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Thread: Saturday Service Play Thread 8/03/2019

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  1. #51  
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    Quote Originally Posted by bmd1803 View Post
    DR. CHUCK


    Game: (901) Milwaukee Brewers at (902) Chicago Cubs
    Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 2:20 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: 1H Total Under 5.0 (-110)

    View Analysis

    Gonzalez v. Hamels
    Slight to no wind at 5mph or so inward to the 3rd baseline, Lance Barksdale behind the plate...the pitcher's umpire of umpires on today's slate. 8 total runs allowed in his Wrigley games this season...3 and 5 and with Atlanta and LAD visiting, 2 of the top 5 teams in runs per game.
    Hamels is exemplary at home and Gio just shut the Cubs down hard last time out...including 9 Ks and with a first 5 play we avoid and RHP for the most part as well as in a spot that feels so Under we get the full basic 9/5 total split....and that SPELLS VALUE!
    Thanks for posting. Saw this write up, agreed 100% and it was an easy win. I also took the no score 1st inning and got that too. Not sure his record but today’s write up was dead on.
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  2. #52  
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    +EV: MLB 4u: 919 Los Angeles Angels +140 (F Pena | A Plutko) (Saturday, August 3rd)
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  3. #53  
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    Alex Smart

    Phillies -1.5

    Athletics
    Reds/Braves under
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  4. #54  
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    Tony Finn

    NL GOM

    5% Mets
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  5. #55  
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    Football Jesus FREE pick SAT : CFL stampeders, 6-0 so far free Football picks, had OTT & over fri
    Last edited by ryangenero; 08-03-2019 at 05:21 PM. Reason: typo cfl
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  6. #56  
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    DR. CHUCK



    Game: (903) New York Mets at (904) Pittsburgh Pirates
    Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 7:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: William Hill
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: 1H New York Mets -135

    View Analysis

    Stroman v. Archer
    It's STROMAN TIME! The first big domino to drop may also have been the most confusing...but then Wheeler and Thor didn't get moved and now the Mets move toward the playoff stretch with a shot....and more importantly...a rotation of DeGrom, Thor, Wheeler, Matz, Stroman...arguable they overtook the Nats for best top to bottom rotation in the NL East!
    Stroman is having extremely mixed feelings...but is a stud on the mound for any team. He is better on the road! He has been much better since July 1st than he even was prior to July...and prior to July he led the AL in ERA! Similar to Bauer he is also given the gift of moving to the league where he'll face the pitcher every 3rd inning at worst!
    The Mets basically announced they are gonna come for the playoffs this season as well as future seasons...and following a loss to the reeeeeeling Buccos it is hard to imagine they lose back to back games...especially...

    With Chris Archer on the mound!...most recently of losing almost all potential street credibility getting trampled and looking laughable in the brawl...tumbling quickly they succumbing to feisty Sonny Gray followed by Puig! Chris Archer ain't no match for Marcus Stroman and this first 5 price is quite excellent....we will of course need the Mets to gets the bats going...but I feel like the motivation might be big at the start!



    Game: (921) Seattle Mariners at (922) Houston Astros
    Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 7:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Houston Astros -1.5 (-113)

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    Gonzales v. Sanchez
    My personal favorite play of the day...for so many reasons....and tonight's slate is loaded with AWESOME spots! We have Marco in an 0-4 lifetime spot traveling to Houston...1-3 on the RL but solid. return. We have the Stros in an 11-4 RL spot for over 40% ROI. Correa is still back and the Astros bats are striking out at a near record setting miniscule pace...7% of at bats the past 2 weeks against LHP!!
    Who'd a thunk! Aaron Sanchez....the subject of possibly the largest of amount of 2019 MLB betting ire...now is the anchor of the prohibitive favorite to win the series! Yep, same guy we faded recently and wrote about the borderline phenomenal fall from grace...top ERA, top 5 Cy Young voting, and cover of Canadian version of MLB '18! Fast forward to 2019 and we have a record being set for consecutive losses and losing 14 decisions of 17 starts etc! The dude has a change of scenery! Maybe the best scenery available...and if he can get right mentally he is flat out DANGEROUS. This is gonna be nasty for the M's tonight because they are almost certainly gonna get the goods goods and get fooled by the worst statistical pitcher in the league!
    Astros career starts with a Big Bang




