Looks like another similar situation with Swizterland -5.5 against Gibraltar.
Swiss 2-41 in last 43 games covering a -5.5 line. However, Gibraltar has failed to cover +5.5 like 40% of the time in their last 20 games or some shit like that.
Total is 5.5.
When they play a quality team/power in Europe, they've easily given up 5, 6, 7, 8 or 9 goals.
Swiss 2-41 in last 43 games covering a -5.5 line. However, Gibraltar has failed to cover +5.5 like 40% of the time in their last 20 games or some shit like that.
Total is 5.5.
When they play a quality team/power in Europe, they've easily given up 5, 6, 7, 8 or 9 goals.
Lots of interesting games here.
Greece only won by -2.5 just 2 times in about last 50 games. And those 2 wins were both against Gibraltar: 4-0 and 4-1
Greece is -3 and 3.5 total against Lichenstein.
Greece scored 2 or less in about 28 of last 30 games. Those 2 games were against Gibraltar. Greece hasn't won since March.
Odds on Greece winning by 4 or more are extremely, extremely slim here. A goal by Liech would require a 5-1 game to lose the spread. However, Liech ofense is terrible and likely won't score.
Hate to back a shit team again in Liech, but Greece would have to win by 4 here. If you exclude Gibraltar, they haven't done that in the last 4 years... and only did it one time in the last 11 years. About over 120 games.
This match looks like Greece:
4 goals -- 02%
3 goals -- 10%
2 goals -- 43%
1 goals -- 43%
0 goals -- 02%
Some shit like that. Just can't see Greece dumping in 4 goals. Any other scenario is a push or a win.
+3.5 is -141
+4.0 is probably -200 or something but don't see it available. Not a chance in hell Greece wins by 5 or more.
Greece only won by -2.5 just 2 times in about last 50 games. And those 2 wins were both against Gibraltar: 4-0 and 4-1
Greece is -3 and 3.5 total against Lichenstein.
Greece scored 2 or less in about 28 of last 30 games. Those 2 games were against Gibraltar. Greece hasn't won since March.
Odds on Greece winning by 4 or more are extremely, extremely slim here. A goal by Liech would require a 5-1 game to lose the spread. However, Liech ofense is terrible and likely won't score.
Hate to back a shit team again in Liech, but Greece would have to win by 4 here. If you exclude Gibraltar, they haven't done that in the last 4 years... and only did it one time in the last 11 years. About over 120 games.
This match looks like Greece:
4 goals -- 02%
3 goals -- 10%
2 goals -- 43%
1 goals -- 43%
0 goals -- 02%
Some shit like that. Just can't see Greece dumping in 4 goals. Any other scenario is a push or a win.
+3.5 is -141
+4.0 is probably -200 or something but don't see it available. Not a chance in hell Greece wins by 5 or more.
Have to favor this Liech game highly. Whereas Turkey could potentially put a serious route on Andorra with their quality side (they had recently beat France 2-0 and had good results), this Greece team is a low quality side. They need everything to somehow go right to win by 4 goals.
If Greece is up by just one goal at halftime, it'd be almost impossible for them to win the second half by 3 goals.
Even if Greece is up by 2 goals at halftime, it'd still be hard them to squeak out another 2 goal advantage in the second half.
+3
If Greece is up by just one goal at halftime, it'd be almost impossible for them to win the second half by 3 goals.
Even if Greece is up by 2 goals at halftime, it'd still be hard them to squeak out another 2 goal advantage in the second half.
+3
Free gravy train likely over. All spreads today are -1.5 or under except for three.
Netherlands -2.5 against Estonia
Russia -2.0 against Kazakhstan
Cyprus -2.5 against San Marino
However, Cyprus only 2 wins in last 9 years with a -2.5 spread. +3 has a -173 price. I imagine +3.5 is probably -250 or so.
Problem with that is that San Marino hasn't scored a goal in 15 consecutive games or over 2 years. And they've lost by 3 or more goals in 10 of last 15 games.
I think we have the solution.
1H total is 1.0 and -275
1H cap is -1.0 and -145
San Marino is 0-14-1 SU in their last 15 1H's. (One tie.)
Rolling with 1H -1.0 for Cyprus. Seems to me worst case scenario is a push and at a great price of -145. Won't mind a push for nary a chance to lose.
Netherlands -2.5 against Estonia
Russia -2.0 against Kazakhstan
Cyprus -2.5 against San Marino
However, Cyprus only 2 wins in last 9 years with a -2.5 spread. +3 has a -173 price. I imagine +3.5 is probably -250 or so.
Problem with that is that San Marino hasn't scored a goal in 15 consecutive games or over 2 years. And they've lost by 3 or more goals in 10 of last 15 games.
I think we have the solution.
1H total is 1.0 and -275
1H cap is -1.0 and -145
San Marino is 0-14-1 SU in their last 15 1H's. (One tie.)
Rolling with 1H -1.0 for Cyprus. Seems to me worst case scenario is a push and at a great price of -145. Won't mind a push for nary a chance to lose.
