TOTALLY TOTALS FUTURES and TOTALS ONLY GUARANTEED TO WIN FOR THE YR

This thread will be only total plays which will mostly be posted Sunday morning between 9-12 EST. Obviously any Thursday totals will be posted then.

HERE ARE THE FUTURES All@ 5 dimes

TEAM TOTALS:

$300:

ARIZONA UNDER 5 1/2 -130

Is this a reaction to the shit show Thursday night ? Perhaps. But the team that beat the crap out of Arizona is Oakland one I believe wins less than 6 games. Yes it is only a BS exhibition game, but I don't know who looked worse Murray or coach Kingsbury. I mean Kliff Kingsbury wasn't even a good college coach, so how did he get to be a head coach in the NFL. As of now, I do not see Arizona even favored in one game, plus they play in a very difficult division. I may even add to this play .

$100 ea:

DENVER UNDER 7 -115 It will be close . Good defense but is Flacco the answer? We have already seen that his backups are really bad. On paper, they have one of the toughest schedules in the league

OAKLAND UNDER 6 -130 They actually have the toughest schedule., travel the most , and I think Antonio Brown will be more of a distraction then a benefit. I mean if he has trouble with a players coach like Mike Tomlin, what is he going to do with "chucky"/

MINNESOTA UNDER 9 -110 Chicago is for real, and Gbay and Detroit figure to be improved. They should split with the AFC west but I just don't trust Cousins against winning teams. I think a push at worst

SAINTS OVER 9.5-129 I have them favored in at least 12 games and I really believe they are Super Bowl contenders. I mean doesn't the league owe them something after that horrible non-call. If Brees is healthy they win a dozen.

TBAY UNDER 6.5 -115 I like taking traditional division basement teams and stay under until further notice. AriaNs and Bowles are a good combo, but they still have the worst QB and running attack in the division. They will not be favored in more than 4 games this yr and one of their "home" games is in London. They have a lousy running game and weak offensive and defensive lines

WASHINGTON UNDER 6 -120 QB will be a huge mess and with the money tied up in Alex Smith this could be a down yr


$50 each:
LEAGUE MVP:

MAHOMES +530
BREES +1460

DEFENSIVE ROOKIES OF THE YR:

WHITE +705
BUSH +755
W ALLEN +1520

TDS $100 EACH:
MAHOMES OVER 36.5 He had 50 last yr

WINSTON OVER 26.5 He only had 19 last yr but missed 4+ games. Arians will be using an aggressive aerial offense. The Bus have zero running game right now. I expect the Bucs to be playing from behind most of the time.

$100/$50 :

$100 DALLAS TO COME IN SECOND IN THE DIVISION +125
$50 DALLAS TO COME IN THIRD IN THE DIVISION +425

I like philly to win the division and it is cheaper to bet this than Philly -135 to win. I also don't see both NYG and Wash finishing ahead of the cowboys

$40EA:
LAST UNDEFEATED TEAM

NE OR KC +436
NE +775
LAC +1225

FREE MONEY???????

Unless you believe Denver or Oakland can win the division . the worst you can do is break even:

$200 to win the
AFC West

KC -127
LA CHARGERS +160

I will be posting my weekly totals here

GOOD LUCK EVERYONE

Every year I bet the last super bowl loser to go under the total...usually a winner. This year, I have the Rams under 10.5. Like your Philly play for the DIV/NFC and I have them in the SB. I do have TB over 6.5 as Arians will make a big difference although I think the Panthers also have a very good year. I've got pretty large positions on both Jax and Tenn under. Love the Packers under too as they have upgraded the defense, but the offense is much worse with the ongoing question of Rodgers health plus the Danica albatross.

I really like your plays Azbob but if you think the Panthers improve , how can TBay go over? They may not even win 1 league game since they play Carolina on a Thursday night week 2 (always tough for the road team) and then "host" them in London. Don't forget the British fans absolutely hate the Glazers for the shit show they put on Manchester United, plunging them into debt while lining the family pockets with huge dividends and bonuses.

