Forum: Service Plays Forum - Only Daily Service Play Threads Allowed in This Forum. Do not post your own private plays here.
Sponsored by Cappers File

Thread: Tuesday Service Play Thread 8/06/2019

Page 2 of 2 FirstFirst 12
  1. #26  
    RX Local bmd1803's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2015
    Location
    usa
    Posts
    22,022
    DR. CHUCK

    Game: (963) New York Yankees at (964) Baltimore Orioles
    Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 7:05 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: New York Yankees -1.5 (-138)

    View Analysis

    Action v. Wojciechowski
    Yanks mashed 5 home runs in the series opener last night and most likely putting together a bullpen game tonight with Jonathan Holder starting it off after a stint back in AAA. Carlos Torres is behind the plate tonight, and while already being a boon for the road team in any game he umpires, he also is the best Over bet going in today's crews. He has also umpired the Yankees on the road 3 times already this season and in all 3 the Yanks won on the road and covering the run line each time winning by 4 and 4 and 2 all over division rivals as well in Boston, Toronto, and Baltimore.
    Asher had shut down teams twice in a row in 2 starts and faltered a good bit in his last outing...and now is rewarded with the Yankees mash unit! Good chance LeMahieu is back at 1st and basically the lineup from 1 through 9 can take this man deep each and every time to the plate...looking to extend the Camden Yards barrage to 14 straight games in this rivalry when the O's are in their friendly confines.


    Game: (977) Atlanta Braves at (978) Minnesota Twins
    Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 8:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: 1H Minnesota Twins -0.5 (-115)

    View Analysis

    Foltynewicz v. Berrios
    So Folty couldn't stop giving up bombs...they sent him down and he was miraculously cured by the International League and he gets to make his first start in 6 weeks...on the road...against the team with the MLB HR lead...by a LARGE margin...and even more HR at home facing LHP than the Rockies at Coors!
    Snitker had seen enough of Gauman after 3 starts back from the AAA stint and sure makes ya wonder if this is a coincidence that unfortunate for Folty or if he is being massively set up for failure!
    Berrios is solid and has even gotten a smidge better the last month than he was even prior...and should be able to skate by the Braves lineup on the road tonight as he has struck out more hitters, allowed less HR, and improved his LOB% all since the start of July compared to the previous 3 months. The Twinkies lineup will feature 3 left handed hitters facing the Braves hopefully resurgent starter, but only Max Kepler as the leadoff hitter presents even the slightest bit of a liability in this instance...as both Eddie Rosario and Luis Arraez will not be platooned for a reason, the former even with a better wOBA than facing RHP...especially at home.
    For the hot hitting Twins to lay such a miniscule amount on the first 5 to be ahead by a run or more is the VALUE of the day. This bet is in large amounts due to not buying this is AT ALL the spot to let Folty make his return...and if he isn't being set up to fail by Brian Snitker then he is outsmarting the room and that includes us on the play tonight!
    Reply With Quote  
     

  2. #27  
    RX Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2018
    Location
    Moon
    Posts
    87
    would be awesome if someone can put miller lock picks here
    Reply With Quote  
     

  3. #28  
    RX Local bmd1803's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2015
    Location
    usa
    Posts
    22,022
    Miller locks

    7:05 pm est mlb
    milwaukee brewers vs. Pittsburgh pirates

    pick: Milwaukee brewers (-145)

    risk: 11 units

    7:10 pm est mlb
    texas rangers vs. Cleveland indians

    pick: Cleveland indians -1.5 (-113)

    risk: 11 units

    8:10 pm est mlb
    colorado rockies vs. Houston astros

    pick: Houston astros -1.5 (-109)

    risk: 11 units

    8:10 pm est mlb
    atlanta braves vs. Minnesota twins

    pick: Over 10 (-109)

    risk: 11 units

    10:10 pm est mlb
    st. Louis cardinals vs. Los angeles dodgers

    pick: St. Louis cardinals +1.5 (-109)

    risk: 11 units
    Reply With Quote  
     

  4. #29  
    RX Local bmd1803's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2015
    Location
    usa
    Posts
    22,022
    DR. CHUCK

    Game: (955) Philadelphia Phillies at (956) Arizona Diamondbacks
    Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 9:40 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Westgate
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: 1H Arizona Diamondbacks -140

    View Analysis

    Arrieta v. Leake
    Leake is certainly the tortoise to much of the league's starters hare: he isn't a 'big' name, he doesn't strike a ton of guys out...47 in 64 innings since June started, he doesn't walk many guys at all at just 5 walks in last 10 starts, and he is steady to the point of very few earned runs considering his velocity and inability to blow ANYONE away...just 27 ER in last 64.1 innings...almost always worth the money he costs and never more than a 3rd-ish spot in the rotation guy He nearly had a perfect game for the woeful Mariners before becoming a consolation prize for the Dbacks fans (in addition to Zac Gallen) who dumped Zack Greinke's $700 million dollar contract on the soon-to-be champs...haha.
    Jake Arrieta is almost the opposite of Mike Leake: he is a big name with hardware to boot, signed a monster contract to walk away from Chitown after helping break the curse, and has underperformed almost completely since arriving. Arrieta is supposed to absolutely be any rotation's stud, Ks guys left and right, and help change a team from pretender to contender even before signing Bryce in this past offseason.
    Aside from this breakdown, I'm not sure more evidence is needed than Vegas telling us what they think. They hung AZ as a short chalk (off a series opening loss BTW) both first 5 and full game and it moved nearly immediately almost 25 points away from Jakester.
    Take the Dbacks to hit the RH well early (not fret over bullpen or late inning shenanigans) and take advantage of the 4.50 to 5.00 xFIP he has put up since June, including 20% HR/FB rate, striking out just 6 per 9 and walking nearly 4, which includes facing this Dbacks team at home and doing just that but surviving for the win that night.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  5. #30  
    RX Local bmd1803's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2015
    Location
    usa
    Posts
    22,022
    Quote Originally Posted by hanhnibal View Post
    would be awesome if someone can put miller lock picks here