    Game: (907) Washington Nationals at (908) Arizona Diamondbacks
    Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 8:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Washington Nationals -133

    View Analysis


    Strasburg v. Ray
    Unbelievable price and a super rare amazing system that draws Stephen Strasburg tonight! Going back 5 years I have a play that has only occurred 14 times and 13 of those road teams win for close to 40% ROI!
    Let's go SS....cash that and take lame duck still a Dback Robbie Ray down in the process!
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  7. #57  
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    Any one have MIT simulator?
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  8. #58  
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    DR. CHUCK BASKETBALL PLAYS

    Game: (627) Minnesota Lynx at (628) Indiana Fever
    Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 7:00 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 2%
    Play: 1H Indiana Fever 1.5 (-110)


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  9. #59  
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    DR. CHUCK

    Game 917) Boston Red Sox at (918) New York Yankees
    Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 7:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Boston Red Sox 5.5 (+106)

    View Analysis

    Johnson v. Action pitcher
    They ain't going down like this!!!



    Game: (919) Los Angeles Angels at (920) Cleveland Indians
    Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 7:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: William Hill
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Los Angeles Angels +125

    View Analysis

    Pitcher v. Plutko
    Whoa buddy is this a confusing line...guess I'll be that guy that takes the bait here and jumps in...I would also play the first 5 line here as well...Plutko steps in and fills a rotation spot but his 5.72 xFIP is as bad as it comes if he were qualified for full fledged rankings. He flat out doesn't have a get out of trouble pitch and is not adept at getting swings and misses already facing the lineup that is best at limiting Ks. His 17% HR/FB rate with damn near 50% of contacting being fly ball should spell quick and steady doom and an even series by the end of the 9th tonight!



    Game: (919) Los Angeles Angels at (920) Cleveland Indians
    Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 7:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: William Hill
    Play Rating: 2%
    Play: 1H Los Angeles Angels +110
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  10. #60  
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    Marco D'Angelo

    5% Rockies
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  11. #61  
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    Seabass : 300 lynx , 300 sky , 300 Vegas , 700 Vegas game Under , 700 Calgary , 1000 * Calgary game Under , 500 Mets , 500 Mets game under , 700 orioles game under , 500 tigers game over , 400 reds game over
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  12. #62  
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    Oskeim Sports (Wagertalk)


    Game: (929) Chicago White Sox at (930) Philadelphia Phillies
    Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 7:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Westgate
    Play Rating: 5%
    Play: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-130)
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  13. #63  
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    Green Bay Monster sports 21-11 on top rated releases - tonight late gold release twins rl
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  14. #64  
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    Laugher
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  15. #65  
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    Sad sack of sh__ Phillies cannot close a Ziploc. Phillies SUCK, always have (Braves own them). Any Philly fans on here? Your team is #1 most overrated in MLB.

    Great pick, but horrible pitching staff that consistently blows leads in the 9th. Should have known it would be a loser.


    Quote Originally Posted by bmd1803 View Post
    Oskeim Sports (Wagertalk)


    Game: (929) Chicago White Sox at (930) Philadelphia Phillies
    Date/Time: Aug 3 2019 7:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Westgate
    Play Rating: 5%
    Play: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-130)
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  16. #66  
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    ^^^^^^

    White Sox
    2 outs and 2 strikes and F.....
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  17. #67  
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    Cannot find where these guys had a losing day in any previous posts. Anyone tracking?
    Desert Sports also...rough day where most of the Favs won.


    Quote Originally Posted by mcmister View Post
    BASEWINNER MLB BETTING PROJECTIONS (AUGUST 3)

    The model has 3 sides and 1 total. There is 1 games with a side and total in the same game. 905 .5* CIN +120 921 .33* SEA +183925 .5* DET -102 926 .5* DET/TEX u10 +100


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  18. #68  
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    Quote Originally Posted by bigboy19 View Post
    Green Bay Monster sports 21-11 on top rated releases - tonight late gold release twins rl

    This’s real gold
    Thanks for your contributions
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  19. #69  
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    Fezzik early picks

    nfl preseason —I will post

    Week1
    3* GB +3.5/4
    2* Jax +4

    3* Under 8.5 Houston
    Over 7.5 Carolina
    Under 6 Oak

    Of course lines have changed ,,
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