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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack


Most profitable college football teams vs spread, last 10 years:


— Stanford 81-50-3


— Temple 77-48


— Central Florida 75-53-1


— Duke 71-51-4


— Oklahoma State 75-55


— Louisiana Tech 73-54-1




**********


Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: 13 of my all-time favorite TV shows…….


13 of my favorite TV shows (in alphabetical order):
— Batman— When you’re six years old, and in the opening credits every week, they show “WHAP!!! POW!!! BIFF!!!” and your name is Biff, this quickly becomes a favorite show.


The villains were some pretty big stars back then (Burgess Meredith, Cesar Romero, Milton Berle, Vincent Price, Liberace, Ethel Merman)


I haven’t seen much of the Batman movies that have been made over the years, but the TV show had some humor; one week there was a 3-foot Martian on the loose in Gotham City, and Robin blurts out “Holy interplanetary yardstick, Batman!!!” Good stuff.


— Billions— Showtime series about a hedge fund manager who pushes the boundaries of the law while his marriage falls apart. His arch-enemy is a prosecutor in NYC who is into S&M and his wife is his dominatrix— the wife is also the psychiatrist for the hedge fund manager’s company.


Small world. This show is really well-written- the next season will probably run after football season.


Trivia: Paul Giamatti plays the prosecutor; he is the son of former baseball commissioner Bart Giamatti. I suggested a cameo role for Pete Rose, but so far, that hasn’t happened.


— CSI— I spent a good chunk of my work career searching fingerprints and working for the NY State Division of Criminal Justice, so I enjoyed all the CSI shows, but especially the one set in Las Vegas— the actors seemed to have a chemistry working together.


One of my weirder ideas (a teacher friend of mine scoffed at this) is that CSI should be taught to all high school kids, so they realize how difficult it is to get away with crimes, so maybe there would be fewer crimes. What could it hurt?


— Green Acres— As a kid, I spent lot of hours watching Green Acres re-runs; my dad would walk into the room, say “Why the hell are you watching that?”, but within five minutes, he’d be sitting there laughing harder than me and would leave the room before my mother came in and saw the both of us laughing. She wasn’t a big fan of Hank Kimball or Arnold Ziffel.


— Law and Order— 20 years, 456 episodes, a great launching point for lot of acting careers, not to mention the spinoff shows that branched off this original show.


Take Billions; there are 32 actors who have appeared in 12+ episodes of Billons; 14 of those 32 actors appeared in at least one episode of Law and Order, and two others were in Law and Order SVU, and that doesn’t count Eric Bogosian, who was in Law and Order: Criminal Intent for 61 episodes, but was only in 10 episodes of Billions (so far).


— Magnum PI— I’ve never been to Hawai’i, but if I ever went, would like to visit Robin Masters’ estate; I’m told you can visit there, it is kind of a museum or something.


One of the best episodes was when Frank Sinatra played a retired New York City cop whose granddaughter was murdered— this was near the end of both the series and Sinatra’s career.


The overriding themes of the show were that great friends will do all kinds of stuff for each other, and if you’re really good looking and drive a Ferrari, women will like you ��


— M*A*S*H— Years later, after watching re-runs of this show on our local channel 10 and the Boston channel for hours at a time, it dawned on me that this was actually a very sad show, with humor/jokes masking the grotesque sadness of wartime Korea.


The McLean Stevenson episodes were the best; he was Colonel Henry Blake for the first 75 episodes, and a lot of them were classics, just funny as hell.


— Mr Ed— This show ran on network TV from 1961-66, so I never saw it until the re-runs came on at 4:30 weekdays on a local channel in the early 70’s. Mr Ed was a talking horse, but he only talked to Wilbur Post, an architect who worked at home but never actually seemed to work.


Mr Ed was a big Dodger fan; his favorite player was OF Willie Davis. In one episode, the horse takes batting practice against Sandy Koufax, and hits a ball off the wall at Dodger Stadium, with the bat held in his mouth. A fun show, not necessarily a realistic one.


— Odd Couple— As a kid, Oscar Madison was one of my heroes; a sportswriter who always spilled food on his clothes but was a good natured guy who somehow dated a doctor or one of the Pidgeon sisters.


To this day when I see my cousin’s husband, we recite lines from Odd Couple episodes; when they owned a greyhound racing dog , or appeared on Password (a game show), or when Oscar dated a princess from some obscure European country “You bought her a salty pretzel; oh, boy!!!” Great stuff.


— Ray Donovan— The most violent program on this list; just about everybody on this Showtime series that isn’t related to the Donovans eventually winds up dead.


Ray Donovan is a fixer for rich people, but he can’t fix his own family; his wife passes away from cancer, and the last time we saw him, he was still struggling with that.


Live Schreber plays Ray, Jon Voight plays his father (a genuine creep); they’ve had guest stars like Susan Sarandon, James Woods, Wendell Pierce, Hank Azaria. Alan Alda, C Thomas Howell.


Very good show but also very violent.


— Suits— This show is winding down its last season on USA Network; it is about a law firm that hired a young guy with a photographic memory who had one small problem— he is a college dropout who never went to law school, but he gets paid to take bar exams for other people.


The show had to change directions because one of the actresses (Meghan Markle) moved to England after she married Prince Harry in real life. Her character was married to Mike (the fraudulent lawyer) so they got written out of the last couple years of the show.


— West Wing— Martin Sheen plays the President in this show; his cabinet included Rob Lowe, Allison Janney, Richard Schiff, John Spencer— great cast.


Actor Duke Hill was in both West Wing and Suits; Mary Louise Parker was in this and is also in Billions. Alan Alda was in this, Ray Donovan and of course, M*A*S*H


Jimmy Smits, Mary MacCormack, Tim Matheson, Gary Cole, just a ton of excellent actors.


In one episode, President Bartlet has to throw out the first pitch at an Orioles’ game, but he never played ball, so one of his aides has to teach him how to throw a baseball in a hallway in the White House, where an errant toss breaks an expensive vase.


— White Shadow— Ken Howard plays a washed-up NBA player who becomes a high school basketball coach in Los Angeles. Show only lasted three years, because well, high school kids graduate so they would’ve had to turn most of the cast over every other year.


The basketball scenes were really well-done; Gwyneth Paltrow’s father was the creator of the show. Lot of the issues they tackled in this show were issues that real high school in the inner city had to deal with. Ken Howard was great as Coach Reeves; he wasn’t some all-knowing guy; he had flaws but he fought for his kids and they respected him for it (most of the time).
 

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NCAAF
Long Sheet



Saturday, August 24


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FLORIDA (10 - 3) at MIAMI (7 - 6) - 8/24/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (5 - 7) at HAWAII (8 - 6) - 8/24/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 60-91 ATS (-40.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 116-149 ATS (-47.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
HAWAII is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Thursday, August 29


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UCLA (3 - 9) at CINCINNATI (11 - 2) - 8/29/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-0 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-0 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA TECH (7 - 6) at CLEMSON (15 - 0) - 8/29/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLA INTERNATIONAL (9 - 4) at TULANE (7 - 6) - 8/29/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS ST (3 - 9) at TEXAS A&M (9 - 4) - 8/29/2019, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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KENT ST (2 - 10) at ARIZONA ST (7 - 6) - 8/29/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 94-68 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTAH (9 - 5) at BYU (7 - 6) - 8/29/2019, 10:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 122-90 ATS (+23.0 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
UTAH is 63-38 ATS (+21.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 1-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 2-0 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, August 30


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RICE (2 - 11) at ARMY (11 - 2) - 8/30/2019, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARMY is 1-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
ARMY is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH ST (11 - 2) at WAKE FOREST (7 - 6) - 8/30/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 1-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WISCONSIN (8 - 5) at S FLORIDA (7 - 6) - 8/30/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TULSA (3 - 9) at MICHIGAN ST (7 - 6) - 8/30/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MASSACHUSETTS (4 - 8) at RUTGERS (1 - 11) - 8/30/2019, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MASSACHUSETTS is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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COLORADO ST (3 - 9) vs. COLORADO (5 - 7) - 8/30/2019, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 2-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PURDUE (6 - 7) at NEVADA (8 - 5) - 8/30/2019, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OKLAHOMA ST (7 - 6) at OREGON ST (2 - 10) - 8/30/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Saturday, August 31


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FLA ATLANTIC (5 - 7) at OHIO ST (13 - 1) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 190-147 ATS (+28.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 190-147 ATS (+28.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 172-132 ATS (+26.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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S ALABAMA (3 - 9) at NEBRASKA (3 - 8) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E CAROLINA (3 - 9) at NC STATE (9 - 4) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 1-0 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-0 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AKRON (4 - 8) at ILLINOIS (4 - 8) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 132-173 ATS (-58.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 132-173 ATS (-58.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 66-96 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 66-96 ATS (-39.6 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 66-92 ATS (-35.2 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 89-134 ATS (-58.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BALL ST (4 - 8) vs. INDIANA (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 1-0 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 1-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TOLEDO (7 - 6) at KENTUCKY (10 - 3) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MISSISSIPPI ST (8 - 5) vs. LA LAFAYETTE (7 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 against the spread versus LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-0 straight up against LA LAFAYETTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OLE MISS (5 - 7) at MEMPHIS (8 - 6) - 8/31/2019, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
OLE MISS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GEORGIA ST (2 - 10) at TENNESSEE (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
TENNESSEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E MICHIGAN (7 - 6) at COASTAL CAROLINA (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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S CAROLINA (7 - 6) vs. N CAROLINA (2 - 9) - 8/31/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DUKE (8 - 5) vs. ALABAMA (14 - 1) - 8/31/2019, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
DUKE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DUKE is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NORTHWESTERN (9 - 5) at STANFORD (9 - 4) - 8/31/2019, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 115-86 ATS (+20.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 85-56 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 85-56 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VIRGINIA TECH (6 - 7) at BOSTON COLLEGE (7 - 5) - 8/31/2019, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-1 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SYRACUSE (10 - 3) at LIBERTY (6 - 6) - 8/31/2019, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LIBERTY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LIBERTY is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
LIBERTY is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
LIBERTY is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BOISE ST (10 - 3) vs. FLORIDA ST (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 147-107 ATS (+29.3 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 147-107 ATS (+29.3 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
BOISE ST is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SMU (5 - 7) at ARKANSAS ST (8 - 5) - 8/31/2019, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 1-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIDDLE TENN ST (8 - 6) at MICHIGAN (10 - 3) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI OHIO (6 - 6) at IOWA (9 - 4) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GA SOUTHERN (10 - 3) at LSU (10 - 3) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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GEORGIA (11 - 3) at VANDERBILT (6 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA is 2-0 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA is 2-0 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA (8 - 5) at PITTSBURGH (7 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSOURI (8 - 5) at WYOMING (6 - 6) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 1-0 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 1-0 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON (9 - 4) vs. AUBURN (8 - 5) - 8/31/2019, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 47-24 ATS (+20.6 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LOUISIANA TECH (8 - 5) at TEXAS (10 - 4) - 8/31/2019, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 9) at WASHINGTON ST (11 - 2) - 8/31/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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FRESNO ST (12 - 2) at USC (5 - 7) - 8/31/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
USC is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Sunday, September 1


