Friday Service Play Thread 7/12/2019

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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Below are the Champ MLB Betting System picks for Friday the 12th:

Phillies {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is a confirmed official betting series.

Mets {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is a confirmed official betting series.

Blue Jays {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is only an unofficial betting series because it does not pass the RPI filter.




As with all bets under the Champ MLB Betting System, remember that if the {A** bet does not win, please automatically go to the {B** bet the next day, and same with the potential {C** bet the day after.

By the way, the full documented record of the Champ MLB Betting System over the years can be viewed here.




All the best,
The Champ Team
 

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[h=2]BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (JULY 12)[/h][FONT=&quot]The model has 3 totals and 1 sides. The model has 1 games with a side and total play in the same game.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]903 .5* WAS -122
904 .5* WAS/PHI u9 +105
906 .5* NYM/MIA u8 -110
928 .5* CHW/OAK u9 -110[/FONT]

7-12_MLB_Betting_Projections-1024x477.png
 

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ROB VENOBASEBALL PLAYS

Game: (901) Pittsburgh Pirates at (902) Chicago Cubs
Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 2:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 9.5 (-113)

View Analysis

Game: (903) Washington Nationals at (904) Philadelphia Phillies
Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 6:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Washington Nationals -1.5 (+115)

View Analysis

Game: (919) Minnesota Twins at (920) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Cleveland Indians -136

View Analysis

Game: (913) Atlanta Braves at (914) San Diego Padres
Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: San Diego Padres -104

View Analysis
 

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SPORTS DATA QUERY GROUP



Game: (903) Washington Nationals at (904) Philadelphia Phillies
Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 6:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Washington Nationals -136

View Analysis

LISTED PITCHERS
Game: (917) Tampa Bay Rays at (918) Baltimore Orioles
Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Tampa Bay Rays -156

View Analysis

LISTED PITCHERS
Game: (911) Cincinnati Reds at (912) Colorado Rockies
Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 8:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Colorado Rockies -126

View Analysis

In their last two games before the break, the Reds lost 7-2 and 11-1. In their 11-1 loss, they combined to strand 20 baserunners. Cincinnati has not recovered well in this spot. The Reds are 0-8 SU as a road dog after a home game in which their hit-to-run ratio was higher than 2.75 and they are on at least a two-game losing streak. Cincinnati lost every one of the eight games by multiple runs and the average final score was 6.125 runs to 1.875 runs.
Jon Gray is off a sub-par outing. He went five innings and allowed eight hits and two walks. Some pitchers have trouble after a poor outing and others are focused and sharp. In his career, the Rockies are a perfect 12-0 at home with Jon Gray when he is off a start in which he had a WHIP higher than 1.80.
Colorado has won these dozen games by an average of 4.58 runs.
The Rockies are also 7-0 SU with rest as a home favorite in the first game of a series when they blew a lead in their starters the last start and lost, 8-0 SU as a favorite over an NL foe after they had six or fewer team-left-on-base, and 6-0 SU as a favorite after a loss in which they never led.
The Rockies are indeed on a long losing streak, and this is giving us huge line value. They are at home and ready to start picking up ground in the NFL wild-card race. Lay the short price with a starter that will take responsibility for getting his team to 500 on the season.
Game: (913) Atlanta Braves at (914) San Diego Padres
Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 10:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Atlanta Braves -103

View Analysis

LISTED PITCHERS
 

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Paul Leiner

Three MLB Picks 6/12

100*Rays -145
100* Marlins -110
100* Over 9 Indians/Twins
 

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+EV: MLB 4u: 911 Cincinnati Reds +112 (S Gray | J Gray) (Friday, July 12th)

+EV: MLB 4u: 929 Los Angeles Dodgers -110 (K Maeda | E Rodriguez) (Friday, July 12th)

+EV: MLB 4u: 918 Baltimore Orioles +135 (Y Chirinos | D Bundy) (Friday, July 12th)

+EV: MLB 4u: 903 Washington Nationals -133 (S Strasburg | N Pivetta) (Friday, July 12th)

+EV: MLB 4u: 909 Arizona Diamondbacks +111 (R Ray | A Wainwright) (Friday, July 12th)
 

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Miller locks

7:05 pm est mlb
toronto blue jays vs. New york yankees

pick: New york yankees -1.5 (-153)

risk: 11 units

7:10 pm est mlb
los angeles dodgers vs. Boston red sox

pick: Los angeles dodgers (+104)

risk: 11 units

7:10 pm est mlb
minnesota twins vs. Cleveland indians

pick: Minnesota twins (+121)

risk: 11 units

10:10 pm est mlb
atlanta braves vs. San diego padres

pick: San diego padres (-105)

risk: 11 units
 

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Dirty Bear Sports

MLB:
BAL F5 +.5 -110

MLB Season: 65-69-7 49% -31.05 units (L14: 9-2 82% +20.70 units)
 

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+EV: WNBA 4u: 602 Indiana Fever +2.5 -105 (Friday, July 12th)

+EV: WNBA 4u: 604 Atlanta Dream +2.5 -105 (Friday, July 12th)

+EV: WNBA 4u: 606 PHO/CON un153.5 -110 (Friday, July 12th)

+EV: WNBA 4u: 608 NYL/CHI un163 -105 (Friday, July 12th)

+EV: MLB 4u: 925 Seattle Mariners +145 (1st 5 Innings) (M Leake ¡ T Cole) (Friday, July 12th)
 

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