Thursday Service Play Thread 8/01/2019

bmd1803 · Jul 31, 2019

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bmd1803 · Jul 31, 2019

+EV: MLB 4u: 911 Tampa Bay Rays +140 (B McKay | A Cashner) (Thursday, August 1st)

+EV: MLB 4u: 914 Cleveland Indians +174 (G Cole | D Salazar) (Thursday, August 1st)

+EV: MLB 4u: 904 St. Louis Cardinals -122 (J Lester | J Flaherty) (Thursday, August 1st)

+EV: MLB 4u: 906 CIN/ATL un9.5 -110 (A DeSclafani | M Fried) (Thursday, August 1st)

+EV: MLB 4u: 916 Miami Marlins +145 (M Pineda | J Yamamoto) (Thursday, August 1st)

bmd1803 · Aug 1, 2019

Stephen Oh

CHI. CUBS +112

CHI. CUBS @ ST. LOUIS | 8/01 | 7:15 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:53 PM
My projections see the Cubs toppling the rival Cardinals nearly 60 percent of the time in their Thursday clash, giving us major value on the slight road underdog. My simulations have Chicago winning this matchup 59 percent of the time. My data gives Chicago the edge behind veteran left Jon Lester. The Cubs are 7-2 when he starts Game of a series and 6-2 in his past eight outings against St. Louis.

128-88 IN LAST 216 MLB ML PICKS | +3499
24-12 IN LAST 36 STL ML PICKS | +1321

12-8 IN LAST 20 CHC ML PICKS | +283

MIAMI +142

MINNESOTA @ MIAMI | 8/01 | 12:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 9:47 PM
My projections have the Marlins beating the Twins more than half the time in their Thursday meeting, providing a massive overlay on the sizable home underdog. My simulations have Miami winning 52 percent of the time. Miami starter Jordan Yamamoto has bee solid of late, and he is 2-1 with a 2.68 ERA in four daytime starts. The Twins are on an 8-15 spurt in interleague contests.

128-88 IN LAST 216 MLB ML PICKS | +3499
18-11 IN LAST 29 MIN ML PICKS | +745

20-16 IN LAST 36 MIA ML PICKS | +556

bmd1803 · Aug 1, 2019

Johnny Bollman

BOSTON -134

TAMPA BAY @ BOSTON | 8/01 | 7:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:17 PM
Andrew Kittridge will be opening for Jalen Beeks who has a 3.61 ERA this season. In his one outing against the Red Sox this season, he gave up eight earned runs in 3.2 IP. Rick Porcello is 9-7 with a 5.55 ERA this season and 6-4 with a 5.06 ERA at home. In his two starts against the Rays, he has pitched 5.2 innings giving up two earned runs and six innings giving up four earned runs. The Red Sox have the ninth highest OPS in the league against lefties and they are 13-8 when Porcello starts.

96-62 IN LAST 158 MLB ML PICKS | +1783

bmd1803 · Aug 1, 2019

FEZZIK

2* Denver +1

I don't understand how Atl can be favored here. ATl's coach Quinn does not care about the preseason, and I think this is just a bad opener.

Denver should be favored......

Update, Den now IS favored -130. At that price I would pass the game (lean Denver).

Pick Made: Jul 26 2019 9:24AM PST

bmd1803 · Aug 1, 2019

JR ODONNELL

3* Atlanta +2

Analysis:
FALCONS THE SHARPIE BOYS ........ STAY ALL OVER THE DIRTY BIRDS ...
LINE TO PLUS 3 ...STAY ON IT... HEAVY WE GO FALCONS + 3
3* H O F BLAST TO THE FALCONS + 2 AS THE NASTY NASTY SIDE
POWER RATED @ ATLANTA - 4.5 POINTS

HEAVY ON THE DIRTY BIRDS

HUGE PLAY

ALL THE BEST GANG

Pick Made: Jul 28 2019 5:11PM PST

bmd1803 · Aug 1, 2019

DAVE ESSLER

3* St. Louis -125

1* Denver -140

bmd1803 · Aug 1, 2019

SPARTAN

2* Chicago Cubs +110

Rabid Dog release!

bmd1803 · Aug 1, 2019

ROCKY ATKINSON

3* Tampa Bay +119

bmd1803 · Aug 1, 2019

KING CREOLE

2* Philadelphia / San Francisco over 9.5

bmd1803 · Aug 1, 2019

STEPHEN NOVER

3* Saskatchewan -2.5

bmd1803 · Aug 1, 2019

BEN BURNS

3* Boston -125

bmd1803 · Aug 1, 2019

bmd1803 said:
FEZZIK

2* Denver +1

I don't understand how Atl can be favored here. ATl's coach Quinn does not care about the preseason, and I think this is just a bad opener.

Denver should be favored......

Update, Den now IS favored -130. At that price I would pass the game (lean Denver).

Pick Made: Jul 26 2019 9:24AM PST

2* St.louis / Chicago Cubs under 8.5

2* Miami / Minnesota under 8

2* St.louis -125

hanhnibal · Aug 1, 2019

bmd1803 said:
FEZZIK

2* Denver +1

I don't understand how Atl can be favored here. ATl's coach Quinn does not care about the preseason, and I think this is just a bad opener.

Denver should be favored......

Update, Den now IS favored -130. At that price I would pass the game (lean Denver).

Pick Made: Jul 26 2019 9:24AM PST

which game is this?

sailfish · Aug 1, 2019

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

NFL Hall of Fame Game

hanhnibal · Aug 1, 2019

any basewinner picks for today?

sailfish · Aug 1, 2019

Las Vegas Wolf
Phills over 10 (-120)

pjoyce5893 · Aug 1, 2019

CleInsiderSports (2-3 L3 days)

MLB
Rays ML (+115)
Blue Jays/Orioles OVER 10.5

pjoyce5893 · Aug 1, 2019

Vince Akins (7-5 L3 days)

MLB Trend Plays
2x Dodgers ML (-210)
Twins ML (-160)
Astros/Indians OVER 8.5

bmd1803 · Aug 1, 2019

DR, CHUCK

Game: (901) San Francisco Giants at (902) Philadelphia Phillies
Date/Time: Aug 1 2019 1:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Heritage
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Over 10.0 (-108)

View Analysis

Rodriguez v. Arrieta
The Giants locked themselves IN last night...and the Phillies just HAVE to be better than this! Early start get away day for both squads and the pitching matchup features Jake Arrieta with the better metrics facing DRod...who was swell in his last outing...after his 3 previous stints as a starter had an xFIP over 7!
Early value on this at 10 where I think it may move up!