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Thread: Friday Service Play Thread 7/12/2019

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  1. #1 Friday Service Play Thread 7/12/2019 
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    Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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  2. #2  
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    Spartan

    3*INTERLEAGUE GOY

    LA DODGERS -103
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  3. #3  
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    BEN BURNS
    3* Oakland -176
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  4. #4  
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    STEPHEN NOVER
    3* Atlanta -108
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  5. #5  
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    DAVE ESSLER
    3* San Diego / Atlanta over 8.5
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  6. #6  
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    Vegas Runner
    4% Rafa Nadel ML
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  7. #7  
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    Below are the Champ MLB Betting System picks for Friday the 12th:

    Phillies {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is a confirmed official betting series.

    Mets {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is a confirmed official betting series.

    Blue Jays {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is only an unofficial betting series because it does not pass the RPI filter.




    As with all bets under the Champ MLB Betting System, remember that if the {A** bet does not win, please automatically go to the {B** bet the next day, and same with the potential {C** bet the day after.

    By the way, the full documented record of the Champ MLB Betting System over the years can be viewed here.




    All the best,
    The Champ Team
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  8. #8  
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    BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (JULY 12)

    The model has 3 totals and 1 sides. The model has 1 games with a side and total play in the same game.
    903 .5* WAS -122
    904 .5* WAS/PHI u9 +105
    906 .5* NYM/MIA u8 -110
    928 .5* CHW/OAK u9 -110

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  9. #9  
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    ROB VENOBASEBALL PLAYS

    Game: (901) Pittsburgh Pirates at (902) Chicago Cubs
    Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 2:20 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Total Over 9.5 (-113)

    View Analysis

    Game: (903) Washington Nationals at (904) Philadelphia Phillies
    Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 6:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Washington Nationals -1.5 (+115)

    View Analysis

    Game: (919) Minnesota Twins at (920) Cleveland Indians
    Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 7:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Cleveland Indians -136

    View Analysis

    Game: (913) Atlanta Braves at (914) San Diego Padres
    Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 10:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: San Diego Padres -104

    View Analysis
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  10. #10  
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    SPORTS DATA QUERY GROUP



    Game: (903) Washington Nationals at (904) Philadelphia Phillies
    Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 6:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Washington Nationals -136

    View Analysis

    LISTED PITCHERS
    Game: (917) Tampa Bay Rays at (918) Baltimore Orioles
    Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 7:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Tampa Bay Rays -156

    View Analysis

    LISTED PITCHERS
    Game: (911) Cincinnati Reds at (912) Colorado Rockies
    Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 8:40 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
    Play Rating: 5%
    Play: Colorado Rockies -126

    View Analysis

    In their last two games before the break, the Reds lost 7-2 and 11-1. In their 11-1 loss, they combined to strand 20 baserunners. Cincinnati has not recovered well in this spot. The Reds are 0-8 SU as a road dog after a home game in which their hit-to-run ratio was higher than 2.75 and they are on at least a two-game losing streak. Cincinnati lost every one of the eight games by multiple runs and the average final score was 6.125 runs to 1.875 runs.
    Jon Gray is off a sub-par outing. He went five innings and allowed eight hits and two walks. Some pitchers have trouble after a poor outing and others are focused and sharp. In his career, the Rockies are a perfect 12-0 at home with Jon Gray when he is off a start in which he had a WHIP higher than 1.80.
    Colorado has won these dozen games by an average of 4.58 runs.
    The Rockies are also 7-0 SU with rest as a home favorite in the first game of a series when they blew a lead in their starters the last start and lost, 8-0 SU as a favorite over an NL foe after they had six or fewer team-left-on-base, and 6-0 SU as a favorite after a loss in which they never led.
    The Rockies are indeed on a long losing streak, and this is giving us huge line value. They are at home and ready to start picking up ground in the NFL wild-card race. Lay the short price with a starter that will take responsibility for getting his team to 500 on the season.
    Game: (913) Atlanta Braves at (914) San Diego Padres
    Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 10:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Atlanta Braves -103

    View Analysis

    LISTED PITCHERS
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  11. #11  
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    Greg shaker
    3* Boston / LA DODGERS under 11
    2* St.louis -114
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  12. #12  
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    Any +ev bets?
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  13. #13  
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    Paul Leiner

    Three MLB Picks 6/12

    100*Rays -145
    100* Marlins -110
    100* Over 9 Indians/Twins
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  14. #14  
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    +EV: MLB 4u: 911 Cincinnati Reds +112 (S Gray | J Gray) (Friday, July 12th)

    +EV: MLB 4u: 929 Los Angeles Dodgers -110 (K Maeda | E Rodriguez) (Friday, July 12th)

