Friday Service Play Thread 6/21/2019

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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

Please do not post Twitter plays or forum member plays in this thread.

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baseball33


Milwaukee Brewers - Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers -1
 

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ROB VENOBASEBALL PLAYS


  • Game: (953) Miami Marlins at (954) Philadelphia Phillies
    Date/Time: Jun 21 2019 7:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 5%
    Play: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+102)
 

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DR. CHUCKBASEBALL PLAYS


  • Game: (953) Miami Marlins at (954) Philadelphia Phillies
    Date/Time: Jun 21 2019 7:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: 1H Philadelphia Phillies -0.5 (-150)

    Alcantara v. Nola
    Back on the Nola first 5 train...he has been solid if not frustrating but definitely the right side. Alcantara has been very up and down, but one thing's for sure he has his worst outing by far against these Phillies. We have a 19-3 last 22 trend we're gonna risk with a first 5 spread!
  • Game: (965) Houston Astros at (966) New York Yankees
    Date/Time: Jun 21 2019 7:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Total Over 9.5 (+101)

    Peacock v. Paxton
    5-2 Over system and 14-7 Over system both at play today as well as the big game yesterday and Yankees have gone over 10 themselves the last 2 games...2 different series and are hot and rolling. The Astros are on the verge of breaking out and might have done so after the rain delay last night. Look for both these teams to pepper runs all games and this screams out 8-7 type final to me!
  • Game: (979) Los Angeles Angels at (980) St. Louis Cardinals
    Date/Time: Jun 21 2019 8:15 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Los Angeles Angels -105

    Canning v. Wacha
    Canning has been really underappreciated since joining the Angels full time rotation...but has a pretty decent FIP/xFIP split and a really excellent curve/slide combo to go with an above average slider. He gets Wacha who they can't seem to figure out where they want him and has been, in a word, rough.
    The Cards are in a spot tonight on no rest where the record for the system is 17-53...narrowed down further though is 4-16! Great spot...and an Angels offense that is hitting a stride and a healthy Upton creating a serious danger from top to bottom....should be able to survive at least tonight in STL after they finished a long, surprisingly very difficult series. with Miami.
 

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Accu Picks

MLB
3* #957/958 San Diego/Pittsburgh under 9
 

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LV Wolf

Reds +110
Yankees -150
 

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+EV: MLB 4u: 958 Pittsburgh Pirates -105 (E Lauer | J Musgrove) (Friday, June 21st)

+EV: MLB 4u: 958 SD/PIT un9 -115 (E Lauer | J Musgrove) (Friday, June 21st)

+EV: MLB 4u: 971 Chicago White Sox +133 (Re Lopez | A Jurado) (Friday, June 21st)
 

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Paul Leiner

Thee MLB Picks 6/21

100* Pirates -115
100* Dbacks -130
100* Over 9 Orioles/Mariners
 

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---
 

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Stephen Oh

SEATTLE -143


BALTIMORE @ SEATTLE | 6/21 | 10:10 PM EDT
9:11 AM
With promising rookie John Means hitting the IL for Baltimore, the Orioles will likely treat Friday's game against Seattle as a bullpen game. That's bad news for Baltimore; its 'pen has a 6.10 ERA, second worst in all of baseball. The Orioles have lost nine straight; my model says there's more than a 70 percent chance that streak goes to 10. Go with the Mariners.

96-62 IN LAST 158 MLB PICKS | +3101
10-6 IN LAST 16 BAL ML PICKS | +284

2-1 IN LAST 3 SEA ML PICKS | +89


CLEVELAND -199


DETROIT @ CLEVELAND | 6/21 | 7:10 PM EDT
3:31 AM
My model says the Indians win this game 80 percent of the time, so Cleveland provides excellent value even at this price. Friday night's starter Trevor Bauer shut out these Tigers on four hits while striking out eight and walking none just five days ago. And Detroit starter Matthew Boyd has been hit hard over his last three games. Take the Indians with confidence.

96-62 IN LAST 158 MLB PICKS | +3101
24-9 IN LAST 33 DET ML PICKS | +1482

29-18 IN LAST 47 CLE ML PICKS | +1469


OVER 7.5 COLORADO @ L.A. DODGERS | 6/21 | 10:10 PM EDT


YESTERDAY 10:18 PM
My data sees a minimum of nine runs crossing the plate Friday between the Rockies and Dodgers, providing value on the Over against a total of 7.5. Colorado has seen its offense pick up of late, sparking a 5-1 run to the over in its last six. Los Angeles is 11-5-2 to the Over in its last 18 games against winning teams.

96-62 IN LAST 158 MLB PICKS | +3101
4-1-1 IN LAST 6 LAD O/U PICKS | +300


SAN DIEGO -101


SAN DIEGO @ PITTSBURGH | 6/21 | 7:05 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:14 PM
My simulations have the Padres beating the Pirates 60 percent of the time in their series opener Friday, providing a great value on the road team against a flat price. The PaPittsburghdres have won four straight when Eric Lauer pitches on full rest and have won four straight against right-handed starters. Pittsburgh is on a 2-9 run against left-handed starters.

96-62 IN LAST 158 MLB PICKS | +3101
15-2 IN LAST 17 PIT ML PICKS | +1384
 

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Vince Akins (5-3 L2 days)

MLB Trend Plays
Red Sox ML (-330)
Phillies ML (-240)
Cubs ML (-170)
Astros ML (+145)
 

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Consensus (2-10 L3 days)

MLB
7u Reds/Brewers UNDER 8.5
5u Padres ML (+105)
5u Reds ML (+110)
5u Rangers ML (-140)
 

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TOM FORNELLI


COLORADO +171


COLORADO @ L.A. DODGERS | 6/21 | 10:10 PM EDT
1:13 PM
Shock of all shocks, the Dodgers are overpriced. I like the Rockies here as German Marquez is great on the road, and he keeps the ball on the ground, so there's too much value on the Rockies at this price to pass it up.

6-3 IN LAST 9 MLB PICKS | +477
7-3 IN LAST 10 LAD ML PICKS | +512


UNDER 8.5 N.Y. METS @ CHI. CUBS | 6/21 | 2:20 PM EDT


1:10 PM
The wind is blowing in on a cool, overcast day at Wrigley. Plus Yu Darvish has been the pitcher the Cubs meant to sign his last few outings. I'm not sure even Jason Vargas can ruin this.

6-3 IN LAST 9 MLB PICKS | +477
10-8 IN LAST 18 CHC O/U PICKS | +138
 

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Dirty Bear Sports

MLB:
COL F5 +.5 +105 3u
SD F5 +.5 -140 1u

MLB Season: ​51-64-7 44% -54.85units
 

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Nover GOY

Twins -159
 

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Tony Chau John Morrison


Bet A: Colorado +1.5 -125 (7:10 PM, PST)
Bet A: San Fransisco +1.5 -161 (6:40 PM, PST)
Bet A: Detroit +1.5 -120 (4:10 PM, PST)

All lines @ Pinnacle
 

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Teddy covers big ticket 5%

sd/pitt over 9 up to -131

if -9.5 or over -131 then 4%
 

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