Saturday service play thread July 20, 2019

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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

Please do not post Twitter plays or forum member plays in this thread.

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Tony Chau John Morrison

Chicago White Sox {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is only an unofficial betting series because it does not pass the RPI filter. Winner yesterday


Seattle Mariners {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is only an unofficial betting series because it does not pass the RPI filter.
Winner yesterday

Baltimore Orioles {A** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is only an unofficial betting series because it does not pass the RPI filter.
Winner yesterday

Kansas City Royals {B*** Bet on the +1.5 Run Line - This is only an unofficial betting series because it does not pass the RPI filter.


Remember that unofficial bets are not counted in the official recordkeeping. If you choose to bet on unofficial bets, then note that if the {A** bet does not win, you should automatically move onto the {B** bet the next day on the same team, and again with the potential {C** bet.
 

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+EV: MLB 4u: 920 Baltimore Orioles +175 (R Porcello | T Eshelman) (Saturday, July 20th)

+EV: MLB 4u: 921 Oakland Athletics +130 (B Anderson | J Berrios) (Saturday, July 20th)

+EV: UFC 4u: Ben Rothwell -180 (UFC on ESPN 4) (Saturday, July 20th)

+EV: MLB 4u: 923 Kansas City Royals +158 (J Junis | A Plutko) (Saturday, July 20th)

+EV:UFC (Saturday)
Bautista ML (+175)
 

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STEPHEN NOVER
2* Edmonton -5.5
2* Montreal / Edmonton over -54
2* Detroit +112
 

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MLB (Bob Balfe)
8:10 PM EST
Rotation #911-912
Diamondbacks -135 over Brewers
Greinke/Gonzalez
 

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DWAYNE BRYANT BASEBALL PLAYS

GUARANTEED! 5% MLB O/U SYSTEM MAX BET
Game: (923) Kansas City Royals at (924) Cleveland Indians
Date/Time: Jul 20 2019 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: William Hill
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 11.0 (-105)

View Analysis

7:10 PM ET -- MLB

923 Kansas City Royals
924 Cleveland Indians

PLAY: OVER 11 (-105)

BET SIZE: 5%

List Junis & Plutko

5% play at 11 or lower
No play above 11

PSA: 5% MAX BET does NOT mean bet all the money you have. It also does NOT mean bet money you don't have. It simply means 5% of your bankroll is the most we will ever bet on any single play, and that is what we are betting on this one. BE SMART! BET SMART!

DB's THOUGHTS:

Another game in Ohio where the weather will be very conducive to runs. Again, the ball should travel very well with a temp in the 90s, high humidity, and a feels-like temp over 100.

Jakob Junis has put together back-to-back Quality Starts in which he last 7 innings both times (rare for him) and allowed a combined 3 runs. Junis has had trouble getting to a third consecutive Quality Start, and tonight's opponent figures to provide more trouble.

The Indians own a solid .47 BB/K ratio, and they've hit Junis very well (.350 BA, .973 OPS, .417 wOBA). Factor in Junis' sky-high 28% HR/FB rate on the road, and it figures to be a short, tough night for the KC righty.

Adam Plutko certainly won't be winning a Cy Young award any time soon. His 6.13 xFIP at home is awful, and his 21.3% HR/FB rate at home is pathetic as well. KC's hitters didn't do much against Plutko the first time they faced him this season, so I expect them to make some adjustments for tonight's rematch. Hey, if the Detroit hitters could put 5 runs on Plutko in their second go-round against him this season, then anyone can.

The only drawback here is a solid Indians bullpen. KC's pen, with the league's #24 xFIP and #28 K/BB ratio, should be good for some late runs.

PLAY OVER.
 

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Miller locks

1:05 pm est mlb
colorado rockies vs. New york yankees

pick: New york yankees -1.5 (-148)

risk: 11 units

4:05 pm est mlb
new york mets vs. San francisco giants

pick: San francisco giants (-142)

risk: 11 units

7:10 pm est mlb
st. Louis cardinals vs. Cincinnati reds

pick: Cincinnati reds (-130)

risk: 11 units

7:20 pm est mlb
washington nationals vs. Atlanta braves

pick: Atlanta braves (-158)

risk: 11 units

8:10 pm est mlb
milwaukee brewers vs. Arizona diamondbacks

pick: Arizona diamondbacks (-137)

risk: 11 units
 

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Arizona ml
San Francisco ml
Oakland ml

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Arizona ml
San Francisco ml
Toranto ml
Tampa Bay ml

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[h=2]BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (JULY 20)[/h]The model has 1 totals and 4 sides. The model has 1 games with a side and total play in the same game.
901 .5* SDP +115
903 .5* NYM +115
903 .5* NYM/SFG o8.5 -115
909 .67* WAS +143
922 .5* MIN -142

7-20_MLB_Betting_Projections-1024x473.png
[FONT=&quot][/FONT]
 

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port port sports

saturday's platinum plays!!



san francisco giants (-150)
atlanta braves (-155)
under 9 new york mets @ san francisco giants (-115)
over 9 milwaukee brewers @ arizona diamondbacks (-105)
over 11 kansas city royals @ cleveland indians (-105)
arizona diamondbacks (-135)
under 8 miami marlins @ los angeles dodgers (+100)
over 9.5 st. Louis cardinals @ cincinnati reds (-105)
philadelphia phillies (+115)
 

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Seabass : 400 reds , 400 dbacks , 400 Phillies game over , 400 twins game over , 400 white Sox game under
 

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