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Thread: Thursday Service Play Thread 7/04/2019

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  1. #26  
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    Stats Analytics Sports

    MLB - 2* Blue Jays/Red Sox Over 10


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  2. #27  
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    ROB VENO

    Game: (903) Milwaukee Brewers at (904) Cincinnati Reds
    Date/Time: Jul 4 2019 2:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Westgate
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Milwaukee Brewers -123

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    Game: (905) Chicago Cubs at (906) Pittsburgh Pirates
    Date/Time: Jul 4 2019 4:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Chicago Cubs -115

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    Game: (909) San Diego Padres at (910) Los Angeles Dodgers
    Date/Time: Jul 4 2019 9:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-118)

    Game: (915) Minnesota Twins at (916) Oakland Athletics
    Date/Time: Jul 4 2019 4:07 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+108)

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    Game: (921) Los Angeles Angels at (922) Texas Rangers
    Date/Time: Jul 4 2019 8:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Texas Rangers -118
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  3. #28  
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    Desert sports:

    Long shot of the day: Pit +115 and phi +135

    picks:
    Cle -130
    bos -110
    mil -120
    det -110

    totals:
    Laa/tex o 10
    mil/cin u 9
    phi/atl u11
    chc/pit 09
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  4. #29  
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    Quote Originally Posted by bmd1803 View Post
    Paul Leiner

    Three MLB picks 7/4

    100* Tigers -110
    100* Twins -130
    100* Over 9.5 Indians/Royals

    2500* RedSox -110
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  5. #30  
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    Miller locks

    4:05 pm est mlb
    chicago cubs vs. Pittsburgh pirates

    pick: Pittsburgh pirates (+118)

    risk: 11 units

    4:07 pm est mlb
    minnesota twins vs. Oakland athletics

    pick: Minnesota twins (-132)

    risk: 11 units

    7:07 pm est mlb
    boston red sox vs. Toronto blue jays

    pick: Toronto blue jays (+100)

    risk: 11 units

    7:20 pm est mlb
    philadelphia phillies vs. Atlanta braves

    pick: Atlanta braves (-157)

    risk: 11 units
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  6. #31  
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    Seabass : 400 cubs over , 400 twins , 300 rays , 400 angels , 700 * twins game under
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  7. #32  
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    Kevin Rogers (VegasInsider)

    MLB - Boston Red Sox

    The Blue Jays knocked off the Red Sox last night, 6-3 as Toronto seeks the series win over Boston tonight. Marcus Stroman has handled the Red Sox lineup this season in two starts by allowing one run in two victories, including a win at Fenway Park in their last matchup. Hector Velasquez makes his first start since May for Boston as the Red Sox have won nine consecutive road series finales. I'll take Boston here as a short favorite.

    MLB - Philadelphia Phillies

    The Braves and Phillies have split the first two meetings in this series at SunTrust Park as the two NL East rivals wrap up their set tonight. Mike Soroka has been dynamic for the Braves this season at 9-1, but faces the Phillies for the first time this season. Zach Eflin pitched well in his last start at Miami, but the bullpen let him down in a 9-6 loss. Eflin has put together solid numbers in spite of a 7-7 record as he worth a look here as a road 'dog.


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  8. #33  
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    Tim Wilkerson (VegasInsider)

    (MLB) - New York Yankees
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  9. #34  
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    Sports-Junkies

    07/04/19 $500 MLB Play of the Day - LA Angels +110


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  10. #35  
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    SPORTS DATA QUERY GROUP



    Game: (911) Cleveland Indians at (912) Kansas City Royals
    Date/Time: Jul 4 2019 1:15 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Kansas City Royals +120

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    Game: (903) Milwaukee Brewers at (904) Cincinnati Reds
    Date/Time: Jul 4 2019 2:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Milwaukee Brewers -114

    View Analysis

    Game: (915) Minnesota Twins at (916) Oakland Athletics
    Date/Time: Jul 4 2019 4:07 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Minnesota Twins -140

    View Analysis

    Game: (919) Boston Red Sox at (920) Toronto Blue Jays
    Date/Time: Jul 4 2019 7:07 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Toronto Blue Jays +100

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    Game: (907) Philadelphia Phillies at (908) Atlanta Braves
    Date/Time: Jul 4 2019 7:20 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Westgate
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Atlanta Braves -160
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  11. #36  
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    DR. CHUCKBASEBALL PLAYS

    Game: (913) Detroit Tigers at (914) Chicago White Sox
    Date/Time: Jul 4 2019 2:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: 1H Detroit Tigers -119

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    Boyd v. Lopez
    Most of today's write up is the same after both starters were held completely out of the doubleheader from yesterday and only added to my liking with the Tigers getting swept.


