Sunday Service Play Thread 6/23/2019

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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Let's go Brandon!
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Stephen Oh


ARIZONA -140


SAN FRANCISCO @ ARIZONA | 6/23 | 4:10 PM EDT
1:08 AM
In his last start against the Giants, on May 17, the Diamondbacks' Merrill Kelly did not allow a run in 5.1 innings. Arizona won, 7-0. On the other hand, San Francisco starter Shaun Anderson gave up six runs, including four earned, and nine hits in just 5.0 innings in his only start against the Diamondbacks, on May 26. My model says Arizona wins about two-thirds of the time, so this money line is still solid value. Take the D-backs.

98-64 IN LAST 162 MLB PICKS | +3100
23-14 IN LAST 37 ARI ML PICKS | +1015


ATLANTA -102


ATLANTA @ WASHINGTON | 6/23 | 1:35 PM EDT
12:54 AM
My model has the Braves winning more than 50 percent of simulations, so you're getting good value with Atlanta at this price. Nationals starter Patrick Corbin has allowed at least six earned runs in two of his last four starts. Meanwhile Braves starter Mike Soroka is 4-0 with a 1.11 ERA in six road starts this season. Take Atlanta.

98-64 IN LAST 162 MLB PICKS | +3100
3-0 IN LAST 3 ATL ML PICKS | +300

15-12 IN LAST 27 WAS ML PICKS | +243


CHI. CUBS +102


N.Y. METS @ CHI. CUBS | 6/23 | 2:20 PM EDT
12:42 AM
Jacob deGrom has been good recently, but Cole Hamels has been even better. In his last four starts, the Cubs lefty has allowed one earned run in 29.0 innings. My model says Chicago is winning this game almost 60 percent of the time, so the Cubs getting plus money is terrific value. Go with Chicago.

98-64 IN LAST 162 MLB PICKS | +3100
34-22 IN LAST 56 NYM ML PICKS | +1590

8-4 IN LAST 12 CHC ML PICKS | +390
 

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Larry Hartstein


ATLANTA -101


ATLANTA @ WASHINGTON | 6/23 | 1:35 PM EDT
12:28 AM
Patrick Corbin is coming off a dominant outing but he was very shaky in his three previous starts. Mike Soroka has a 1.11 ERA on the road, with batters hitting .154 against him. Back the road dog.

7-3 IN LAST 10 MLB ML PICKS | +417
21-11 IN LAST 32 WAS ML PICKS | +827

29-23 IN LAST 52 ATL ML PICKS | +244


ARIZONA -139


SAN FRANCISCO @ ARIZONA | 6/23 | 4:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:47 PM
Merrill Kelly was rocked last time out by his nemesis, Colorado. But in the previous three starts he was dominant, allowing two earned runs over 22.1 innings while fanning 18 and walking two. At home he has a 3.05 ERA. Lay the reasonable price.

7-3 IN LAST 10 MLB ML PICKS | +417
8-4 IN LAST 12 SF ML PICKS | +362


MINNESOTA -166


MINNESOTA @ KANSAS CITY | 6/23 | 2:15 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:31 PM
Michael Pineda is really dealing for the Twins, with a 0.67 WHIP over his last seven starts. K.C.'s Homer Bailey also has been in a groove lately, but he typically struggles in daytime affairs (6.10 ERA). Back Minnesota to beat the Royals for the eighth time in the last 10 meetings.

7-3 IN LAST 10 MLB ML PICKS | +417
4-2 IN LAST 6 MIN ML PICKS | +205
 

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+EV: MLB 4u: 974 Texas Rangers -119 (I Nova | A Sampson) (Sunday, June 23rd)

+EV: MLB 4u: 951 Miami Marlins +150 (J Yamamoto | E De Los Santos) (Sunday, June 23rd)

+EV: MLB 4u: 960 Chicago Cubs +108 (J deGrom | C Hamels) (Sunday, June 23rd)

+EV: MLB 4u: 964 Arizona Diamondbacks -133 (S Anderson | M Kelly) (Sunday, June 23rd)

+EV: MLB 4u: 972 Kansas City Royals +153 (M Pineda | H Bailey) (Sunday, June 23rd)

+EV: MLB 4u: 965 Toronto Blue Jays +155 (M Stroman | R Porcello) (Sunday, June 23rd)
 

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Paul Leiner

Three MLB Picks 6/23

100* Dbacks -140
100* Twins -145
100* Over 9 Mariners/Orioles
 

Let's go Brandon!
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Nascar Toyota/Save Mart 350
By Micah Roberts
VegasInsider.