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (8 - 5) at OKLAHOMA (12 - 2) - 9/1/2019, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Monday, September 2


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NOTRE DAME (12 - 1) at LOUISVILLE (2 - 10) - 9/2/2019, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
 

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NCAAF

Week 1


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Saturday, August 24


Florida @ Miami-FL
Florida
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida's last 8 games
Florida is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Miami-FL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-FL's last 5 games
Miami-FL is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Florida


Arizona @ Hawaii
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Hawaii
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 6 games at home
Hawaii is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games




Thursday, August 29


California-Los Angeles @ Cincinnati
California-Los Angeles
California-Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of California-Los Angeles's last 6 games on the road
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cincinnati is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games


Wagner @ Connecticut
Wagner
Wagner is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Wagner is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Connecticut
Connecticut is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Connecticut is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home


Morgan State @ Bowling Green
Morgan State
Morgan State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Morgan State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Bowling Green
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Bowling Green's last 19 games


Robert Morris @ Buffalo
Robert Morris
No trends to report
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games at home


Albany-NY @ Central Michigan
Albany-NY
No trends to report
Central Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 6 games at home


Gardner-Webb @ Charlotte
Gardner-Webb
Gardner-Webb is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Gardner-Webb is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Charlotte
Charlotte is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home


Central Arkansas @ Western Kentucky
Central Arkansas
Central Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Central Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Western Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Western Kentucky's last 9 games at home
Western Kentucky is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home


Florida A&M @ Central Florida
Florida A&M
Florida A&M is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Florida A&M is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Central Florida
Central Florida is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
Central Florida is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home


Georgia Tech @ Clemson
Georgia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia Tech's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Georgia Tech's last 10 games
Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Georgia Tech
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


Florida International @ Tulane
Florida International
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 5 games
Florida International is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Tulane
Tulane is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Tulane is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


Alabama State @ Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama State
Alabama State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Alabama State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Alabama-Birmingham is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home


Texas State @ Texas A&M
Texas State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas State's last 7 games
Texas State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas A&M is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home


South Dakota State @ Minnesota
South Dakota State
South Dakota State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
South Dakota State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home


Kent State @ Arizona State
Kent State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State's last 7 games
Kent State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona State
Arizona State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Arizona State is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games at home


Northern Colorado @ San Jose State
Northern Colorado
Northern Colorado is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Northern Colorado is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
San Jose State
San Jose State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose State's last 5 games at home


Utah @ Brigham Young
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brigham Young
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brigham Young
Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brigham Young's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah




Friday, August 30


Rice @ Army
Rice
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rice's last 6 games when playing Army
Rice is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Army
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


Tulsa @ Michigan State
Tulsa
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tulsa's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tulsa's last 11 games
Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games at home


Wisconsin @ South Florida
Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 6 games
Wisconsin is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games on the road
South Florida
South Florida is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home
South Florida is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games


Massachusetts @ Rutgers
Massachusetts
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Massachusetts's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Massachusetts's last 13 games
Rutgers
Rutgers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Rutgers's last 6 games


Utah State @ Wake Forest
Utah State
Utah State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Utah State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Wake Forest is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games


Purdue @ Nevada
Purdue
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Purdue's last 11 games on the road
Purdue is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
Nevada
Nevada is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Nevada is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games at home


Colorado State @ Colorado
Colorado State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado State's last 11 games
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Colorado State
Colorado is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Colorado State


Oklahoma State @ Oregon State
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 7 games on the road
Oregon State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oregon State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Oregon State's last 16 games
 

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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 1



Saturday, August 24


Florida’s QB has 21 starts, but their entire offensive line has only 24- very young. Miami has a new coach, new QB, and three sophs starting on OL. Gators are 7-7-1 vs spread in last 15 games on neutral fields. Last year, SEC teams were 8-1 vs spread (6-3 SU) when playing an ACC team, 5-1 when favored. Mullen covered nine of his last 10 non-SEC games. Last 10 years, Miami is 1-8 vs spread on neutral fields- last three years, they’re 8-6 vs spread outside the ACC. These teams last met six years ago, when Miami (+3) beat Florida 21-16- both sides changed coaches twice since then.


Arizona has a senior QB (20 starts); they’ve got 15 starters back- their OL has 52 returning starts. Wildcats are 7-11-2 vs spread in last 20 games as a road favorite, 6-12 vs spread in last 18 games outside Pac-12; since 2013, Wildcats are 12-7-1 ATS as a double digit favorite. Hawai’i is 1-4-1 ATS in last six games as a home underdog; since 2014, they’re 9-16-1 ATS in non-MW games. Rainbows’ OL has 81 returning starts- their junior QB has 12 starts. Last two years, Mountain West teams are 11-9 vs spread when playing a Pac-12 opponent (9-8 as a dog).
 

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NCAAF
Dunkel


Week 1



Saturday, August 24


Miami-FL @ Florida


Game 291-292
August 24, 2019 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Miami-FL
91.954
Florida
104.893
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 13
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 7
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-7); Under


Arizona @ Hawaii



Game 293-294
August 24, 2019 @ 10:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
94.936
Hawaii
75.463
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 19 1/2
77
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 11
70
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-11); Over
 

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2019-20 Season Predictions
August 20, 2019
By Brian Edwards



Conference Predictions


POWER FIVE SCHOOLS


Conferences ACC Big 10 Big 12 Pac-12 SEC


Winner Clemson Michigan Oklahoma Washington Alabama


Sleeper Virginia Northwestern Iowa State Arizona State Auburn


Fade School Pittsburgh Indiana Kansas State USC Tennessee



Barring significant injuries to QBs Trevor Lawrence and/or Tua Tagovailoa, it seems like a given that Clemson and Alabama will collide in the College Football Playoff for a fifth straight season. Just how likely is it?


Consider this: There was a prop bet released early this summer in which bettors could take Alabama and Clemson vs. The Field to win the CFP. The odds opened as a pick ‘em (-115 either way). Within two weeks, the side of Clemson/Alabama had been bet so much that the price was driven up to nearly -200 (it’s -190 at DraftKings right now).


Therefore, you have two of my picks for the CFP in the Tigers and Crimson Tide. The third and fourth teams are likely the Big Ten and Big 12 champ, who are Oklahoma and Michigan for me.


But the Sooners and Wolverines are picks I make with plenty of hesitation. Texas and Ohio State could certainly unseat those schools, and there’s always that option of the second-best SEC team. LSU, Georgia and Florida might be in that conversation if they can finish 11-1, and they’d probably be more deserving of a CFP bid than a two-loss champ from the Big Ten, Big 12 or Pac-12.


I hate being chalky with predictions in August, but my brain tells me that Clemson beats Alabama in the CFP finals for the third time in four years.


The SEC West looks like a race between Alabama and LSU, but Auburn might factor into the equation if it gets quality quarterback play from freshmen signal callers Bo Nix and/or Joey Gatewood. Nix, a five-star recruit who is the son of Patrick who starred at AU in the mid-90s, has been named the starter for the opener vs. Oregon.


The Crimson Tide returns most of its explosive players from an offense that averaged 45.6 points per game, and let’s remember that Tagovailoa (43/6 TD-INT) didn’t take his first fourth-quarter snap of the season until Week 7 vs. Missouri.


Nick Saban’s team gets LSU in Tuscaloosa, so we’re comfortable calling that a Crimson Tide victory. We also feel good about ticketing ‘Bama for Atlanta unless Nix just rips it up. If he does, we’ll note that Auburn gets Georgia and Alabama on The Plains, and I think the Tigers have the nation’s best defensive line and one of the country’s top-five overall defenses.


As for the SEC East, it’ll come down to what happens in Jacksonville between Georgia and Florida. UGA’s defense won’t be as salty this year, and the WR position has inexperience and lots of question marks.


UF needs Feleipe Franks to play like he did in the last four games of 2018, when he threw eight TD passes without an interception and ran for four more scores. The Gators have their best group of WRs in a decade, but their offensive line could be an issue.


Washington isn’t getting much preseason love, which is probably based on just two starters returning on defense. Still, I feel that Chris Petersen remains one of the nation’s top-five coaches, and new QB Jacob Eason showed off an NFL arm and size when he started 13 games at Georgia as a true freshman in 2017.


I’m not overly confident in picking Michigan to take the Big 10 for the first time under Jim Harbaugh, but I do think Ohio State will fall off a decent amount. With the Wolverines catching the Buckeyes at The Big House, this is probably the year for Michigan to break through. And Ohio State. is due some bad luck in close games after going 23-3 in one-possession contests under Urban Meyer (hat tip to Christopher Smith for that factoid).


There’s no need to even touch on the ACC because nobody is close to Clemson.


Watch out for Iowa State in the Big 12. Matt Campbell has done a sensational job. Nevertheless, Oklahoma is the safe play in this league.

GROUP OF FIVE SCHOOLS


Conferences AAC CUSA MAC MWC SUN


Winner Central Florida Florida International Ohio Boise State Appalachian State


Sleeper Tulane Middle Tennessee Eastern Michigan Hawaii Louisiana-Monroe


Fade School UConn UTSA Akron New Mexico Georgia State



If Scott Satterfield was still around, I might say that Appalachian State will be the best Group of Five team in 2019. However, you never know how a coaching transition is going to go, so I think UCF and Boise State are the teams most likely to play on New Year’s Day.


Memphis is going to have a great offense and it might be favored in all 12 of its regular-season games. A mid-November trip to Houston could be the exception. My only problem with the Tigers is their defense, and it’s a unit I can’t trust at all.


Jeff Tedford has done a sensational job at Fresno State, producing a 22-6 SU record and a 20-6-2 ATS mark. Except for a home loss to UNLV in 2017, the Bulldogs’ only defeats have been one-possession setbacks on the blue carpet at Boise State (17-14 and 24-17), a close loss at Minnesota (21-14) and losses at top-ranked Alabama and at sixth-ranked Washington.


However, Fresno State returns only eight starters. The Bulldogs lost 29 lettermen, including their star QB and WR, in addition to four of their top-five tacklers.


Season Win Total Best Bets
ACC – Virginia OVER 7.5 (-140)
Big Ten – Maryland OVER 4 (-15)
Big 12 – Iowa State OVER 8 (-115)
SEC – Tennessee Under 6.5 (+120)
Pac-12 – UCLA Under 6 (+110)



Tennessee is 2-15 in its last 17 games against Power Five foes. The Volunteers have already lost two defensive starters -- nose guard Emmit Gooden and nicklebacker Baylen Buchannan -- to season-ending injuries.