    +EV: MLB 4u: 918 Baltimore Orioles +135 (Y Chirinos | D Bundy) (Friday, July 12th)

    +EV: MLB 4u: 903 Washington Nationals -133 (S Strasburg | N Pivetta) (Friday, July 12th)

    +EV: MLB 4u: 909 Arizona Diamondbacks +111 (R Ray | A Wainwright) (Friday, July 12th)
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  15. #15  
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    Miller locks

    7:05 pm est mlb
    toronto blue jays vs. New york yankees

    pick: New york yankees -1.5 (-153)

    risk: 11 units

    7:10 pm est mlb
    los angeles dodgers vs. Boston red sox

    pick: Los angeles dodgers (+104)

    risk: 11 units

    7:10 pm est mlb
    minnesota twins vs. Cleveland indians

    pick: Minnesota twins (+121)

    risk: 11 units

    10:10 pm est mlb
    atlanta braves vs. San diego padres

    pick: San diego padres (-105)

    risk: 11 units
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  16. #16  
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    Dirty Bear Sports

    MLB:
    BAL F5 +.5 -110

    MLB Season: 65-69-7 49% -31.05 units (L14: 9-2 82% +20.70 units)
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  17. #17  
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    thx for this. also stephen OH picks? and whats happen to WISEGUY picks?
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  18. #18  
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    ANDRE GOMES
    3* San Diego / Atlanta over 9
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  19. #19  
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    Sleepyj
    3* Kansas City -137
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  20. #20  
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    +EV: WNBA 4u: 602 Indiana Fever +2.5 -105 (Friday, July 12th)

    +EV: WNBA 4u: 604 Atlanta Dream +2.5 -105 (Friday, July 12th)

    +EV: WNBA 4u: 606 PHO/CON un153.5 -110 (Friday, July 12th)

    +EV: WNBA 4u: 608 NYL/CHI un163 -105 (Friday, July 12th)

    +EV: MLB 4u: 925 Seattle Mariners +145 (1st 5 Innings) (M Leake ° T Cole) (Friday, July 12th)
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  21. #21  
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    Stephen Oh

    Tampa Bay -150
    Colorado Under 12
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  22. #22  
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    Augie J - Braves

    Philly Guy - Cubs (W) Cardinals Rockies
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  23. #23  
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    Seabass : 300 Rockies game under , 400 braves , 400 dbacks
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  24. #24  
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    DR. CHUCK

    BASEBALL PLAYS

    Game: (915) Toronto Blue Jays at (916) New York Yankees
    Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 7:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: William Hill
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: New York Yankees -1.5 (-150)

    View Analysis

    Sanchez v. German

    .239 ISO

    48 wRC

    14.7 wRAA

    .385 wOBA

    140 wRC+

    That's the Yankees metric stats over the last month at home against RHP. Yep...that is all before figuring into the equation they face at home, the MLB's worst starter going...he walks OVER 5 batters per 9 innings, has an FIP/xFIP split of 5.56/5.33.

    His Last 2 road starts he allowed 15 runs in 8 innings and one of those was a previous slaughter at the hands of these Yanks!



    -150 is a big price....but the VALUE is almost wild stuff the RL is this cheap!

    Game: (909) Arizona Diamondbacks at (910) St. Louis Cardinals
    Date/Time: Jul 12 2019 8:15 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Arizona Diamondbacks +112

    View Analysis

    Ray v. Wainwright

    Something sure does smell with this line with the Cards at home and the long time ace on the mound, starting off first game after the break. Public team with very public name pitcher and such a short line against the basically unknown Dbacks and a guy named Robbie.Ray...screams to me Vegas is scared shitless at being overly liable with the Dbacks. Lo and behold...the money comes pouring in on AZ...us as well!

    The Cards haven't hit lefties well recently...and even worse...have had very few opportunities at all over the past month oddly enough. No team has fewer PAs in the past few weeks and no team has been less productive in those trips to the dish. This would be a spot we'd normally focus on a first 5 inning wager...but the added benefit here is NO TEAM has been worse against right handed pitching during that same period...amassing -12.3 wRAA in fact!

    The line movement, the pitching matchup, the hitting factors, and finally...no starter gets less run support than Waino! Not normally something I love bringing into a solid cap, but once it's over a 20 start period it starts to mean something...for whatever reason his lineup has scored 25 runs for him total on the year...2.4 runs per 9 innings! Ridiculous futility and adds to the value of the better team at plus money.

    Last system= home chalk inside -120 with a worse record than the road foe on the season are just 27-34 SU
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  25. #25  
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    LV Wolf


    over 11 NYY
    2% clev -145
    1st 5 cinncy +125
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