GOOD LUCK this year and thank you for sharing your thoughts

Was in Vegas a couple weeks ago. had the same thought with AFC West

Got KC -125
Chargers +225

I like my chances

I love them REDEYE

Did think quite a bit about TB and Carolina in division play. Obviously I think NO may be down (Kamara with a lot more carries won't be as effective and I don't think Murray comes close to Ingram's production). Atlanta is a disaster in the redzone and I think the coach is in over his head offensively. I think TB can win at least one on the road among Tenn/Jax/Det and then pick up six at home with three of those against SF, AZ and NYG. They have Indy at home (perhaps without Luck although I do like Brissett), ATL in the last game of the year and then NO and Houston. Kind of in the same boat with Tenn/Jax both under, but I see very limited win opportunity on the road for each. My only season long prop bet at this point is D Watson to lead in passing yards at +4500.

Well Azbob Andrew Luck retiring certainly helps your case. It hurts me with my unders on Denver, Oakland , TBay as they all play INDY and I was counting those games as losses. Good luck this yr.

I will tag along with you and add

$100 :
HOUSTON OVER 8.5 WINS -105 and hope Watson has the big yr that you need

WEEK 1:

Finished my initial capping of the first 3 weeks and if there are no more retirements nothing is going to happen this week that will affect week 1

BEARS/GBAY OVER 46
CLEVE/TENN YNDER 45.5
MIAMI/BALT OVER 37.5
SEA/CINCY OVER 43

MAY ADD

stupid question: if KC wins don't you lose money?

I drafted Luck as my second QB on a fantasy team about 45mns before he retired. Every year I tell that league the draft is too early as I was thinking about injuries. I still think Brissett may be just as capable as the QB for either Jax or Tenn. Jax's team culture is so fragile that a few miscues by the offense will further divide the team. I don't see anything I like about Tenn.

pepster said:

stupid question: If kc wins don't you lose money?

Click to expand...

no if KC losses:

Kc -127 = -$254
lac +160 wins +320

net +$66

if kc wins

kc +200
lac -200

net 0

0-1 start -$110

it is pretty obvious that with the players not playing meaningful time in preseason that the offenses were way out of sync, Throw in the fact that once again the officials are screwing up the games with their ridiculous penalties (10 each team), the beginning of the year is going to be a real shit show!
so unders here we come

adding $100 ea:

MINNY/ATL UNDER 46
JAX/KC UNDER 51
LA RAMS/CAR UNDER 50
TBAY/SF UNDER 51
DALLAS/NYG UNDER 45.5
LAC/COLTS UNDER 45 Bought 1/2
PITT/NE UNDER 49

GOOD LUCK

adding $100 ea:

MINNY/ATL UNDER 47
JAX/KC UNDER 50
DALLAS/NYG UNDER 45
CLEVE/TENN UNDER 44
ZONA/DET UNDER 46
NE/PITT UNDER 49

Shitty start
5-8 -$380

ytd 5-9 -$490

thuirsday
$100:

Tbay/carolina under 50

now 6-9 -$390

JUST GOT IN AND HAVE TO GET UP 2 6 TO PLAY IN A GOLF TOURNAMNET AT WORLD OF WOODS TOMORROW..UGH
So I will post a small card and may add to it tomorrow

OAK/KC OVER 53
NO/RAMS OVER 52
CLEVE\/JETS UNDER 44
BUFF/NYG UNDER 44.5

GOOD LUCK

SO far an shitshow

OAK/KC SCORE 38 first half and nothing , not even 1 second half point? How the freak is that possible

so far 1-2 -$120

YTD 7-11 -$510

ONE PENDING

THIS WEEK $100 EA:

TENN/JAX UNDER 40
KC/BALT UNDER 55.5
DET/PHILLY UNDER 48
TBAY/NYG UNDER 48
LAC/HOUST UNDER 48

Won Monday now

8-11 -410

$100

DJ CLARK OVER 3.5 RECEPTIONS -125

Adding 100 ea

BUFF/CINCY O 44 -105
NE/JETS OVER43
MIAMI/DALLAS U 47 Bought 1/2
OAK/MINNY U 44

decided to play a few individual totals this afternoon. Not sure why as I am going to the WHO concert soon and will not be home

$100 ea:

PEYTON BARBER O 57.5 rushing

SHAQ BARKLEY OVER 4 RECEPTIONS -145

BARKLEY OVER 35.5 RECEIVING and hope he doesn't get hurt

CAROLINA QB KYLE ALLEN under 34.5 passing attempts..

ENJOY

Ahhhh.Barkley drops #4