I'm not sold on Jeremy Pruitt at all. After a nice home win over Kentucky last season, Tennessee lost 50-17 at Missouri and 38-13 at Vanderbilt in two chances to clinch bowl eligibility.


UT's schedule doesn't do it any favors. Three opponents -- Mississippi State, UAB and Kentucky -- get two weeks to prep for UT when it has to play the previous week. Even if the Vols are 6-5 going into the regular-season finale, bettors will be able to hedge with a bet on Vandy as an underdog. The Commodores are currently seven-point 'dogs in Games of the Year, despite the fact that they have beaten UT by double-digit margin in three consecutive encounters.


Virginia is only a lock to be an underdog twice -- at Notre Dame and at Miami. The Cavaliers finished last season 8-5 SU, but they lost two games in overtime and by just four at Indiana. They get Liberty, Old Dominion and William & Mary at home for three layup victories.


Bronco Mendenhall has one of the ACC's top QBs in Bryce Perkins, who completed 64.5 percent of his passes for 2,680 yards with a 25/9 touchdown-to-interception ratio in 2018. Perkins also rushed for 1,189 yards (before subtracting sack yardage to bring his net rushing to 923 yards) and nine TDs.


UVA returns eight starters on a defense that allowed only 20.1 PPG last year. Don't be shocked if UVA makes its first appearance in the ACC Championship Game.


Maryland has one of the nation's most explosive RBs in sophomore Anthony McFarland, who garnered second-team All-B10 honors as a freshman when he ran for 1,034 yards and four TDs with a 7.9 YPC average. The Terrapins landed Va. Tech transfer QB Josh Jackson, who started 16 games for the Hokies in a two -year span. Jackson threw for 3,566 yards with a 25/10 TD-INT ratio. If he falters, there's back-up QB Tyrrell Pigrome, who is a dangerous runner that's started four games in the past two campaigns.


Maryland finished 5-7 last year, but it lost by two at Indiana and by one vs. Ohio State in overtime. The Terps had a 542-374 advantage in total offense against the Hoosiers, who were able to win thanks to a +3 turnover margin.


I have Mike Locksley's team capturing home wins over Howard and Indiana, in addition to a victory at Rutgers. With one game left to win for a push and two for a victory, we have these potential Ws: vs. Syracuse, at Temple, vs. Penn State, at Purdue, at Minnesota and vs. Nebraska.


The only guaranteed underdog spot for Iowa State is at Oklahoma on Nov. 9, and lets remember how Matt Campbell's squad won a 38-31 decision over the third-ranked Sooners in its last trip to Norman as a 31-point underdog.


There's a lot to like about the Cyclones, who bring back 16 starters (eight on each side of the ball) from a team that finished 8-5 after dropping a 28-26 decision to Washington State at the Alamo Bowl. Iowa State returns 10 of its top 13 tacklers from a defensive unit that gave up only 22.9 PPG.


In Phil Steele's preseason magazine, his Big 12 Unit Rankings have Iowa State at No. 1 on the defensive line and at the linebacker position. The Cyclones have the league's second-ranked special-teams units and are third on the offensive line.


As a true freshman last year, QB Brock Purdy completed 66.4 percent of his throws for 2,250 yards with a 16/7 TD-INT ratio. He also had 451 rushing yards and five TDs.


All three non-conference games are at home against Northern Iowa, Iowa and ULM. The Cyclones get two weeks to prepare for the Hawkeyes. They might be favored in four of five Big 12 road assignments -- at Baylor, at WVU, at Texas Tech and at Kansas State.


UCLA went 2-3 in one-possession games on its way to a dreadful 3-9 SU mark in Chip Kelly's debut campaign. In other words, it isn't as if the Bruins were losing a slew of nail-biters and were a bounce or three away from going to a bowl game. No, they were awful. In fact, UCLA is 13-24 since the start of the 2016 season.


Kelly's second team brings back 19 starters. The burning question is whether or not that's a good or bad thing? The non-conference slate is brutal: at Cincinnati, vs. San Diego State and vs. Oklahoma. The Bearcats won by a 26-17 count at UCLA in last year's opener. The Aztecs, who have won at least 10 games in three of the past four seasons, are 4-1 in their past five games against Pac-12 competition since 2016.


I'll give UCLA home wins over Oregon State and Colorado, but it will have to play well to beat San Diego State and/or California in Pasadena. Maybe the Bruins win at Cincinnati, but they are underdogs. Their best possibility at another road win is at Arizona, but the Wildcats get two weeks to prepare and the Bruins are in Pullman the previous week. I'm not even sure UCLA wins five games.


Game of the Year Best Bets
ACC – Week 3 Virginia (Pick ‘em) over Florida State
Big 10 – Week 9, Michigan State -2.5 vs. Penn State
Big 12 – Week 14, Oklahoma State +10 vs. Oklahoma
Pac-12 – Week 8, Stanford -3 vs. UCLA
SEC – Week 4, Texas A&M -2.5 vs. Auburn



Michigan State has dominated Penn State in recent years, going 5-1 both straight up and against the spread in the past six head-to-head meetings. The Spartans are in the better spot here with two weeks to prep for the Nittany Lions, who will be playing their fifth game in five weeks and their third road assignments in five weeks. Even with five offensive starters out last year, Mark Dantonio’s team won outright at Beaver Stadium as a 13.5-point underdog.


Oklahoma State is 4-1 both SU and ATS as a home underdog since 2015. Unless Hawaii transfer Dru Brown wins the starting QB job, Mike Gundy will be going with a freshman in Spencer Sanders or Brendan Costello. Either way, I expect the Cowboys’ offense to be playing a lot better in November.


Whether it’s Bo Nix or Joey Gatewood (Nix has been named the Week 1 starter vs. Oregon), Auburn will have a freshman QB making his first career road start in front of 100,000 fans at Kyle Field. I like to fade teams in that sort of spot, and I also give the Aggies the head-coaching advantage here.
 

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Analysis: Arizona State, Auburn, UNC to rely on frosh QBs
August 21, 2019
By The Associated Press



There is a trickle-down effect from having true freshman quarterbacks star in the last two national championship games.


Clemson's Trevor Lawrence capped his freshman season by leading the Tigers to a blowout of Alabama in last season's College Football Playoff title game. One year earlier, it was Alabama freshman Tua Tagovailoa coming off the sideline to rally the Crimson Tide to an overtime victory over Georgia.


After seeing true freshmen shine in the postseason, coaches aren't so hesitant about seeing what quarterbacks just out of high school can do at the start of a season.


At least three Power Five programs plan to open the season with a true freshman starting quarterback. Arizona State is going with Jayden Daniels, No. 16 Auburn has selected Bo Nix and Sam Howell is getting the majority of the first-team reps at North Carolina.


Those teams have decided a newcomer has enough potential to make up for any freshman mistakes.


''He's not the savior, OK,'' Arizona State coach Herm Edwards said after announcing Daniels as the starter. ''I don't want anyone to think that. He's a freshman quarterback, like all freshmen are, and he's going to do a lot of good things and sometimes he's going to make some errors.''


Not all the notable freshmen across college football play quarterback, of course. Here's a rundown of some freshmen who should make an immediate impact.


ARIZONA STATE QB JAYDEN DANIELS


Daniels will become the first Arizona State true freshman quarterback to start a season opener for the Sun Devils, as he won a four-man competition for the job. The 6-foot-3 Daniels was rated as the nation's No. 2 dual-threat quarterback and No. 35 overall prospect in his class according to composite rankings of recruiting sites compiled by 247Sports. He enrolled at Arizona State early enough to participate in spring practice. Arizona State is doubling down on youth at the quarterback position, as true freshman Joey Yellen opens the season as Daniels' top backup.


NORTH CAROLINA QB SAM HOWELL


This former top-100 prospect verbally committed to Florida State in April 2018 but selected North Carolina during the December signing period after former Seminoles offensive coordinator Walt Bell left to take over Massachusetts' program. North Carolina coach Mack Brown announced Sunday that Howell would get most of the first-team reps for the rest of preseason practices. Brown said the 6-foot-1 freshman's consistency gave him an edge over redshirt freshmen Cade Fortin and Jace Ruder, who also have been competing for the starting quarterback job.


SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA DE DRAKE JACKSON


Jackson enrolled at USC early and made a highlight-worthy play in the Trojans' spring showcase by making a one-handed interception and scoring on the play. USC coach Clay Helton said afterward that the 6-4 freshman reminded him of New York Jets defensive lineman and former Trojans star Leonard Williams. Jackson was rated as the No. 56 overall prospect in his class according to the 247Sports Composite.


AUBURN QB BO NIX


Nix is the son of Patrick Nix, who played for Auburn from 1992-95 and was the Tigers' starting quarterback when they went unbeaten in 1993. He's the nation's No. 1 dual-threat quarterback and No. 33 overall prospect in his class according to the 247Sports Composite. He gained over 12,000 career yards and accounted for 161 touchdowns (127 passing, 34 rushing) at Pinson Valley High School to set Alabama state records in both categories. Nix, who is 6-2, beat out redshirt freshman Joey Gatewood for the right to start Auburn's Aug. 31 season opener with No. 11 Oregon at Arlington, Texas.


LSU CB DEREK STINGLEY JR.


Stingley was the nation's No. 1 prospect in his class according to Rivals and was rated third according to the 247Sports Composite. He covered LSU's top receivers and recorded an interception in the spring game. He likely will open the season as a starter and also could contribute as a kick returner. During spring practice, LSU defensive back Kary Vincent called Stingley ''a once-in-a-lifetime player to play with and a once-in-a-lifetime player to see.'' Stingley is the grandson of former New England Patriots receiver Darryl Stingley, whose NFL career ended after a head-on collision in a preseason game left him paralyzed. Stingley's father played minor league baseball and Arena Football.


TEXAS RB JORDAN WHITTINGTON


Whittington played wide receiver at Cuero (Texas) High School but moved to running back during spring practice and immediately won praise from coaches and teammates. Texas coach Tom Herman said it's ''one of the most amazing things I've seen in my 20-something years coaching is how a guy that's never played a position before in his life took to it that naturally.'' With incumbent starter Keaontay Ingram nursing a bruised knee during training camp, Whittington has had even more of an opportunity to make an impression. He's the nation's No. 34 overall prospect in his class according to the 247Sports Composite.


OTHER FRESHMEN TO WATCH


Notre Dame defensive back Kyle Hamilton, Alabama linebacker Christian Harris, Georgia wide receiver George Pickens, Nebraska running back/receiver Wan'Dale Robinson, Oregon defensive end Kayvon Thibodeaux, Tennessee linebacker Jordan To'o To'o, Ohio State receiver Garrett Wilson.
 

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Reality Check: Why your Top 25 team could tank in 2019
August 20, 2019
By The Associated Press



Sorry to be a bummer at a time of the year usually reserved for hope and optimism, but there is a decent chance your favorite college team is going to be a big disappointment this season.


The preseason AP Top 25 presented by Regions Bank is out. There were no real surprises at the top. Defending champion Clemson is No. 1 and Alabama is No. 2. The Tigers and Crimson Tide have alternated winning the last four national championships.


Georgia, which has had its national championship hopes dashed by `Bama the past two seasons, is No. 3. Oklahoma, working on a string of four straight Big 12 championships, is No. 4. Ohio State, with three Big Ten titles and a national championship in the last five years, landed at No. 5.


Over the last 10 years, about 40 percent of the teams that have started the season ranked end it unranked. Obviously, the better the start the more likely it is a team stays in the rankings, but 19 preseason top-10 teams have finished the season unranked in that span. And seven of those were in the top five. Three times in the last 10 seasons, including last year, three top-10 teams finished unranked. The last time all the preseason top-10 teams managed to finish the season in the Top 25 was 2006.


So give a look at that top 10, rounded out by No. 6 LSU, No. 7 Michigan, No. 8 Florida, No. 9 Notre Dame and No. 10 Texas. At least one of them is fixin' to break some hearts.


The first Reality Check of the season assesses the chances for each Top 25 team to tank.


No. 1 Clemson (15-0)


Opener: vs. Georgia Tech.


Reality check: The preseason poll started in 1950. Only two preseason No. 1 teams have failed to be in the final rankings (USC in 2012 was the last). The Tigers have history and, more importantly, Trevor Lawrence on their side.


No. 2 Alabama (14-1)


Opener: vs. Duke in Atlanta.


Reality check: The Crimson Tide have not finished outside the top 10 since Nick Saban's first season. And he's still the coach.


No. 3 Georgia (11-3)


Opener: at Vanderbilt.


Reality check: In 2013 and '15, Mark Richt's Georgia teams were preseason top 10 and finished unranked. Kirby Smart was brought in to stop that nonsense.


No. 4 Oklahoma (12-2)


Opener: vs. Houston.


Reality check: The Sooners' path to ruin: The offense regresses from historically great to merely good with Jalen Hurts and the defense remains bad.


No. 5 Ohio State (13-1)


Opener: vs. FAU.


Reality check: If Georgia transfer QB Justin Fields is a bust the Buckeyes aren't in position to bail him out.


No. 6 LSU (10-3)


Opener: vs. Georgia Southern.


Reality check: OK, THIS is the year the Tigers open up the offense. What if that's a bad idea?


No. 7 Michigan (10-3)


Opener: vs. Middle Tennessee.


Reality check: The optimism about the Wolverines has a lot to do with the uncertainty at Ohio State.


No. 8 Florida (10-3)


Opener: vs. Miami in Orlando, Florida.


Reality check: The Gators' surge last season was inflated by a bowl victory against a Michigan team that sort of checked out.


No. 9 Notre Dame (12-1)


Opener: at Louisville.


Reality check: The Irish expect offensive improvement to compensate for some defensive regression. Or, it doesn't and some of last season's one-score victories against so-so opposition go the other way this year.


No. 10 Texas (10-4)


Opener: vs. Louisiana Tech.


Reality check: It wouldn't be the first time ''Texas is Back!'' went bad.


No. 11 Oregon (9-4)


Opener: vs. No. 16 Auburn in Arlington, Texas.


Reality check: High expectations for a team that scored seven points in the RedBox Bowl and went 2-3 on the road last year.


No. 12 Texas A&M (9-4)


Opener: vs Texas State.


Reality check: The Aggies, along with South Carolina, are the first team in 44 years to have preseason Nos. 1-3 on the schedule. They are a little bad luck away from a 6-6 season.


No. 13 Washington (10-4)


Opener: vs Eastern Washington.


Reality check: New QB Jacob Eason has not played in a game in two years. He was a five-star recruit. But is he still?


No. 14 Utah (9-5)


Opener: at BYU.


Reality check: The Utes have been great at exceeding modest expectations. Meeting high ones can be a different deal.

No. 15 Penn State (9-4)



Opener: vs. Idaho.


Reality check: The Nittany Lions need lots of relatively inexperienced players, including at quarterback, to become stars and leaders.


No. 16 Auburn (8-5)


Opener: vs. No. 11 Oregon.


Reality check: Failing to meet expectations is pretty much Auburn being Auburn. Then again, so is exceeding them.


No. 17 UCF (12-1)


Opener: vs. Florida A&M.


Reality check: Two years removed from Scott Frost and without QB McKenzie Milton, a new era begins for college football's brash interlopers. Sustaining it is the toughest part.


No. 18 Michigan State (7-6)


Opener: vs. Tulsa.


Reality check: The Spartans scored 32 points in their final four games last season. Coach Mark Dantonio is banking on a shuffled, though not new, offensive staff and better health at quarterback and receiver to fix it. Good luck.


No. 19 Wisconsin (8-5)


Opener: at USF.


Reality check: The Badgers were last season's big bust, going from preseason No. 4 to unranked. Maybe it wasn't a fluke?


No. 20 Iowa (9-4)


Opener: vs. Miami (Ohio).


Reality check: So two-year starting QB Nate Stanley is going to get BETTER after losing two first-round draft pick tight ends. Really?


No. 21 Iowa State (8-5)


Opener: vs. Northern Iowa.


Reality check: There's a reason the Cyclones are in the preseason rankings for the first time since 1978. Winning in Ames is hard and doesn't happen very often.

No. 22 Syracuse (10-3)



Opener: at Liberty.


Reality check: The Orange rode 31 takeaways, third-best in the nation, and a plus-13 margin (fifth best) to 10 victories last season. Regression is an uninvited and often unpleasant visitor.


No. 23 Washington State (11-2)


Opener: vs. New Mexico State.


Reality check: Can coach Mike Leach find Minshew Magic with another new quarterback?


No. 24 Nebraska (4-8)


Opener: vs. South Alabama.


Reality check: The last team to start a season ranked after a having record as bad or worse than the Cornhuskers was Alabama in 2001. The Tide was 25th after going 3-8 in 2000 and finished 7-5.


No. 25 Stanford (9-4)


Opener: vs. Northwestern.


Reality check: After two straight nine-win season, the Cardinal have to prove they can get back the physical formula that helped them win at least 11 games five times from 2010-15.
 

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Florida, Miami add to once-heated series
August 20, 2019
By The Associated Press



GAINESVILLE, Fla. (AP) Even though his father played at Miami and his older brother at Florida, Marco Wilson has little knowledge of the once-heated rivalry involving the two Sunshine State teams.


The Florida Flop? The Peach Pelting? The Bourbon Street Brawl?


Wilson hasn't heard about any of them.


''All I know is last time that we played Miami we lost,'' said Wilson, a starting cornerback for the eighth-ranked Gators.


He's hardly alone. The series is devoid of trash talk, bragging rights or wounds that haven't healed. The coaches, Florida's Dan Mullen and Miami's Manny Diaz, are close friends who worked together at Mississippi State. Many of the players crossed paths in high school and on recruiting trails, but they have little angst and even less animosity toward each other.


''They were beating us back in the day, like when they were really good,'' Florida receiver Josh Hammond said. ''And then I know Florida kind of got rolling toward the later end, the `90s and the early 2000s. That's as much as I know about it.''


What most of the players who will usher in the college football season Saturday night in Orlando missed was an annual rivalry that varied from good to great to one of the best in the country.


It's been one-sided of late, with the Hurricanes winning seven of eight and 12 of 16.


But the teams separated by 300 miles have provided several instant classics and plenty of hard feelings over eight decades.


Diaz, who grew up not too far from the historic Orange Bowl, only attended one Florida-Miami game. It was 1987, the last time the teams played annually. That was a 31-4 Miami romp . Florida's only scores came on a pair of safeties, both on long snaps that sailed out of the end zone.


''I do remember that day,'' Diaz said. ''It's hard to get four (points), so that's one you tend to remember.''


Others were equally memorable.


Florida led 33-10 late in the third quarter in 2003, putting then-coach Ron Zook in line for his biggest victory as Steve Spurrier's successor.


The Gators fell apart down the stretch. Brock Berlin threw for 340 yards, overcoming leg-buckling cramps and rallying Miami to a stunning 38-33 victory. That finish ranks high in series lore, right up there with right-hander George Mira's left-handed pass to beat Florida in 1961 and fullback James Jones' falling-backward, one-handed TD catch in the closing minutes to seal a victory for the Gators in 1982.


The Florida Flop, the Peach Pelting and the Bourbon Street Brawl have their place, too. But for different reasons.


With Florida leading 45-8 late in the fourth quarter of the 1971 season finale, defenders dropped to the ground and let the Hurricanes score so quarterback John Reaves could have the ball back and get the 15 yards he needed to break Jim Plunkett's record for NCAA career passing yards.


Miami coach Fran Curci refused to shake hands with Florida's Doug Dickey afterward and called it a ''bush-league stunt.'' Making matters worse, several Gators headed to the Orange Bowl's east end zone and jumped into a pool that housed Miami Dolphins mascot Flipper during NFL games.


The celebration fired up the Hurricanes for years.


The rivalry grew even more bitter in 1980, when Florida fans - angry that the Gators trailed Miami 28-7 late in Gainesville - threw oranges, tangerines, peaches and ice cubes at the Hurricanes, who were headed to the Peach Bowl. Miami coach Howard Schnellenberger was furious and ordered a field goal to add to the final margin.


Florida coach Urban Meyer repaid the Hurricanes in 2008 by sending Jonathan Phillips on to kick a 29-yard field goal with 25 seconds left , punctuating a 26-3 victory.


''Sometimes when you do things and people see what kind of person you really are, you turn a lot of people off,'' Miami coach Randy Shannon said the next day. ''Take from that what you want. It helped us more than you will ever know.''


For the Gators, the game played every season between 1938 and 1987 never reached the heights of Southeastern Conference rivalries with Georgia and Tennessee or the annual affair with Florida State.


So Florida dropped the Hurricanes in 1988 because it wanted to play a ''more national schedule. The Gators promptly replaced them with Montana State. Miami accused the Gators of pulling out because the Hurricanes were dominating them on field and on the national scene.


With Florida's recruiting efforts suffering in talent-rich Dade County, Steve Spurrier wanted the Hurricanes back on the schedule when he returned to his alma mater in 1990. But with the SEC expanding, there was no room.


After a 13-year hiatus, Florida and Miami played again in the 2001 Sugar Bowl. Just a few nights before Miami's 37-20 win, a handful of players from both teams mixed it up on Bourbon Street.


''Something's missing from your college football experience if Miami's not playing Florida,'' said former Miami player and current radio analyst Don Bailey Jr. ''It's just special. It's not they did this or we did that. Or they cost us this or we cost them that.


