Monday Service Play Thread 7/01/2019

bmd1803 · Jun 30, 2019

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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bmd1803 · Jun 30, 2019

+EV: MLB 4u: 952 Pittsburgh Pirates +108 (A Alzolay | T Williams) (Monday, July 1st)

+EV: MLB 4u: 953 Milwaukee Brewers +100 (A Houser | T Mahle) (Monday, July 1st)

mcmister · Jun 30, 2019

[h=2]BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (JULY 1)[/h][FONT=&quot]The model has 1 totals and 1 sides. The model has 0 games with a side and total play in the same game.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]954 .67* CIN -104
955 .5* SF/SD o8 -120[/FONT]

bmd1803 · Jun 30, 2019

Stephen Oh

San Francisco +148 Sam
Cincinnati -109 Hou Mah
Pittsburgh +103 Alz Wil

bmd1803 · Jun 30, 2019

bmd1803 said:
Stephen Oh

San Francisco +148 Sam
Cincinnati -109 Hou Mah
Pittsburgh +103 Alz Wil[/QUOTE

SAN FRANCISCO +148SAN FRANCISCO @ SAN DIEGO | 7/01 | 10:10 PM EDT
10:00 PM
The Padres have won nine of 13 and my projections show they're the better team in Monday's matchup against the rival Giants. But Jeff Samardzija has a career 8-3 record against San Diego, and the Giants are better on the road than they are at home. San Fran wins only 42 percent of my simulations, but this huge underdog price makes it a worthy value play.

104-64 IN LAST 168 MLB ML PICKS | +3770
6-4 IN LAST 10 SF ML PICKS | +81

CINCINNATI -109
MILWAUKEE @ CINCINNATI | 7/01 | 7:10 PM EDT
9:53 PM
The Brewers' Adrian Houser was a successful reliever, but his one start didn't go well and he was yanked after two innings. The Reds have won six of their last seven at home and are 4-1 at Great American Ballpark in the last five home starts of Tyler Mahle. Cincy wins more than 60 percent of my computer simulations. Snag the slim home underdog while it's still an underdog.

104-64 IN LAST 168 MLB ML PICKS | +3770
10-6 IN LAST 16 MIL ML PICKS | +376

15-11 IN LAST 26 CIN ML PICKS | +321

PITTSBURGH +103
CHI. CUBS @ PITTSBURGH | 7/01 | 7:05 PM EDT
9:46 PM
Adbert Alzolay gets the start for the Cubs, but the hype may not match the performance. The Pirates, who have won seven of 10, are 7-4 when Trevor Williams gets the ball. My projections like the Pirates' chances -- they win 62 percent of the computer simulations, which makes them a very valuable pick at a plus-price.

104-64 IN LAST 168 MLB ML PICKS | +3770
15-4 IN LAST 19 PIT ML PICKS | +1129

10-5 IN LAST 15 CHC ML PICKS | +472

bmd1803 · Jul 1, 2019

Larry Hartstein

Toronto -135 Spa
San Diego -170 All

bmd1803 · Jul 1, 2019

Sleepyj

3* San Diego -1.5(+120)

bmd1803 · Jul 1, 2019

Goodfella

3* Toronto / SASKATCHEWAN under 52.5

bmd1803 · Jul 1, 2019

Ben Burns

3* SASKATCHEWAN -10

bmd1803 · Jul 1, 2019

Fezzik

2*POW
Toronto / SASKATCHEWAN under 53.5

3* Cincinnati -107

bmd1803 · Jul 1, 2019

STEPHEN NOVER

2* Toronto / Kansas City under 10.5

2* SASKATCHEWAN / Toronto under 52

griffey_mojo · Jul 1, 2019

mcmister said:
BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (JULY 1)

The model has 1 totals and 1 sides. The model has 0 games with a side and total play in the same game.
954 .67* CIN -104
955 .5* SF/SD o8 -120

How is this doing so far ??

TIA

mcmister · Jul 1, 2019

griffey_mojo said:
How is this doing so far ??

TIA

I only play their >.67 games. Otherwise not very good
but their data is very useful and informative

griffey_mojo · Jul 1, 2019

mcmister said:
I only play their >.67 games. Otherwise not very good
but their data is very useful and informative

Thanks !

bmd1803 · Jul 1, 2019

Larry Hartstein

SAN DIEGO -170
SAN FRANCISCO @ SAN DIEGO | 7/01 | 10:10 PM EDT
12:29 AM
It's a steep price but I'll back the Padres and lefty Logan Allen as he makes his third major-league start. He's 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA and will be facing a Giants team that ranks dead last in OPS versus lefties (.616). Lay it.

