Bold Prediction:

JustinCruise · Sep 4, 2019

This colts team will not be the dumpster fire everyone is predicting. 2017 is no comparison. This is a better roster, better coach, better system, and a more experienced Brissett. This team will still compete and win games

HarryCaray · Sep 4, 2019

Not that bold, season win total at 7.5 still. Could be interpreted as a coin flip for them to be 500 or better.
Not sure who "everyone" is.

Salsantorre · Sep 4, 2019

Really going out on a limb there.

X-Files · Sep 4, 2019

"#1) Colts OV7.5 (-120) I am showing this as the top value probably because of the public overreaction to Luck retiring. As with any major announcement like that, the market usually over-compensates on big news. It’s sort of like the stock market. When there is bad news the market has an immediate and strong reaction on the news and then inevitably the over-reaction brings in the buyers (or sellers in the case of a big up move). I think that’s the case here. The over-reaction has given us a GREAT line! My algorithm is calculating the proper total to be OV8.5 (-140)."

https://thesharpplays.net/nfl-win-totals/

cy1981 · Sep 4, 2019

JustinCruise said:
This colts team will not be the dumpster fire everyone is predicting. 2017 is no comparison. This is a better roster, better coach, better system, and a more experienced Brissett. This team will still compete and win games

The division they're in they could start Large Marge at QB and win 8 games.

X-Files · Sep 4, 2019

X-Files said:
"#1) Colts OV7.5 (-120) I am showing this as the top value probably because of the public overreaction to Luck retiring. As with any major announcement like that, the market usually over-compensates on big news. It’s sort of like the stock market. When there is bad news the market has an immediate and strong reaction on the news and then inevitably the over-reaction brings in the buyers (or sellers in the case of a big up move). I think that’s the case here. The over-reaction has given us a GREAT line! My algorithm is calculating the proper total to be OV8.5 (-140)."

https://thesharpplays.net/nfl-win-totals/

over 6.5 -141 @ SIA

https://www.sportsinteraction.com/football/nfl-futures-betting/

Cheddar · Sep 4, 2019

So if they are not the dumpster fire, how many wins will they have JC?

LargeMarge · Sep 4, 2019

cy1981 said:
The division they're in they could start Large Marge at QB and win 8 games.

You’re crazy, have you even looked at the schedule? The only games they are gonna be favored are Titans, probably only at home

X-Files · Sep 5, 2019

LargeMarge said:
You’re crazy, have you even looked at the schedule? The only games they are gonna be favored are Titans, probably only at home

That would be only 1 game, not "games". And - from just a quick look at their sched - it should be obvious that if lines were set now they would most certainly be favored in a minimum of several games.

texansfan · Sep 5, 2019

Chicago doesn't make the playoffs.

5teamparlay · Sep 5, 2019

texansfan said:
Chicago doesn't make the playoffs.

Like

REDEYE · Sep 5, 2019

I have Chicago winning the SB

LargeMarge · Sep 5, 2019

X-Files said:
That would be only 1 game, not "games". And - from just a quick look at their sched - it should be obvious that if lines were set now they would most certainly be favored in a minimum of several games.

And which several games are those? Both Titans games and what?

terps1313 · Sep 5, 2019

Not sure if you are trolling or what but they would absolutely be favorite at home against Oakland, Denver and Miami. There are a few other possibilities as well. They wouldn't be favorite at Tennessee.

valium · Sep 5, 2019

This team will still compete and win games. Wow i have never seen such a bold prediction. Quite insightful.

LargeMarge · Sep 5, 2019

terps1313 said:
Not sure if you are trolling or what but they would absolutely be favorite at home against Oakland, Denver and Miami. There are a few other possibilities as well. They wouldn't be favorite at Tennessee.

Don’t think they will be fave against Oak. Guess we will see

HarryCaray · Sep 5, 2019

texansfan said:
Chicago doesn't make the playoffs.

5teamparlay said:
Like

Another not-so-bold prediction, as the NO is only +110

That said, I will give either one of you two the no at +120 for up to 500
lmk

X-Files · Sep 5, 2019

terps1313 said:
they would absolutely be favorite at home against Oakland, Denver and Miami. There are a few other possibilities as well. They wouldn't be favorite at Tennessee.

Spot on.

:aktion033

X-Files · Sep 5, 2019

HarryCaray said:
Another not-so-bold prediction, as the NO is only +110

That said, I will give either one of you two the no at +120 for up to 500
lmk

The "no" on Chicago to make the playoffs is -118 at Pinnacle. The "yes" is +101.

So i'd take your offer of "no" @ +120 for the limit. Then i'd bet "yes" at Pinnacle for +101 to guarantee a free shot or a profit either way.

HarryCaray · Sep 5, 2019

X-Files said:
The "no" on Chicago to make the playoffs is -118 at Pinnacle. The "yes" is +101.

So i'd take your offer of "no" @ +120 for the limit. Then i'd bet "yes" at Pinnacle for +101 to guarantee a free shot or a profit either way.

Cool
I was quoting an earlier line
Just looked around and best odds available to me on the yes is -115
So I revise my offer and will give +110 on the no

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