''For 50 years, both teams just hated each other. It wasn't a coach. It wasn't a player. It wasn't a university. It was just a theme.''


The series will pause again after Saturday's opener, and, barring a bowl matchup, will resume five years later. The schools agreed to a home-and-home series beginning at Florida Field in 2024.


By then, Wilson will have a taste of the once-storied rivalry and maybe a better memory than the only one he has: Miami's 21-16 victory in 2013.


''We don't need that happening again,'' Wilson said.
 

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Bo Nix listed as Auburn's starting QB
August 20, 2019
By The Associated Press



AUBURN, Ala. (AP) Freshman Bo Nix will make his Auburn debut as the starting quarterback on a big stage.


Nix was proclaimed the 16th-ranked Tigers' starter on Tuesday, ending a battle with redshirt freshman Joey Gatewood. Nix will take the field in Auburn's opener against No. 11 Oregon on Aug. 31 in Arlington, Texas.


''I think he had a very good fall camp,'' Auburn coach Gus Malzahn said Tuesday evening. ''I think there's a lot of intangibles that go with that. But at the end of the day it's just the consistency, and giving us the best chance of being successful.''


Nix was a five-star prospect, rated the nation's top dual-threat quarterback in the 247Sports composite rankings. Nix's father, Patrick, played quarterback for the Tigers from 1992-95 and was his high school coach.


''Obviously, it's a dream come true,'' Bo Nix said. ''I've always wanted to play quarterback at Auburn. It's a goal of mine that I've had for a long, long time, as far as I can remember. All the way back to throwing the football in the backyard with my dad, I wanted to play quarterback at Auburn. So it was just an awesome moment. You honestly couldn't write it any better.''


The 6-foot-2, 207-pound Nix enrolled in January after leading his father's Pinson Valley High School team to consecutive Class 6A state titles. He set Alabama state career records with 12,000-plus yards of total offense and 161 touchdowns accounted for, including 127 passing and 34 rushing.


''He's not your normal freshman,'' Malzahn said.


Nix and Gatewood emerged from a four-player competition in the spring, prompting former backup Malik Willis to transfer to Liberty.


Malzahn didn't rule out playing Gatewood in the first game.
 

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Friday’s 6-pack


Spreads, totals for college games next week:


— UCLA @ Cincinnati (-3, 60.5)


— Utah (-5, 48) @ BYU


— Utah State @ Wake Forest (-3.5, 63.5)


— Colorado State vs Colorado (-12.5, 58)


— Ole Miss @ Memphis (-6, 68)


— South Carolina (-7.5, 63) vs North Carolina


Quote of the Day
“It means I’m old. And I’ve had some special players.”
A’s manager Bob Melvin, after winning his 1,200th career game Wednesday


Friday’s quiz
Which famous (retired) college football coach was the starting QB for the 0-16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 1976?


Thursday’s quiz
Oregon State’s teams are known as the Beavers.


Wednesday’s quiz
Dick Cheney was the Vice-President when George W Bush was President.


*****************************


Friday’s List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…….


13) MGM took two huge bets on the Astros Wednesday:
$55,000 on Houston -$550 to win $10,000
$63,520 on Houston -$575 to win $11,000


Another bookmaker reported from Las Vegas on this game:
“Under our Listed Pitchers market, we have $10 on the Tigers. Literally. And $60K on the Astros.”


12) If you wagered $100 on the Astros in each of Justin Verlander’s last three starts, you’d be out a total of $1,170. Not good.


Verlander has allowed 57 runs this season; 40 of them scored on home runs.



11) I’m anxious to see what the sportsbook at Rivers Casino in Schenectady will be like when college football has its first full Saturday on August 31st. Would expect pretty big crowds, and the sportsbook is not a big area, but they do have lot of betting kiosks, so that should help.


10) SLS Las Vegas will officially become Sahara Las Vegas on August 29; the SLS used to be the Sahara- the original Sahara Hotel & Casino opened in 1952 with 240 rooms. It grew to more than 1,700 rooms after several add-ons and a final renovation in 2000.


I stayed there once, in 2015; good eating places, the tightest video poker machines ever— asked a bartender if anyone ever won there (I couldn’t win a single hand for like an hour). No sports book to speak of, just a counter to bet games. Beer garden was pretty popular.


My room was so small it made me laugh; seriously. They had mirrors all over, to make the room look bigger, even on the ceiling— the last damn thing I want to see while I’m laying in bed is me.


Pretty good place for eating/shopping, but not my kind of place.


9) Raiders 22, Packers 21— This game was played in Winnipeg; NFL fields are shorter than CFL fields, and the turf in one end zone where the goalposts usually are for Blue Bomber games was a little screwed up, so the teams played on an 80-yard field and there were no kickoffs.


Next week’s Hard Knocks should be pretty interesting.


8) Red Sox 5, Royals 4 (10)— This was the completion of a suspended game from August 7; Brock Holt got the game-winning hit.


Royals lost in Baltimore Wednesday night, then flew to Boston for this, which lasted a total of 11 pitches, and then flew to Cleveland, where they’ll likely lose more games this weekend.


7) Baseball stuff:
— Colorado put P Kyle Freeland (leg) on the IL.
— Pirates released C Francisco Cervelli
— Mets DFA’d SS Ruben Tejada.


6) As of Thursday night, 60% of money wagered on Saturday’s Miami-Florida (-7.5) game was on the Gators, while 69% of the money on the Hawai’i-Arizona (-11) game is on the Rainbows.


5) Ravens 26, Eagles 15— Baltimore has now won 16 preseason games in a row (13-2 vs spread), but 40-year old Josh McCown came off the bench and completed 17-24 passes for 192 yards and two TD’s, so Philly has their backup QB.


Game was stopped with 11:54 left (weather) and never resumed, so sides/totals wagers are refunds, which is a bitter pill for Baltimore backers.


4) Major League Baseball is prohibiting major league and minor league ballplayers from participating in the Venezuelan winter league this year, because our country recently placed an embargo on Venezuela.


Jose Altuve, Felix Hernandez, Pablo Sandoval, Ronald Acuna, Gleyber Torres, Ender Inciarte and Avisail Garcia are all from Venezuela; strong baseball country.


3) Bob Cousy received the Presidential Medal of Freedom Thursday night; Cousy, 91, won six NBA titles in his 13 years playing with the Celtics. He was MVP of the NBA in 1957, and also was a decent actor— he was Western U’s athletic director in the excellent movie Blue Chips.


Cousy was the only son of poor French immigrants living in New York City during the Depression; he spoke French only for the first five years of his life. Cousy’s father served in the German army during World War I.


2) Baltimore Orioles gave up their 259th home run this season Thursday, breaking the all-time single-season record previously held by the 2016 Reds.


1) ACC Network made its debut Thursday; it is channel 612 on DirecTV, right next to the Big 14 (610) and SEC (611) channels but nowhere near the Pac-12 Network, since DirecTV doesn’t carry that station.
 

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2019 college football


August 24



Florida’s QB has 21 starts, but their entire offensive line has only 24- very young. Miami has a new coach, new QB, and three sophs starting on OL. Gators are 7-7-1 vs spread in last 15 games on neutral fields. Last year, SEC teams were 8-1 vs spread (6-3 SU) when playing an ACC team, 5-1 when favored. Mullen covered nine of his last 10 non-SEC games. Last 10 years, Miami is 1-8 vs spread on neutral fields- last three years, they’re 8-6 vs spread outside the ACC. These teams last met six years ago, when Miami (+3) beat Florida 21-16- both sides changed coaches twice since then.


Arizona has a senior QB (20 starts); they’ve got 15 starters back- their OL has 52 returning starts. Wildcats are 7-11-2 vs spread in last 20 games as a road favorite, 6-12 vs spread in last 18 games outside Pac-12; since 2013, Wildcats are 12-7-1 ATS as a double digit favorite. Hawai’i is 1-4-1 ATS in last six games as a home underdog; since 2014, they’re 9-16-1 ATS in non-MW games. Rainbows’ OL has 81 returning starts- their junior QB has 12 starts. Last two years, Mountain West teams are 11-9 vs spread when playing a Pac-12 opponent (9-8 as a dog).




***********************************


NCAAF
Long Sheet


Saturday, August 24


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FLORIDA (10 - 3) at MIAMI (7 - 6) - 8/24/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 81-57 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ARIZONA (5 - 7) at HAWAII (8 - 6) - 8/24/2019, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
ARIZONA is 60-91 ATS (-40.1 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 116-149 ATS (-47.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
HAWAII is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




*************************************




NCAAF


Week 1



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Saturday, August 24


Florida @ Miami-FL

Florida
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Florida's last 8 games
Florida is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games


Miami-FL
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-FL's last 5 games
Miami-FL is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Florida


Arizona @ Hawaii
Arizona
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games


Hawaii
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 6 games at home
Hawaii is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games




*******************************




NCAAF
Dunkel


Week 1



Saturday, August 24


Miami-FL @ Florida



Game 291-292
August 24, 2019 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Miami-FL
91.954
Florida
104.893
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida
by 13
46
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 7
48 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida
(-7); Under


Arizona @ Hawaii



Game 293-294
August 24, 2019 @ 10:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
94.936
Hawaii
75.463
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 19 1/2
77
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
by 11
70
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-11); Over





*****************************
 

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Miami, FL vs. Florida
August 22, 2019
By Brian Edwards



College Football Saturday Betting Preview


Miami, FL vs. Florida (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

The 2019 college football season will get started Saturday night at Camping World Stadium in Orlando, where Florida and Miami will collide in a battle of old-school rivals. As of Aug. 13, most books had the Gators installed as seven-point favorites.


On Aug. 18, Vegas books made Florida a 7.5-point ‘chalk.’ As of Wednesday, just about every betting outlet had the Gators favored by 7.5 points, and that’s where the number remained as of early Thursday.


Most spots have the Hurricanes at +240 on the money line (risk $100 to win $240). DraftKings Sportsbook is offering adjusted lines for those extremely bullish on Florida. Gamblers can back the Gators at -12 for a +155 return, -13.5 (+180), -14 (+210) and -14.5 (+220).


The ‘over/under’ spent about a month at 50.5 points at most shops. However, after first-year Miami head coach Manny Diaz named redshirt freshman QB Jarren Williams as his starter on Aug. 12, the total moved from 50.5 to 48.5. It dropped to 47.5 the next day. For most of this week, the total has been 47 or 47.5 points at most books.


UF went 10-3 straight up and 9-4 against the spread in the first season of Dan Mullen’s tenure. The Gators return five starters on offense and eight on defense. They finished 2018 on a four-game winning streak, including blowout wins at Florida State (41-14) and vs. Michigan (41-15) at the Peach Bowl.


Junior quarterback Feleipe Franks was the catalyst in the final four games, throwing eight touchdown passes without an interception and rushing for four more scores. The Wakulla County High School (Fla.) product came a long way under Mullen, although he had terrible performances in all three defeats against Kentucky, Georgia and Missouri.


