2019-2020 NFL season

X-Files · Sep 5, 2019

I went 1-0 in posted rx 2019 preseason picks & have been successful in posted NFL picks before that also.

I am recommending this bet as my first posted regular season bet of this year:

6537 Miami Dolphins, to make the playoffs? No! -1250, @ Betonline here:

https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/nfl-playoff-specials

This is a great value bet. The line is -2542 at Pinnacle with the yes being +1210 there. Should IMO be more like -5000.

BTW Pinnacle has the Miami season win total at under 4.5 -126. Miami is also the favorite to have the worst NFL record of all teams.

"Miami Dolphins: 4.6 wins and 1.2 percent postseason chance":

https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/projected-win-total-for-the-miami-dolphins/

X-Files · Sep 5, 2019

6501 Arizona Cardinals, to make the playoffs? No! -650, @ Betonline

Comment/reason why: Pinnacle has the "no" bet as -927 & "yes" at +636. Arizona's odds to win their division are +2795 & to win the super bowl +13295. The odds put Arizona in contention with Miami to be the team with the worst NFL record this season. Their season win total is listed as over/under 5.

X-Files · Sep 5, 2019

Pick #1: Miami not to make the playoffs -1250, 12.50 units to win 1.00 unit
Pick #2: Arizona not to make the playoffs -650, 6.50 units to win 1.00 unit

X-Files · Sep 5, 2019

Denver to make the playoffs?

Pick #3: No, -425, Betonline, 45.05 to win 10.60 units
Pick #4: Yes, +456 Pinnacle, 10.00 to win 45.60 units

If pick #3 wins profit is 0.60 units.
If pick #4 wins profit is 0.55 units.

Win win.

YTD +0.55 or +0.60 units

Serbone · Sep 5, 2019

X-Files said:
Pick #1: Miami not to make the playoffs -1250, 12.50 units to win 1.00 unit
Pick #2: Arizona not to make the playoffs -650, 6.50 units to win 1.00 unit

Like em, but maybe in a parlay?

X-Files · Sep 6, 2019

Serbone said:
Like em, but maybe in a parlay?

That's an often preferred way to play favs of this type which i also employ. Some books would allow such with these types of props while others do not.

For those averse to risking 12.5 units on one bet, it can be adjusted to a lower amount, e.g. 1.25 units to win 0.10 or 2.5 to win 0.20.

X-Files · Sep 18, 2019

X-Files said:
I went 1-0 in posted rx 2019 preseason picks & have been successful in posted NFL picks before that also.

I am recommending this bet as my first posted regular season bet of this year:

6537 Miami Dolphins, to make the playoffs? No! -1250, @ Betonline here:

https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/nfl-playoff-specials

This is a great value bet. The line is -2542 at Pinnacle with the yes being +1210 there. Should IMO be more like -5000.

BTW Pinnacle has the Miami season win total at under 4.5 -126. Miami is also the favorite to have the worst NFL record of all teams.

"Miami Dolphins: 4.6 wins and 1.2 percent postseason chance":

https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/projected-win-total-for-the-miami-dolphins/