22-8 IN LAST 30 MLB ML PICKS | +1465
33-12 IN LAST 45 SD ML PICKS | +1632

11-4 IN LAST 15 SF ML PICKS | +662

TORONTO -135
KANSAS CITY @ TORONTO | 7/01 | 1:07 PM EDT
12:26 AM
The Royals' Glenn Sparkman sports a 7.85 road ERA with six homers allowed in 18.1 innings. Back Toronto to beat K.C. for the eighth time in the last 11 tries.

22-8 IN LAST 30 MLB ML PICKS | +1465
20-12 IN LAST 32 TOR ML PICKS | +626

bmd1803 · Jul 1, 2019

Micah Roberts

UNDER 10 MILWAUKEE @ CINCINNATI | 7/01 | 7:10 PM EDT
10:09 AM
Tyler Mahle has stayed Under the total in 12 of his 15 starts this season, including four of five at home and his last four overall. The Brewers are having trouble scoring and have stayed Under in their last five games. The Reds have lost five of their last seven while averaging just 3.7 runs per game. Just the Under.

12-6-2 IN LAST 20 MLB O/U PICKS | +530
18-7-1 IN LAST 26 MIL O/U PICKS | +1033

bmd1803 · Jul 1, 2019

Paul Leiner

Three MLB Picks 7/1

100* Cubs -120
100* Blue Jays -150
100* Under 10 Reds/Brewers

bmd1803 · Jul 1, 2019

Johnny Bollman

TEXAS -143
L.A. ANGELS @ TEXAS | 7/01 | 8:05 PM EDT
11:06 AM
Jose Suarez is 2-1 with a 5.57 ERA this season. In three road starts, he is 2-0 with a 6.06 ERA. Mike Minor is 8-4 with a 2.40 ERA this season and 4-2 with a 2.03 ERA at home. He has faced the Angels twice this season, throwing a shutout at home and giving up one run in six innings in LA. The Rangers have the fifth most runs in the league against lefties, while the Angels are 17th at scoring runs against lefties. The Rangers are 28-15 at home, and 13-4 as the home favorite. Take the value in the Rangers at home.

54-28 IN LAST 82 MLB ML PICKS | +1999
9-1 IN LAST 10 TEX ML PICKS | +829

4-0 IN LAST 4 LAA ML PICKS | +454

CINCINNATI -107
MILWAUKEE @ CINCINNATI | 7/01 | 7:10 PM EDT
11:05 AM
In three starts this season, Adrian Houser has given up eight runs in eight innings pitched. He is 2-1 with a 3.72 ERA in nine appearances on the road. Tyler Mahle is 2-8 with a 4.35 ERA but he is 2-1 with a 2.96 ERA at home. The Reds are 21-18 at home while the Brewers are 18-21 on the road. Take the value in the Reds at home.

54-28 IN LAST 82 MLB ML PICKS | +1999

PITTSBURGH +105
CHI. CUBS @ PITTSBURGH | 7/01 | 7:05 PM EDT
11:04 AM
Adbert Alzolay will make his second career start after giving up one earned run in 4.2 IP in his debut as a starter. Trevor Williams will be making just his third start since returning from the IL, he is 2-2 with a 4.25 ERA this season. The Cubs are 16-23 on the road and the Pirates are 7-4 when Trevor Williams starts. The Pirates are 7-3 in their last 10 coming off a road trip, while the Cubs are 4-6 coming off a home stand. Take the value in the Pirates who are hot right now.

54-28 IN LAST 82 MLB ML PICKS | +1999
6-3 IN LAST 9 CHC ML PICKS | +244

5-3 IN LAST 8 PIT ML PICKS | +166

bmd1803 · Jul 1, 2019

Billy Coleman

MLB
3* #951 Cubs -110 (Alzolay)

Twuan_Almighty · Jul 1, 2019

Dirty Bear Sports

MLB:
SDP F5 -.5 -120 3u

MLB Season: 59-67-7 47% -42.15units

Monday Service Play Thread 7/01/2019

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