Franks has an arm and overall size that NFL scouts salivate over, and he’s proven himself to be a willing and physical runner between the tackles. It’s all about his decision-making, an area in which he made progress with last season but still needs improvement.


Franks has talent galore around him, including the best set of wide receivers UF has had in at least a decade. The running back position is stacked as well with Lamical Perine, Malik Davis and Dameon Pierce. The position group of the most concern – not just on offensively, but on the entire team – is the offensive line.


Only one starter, senior center Nick Buchannan, returns from last season. With that said, junior OG Brett Heggie started eight games in 2017 and many observers felt he was playing like the best o-linemen on the team when he tore his ACL at Missouri. Heggie returned and played eight games last year, but he wasn’t in top form health-wise like he is now.


UF’s defense gave up 20.0 points per game in 2018. We noted eight starters returning, but it’s really like 10 when you take sophomore CB Marco Wilson and senior DE Jonathan Greenard. Wilson started all 11 games as a true freshman in 2017, only to tear his ACL in the first quarter of a Week 2 loss to Kentucky last season. Greenard has 10 career starts and 9.5 sacks from his time at Louisville in 2016 and ’17. He’s played under DC Todd Grantham at U of L, so he’s already familiar with the scheme.


The stars of the UF defense are senior LB David Reese, junior CB C.J. Henderson and senior DE Jabari Zuniga. Reese, who has 25 career starts to his credit, had 77 tackles last year and was a second-team All-SEC selection in 2017. Henderson is a preseason All-American (either first or second-team at every publication I’ve seen), a second-team All-SEC choice from last year and a projected first-round pick in the 2020 NFL Draft.


Zuniga produced 45 tackles, 6.5 sacks, 4.5 tackles for loss and four QB hurries in ’18. He has 15.5 career sacks and 21 career QB hurries.


Miami finished ’18 at 7-6 SU and 5-8 ATS, losing five of its last seven games to prompt Mark Richt to retire after going 26-13 in three years at his alma mater. Diaz takes his place after a career spent as a DC at schools like Middle Tennessee, Mississippi State, Texas, Louisiana Tech and UM.


The Hurricanes return 12 starters, six on each side of the ball. UM’s defense gave up merely 19.5 PPG last year, and this group features a pair of preseason All-Americans in LBs Shaquille Quarterman and Michael Pinckney. Quarterman was a preseason second-team All-American in Phil Steele’s preseason mag, while Pinckney was a fourth-teamer.


Quarterman earned first-team All-ACC honors last year when he recorded 82 tackles, eight TFL’s, six sacks, six QB hurries, two passes broken up, one interception and one forced fumble. He has 25 career TFL’s and 11.5 sacks. Pinckney was a third-team All-ACC choice in ’18, producing 74 tackles, 7.5 TFL’s, 3.5 sacks, five QB hurries, two PBU and one interception.


Most betting shops with odds to win the ACC and its two divisions have Miami as the ‘chalk’ (+165-ish) to take the Coastal. Clemson is an enormous favorite to win the ACC (around -330), with most shops using the Hurricanes for the second-shortest odds at about 13/1.


Miami lost its leading rusher (Travis Homer, 985 yards), but DeeJay Dallas is back for his junior campaign. Dallas rushed for 617 yards and six TDs while averaging 5.7 yards per carry in ’18. Sophomore RB Lorenzo Lingard is ‘out’ vs. UF due to a knee injury. Lingard, a former five-star recruit, played in only six games as a true freshman last year, rushing for 138 yards and two TDs on 17 attempts (8.0 YPC).


The ‘Canes have an elite tight end and their best wideout back in the mix, and they scored an outstanding grad transfer from Buffalo. K.J. Osborn started 14 games for the 10-4 Bulls last season, producing 53 catches for 892 yards and seven TDs. Osborn joins WR Jeff Thomas, who had 35 receptions for 563 yards and three TDs in ’18. TE Brevin Jordan lived up to his 5-star status as a true freshman last year, garnering second-team All-ACC honors when he made 32 catches for 287 yards and four TDs.


Miami owns a 7-1 record both SU and ATS in the last eight head-to-head meetings between these in-state rivals since 1986. The ‘under’ is 5-2 in the past seven UF-UM encounters.


These schools last met on Sept. 7 of 2013. Miami won a 21-16 decision as a three-point home underdog.


Florida dominated the game between the 20s, but advantages of 22-10 in first downs and 413-212 in total offense were washed away by five turnovers (four in the red zone) and a failed fourth-down attempt deep in UM territory. This game started the demise of Jeff Driskel as a Gator and Will Muschamp’s tenure.


According to weather.com, the forecast for Saturday night in Orlando calls for partly cloudy skies and only a 20-percent chance of precipitation. There’s a 40 percent chance of rain earlier in the afternoon. Temperatures will mostly be in the 80s, with an afternoon high of 90 degrees and a low of 76 degrees Saturday night.


Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.


**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**


-- Most books have UF and UM’s season win total at 8.5. The price for the ‘over’ on the Gators is in the -135 neighborhood, while the Hurricanes are priced at around -150 for ‘over’ supporters.


-- I was in the stadiums – including the Orange Bowl in 1987, the Superdome in 2001, The Swamp in 2002 and the Georgia Dome in 2004 – for four of UF’s seven recent defeats against the ‘Canes. My only trip to the OB was for Emmitt Smith’s first game as a Gator. UM won 31-4 thanks to bad snaps for safeties by its long snapper on punts. On Jan. 2 of 2001, Miami captured a 37-20 win at the Sugar Bowl in Butch Davis’s last game before taking the Cleveland Browns job. On Sept. 7 of 2002, Ken Dorsey pieced up UF’s defense in a 41-16 win that was a misleading final with the ‘Canes getting a pick-six (and 14-point swing) that went for 100-plus yards.


On Sept. 6 of ’03, my 29th birthday was ruined by former Gator QB Brock Berlin, who rallied UM from a 33-14 third-quarter deficit to win by a 38-33 count. With Charlie Strong serving as interim head coach after Ron Zook had been fired (why the hell Jeremy Foley ever hired him will puzzle all until the end of time!), Miami beat UF 27-10 at the Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl in Atlanta. Then on my 34th birthday (9/6/08) while I was on press row at UFC 88 (my first UFC event, the night Rashad Evans knocked out Chuck Liddell and I thought ‘The Iceman’ was dead for at least 90 seconds), Urban Meyer elected to kick a field goal in the final 30 seconds that gave the Gators a 26-3 win and the spread cover as 22.5-point home ‘chalk.’ Randy Shannon was livid at Meyer for doing so. Really, Randy? In UF's only win over Miami since the '80s, it was being a spoiled sport for getting a 3-pointer to cover the number? Please. Shannon actually became a UF assistant under Jim McElwain and served as interim head coach after McElwain was pink slipped in 2017.


Speaking of late FGs in a game at The Swamp, I was in attendance and furious as a kid in the 1983 season opener when Howard Schnellenberger sent his kicker out on the last play of the game. The Gators were ahead 28-0 looking to polish off some cream-cheese treatment to the 'Canes, but Schnellenberger wasn't in the mood for a bagel on that day. The UM kicker made a long FG to make it a 28-3 final. That 'Canes squad won out and edged Nebraska at the Orange Bowl to win the national title.


-- Hawaii will host Arizona at 10:30 p.m. Eastern on the CBS Sports Network. As of Aug. 22, most books had Kevin Sumlin’s Wildcats installed as 11-point road favorites. The total was 70.5 points for several weeks before moving to 74 overnight earlier this week. Bettors can take the Rainbow Warriors to win outright for a +325 return. They finished last year with an 8-6 SU record and a 5-9 ATS mark. UH brings back 18 total starters with nine apiece returning on each side of the ball. Cole McDonald threw for 3,875 yards with a 36/10 TD-INT ratio in 2018. He lost top WR target John Ursua, but WRs Cedric Byrd (79 catches, 970 receiving yards and nine TD grabs) and JoJo Ward (51-865-9) are back. Also, UH adds former 4-star recruit Melquise Stovall, who went JUCO after starting seven games and producing 415 receiving yards for the Cal Bears in 2016.


Arizona was a disappointing 5-7 SU and 7-5 ATS in Sumlin’s first year on the job. The Wildcats have seven starters coming back on offense and eight on defense. Senior QB Khalil Tate threw for 2,530 yards with a 26/8 TD-INT ratio last season, but he lost his top four WRs. RB J.J. Taylor returns after rushing for 1,434 yards and six TDs with a 5.6 YPC average. Junior LB Colin Schooler is an All-American candidate after recording 119 tackles, 18 TFL’s, five QB hurries, four PBU, 3.5 sacks and two interceptions.


-- Vanderbilt’s Derek Mason told the media that he won’t announce a starting quarterback for his team’s Week 1 home game against Georgia until the signal caller goes on the field and into the huddle for the first possession. With Kyle Shurmur gone, Deuce Wallace and Ball State grad transfer Riley Neal are battling for the job. Neal started 32 games for the Cardinals, throwing for 7,393 yards with a 46/25 TD-INT ratio. Neal has 1,363 career rushing yards and 15 TDs. UGA is a 21-point road favorite.
 

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Arizona at Hawaii
August 22, 2019
By Matt Blunt



College Football Saturday Betting Preview


Arizona at Hawaii (CBSSN, 10:30 p.m. ET)

We've finally got meaningful college football games to talk about, as the 2019 season gets started on Saturday with a double-header of games. The first being Miami vs Florida will be one that generates plenty of action on Saturday, but it's the nightcap out west between Arizona and Hawaii that I'm looking to focus on today.


The Arizona Wildcats are looking to improve upon a tough 2018 season where it was a year where health issues arguably held both programs back from reaching the peaks of their potential. That was definitely true for Arizona QB Khalil Tate who battled injuries while trying to become a predominantly pocket passer in HC Kevin Sumlin's first year with the program and none of it really worked out.


Tate was the talk of college football for about a month in 2017 when he was using his big arm along with his legs to make big play after big play for Arizona on a weekly basis. Reverting back to that form in 2019 will help Arizona's prospects tremendously, and it's something to look out for from Arizona early in the year.


So will Tate and Arizona come out of the gates hot and cover as a double-digit road favorite, or will the trend of backing Hawaii as an underdog pay off once again like it did early in the 2018 season?


College Football Odds: Arizona (-11); Total set at 72.5


This Hawaii program was making waves in the betting market at this time a year ago, as they opened up the 2018 season with a 43-34 win @ Colorado State as a +17 underdog, and followed that up a week later with a 59-41 win at home catching 13.5 points against Navy. Those two SU and ATS wins were great victories for bettors that were savvy enough to back the Rainbow Warriors, as it was a scenario that became well known in betting markets.