    Post your request in the first thread (TOP) on this page.
    Reply With Quote  
     

  6. #31  
    RX Local bmd1803's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2015
    Location
    usa
    Posts
    22,022
    GOODFELLA

    3* Arizona -130

    1* MINNESOTA TWINS

    1* CINCINNATI REDS

    1* YANKEES/ORIOLES OVER 10.5
    Reply With Quote  
     

  7. #32  
    RX Local bmd1803's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2015
    Location
    usa
    Posts
    22,022
    SLEEPYJ

    3* San Francisco / Washington under 8.5
    Reply With Quote  
     

  8. #33  
    RX Local bmd1803's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2015
    Location
    usa
    Posts
    22,022
    ANDRE GOMES

    2* Baltimore

    2* Tampa bay / Toronto over 8.5

    2* Cincinnati

    2* Atlanta
    Reply With Quote  
     

  9. #34  
    RX Local bmd1803's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2015
    Location
    usa
    Posts
    22,022
    Augie J - Indians Twins
    Reply With Quote  
     

  10. #35  
    RX Local bmd1803's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2015
    Location
    usa
    Posts
    22,022
    OSKEIM SPORTS

    Game: (969) Toronto Blue Jays at (970) Tampa Bay Rays
    Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 7:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Tampa Bay Rays -193


    Game: (969) Toronto Blue Jays at (970) Tampa Bay Rays
    Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 7:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 2%
    Play: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-108)


    Game: (953) Miami Marlins at (954) New York Mets
    Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 7:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Heritage
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: New York Mets -1.5 (-118)


    Game: (953) Miami Marlins at (954) New York Mets
    Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 7:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Westgate
    Play Rating: 2%
    Play: New York Mets -215
    Reply With Quote  
     

  11. #36  
    RX Local bmd1803's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2015
    Location
    usa
    Posts
    22,022
    Dwayne Bryant

    4% Rockies-Astros under 8
    Reply With Quote  
     

  12. #37  
    RX Local bmd1803's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2015
    Location
    usa
    Posts
    22,022
    DR. CHUCK


    Game: (979) Colorado Rockies at (980) Houston Astros
    Date/Time: Aug 6 2019 8:10 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
    Play Rating: 4%
    Play: Houston Astros Team Total Over 4.5 (-120)

    View Analysis

    Marquez v. Greinke
    Greinke debut with his new offense facing a regular foe of his and they only need 5 runs?!?! Hmmm and against my fade pal German?

    I'm so confused I'm keeping it down at 4...but feels like a 5% hammer!
    Reply With Quote  
     

  13. #38  
    RX Local bmd1803's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2015
    Location
    usa
    Posts
    22,022
    Stats Analytics Sports

    MLB

    4* Milwaukee Brewers vs Pittsburgh Pirates ~ OVER 10 (+101)

    4* Miami Marlins vs New York Mets ~ UNDER 8 (+101)

    4* Texas Rangers vs Cleveland Indians ~ UNDER 10.5 (-108)

    1* Chicago Cubs (-133) vs Oakland Athletics

    1* Minnesota Twins (-149) vs Atlanta Braves

    4* Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks ~ UNDER 9.5 (-117)

    1* Los Angeles Dodgers (-180) vs St. Louis Cardinals
    Reply With Quote  
     

  14. #39  
    RX Local bmd1803's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2015
    Location
    usa
    Posts
    22,022
    Rockdeman Sports

    (MLB) - Marlins +1.5 runs
    Reply With Quote  
     

  15. #40  
    RX Junior
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Northern California
    Posts
    3,846
    Las Vegas Wolf

    06-Aug-2019: 968 Boston over 10.5
    Reply With Quote  
     

  16. #41  
    RX Junior
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Northern California
    Posts
    3,846
    Yankees-Orioles will be delayed due to rain
    Reply With Quote  
     

  17. #42  
    RX Junior
    Join Date
    Oct 2007
    Location
    Connecticut
    Posts
    1,027
    Seabass : 400 Minnesota (WNBA), 400 tigers game over (game 2), 400 braves game over , 500 astros game under , 600 sf giants , 700 dodgers RL, 1000 * Indians game over
    Reply With Quote  
     

  18. #43  
    RX Junior
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Northern California
    Posts
    3,846
    MLB(Bob Balfe)
    9:45 PM EST
    Rotation #957-958
    Nationals -115 over Giants
    Sanchez/Menez
    Reply With Quote  
     

  19. #44  
    RX Junior
    Join Date
    Apr 2016
    Location
    New york
    Posts
    459
    Fezzik

    Nfl preseason
    2* Arizona ml -130
    2* Detroit +1.5
    Reply With Quote  
     

  20. #45  
    RX Junior
    Join Date
    Jan 2011
    Location
    Northern California
    Posts
    3,846
    Champagne - Top Mets Twins Reg Cubs Pitt under Astros under

    Dime Man - LAD Phils under
    Reply With Quote  
     

  21. #46  
    Underdog
    Join Date
    May 2009
    Location
    Atlanta
    Posts
    2,914
    Nice!

    Quote Originally Posted by bmd1803 View Post
    JR ODONNELL

    3*TOY
    Minnesota / Atlanta over 10.5


    Reply With Quote  
     

Posting Permissions
  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •