana.
Michigan State gets Ohio State after Indiana.
Michigan gets Ohio State after Indiana.

What is it about Indiana???

Ohio State is 0-6 ATS after playing Indiana.
Michigan is 2-4
Mich. St is 1-5


Good stuff bro .... thx for the share .......
 

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I started a breakdown of Ats Situations with College Football Coaches who have been with team at least 2 years ... Anyone interested ...send me a private message with your email address and I will send the excel spreadsheet to you when I finish .... No Interest ...No Problem ...
 
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Kaboom, thank you for all the great information.
On the table on post #3, can you let me know what the different column headers would be?
I believe the first % is based 'Net Close Wins/Losses', but I am not sure about the other ones.
I am interested in tracking how accurate the formulas are (especially when there are more than one of them) from year to year.
As you mention, that could give us some solid indicators on teams to target.

Thanks!
 

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Kaboom, thank you for all the great information.
On the table on post #3, can you let me know what the different column headers would be?
I believe the first % is based 'Net Close Wins/Losses', but I am not sure about the other ones.
I am interested in tracking how accurate the formulas are (especially when there are more than one of them) from year to year.
As you mention, that could give us some solid indicators on teams to target.

Thanks!

Glad to see someone else might have an interest on Post 3 but all I can really tell you is that they are all various trends over years of games played which have been either successful or nit successful in Red ....

I feel the more you see a team having multiple trend percentages in either good ( In Black ) or No Good ( in Red ) ...can give an edge on wagering on Win Totals ....

They don't always come through , so tread lightly ..... even though I tail quite a bit , myself.

BOL
 

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Feel this is a real nice angle ..... for those of you that agree .... throw some feedback ...it's the only thing that keeps me posting my weird ass breakdowns ....

Remember guys ....it's all about capping different ways to be successful in this game ....different edges ....


Broke down all teams that had Exactly 8 Return Starters on Defense 2018-19 to see how their ATS record turned out ???


120 Wins - 99 Lost ... Excluding Pushes .... 54.29 % ATS Winners ... I know you guys are thinking 54 % is not great but it's considered excellent percentage in wagering in CFB ....


When a Team had Exactly 9 Return Starters on Defense .....

81 Wins - 71 Lost .... Excluding Pushes .... 53.28% ATS Winners


If you combine the 2 ..... 8 or 9 Return Starters on Defense


201 Wins - 170 Lost .... Excluding Pushes ....54.17% ATS Winners


I will probably break down the 2017-18 season as well to make sure this is not a fluke ....


Feedback appreciated .... keeps me posting ....thx all ....
 

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