Saturday Service Play Thread 7/27/2019

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Let's go Brandon!
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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Let's go Brandon!
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STEPHEN NOVER

2*
B.c.+2.5


3*underdog of the mouth
Miami +108


2*
Houston-1.5(-101)
 

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Spartan

3*GOY
Houston -1.5(-114)
 

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Stephen Oh

OAKLAND -170


TEXAS @ OAKLAND | 7/27 | 9:07 PM EDT
7:28 AM
Oakland has been a profitable pick this year overall (+461), at home (+140) and as a home favorite (+139). They've been a great play (+818) when facing pitching staffs with an ERA over 4.20, which is what they'll see against the Rangers. The Athletics win almost 70 percent of simulations, making them a strong play even as the heavy favorites.

127-82 IN LAST 209 MLB ML PICKS | +4225
23-13 IN LAST 36 OAK ML PICKS | +1010

19-13 IN LAST 32 TEX ML PICKS | +946


CHI. CUBS +101


CHI. CUBS @ MILWAUKEE | 7/27 | 7:10 PM EDT
7:25 AM
The model is projecting Jon Lester to have a strong start, giving up about five hits and two runs over six innings. The Cubs are 12-7 when Lester starts this year, while the Brewers are just 7-8 with Chase Anderson on the hill. The model likes the Cubs almost 60 percent of the time straight-up, so lock them in as a value play.

127-82 IN LAST 209 MLB ML PICKS | +4225
12-7 IN LAST 19 CHC ML PICKS | +384

11-7 IN LAST 18 MIL ML PICKS | +367


PHILADELPHIA +111


ATLANTA @ PHILADELPHIA | 7/27 | 7:05 PM EDT
7:19 AM
The Braves got the upper-hand in the first game, but the recent trends favor the Phillies. They've won five of seven overall, while the Braves have lost six out of nine. These teams have split their 10 games thus far, and my model has Philadelphia winning more than 50 percent of simulations despite being the underdog, so take advantage of that value.

127-82 IN LAST 209 MLB ML PICKS | +4225
7-0 IN LAST 7 ATL ML PICKS | +700

6-1 IN LAST 7 PHI ML PICKS | +453
 

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+EV: MLB 4u: 957 Pittsburgh Pirates +145 (T Williams | S Matz) (Saturday, July 27th)

+EV: MLB 4u: 959 Chicago Cubs +109 (J Lester | C Anderson) (Saturday, July 27th)

+EV: MLB 4u: 952 Washington Nationals +165 (K Kershaw) (Untick J Ross must start) (Saturday, July 27th)

+EV: MLB 4u: 972 Chicago White Sox +158 (M Perez | I Nova) (Saturday, July 27th)

+EV: UFC 2u: Cristiane Justino / Felicia Spencer un1.5 -175 (UFC 240) (Saturday, July 27th)
 

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King creole

3*
Minnesota / Chicago whitesox over 10.5
 

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+EV: UFC 2u: Seungwoo Choi +140 (UFC 240) (Saturday, July 27th)

+EV: UFC 2u: Seungwoo Choi +140 (UFC 240) (Saturday, July 27th) (Adding another 2u - this is now a 4u position)

+EV: UFC 4u: Gillian Robertson -112 (UFC 240) (Saturday, July 27th)
 

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BEN BURNS

3*
B.c.+3
 

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Zack*Cimini

CONTRARIAN WITH CHUTZPAH



*ATL -125

ATL @ PHI*|*7/27*|*4:05 PM PDT

The Phillies dropped their first game of a home series between the Braves Friday night. The win sparked a Braves team that had been slumping having lost six of eight. Expect the Phillies' main weakness of their bullpen to be another disadvantage Saturday. Phillies pitcher Zach Eflin has struggled in his last handful of starts, which included a three-inning six earned run outing against Atlanta. Grab the Braves as solid road favorites Saturday.

*7-3-1 IN LAST 11 MLB PICKS*|*+489

5-0 IN LAST 5 PHI ML PICKS*|*+500

15-10 IN LAST 25 ATL ML PICKS*|*+361



Zack*Cimini

CONTRARIAN WITH CHUTZPAH



*HOU -193

HOU @ STL*|*7/27*|*4:15 PM PDT

The Astros could not stop the Cardinals momentum Friday as their win streak extended to six games. Overall the Cardinals have now won 15 of their last 20 games to take over the lead in the NL Central. Look for that to be short-lived Saturday as the Astros will be led by dominant ace Gerrit Cole. Cole has not lost a start since May 22 and has thrown double-digit strikeouts in three straight games. Grab the Astros.

*7-3-1 IN LAST 11 MLB PICKS*|*+489

11-8 IN LAST 19 HOU ML PICKS*|*+205



Zack*Cimini

CONTRARIAN WITH CHUTZPAH



*OVER 8

ARI @ MIA*|*7/27*|*3:10 PM PDT

Both the Marlins and Diamondbacks had issues generating hits and offense Friday. Saturday that should change facing two pitchers with a combined 12 starts. Jordan Yammatto of the Marlins and Alex Young of the Diamondbacks are both coming off shaky quick outings. Although the Marlins have scored three runs or less in five straight games look for hitting not to be an issue Saturday. Grab the over (-103).

*7-3-1 IN LAST 11 MLB PICKS*|*+489

4-1 IN LAST 5 MIA O/U PICKS*|*+301
 

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MLB (Bob Balfe)
6:10 PM EST
Rotation #953-954
Diamondbacks -120 over Marlins
Young/Yamamoto
The Diamondbacks blew the game last night to the Marlins by allowing 2 runs in the bottom of the 9th. Miami is a team that does not give the home crowd much to cheer for so it was a good moment for the few people that were there at the game. Arizona is a better team in all phase. The DBacks have the better starting pitcher, the better bullpen and more talent with their bats. This Arizona team is looking like us right now. Trying to stay above .500. Take the Diamondbacks.
 

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Green Bay Monster Sports 18-4 on top rated plays - early weekend release Red Sox -130
 

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Tony Chau aka John Morrison Sports Betting Champ

{B** San Diego ML Official
[B** Toronto +1.5 Unofficial
 

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Miller locks

4:05 pm est mlb
new york yankees vs. Boston red sox

pick: Over 11.5 (-114)

risk: 11 units

4:10 pm est mlb
detroit tigers vs. Seattle mariners

pick: Under 9 (-106)

risk: 11 units

6:10 pm est mlb
arizona diamondbacks vs. Miami marlins

pick: Under 7.5 (+103)

risk: 11 units

9:07 pm est mlb
texas rangers vs. Oakland athletics

pick: Under 9.5 (-103)

risk: 11 units
 

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Washington Pitching Change. Joe Ross has been scratched from Saturday's start and Matt Grace is now expected to start
 

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Dwayne Bryant

2-for-1 MLB TOTALS SYSTEM

4% D'Backs-Marlins under 8 (-120)

4% play at 8 or higher
3% play at 7.5
No play below 7.5


4% Braves-Philies over 10
4% play at 10 or less
3% play at 10.5
No play above 10.5
 

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