Well, a full year later, it seems like those early season wins by Hawaii last year are at the forefront of everyone's memories again, as the Rainbow Warriors have taken a slight majority of the support (55%+) to put them in the conversation for potentially being a 'public underdog.' There are plenty of football reasons – either for Hawaii or in terms of fading Arizona – behind the Hawaii backing as well, but when the common refrain in previewing this game is that “it looks like it's too many points to give Hawaii” - chances are that line of thought is too heavily influenced by what Hawaii did in late August-early September a year ago.


Now don't get me wrong, this could very well be too many points to give Hawaii, as this team does have eight starters returning on offense from last year's 8-6 SU team. QB Cole McDonald was the catalyst behind those early season upset victories a year ago, and he should be an entertaining player to watch again this year. Hawaii's best path to winning games is through the play of McDonald and the offense putting up 30+ points a game, as the Rainbow Warriors were 7-0 SU last year when they scored 30 or more, and 1-6 SU when they didn't.


So Hawaii should be able to move the ball fairly well against an Arizona defense that still needs plenty of improvement in 2019. This Arizona team should take strides in reaching a sustained level of improvement on defense this year, as they'll need to be better to compete in the Pac-12. The Pac-12 may be full of parity again this year that keeps it from being recognized on the national stage, but in general, every school in the conference has better talent from top to bottom then what Mountain West (Colorado State) or Armed Forces (Navy) schools have on the football field.


That makes it highly dangerous to compare Hawaii's early season upsets against those teams to this year's game with Arizona under the statement that it looks like Hawaii is getting too many points. Yes, on the surface, Hawaii catching 11 at home in Game 1 of a new season with everyone healthy looks like a lot considering they were catching 17 and 13.5 respectively to start last year and won both outright by at least 9 points, but context and competition level matters, and that's always lost from varying perspectives when market previews get discussed at length for these stand-alone type games. That's not a ringing endorsement of backing Arizona at -11, but oddsmakers remember what Hawaii did 12 months ago too, and still don't fear hanging another double-digit spread on the Rainbow Warriors. That says quite an significant message too.


Instead, if you do believe Hawaii will play well enough to at worst hang around in this game, the better betting look has to be on the 'over'. This total saw a quick spike from 70 to 74 before some buy back on the 'under' came, but unless early season rust plagues both offenses, this game does set up for a lot of points to be scored.


Hawaii was undefeated last year when they scored 30+, so you know that's a mark that they'll want to get to and have discussed internally leading up to this game. Arizona allowed 32.6 points per game a year ago, and even with the Wildcats goal of significant improvement on that side of the ball this year, it won't all show up in Week 1. So 30+ from Hawaii on offenseis more then a realistic expectation for this game, and even getting to 40+ isn't out of the question.


From there, if you are to assume that the point spread is relatively sharp for an opening game, that puts Khalil Tate and this Arizona offense scoring 40+ in this contest. That scenario alone is likely behind some of that early 'over' money at the initial number of 70, but now that it's back closer to that initial number, I'm fine with taking a bit of a bad number at 72.5. If these two teams go back and forth as expected (Hawaii allowed 35.1 points per game in 2018) I'm not sure a point or two will really matter. Either these guys end up with 75+ points, or they don't pass the 70 opener number when it's all said and done.


I'm betting the former though, as Tate's self-evaluation of needing to get back to the dual-threat QB he was two years ago is more beneficial to the bottom line of Arizona's football team this year. Combined with a sharper throwing arm simply from practicing to be a pocket-style QB for the past 12 months, makes him a much more polished threat on offense then even the one who was scoring 40+ for the entire month of October (four straight games) back in 2017.


So give me the high side of this total, as Hawaii is 12-4 O/U in their last 16 non-conference games as a program, and Arizona has a 3-1 O/U run going the past four years in their first road game of the year.


Best Bet: Over 72.5 points
 

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Hawaii loves to put points on the board
 

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No. 8 Florida, Miami embrace spotlight
August 23, 2019
By The Associated Press



ORLANDO, Fla. (AP) Florida and Miami have the college football stage to themselves for 3 + hours Saturday, a new chapter in their once-heated and storied rivalry.


The eighth-ranked Gators and the rebuilding Hurricanes will usher in the 2019 season inside a packed stadium in Orlando, surrounded by sideline celebrities and in front of a coast-to-coast television audience.


''Everybody's watching,'' Florida receiver Freddie Swain said. ''Who doesn't like attention?''


The winner surely will revel in the spotlight, and both teams have embraced the opportunity to set the tone for the season in front of way more than friends, fans and family members.


''What are they going to see?'' Florida coach Dan Mullen said. ''What's our stamp? When every college person in the country turns on their TV, what's their thought when they see the Florida Gators? We have to go out there and live up to that on the field.


''What do you want them to think about you?''


The Gators certainly think highly of themselves, especially after notching 10 wins in Mullen's first season and closing out that inaugural campaign with resounding victories against Florida State (41-14) and Michigan (41-15).


Florida now has its highest preseason ranking since Urban Meyer's final year in Gainesville in 2010 and sounds more than optimistic heading into the opener. Players don't seem to care - most don't even know - that they've lost seven of the last eight and 12 of 16 against Miami.


''I think this team is really special,'' Gators quarterback Feleipe Franks said. ''We expect to go out there and win every Saturday and try to make it a playoff contender and win a championship here again. That's the expectations here every year.''


It hasn't been the reality since Meyer's departure.


But Mullen has the program on the upswing. Florida jumped eight spots, from 13th to fifth, in scoring in the Southeastern Conference during Mullen's debut season - the kind of offensive prowess that's been missing in Gainesville since Tim Tebow graduated.


Miami coach Manny Diaz, who spent two years working for Mullen at Mississippi State, can only hope for something similar in his first season as a head coach. The team's former defensive coordinator inherited a team mixed with holdovers and holes.


''I want to find out can we handle adversity,'' he said.


Diaz brought in former Miami coach Jimmy Johnson, who also won three Super Bowls with the Dallas Cowboys, to speak to his players this week. Mullen countered with Tebow, who won his only game against the Hurricanes.


Johnson went 3-1 against Florida during his stint with the Canes and certainly has more insight into the series than others around town.


''Being in this city, with so much history and things like that, it's hard to stay focused,'' Miami linebacker Shaq Quarterman said. ''You can go to Winn-Dixie and a fan will try to give you the illustrious history of Miami and why this game is so important.''


Here are some other things to know about the 56th meeting between the schools:


WILLIAMS WATCH


Miami's Jarren Williams will become the Hurricanes' 13th different starting quarterback in the last 20 years , and if history is any indicator, he won't put up massive numbers against the Gators. Starting with Ken Dorsey's debut in 1999, Miami quarterbacks have averaged 177 yards passing in their first starts. Malik Rosier threw for the most out of that group, 272 yards against Duke in 2015.


''He hasn't been in that fire. He hasn't been in the heat. He hasn't seen a bunch of pressure coming at him,'' Florida defensive tackle Adam Shuler said. ''If we do our job, we can rattle him.''


FRESH FACES


Keep an eye on both offensive lines, which could have their hands full against stout defenses.


Florida has four new starters up front, including tackles Stone Forsythe and Jean Delance. Miami is even younger, with tackles Zion Nelson and John Campbell making their first career starts against the Gators.


GAMEDAY, SORT OF


ESPN will air its signature ''College GameDay'' show from Disney World's Magic Kingdom on Saturday, but there are rules - such as no signs and no flags. And that means the Washington State flag, which has flown at every GameDay site since 2003, might see its appearance streak end. Ol' Crimson, as it is known, has been to at least 72 cities and 34 states for GameDay since its streak of flying high on the show began.
 

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Arizona-Hawaii matchup promises fireworks
August 23, 2019
By The Associated Press



HONOLULU (AP) Arizona's season-opening matchup against Hawaii will be a study in contrasting offensive styles.


While both teams ranked in the top 50 nationally in total offense in 2018, the Wildcats did a lot of their damage on the ground, averaging 202.4 rushing yards per game, which led the Pac-12. The Rainbow Warriors' pass-heavy attack, meanwhile, aired it out at a clip of 310.3 yards per game, tops in the Mountain West.


Arizona running back J.J. Taylor and Hawaii quarterback Cole McDonald are expected to take center stage when the teams meet Saturday for the first time since 2016.


Taylor, a 5-foot-6, 185-pound redshirt junior, ran for 1,434 yards last season, good for seventh nationally. It was the fourth-highest single-season rushing performance in Wildcats history.


McDonald, a 6-foot-4, 220-pound junior, finished eighth nationally in passing yards (3,875) and sixth in passing touchdowns (36). He threw for over 300 yards seven times and eclipsed the 400-yard mark three times last season.


''The scary part about this guy, McDonald, is he had a great year last year ... and he's coming back this year bigger and stronger, so they've got some weapons offensively and defensively, but I think they've got a quarterback that's as good as probably there is in the country,'' Arizona second-year coach Kevin Sumlin said.


McDonald has been named to the preseason watch lists for the Manning, Maxwell, Davey O'Brien and Johnny Unitas Golden Arm awards. Taylor is also on the Maxwell Award watch list, along with the Doak Walker Award.


Hawaii coach Nick Rolovich said slowing down Taylor and the Wildcats will require discipline.


''This is about all-out effort to the ball, this is about good tackling, this is about getting them down and seeing if we can get some takeaways because if they make you miss, they have the ability to take it as far as they need to go,'' Rolovich said.


The Rainbow Warriors are coming off an 8-6 record and their first winning season since 2010.


Arizona went 5-7 in 2018 and is tabbed for a fifth-place finish in the Pac-12 South.


A few more things to look for when the Wildcats and Rainbow Warriors meet:


CONTINUITY COUNTS:
Not only does Hawaii return 20 starters from a year ago - which ties them for the most in the nation with the quartet of Ball State, Indiana, Michigan State and Oregon - it also managed to go through the offseason without any turnover on its coaching staff.


Among the new additions to the Arizona staff this year is running backs coach DeMarco Murray, who played seven years in the NFL. Murray played his college ball at Oklahoma, where Sumlin served as co-offensive coordinator in 2007 when the Sooners won 11 games, including the Fiesta Bowl.

TRIBUTE TO TOMEY:
Dick Tomey, who coached at both Hawaii and Arizona, will be honored Saturday. Tomey passed away in May at the age of 80 after a battle with lung cancer. Several of Tomey's family members will be in attendance and Arizona players will wear a ''DT'' sticker on their helmets in his honor.


Tomey went 63-46-3 in 10 seasons at Hawaii (1977-86) and also served as special teams coordinator in 2011. After leaving for Arizona in 1987, Tomey coached 14 seasons with the Wildcats (1987-00), led them to seven bowl appearances and finished as the school's winningest coach with a record of 95-64-4.


