NFL Picks 2019

jgm4661

Member

Joined

Sep 8, 2009

Messages

750

Tokens

• Sep 5, 2019

• #1

Week 1 Picks

Home team in caps. Comparisons are team unit vs. opponent’s opposite. ie Team pass O vs. Opponent pass D. Leans so far.

CHI –3
Edge everywhere. Big edge in DL vs OL so look for some sacks here from Khalil Mack, Roquan Smith and Co. gb w new HC and a puzzling choice. CHI won by 7 last year in this spot and teams have moved in opposite directions even more. CHI class of division now.

NYJ -3
Edge everywhere here too. buf has many new faces on the OL (and injuries) and at WR and hasn’t gelled yet. One of lower rung teams talent wise. Look for a heavy dose of Leveon Bell. NYJ won in BUF last year by 4.

sf +1
Better team and should be a pick em. TB one of worst pass Ds in league last year and too soon for all the rookies to help so really a toss up.

 

jgm4661

Member

Joined

Sep 8, 2009

Messages

750

Tokens

• Sep 5, 2019

• #2

Scratch CHI-3. TE Trey Burton is out so will be tighter afterall. Just going to watch tonite.

 

jgm4661

Member

Joined

Sep 8, 2009

Messages

750

Tokens

• Sep 8, 2019

• #3

To start NYJ -2.5

 

jgm4661

Member

Joined

Sep 8, 2009

Messages

750

Tokens

• Sep 8, 2019

• #4

Wk 1 0-1

BUF wins w 4 TOs lol. NYJ lost key LB captain CJ Moseley and seemed to fall apart- 17 unanswered pts. Gase got out coached a little too.

 

jgm4661

Member

Joined

Sep 8, 2009

Messages

750

Tokens

• Sep 14, 2019

• #5

Week 2 Picks

Home team in caps. Comparisons are team unit vs. opponent’s opposite. ie Team pass O vs. Opponent pass D.

DET +2
lac have major injuries and the line hasn’t really adjusted. Down starters now at CB, S, LB, LT, TE, RB and WR. Last 2 accounted for 24TDs last yr 10 pts/gm – almost 40% of the scoring. DET should now be favored here.

 

HacheMan

hacheman@therx.com

Staff member

Joined

Jan 2, 2002

Messages

139,168

Tokens

• Sep 15, 2019

• #6

GL today

 

headquarters

Member

Joined

Oct 21, 2007

Messages

5,893

Tokens

• Sep 15, 2019

• #7

Thanks for sharing, good luck today!

 

jgm4661

Member

Joined

Sep 8, 2009

Messages

750

Tokens

• Sep 15, 2019

• #8

Thanks both. Actually scratch DET+2. WR Mike Williams is playing and DET is missing LT Taylor Decker.

 

headquarters

Member

Joined

Oct 21, 2007

Messages

5,893

Tokens

• Sep 15, 2019

• #9

jgm4661 said:

Thanks both. Actually scratch DET+2. WR Mike Williams is playing and DET is missing LT Taylor Decker.

Click to expand...

Early in season, only went small here, will let it ride, thanks for scratch update. Williams had some dud games last year as well so there's a possibility of no effect. Apparently Lynn has him slated for red zone opportunities only. Taylor out hurting the Lions D more the worry to me.

 

jgm4661

Member

Joined

Sep 8, 2009

Messages

750

Tokens

• Sep 22, 2019

• #10

Week 3 Picks

Home team in caps. Comparisons are team unit vs. opponent’s opposite. ie Team pass O vs. Opponent pass D.


lar-4

Edge everywhere and CLE down starters at RB, WR, TE, S and RT. Both CBs out too.

 

jgm4661

Member

Joined

Sep 8, 2009

Messages

750

Tokens

• Sep 22, 2019

• #11

Actually scratch lar - 4 Just going to watch to tonite.

 

jgm4661

Member

Joined

Sep 8, 2009

Messages

750

Tokens

• Sep 23, 2019

• #12

WAS +5.5

chi struggling w the scoring this year w avg < 10 ppg. WAS w TE Vernon Davis, RB Adrian Peterson and the young core of WR have enough weapons to keep this a field goal game to either side.
Should be a low scoring affair as Ds are > than Os for both teams . When F scores < 20 pts, D covers ~ 79% of time.

 

jgm4661

Member

Joined

Sep 8, 2009

Messages

750

Tokens

• Sep 23, 2019

• #13

Wk 3 0-1
YTD 0-2

Was awful 5 tos and still had a chance to cover 28-15 w the ball on Chi 16 2nd and 2 and they fumble after 3 tries. Unbelievable. Jay Gruden out coached and took 1/2 to adjust to block Khalil Mack