Top-5 Finish Prediction:

1) #1 Kurt Busch (10/1)
2) #19 Martin Truex Jr. (9/2)
3) #11 Denny Hamlin (14/1)
4) #14 Clint Bowyer (6/1)
5) #4 Kevin Harvick (7/2)
 

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EW SPORTS PICKS
(Nascar Mathups)
5 Unit Joey Logano (Matchup) (+130) Over Chase Elliott
5 Unit Kurt Busch (Matchup) (+130) Over Chase Elliott
8 Unit Clint Bowyer (Matchup) (+105) Over Martin Truex Jr
----------------------------------------
MLB Picks
5 Unit Houston Astros
8 Unit Atlanta Braves
--------------------------------------
 

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MLB(Bob Balfe)
2:05 PM EST
Rotation #969-970
Astros -130 over Yankees
Verlander/Happ
 

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Miller locks

1:10 pm est mlb
detroit tigers vs. Cleveland indians

pick: Under 9 (-101)

risk: 11 units

1:35 pm est mlb
atlanta braves vs. Washington nationals

pick: Atlanta braves (-151)

risk: 11 units

2:05 pm est mlb
houston astros vs. New york yankees

pick: New york yankees (+117)

risk: 11 units
 

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DR. CHUCK BASEBALL PLAYS

Game: (955) San Diego Padres at (956) Pittsburgh Pirates
Date/Time: Jun 23 2019 1:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H San Diego Padres -152

View Analysis

Lucchesi v. Brault
Took it HARD on the chin yesterday in the bottom of the 5th when Paddack, with 1 out, allows a base knock to the 8th spot...spurring Hurdle to pull Archer for PH Osuna. The inning was set up perfectly with lead and cover in hand....2 outs and Archer steps to that plate...we know what happened and the.big play from Saturday goes kablooey!
Here are a couple pitchers going a bit in opposite directions...as well as their offensive lineups facing left handed pitching! For the past 2 weeks despite small sample sizes the Dads have been near the top facing lefties leading the league in fact in Slugging (.643), OPS (1.060), and wOBA .429, and 165 wRC+! Very impressice numbers...and Lucchesi is off a masterful shutdown of the high powered Brewers lineup holding them all to no runs on 3 hits! Joey is also in a system spot that is 26-12 the last 5 seasons.
The Pirates against lefties is a spot we've played plenty already...not with as much success as I would hypothesize due to Josh Bell being almost completely neutralized by facing lefty starters...and is bar none the Pirates offensive spark! They rank right down at the bottom during the same timeframe the Dads have been crushing lefty pitchers....in fact, same categories are .408/.654/.269/69...as poor as San Diego has been excellent!
Brault walks almost 5 batters per 9, has an FIP/xFIP both 5+, has not a single plus value pitch in his arsenal on the season, and almost all contact made by opponents is hard or medium...
This is a much bigger price than yesterday's first 5, which I also thought was a slam dunk...but the offense didn't get after Archer...hopefully they have more oomph early on, Manny is crazy HOT too, to make this a no brainer and we can let the bullpens do what they will and we stay out of it!
 

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ROB VENO BASEBALL PLAYS

Game: (969) Houston Astros at (970) New York Yankees
Date/Time: Jun 23 2019 2:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Houston Astros -126

View Analysis

Game: (957) Cincinnati Reds at (958) Milwaukee Brewers
Date/Time: Jun 23 2019 2:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+100)

View Analysis

Game: (975) Tampa Bay Rays at (976) Oakland Athletics
Date/Time: Jun 23 2019 4:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Tampa Bay Rays +105

View Analysis

Game: (963) San Francisco Giants at (964) Arizona Diamondbacks
Date/Time: Jun 23 2019 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (+132)
 

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Desert sports:

Atl-125
sd-140
lad-190
sea-170

log shots of the day: Cin+173 and mia =160

sd/pit u9.9
col/lad o9
det/cle u9
sf/az o9
 

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Seabass : 300 blue jays game under , 300 marlins game over , 400 braves RL, 400
yankees game under(1st 5 innings ) , 500 cubs game under , 300 white sox
 

PAZ

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+ev: Mlb 4u: 974 texas rangers -119 (i nova | a sampson) (sunday, june 23rd)

+ev: Mlb 4u: 951 miami marlins +150 (j yamamoto | e de los santos) (sunday, june 23rd)

+ev: Mlb 4u: 960 chicago cubs +108 (j degrom | c hamels) (sunday, june 23rd)

6-0 nice work

+ev: Mlb 4u: 964 arizona diamondbacks -133 (s anderson | m kelly) (sunday, june 23rd)

+ev: Mlb 4u: 972 kansas city royals +153 (m pineda | h bailey) (sunday, june 23rd)

+ev: Mlb 4u: 965 toronto blue jays +155 (m stroman | r porcello) (sunday, june 23rd)


nice work 6-0
 

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