Mistaflava's 2019 CFL Record: 0-0 ATS (+0.00 Units)
Haven't been posting any plays this season but I don't typically bet CFL games much. It's Labor Day today on both sides of the border so figured might as well get in on the action before returning to college football later tonight. Will likely have 1-2 plays per week moving forward.
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Monday, September 2
Toronto Argonauts +12 (10 Units)
The Toronto Argonauts are the league's worst team and their 1-8 SU record is a good indication of that but on that same note they have been competitive at times and I think the number is just way too high in such a heated rivalry game like this one. Went and did a bit of research on this one and in their history the Argos are 0-2 ATS in Labour Day games in Hamilton as an underdog of 10 or more points (last time being in 2016) but I think this team has turned a corner. They are coming off a pretty good showing in Montreal where they covered the spread and they did drop 26 on the league's best defense (Edmonton) the week before. In their last three games played the Toronto offense is averaging 91.0 total yards more per game than the Hamilton offense on 0.7 yards per play more. The Ticats defense has allowed 8.5 yards per play their last three games and that's not good. The Argos ground game is really starting to make an impact averaging 6.6 yards per carry their last three games and Hamilton has allowed 5.7 yards per carry their last three. So despite allowing only 17.0 points per game their last three, the numbers speak the truth and Toronto should score in this one.
The Hamilton Tigercats are going through it with the injuries right now and it will probably impact this game quite a bit. Sure they have won three straight and 5 of their last 6 overall but they have covered the spread only once in their last four games overall and have been outyarded in 5 of their last 6 games. So basically they don't play well but they still find a way to win games. Not sure that will hold up in a big time rivalry game like this one with the sun shining down on Steele town! Two of Hamilton's last three wins have come against British Columbia and they covered the spread in neither. The offense is averaging only 23.0 points per game in their last three and only 358.3 total yards of offense per game. The Argos defense has not been good and has mostly been the reason this team can't win games (32.0 points per game allowed in their last three games) but Hamilton is turning the ball over 1.3 times per game and averaging 10.7 penalties per game in their last three. They have struggled in the running game and have scored a total of only 9 points in the first quarter of their last three games combined. WOW!
This is such a bitter rivalry. Both cities so close to each other, sun shining down on the final day before school is back in and you can bet your bottom dollar fans from both sides will be getting into it in the stands. The Argos, despite the horrendous record this season and despite being terrible the last 6-7 Labour Day Classics, will finally have a shot in this game when people least expect it. RB James Wilder (FSU) is starting again and although all the ATS trends both this season and in this series the last 7-8 years point to a Hamilton win and cover, the Argos have nothing to lose, no expectations and they have been playing better while Hamilton have been trending the other way (0-3-1 ATS in their last four games). I'm going Argos to cover and possibly win.
Trend of the Game: Hamilton is 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games!
Toronto 34, Hamilton 28
GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE!
:toast:
Haven't been posting any plays this season but I don't typically bet CFL games much. It's Labor Day today on both sides of the border so figured might as well get in on the action before returning to college football later tonight. Will likely have 1-2 plays per week moving forward.
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Monday, September 2
Toronto Argonauts +12 (10 Units)
The Toronto Argonauts are the league's worst team and their 1-8 SU record is a good indication of that but on that same note they have been competitive at times and I think the number is just way too high in such a heated rivalry game like this one. Went and did a bit of research on this one and in their history the Argos are 0-2 ATS in Labour Day games in Hamilton as an underdog of 10 or more points (last time being in 2016) but I think this team has turned a corner. They are coming off a pretty good showing in Montreal where they covered the spread and they did drop 26 on the league's best defense (Edmonton) the week before. In their last three games played the Toronto offense is averaging 91.0 total yards more per game than the Hamilton offense on 0.7 yards per play more. The Ticats defense has allowed 8.5 yards per play their last three games and that's not good. The Argos ground game is really starting to make an impact averaging 6.6 yards per carry their last three games and Hamilton has allowed 5.7 yards per carry their last three. So despite allowing only 17.0 points per game their last three, the numbers speak the truth and Toronto should score in this one.
The Hamilton Tigercats are going through it with the injuries right now and it will probably impact this game quite a bit. Sure they have won three straight and 5 of their last 6 overall but they have covered the spread only once in their last four games overall and have been outyarded in 5 of their last 6 games. So basically they don't play well but they still find a way to win games. Not sure that will hold up in a big time rivalry game like this one with the sun shining down on Steele town! Two of Hamilton's last three wins have come against British Columbia and they covered the spread in neither. The offense is averaging only 23.0 points per game in their last three and only 358.3 total yards of offense per game. The Argos defense has not been good and has mostly been the reason this team can't win games (32.0 points per game allowed in their last three games) but Hamilton is turning the ball over 1.3 times per game and averaging 10.7 penalties per game in their last three. They have struggled in the running game and have scored a total of only 9 points in the first quarter of their last three games combined. WOW!
This is such a bitter rivalry. Both cities so close to each other, sun shining down on the final day before school is back in and you can bet your bottom dollar fans from both sides will be getting into it in the stands. The Argos, despite the horrendous record this season and despite being terrible the last 6-7 Labour Day Classics, will finally have a shot in this game when people least expect it. RB James Wilder (FSU) is starting again and although all the ATS trends both this season and in this series the last 7-8 years point to a Hamilton win and cover, the Argos have nothing to lose, no expectations and they have been playing better while Hamilton have been trending the other way (0-3-1 ATS in their last four games). I'm going Argos to cover and possibly win.
Trend of the Game: Hamilton is 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games!
Toronto 34, Hamilton 28
GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE!
:toast:
