Tuesday Service Play Thread 9/10/2019

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Let's go Brandon!
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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Consensus (3-6 L2 days)

MLB
6u Rays ML (-130)
5u Royals/White Sox UNDER 10
5u Reds ML (-125)
 

Let's go Brandon!
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Marc Lawrence

Incredible Stat of the Day

The Oakland Athletics are 17-5
on Tuesdays this season.
 

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Great Lake Sports

MLB
3* #915 Boston +110 (Eovaldi)

Note: On the phone they state a line of +110, however, it should be more like -160.
 

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Teyas sport

9/10/2019

guarantee mlb minnesota under 10 1/2

bonus plays mlb minnesota-137 atlanta -151 toronto +140 cleveland-137
 

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THE PREZBASEBALL PLAYS


  • PREZ TUE MLB PITCHING MISMATCH (4-0)
    Game: (915) Boston Red Sox at (916) Toronto Blue Jays
    Date/Time: Sep 10 2019 7:07 PM EDT
    Betting Line Provider: William Hill
    Play Rating: 3%
    Play: Boston Red Sox -153

    Play on Boston Red Sox -153 (play good to -175)
    3% play rating
    (915) Boston Red Sox at (916) Toronto Blue Jays
    List starting pitchers Eovaldi and Zeuch
    Boston Red Sox -153
 

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Dave Essler

3* GOW

Phillies Over 9.5
 

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HUNTER ENGLEHART

Game: (917) Tampa Bay Rays at (918) Texas Rangers
Date/Time: Sep 10 2019 8:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 5%
Play: 1H Total Under 5.0 (-104)

Tonight we have Ryan Yarbrough facing off against Lance Lynn in Arlington. Ryan Yarbrough owns a 2.42 ERA on the road this year over 5 starts with a BAA of only .174. Coming off a rocky start against Baltimore doesnt factor into this for me because Baltimore is very good at hitting LHP. The rangers are only hitting .232 against LH starting pitchers this season. They also have a strikeout rate of 25% against starters from the left side. Yarbrough has great BAA splits from both sides of the plate with LH batters (.200) and RH batters(.216). Although 6 of 9 batters for Tex should be hitting from the right side his OPS against is only .586 when facing right handed batters (50 points lower than against left handed batters). I expect Yarbrough to hold Texas to 1 or 2 runs in the 1st 5.
Lance Lynn has been mostly dominant this season with a couple bad starts mixed in. He faces off against a Tampa lineup that does not face well against hard throwing power pitchers like Lynn. Against power pitchers Tampa Bay is hitting .231 with a strikeout percentage of 32%. With the bases empty Lynn BAA is .251 and drops to .247 with runners on then drops again to .229 when in socring position. I love backing 1H unders when the underdog starting pitchers BAA drops like that. Another stat im looking at is number of times through the order numbers. Lynn's BAA does not change much with 1st time BAA .248, 2nd time .250, 3rd time .241. Usually on the hitters side with good teams these Batting Averages significantly increase and the Rays 1st and 2nd time facing starting pitchers moves from .246 to only .257. I think Lynn dominates this Rays lineup at home and possibly keeps them scoreless through 5.
 

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Vince Akins (5-3 L2 days)

MLB Trend Plays
Twins ML (-145)
Brewers ML (-175)
Rays/Rangers OVER 9
Cardinals ML (-150)
 

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Stats Analytics Sports

MLB
5* Braves/Phillies Under 10
5* Brewers/Marlins Over 8.5
5* Cubs/Padres Under 9
5* Reds/Mariners Over 9
 

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Miller locks

6:40 pm est mlb
new york yankees vs. Detroit tigers

pick: Over 10.5 (-114)

risk: 11 units

7:05 pm est mlb
atlanta braves vs. Philadelphia phillies

pick: Philadelphia phillies (+154)

risk: 11 units

9:45 pm est mlb
pittsburgh pirates vs. San francisco giants

pick: San francisco giants (-119)

risk: 11 units

10:07 pm est mlb
cleveland indians vs. Laa angels

pick: Cleveland indians (-139)

risk: 11 units
 

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Basewinner:

0,5* ARI/NYM u8 -106
0,5* NY Mets -121
0,5* STL/COL o13 -114
0,5* San Diego +122
0,25* Miami +152
0,25* LAA +127
0,33* toronto +143
 

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Seabass : 300 rays , 300 braves , 400 cardinals , 400 cardinals game over , 400 pirates , 400 pirates game under , no limit play royals
 

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