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  12. #37  
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    Augie J

    Brewers


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  13. #38  
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    ASA

    6 star total OVER Cubs/ Pitt.


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  14. #39  
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    H&H Sports

    (MLB) - 5* Atlanta Braves -155


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  15. #40  
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    Dirty Bear Sports

    MLB:
    TOR F5 +.5 -150 3u

    MLB Season: 60-69-7 47% -46.05 units
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  16. #41  
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    Dwayne Bryant

    5% Atl/Phi OVER 10.5

    4% OVER Boston (no play due to pitching change)
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  17. #42  
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    Quote Originally Posted by bmd1803 View Post
    DR. CHUCKBASEBALL PLAYS

    Game: (913) Detroit Tigers at (914) Chicago White Sox
    Date/Time: Jul 4 2019 2:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: 1H Detroit Tigers -119

    View Analysis

    Boyd v. Lopez
    Most of today's write up is the same after both starters were held completely out of the doubleheader from yesterday and only added to my liking with the Tigers getting swept.


    Game: (905) Chicago Cubs at (906) Pittsburgh Pirates
    Date/Time: Jul 4 2019 4:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Westgate
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: 1H Chicago Cubs -113

    View Analysis

    Quintana v. Lyles

    This play is on Vegas information...the 1st 5 line is heavier than the full game play on the Cubs. We are also playing this on a trend that is 43 of 55 in a spot with a team off a walk of loss to the opponent but favored.

    Quintana was on the ropes early against the Reds, but they didn't break the dam after cracking it and then he settled down for a slaughter, with much help from an excellent defense behind him...I look for a similar aspect today where the Cubs bats will look to hit Lyles hard in just his second start back from the IL...after a mediocre (albeit "quality") first start back getting the loss in Milwaukee.

    Game: (915) Minnesota Twins at (916) Oakland Athletics
    Date/Time: Jul 4 2019 4:07 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Westgate
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: 1H Minnesota Twins -145

    View Analysis

    Berrios v. Anderson

    I'll play your game Vegas, you rogue!

    Game: (921) Los Angeles Angels at (922) Texas Rangers
    Date/Time: Jul 4 2019 8:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: William Hill
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: 1H Total Under 6.0 (-110)

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    Canning v. Lynn

    The wind is blowing steadily inward this evening in Arlington and the 2 pitchers on the mound have been big pluses for each team's rotations. Canning for instance misses more bats on strikes that most any starter in the league at over 15% swing and miss rate, and only Snell and Castillo best Griffin Canning in overall contact rate of opposing hitters. He has a great K-BB rate at 20% near the tops in the league and specializes in the first couple times through the order...the 3rd time he faces an opposing lineup is the worst, thus we eliminate the full game play in this spot.

    Lance Lynn speaks for himself at this point...the dude might win the Cy Young Award, leads the AL in WAR, has an excellent FIP that is below 3.00, and has a similar K-BB rate as Canning, meaning neither are likely to give out free passes (especially early) and clog the bases for hitters to have RISP at bat opportunities! I think this becomes an early pitcher's duel and barely allows a single run for either team through the first time around the batting orders...then we hold on for dear life with a high 6 in this same emotional, gut wrenching series for both these fatigued, emotiionally drained rosters!

    Game: (909) San Diego Padres at (910) Los Angeles Dodgers
    Date/Time: Jul 4 2019 9:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: 1H Los Angeles Dodgers -0.5 (-155)

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    Lamet v. Ryu

    Welcome back to the big leagues Dinelson Lamet! You haven't pitched since the 2017 season in the MLB and your reward is to go to Chavez Ravine to face the murderer's row of offense and the likely Cy Young favorite of the NL for 2019....congrats! At both levels of the minors so far this season he has been a solid strike out pitcher and limiting walks...but he also is fortunate to have a .219 BABIP against, and has allowed almost a HR per every 3rd fly ball he allows on the mound! Dodget stadiun ain't no Petco park either, and the Dodger lineup specializes in hitting home runs!

    Ryu has not looked great of late, and there is no guarantee the bullpens don't mess around with things here...the stud will be on the mound for all 5 half innings of this bet, and a single HR from Bellinger or Muncy or Turner or Pederson et al might do it for the lead after just 5 innings! Also in a spot where a team walked off in the final game of a series to start a new divisional series against a team who they are giving 2 dollars to....7-1 record last 8!
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