Thursday Service Play Thread 7/04/2019

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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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+EV: MLB 4u: 913 Detroit Tigers +101 (M Boyd | I Nova) (Thursday, July 4th)


+EV: MLB 4u: 912 Kansas City Royals +115 (Z Plesac | H Bailey) (Thursday, July 4th)
 

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Adam Thompson

Milwaukee -121 Woo Cas
Detroit -113 Boy Nov
NYY -118 Hap Chi


 

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Adam Thompson

Milwaukee -121 Woo Cas
Detroit -113 Boy Nov
NYY -118 Hap Chi




MILWAUKEE -121
MILWAUKEE @ CINCINNATI | 7/04 | 2:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:28 PM
Luis Castillo has electric stuff, but for whatever reason the free-swinging Brewers have him figured out. Castillo is 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA in three starts against Milwaukee, while Brew Crew ace Brandon Woodruff mowed down Cincy with 12 strikeouts over seven innings two starts ago. Few offenses are as hot-and-cold than the Reds, and Woodruff on the mound signals a quiet day for Cincy bats.

13-6 IN LAST 19 MLB ML PICKS | +542
14-8 IN LAST 22 MIL ML PICKS | +559

18-14 IN LAST 32 CIN ML PICKS | +34


DETROIT -113
DETROIT @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 7/04 | 2:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:26 PM
Ivan Nova has been a colossal disappointment, but there’s no relief in sight so the White Sox will start him once again at home on Thursday, where he’s 0-4 with an 8.31 ERA this year. Detroit’s offense is one of the worst in the league but even it has had success against Nova, shelling him for six runs in 6.1 innings. Matthew Boyd tossed a quality start against the Sox earlier this year.

13-6 IN LAST 19 MLB ML PICKS | +542
3-0 IN LAST 3 DET ML PICKS | +300


N.Y. YANKEES -118
N.Y. YANKEES @ TAMPA BAY | 7/04 | 5:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:25 PM
Rays Thursday starter Yonny Chirinos has been successful against the Yankees with a 3.07 over 14.2 innings this year. But no team hits better under the sun than the pinstripes, who led MLB in runs scored (6.7), average (.275) and OPS (.851) in day games. If Chirinos gets in trouble, Tampa is throwing a bullpen game the night before and may not have the best arms available. New York starter J.A. Happ is unbeaten on the road, as his ERA is more than two runs lower and his average allowed is 70 points lower than his home splits.

13-6 IN LAST 19 MLB ML PICKS | +542
12-5 IN LAST 17 TB ML PICKS | +572

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Stephen Oh

UNDER 9.5 DETROIT @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 7/04 | 2:10 PM EDT

12:43 AM
My numbers see a maximum of eight runs crossing the plate Thursday between the Tigers and White Sox, providing a major value position on teh Under against a total of 9.5. I'm seeing the Under hit in a whopping 70 percent of simulations. Detroit is on a 5-1 spurt to the Under and is also playing 5-2 to the Under when Matthew Boyd makes road starts against losing teams.

112-73 IN LAST 185 MLB PICKS | +3596
4-2 IN LAST 6 DET O/U PICKS | +165


 

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Stephen Oh

UNDER 9.5 DETROIT @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 7/04 | 2:10 PM EDT

12:43 AM
My numbers see a maximum of eight runs crossing the plate Thursday between the Tigers and White Sox, providing a major value position on teh Under against a total of 9.5. I'm seeing the Under hit in a whopping 70 percent of simulations. Detroit is on a 5-1 spurt to the Under and is also playing 5-2 to the Under when Matthew Boyd makes road starts against losing teams.

112-73 IN LAST 185 MLB PICKS | +3596
4-2 IN LAST 6 DET O/U PICKS | +165



ATLANTA -158
PHILADELPHIA @ ATLANTA | 7/04 | 7:20 PM EDT
12:56 AM
My numbers see the Braves with a major edge Thursday against the Phillies, making Atlanta worth the moderate price. My simulations have the Braves winning this matchup 73 percent of the time and by a margin of 1.5 runs in those contests. The Braves are 8-0 in Mike Soroka's starts against NL East opponents and have own his past five home outings. Philadelphia is on a 1-5 run against right-handed starters.

106-67 IN LAST 173 MLB ML PICKS | +3686
5-0 IN LAST 5 ATL ML PICKS | +500

3-1 IN LAST 4 PHI ML PICKS | +153


 

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Larry Hartstein

MILWAUKEE -125
MILWAUKEE @ CINCINNATI | 7/04 | 2:10 PM EDT
12:40 AM
Luis Castillo is 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA in three starts versus Milwaukee this season. That includes serving up three homers and walking 12 batters in 13.1 innings. Going back further, Cincy has lost Castillo's last four starts against Milwaukee. The Brewers have won Brandon Woodruff's last eight starts against NL Central foes. Lay it.

26-10 IN LAST 36 MLB ML PICKS | +1579
30-16 IN LAST 46 CIN ML PICKS | +1132

15-5 IN LAST 20 MIL ML PICKS | +1083


 

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Tony Chau John Morrison

Now, let's go onward to the next bets for Champ MLB betting system for Tuesday July 3rd:

Tampa Bay Rays {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is a confirmed official betting series. If the {A** bet does not win, please automatically go to the {B** bet the next day, and same with the potential {C** bet the day after.
 

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[h=2]BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (JULY 4)[/h][FONT=&quot]The model has 4 totals and 4 sides. The model has 1 games with a side and total play in the same game.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]904 .5* CIN +105
906 .5* CHC/PIT u9.5 -105
907 .5* PHI +153
910 .5* SD/LAD u8.5 -120
913 .5* DET -113
916 .5* MIN/OAK u10 -115
918 .5* NYY/TBR u9.5 -120
920 .5* TOR +110[/FONT]

7-4-MLB-Baseball-Handicapping-Software-1024x365.jpg
 

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Assassin Sports

MLB
Washington Nationals -1.5 runs
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 runs
Minnesota Twins
 

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Paul Leiner

Three MLB picks 7/4

100* Tigers -110
100* Twins -130
100* Over 9.5 Indians/Royals
 

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JR ODONNELL

3* Montreal / Hamilton over 56.5

3* Philadelphia +136

3* Toronto -110
 

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