YOU AGAIN: The Wildcats will open against the Rainbow Warriors for the third time in program history and are seeking their fourth win in Honolulu in as many tries. They have won all five previous meetings in the series, including a 47-28 win in Tucson the last time the teams met on Sept. 17, 2016. The two also met in a season opener in 1952, when Arizona hosted Hawaii and won 57-7, and in 1998, when the Wildcats made their last visit to Aloha Stadium and came away with a 27-6 win.


EARLY START: Saturday's opener will mark the earliest start to a season for both programs.


The teams will open the 2020 season against each other in Tucson.


Hawaii will take on two more Pac-12 opponents, Oregon State and No. 13 Washington, in the coming weeks.
 

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Hot & Not Report - Week 1
Matt Blunt

Week of August 26th

With last week's piece focusing on what's now come and gone for Week of the NFL preseason, I'd like to bid adieu to the NFL for just a week. The first full opening week of college football is upon us this week, and Week 4 of the NFL preseason is just a week that's best to take off unless you are really into researching and reading up the bottom halves of every NFL team's potential depth chart. Instead, it's on to the collegiate world this week with the emphasis being on two specific conferences: the Pac-12 and the SEC.

These are two conferences that have been on opposite ends of the spectrum for the most part when in comes to discussing college football on the national stage the past few years, as the SEC is still the flag bearer for this sport in terms of overall depth, talent and churning out NFL-caliber players.

But chaos can be beautiful too, and while the Pac-12 gets called out for its parity and how they never have one/two really elite teams, once conference play gets going, Pac-12 games can be some of the most entertaining out there because of that same parity in regards to it being up in the air as to who will win.

Either way, there are some specific football programs from both conferences that have had good/bad runs in season openers the past few years, and they've drawn my eye for this week. And while trends are just simply a small piece of the entire picture, they can serve as a solid place to start in terms of game selection, so here are a few SEC/Pac-12 schools to hone in on as play on or against programs for this first game of the year.

Who's Hot

They'd better be wearing RED
Alabama (4-0 ATS)
Texas A&M (5-0 ATS)
Georgia (4-1 ATS)
Stanford (4-1 ATS)


Right off the bat I've probably got to make the distinction that Texas A&M actually wears maroon as to not upset Aggies fans, but that's a close enough shade to red for me to include them in this group. Besides, with a 5-0 ATS run going in season opener's the past five years, and a home game on Thursday coming up for Texas A&M as massive -33.5 point favorites vs Texas State, there is a Day 1 game for bettors to sink their teeth into further.

Furthermore, 'maroon' can be defined as a “brownish crimson” color which brings me to one of the other teams on this list in the Alabama Crimson Tide.

Alabama has covered the number in each of their previous four season openers, and they've done so despite scheduling some 'supposed' tough opponents for themselves in that first game of a campaign. Louisville, Florida State, USC, and Wisconsin were all vanquished by Nick Saban's powerhouse program in season openers the past four years, and this week has Saban and the Tide laying 30+ against Duke. Considering Duke's in a bit of a transitional year with QB Daniel Jones moving on, bettors should probably not be afraid to lay all that chalk with Alabama this weekend. The spread has already been bumped a few points Alabama's way, and given that their average margin of victory against those quality foes in the past four season openers is still 32 points, blowing out a fresh-faced Duke team should be easily in the cards.

Of the other teams listed above, Georgia's laying 20+ on the road in a SEC rivalry game against Vanderbilt (who are on a 4-0 ATS run in season openers themselves) in a spot that might be best to stay away from, while a ranked Stanford team hosts a ranked Northwestern team (in coaches poll) is laying about a TD (-6.5) at home.

Stanford's going through a bit of a transitional phase this year too with Bryce Love having moved on, as it's on QB K.J Costello and a bunch of new faces to keep this proud program moving forward in the Pac-12. Given the schedule the Cardinal have – Northwestern, @ USC, vs Notre Dame only non-conference games – a SU and ATS win over the Wildcats later this week could propel Stanford on their way to one heck of a season. Recent history suggests we will get the best out of Stanford to start, and Northwestern as a fringe Top 25 team might be a little ambitious for Pat Fitzgerald's program.


Who's Not

The traditional 'basketball' schools
Kentucky (0-4 ATS)
UCLA (1-4 ATS)


I did think about adding Missouri's 1-4 ATS run in season openers to this list as well, but then the header would have to be Wizard of Oz related (Lions, Tigers, and Bears, Oh my) and even then it's hard to truly consider 'wildcats' as 'lions'. So it's just the two traditional basketball schools from these conferences that get the spotlight this week and both better be prepared to shine brighter than they have in recent season openers if they want to gain some respect in the betting market.

For UCLA, it's a road trip to Cincinnati as small road underdogs on Thursday, in a game that has already seen the Bruins take enough action to push them down and through that key number of +3.

UCLA opened up in the +3.5/4 range way back when, and is currently sitting at+2.5 everywhere. It's Year 2 for Chip Kelly's team, and one that should bring plenty of improvement for this Bruins squad, but historically slow starts in openers has to give pause on jumping on board the Bruins now.

Last year's season opener loss did come to this same Cincinnati team (26-17 loss) as double-digit home favorites for the Bruins, so the revenge angle is on their side, but having had this line move through that key number already, it's extremely hard to take the Bruins at +2.5 now based on a pure numbers perspective. With recent ATS history working against the Bruins as well, this could be one of those games that lands as a Cincinnati win by a FG in where UCLA's bad ATS run in season openers against the closing number continues. Keep an eye out for that.

Kentucky is at home in Week 1 laying 10.5/11 points to a visiting Toledo team that won't be a push over. Toledo is expected to compete for a MAC title this year, and with nine returning starters on the defensive side of the ball, Kentucky's QB Terry Wilson better be prepared to show some growth in his passing game skills right from the outset.

In fact, the MAC is still a conference that seemingly improves from top to bottom each year and gets treated like a doormat at times from some programs that are in bigger conferences but have suspect talent on the football field. Reputation on a name can only go so far, and Kentucky's in for a few changes this year as it is. That's not to say Toledo wins this game outright, but given the opponent, spread, and ATS historical history.
 

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Utah-BYU landing plenty of Week 1 college football cash, as bettors hit Utes' odds
Patrick Everson

Utah quarterback Tyler Huntley missed the last five games of the 2018-19 season with a broken collarbone. But he's healthy now, and the Utes are 6-point favorites at Brigham Young on Thursday.

Week 1 of the college football season features a big Pac-12/SEC clash, but a lower-profile Pac-12/Mountain West rivalry game is getting much more attention from bettors. Covers checks in on the opening lines and odds movement for four key contests this week, with insights from Nick Bogdanovich, director of trading for William Hill US.

No. 15 Utah Utes at Brigham Young Cougars (+6)

Utah went on a 7-1 SU run (6-2 ATS) to win the Pac-12 South Division and land in last season’s conference title game, then lost a grind-it-out game 10-3 to Washington as a 4.5-point neutral-site underdog. The Utes fell to Northwestern 31-20 as 6.5-point favorites in the Holiday Bowl to finish 9-5 SU and 7-7 ATS.

Brigham Young was barely bowl-eligible last year, with a 6-6 SU regular-season mark, but a more-than-respectable 8-4 ATS record. The Cougars then boatraced Western Michigan 49-18 as 10-point favorites in the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl.

These instate rivals met in the regular-season finale last year, with Utah winning 35-27 at home but BYU cashing as a 10.5-point pup. Although the line on this year’s meeting – first posted on June 8 – tightened by a point to Utah -5 in the past week, money is going against the home team for Thursday’s 10:15 p.m. ET kickoff.

“All the money is on Utah, but that’s all square action. We’ve got that book in Wendover,” Bogdanovich said, noting William Hill’s shop on the Utah/Nevada border, less than two hours from Salt Lake City. “It’s a short drive. Sixty percent of our action on that game will come from Wendover. They bet like crazy. It looks like the biggest-bet game so far. Both teams are perceived to be pretty good.”
Pac-12 2019 college football predictions and best bets: Will a CFP contender emerge?


No. 13 Oregon Ducks vs. No. 16 Auburn Tigers (-3)

A neutral-site nonconference battle among top-20 teams could provide an early-season boost to College Football Playoff hopes. Auburn is coming off an 8-5 SU campaign (6-6 ATS), capped by a 63-14 beatdown of Purdue laying 3.5 points in the Music City Bowl.

Oregon went 9-4 SU last year (5-8 ATS), winning three of its last four regular-season games to land a spot in the Redbox Bowl. In that New Year’s Eve contest, the Ducks won a 7-6 snoozer as 1-point ‘dogs against Michigan State.

Auburn opened -3 on June 8 and ticked down to 2.5 a day later, but the Tigers moved to -3.5 in the past week.

“We’re dead even to it, but there’s not much money in the pot,” Bogdanovich said. “The masses usually don’t get involved this early, but what money we do have is two-way action.”

The Pac-12/SEC contest is at 7:30 p.m. ET Saturday at AT&T Stadium, home of the Dallas Cowboys.


Duke Blue Devils vs. No. 2 Alabama Crimson Tide (-32)

Alabama, which has reached all five CFPs, opens the 2019-20 season with a neutral-site game at Atlanta’s Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Crimson Tide went 14-1 SU last year (8-7 ATS), with the only loss coming in blowout fashion in the CFP final, a 44-16 setback to Clemson as 5-point favorites. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is back at the helm and is the Heisman Trophy favorites.

Duke won its first four games and five of its first six last season, then went 2-4 in the back half to narrowly nab a bowl bid. But the Blue Devils took advantage of the Independence Bowl spot, drubbing Temple 56-27 catching 3.5 points to finish 8-5 SU (7-6 ATS).

Alabama opened as monster chalk on June 8, but that hasn’t dissuaded bettors for Saturday’s 3:30 p.m. ET matchup.

“There’s plenty of money for Alabama – points, parlays and moneyline parlays,” Bogdanovich said in noting the line is up to -34.5. “That’s one of the bigger-bet games of Week 1.”


UCLA Bruins at Cincinnati Bearcats (-4.5)

Chip Kelly’s first year at UCLA was nothing to write home about, unless you like writing bad letters. The Bruins went 3-9 SU (5-6-1 ATS), unable to recover from an 0-5 start that just so happened to begin with a 26-17 upset loss to Cincinnati as 14-point home faves.

On the flipside, Cincy used that victory as a springboard to a 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS start and finished with one of the best years in school history, at 11-2 SU (7-6 ATS). The Bearcats wrapped up the season with a 35-31 victory over Virginia Tech giving 5.5 points in the Military Bowl.

That said, bettors seem to think Kelly and the Bruins are worth supporting in this Thursday night road game, with a 7 p.m. ET kickoff.

“There’s money for UCLA,” Bogdanovich said of a line that opened Cincinnati -4.5 on June 8 and dropped to -3.5 within a couple of days. The Bearcats have been at -3 since July 24.
 

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