This is a breakdown of the picks in my office pool. I did this last season and fading the pool hit at an amazing clip for a while and then turned like milk. Criteria used was 70% or more on a fave, play the dog. 60% or more on a dog, play the fave. Lines are from Monday morning, when sheets are passed out. All lines for the pool have a hook so there are no ties when scoring the sheets. If there is no set line, the boys who run the pool make a line themselves. Obviously, line moves and difference with any "fudged" line is likely to influence players, so take that into account. Also, note the pool is in the NY/NJ area so consider homer picks on the Jets and Giants.
For purposes of the fade, obvious bad lines or "wrong favorites" (point spread differences of 3 or more) are thrown out.
There was one play in week one and it would have been a winner - Dallas. NYG were a public dog. Indy almost made the cut but didn't quite make it. I didn't post so of course it won't count towards the record.
To see how fading the pool did last year here is the week 17 post which summarizes the season: http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1129221&highlight=office+pool+fades
WEEK ONE
234 ENTRIES
*HOME
*NYJ -3.5 BUF 155 ON NYJ
*DAL -7.5 NYG 147 ON NYG 63% ON NYG - PUBLIC DOG
*MIN -3.5 ATL 121 ON MIN
*PHI -9.5 WAS 149 ON PHI
BAL -6.5 *MIA 148 ON BAL
*T.B -1.5 S.F 115 ON T.B
K.C -4.5 *JAX 150 ON K.C
*CLE -5.5 TEN 141 ON CLE
LAR -3.5 *CAR 119 ON CAR
DET -2.5 *ARI 101 ON DET
*SEA -9.5 CIN 145 ON SEA
*LAC -6.5 IND 161 ON LAC 69% ON LAC
*N.E -5.5 PIT 120 ON N.E
*NOR -7.5 HOU 130 ON NOR
*OAK -0.5 DEN 133 ON OAK
WEEK TWO
256 ENTRIES
*HOME
BUF -2.5 *NYG 168 ON NYG 66% ON NYG - PUBLIC DOG
*TEN -3.5 IND 164 ON TEN
LAC -3.5 *DET 153 ON LAC
*BAL 13.5 ARI 134 ON BAL
N.E 15.5 *MIA 187 ON N.E 73% ON N.E
DAL -5.5 *WAS 163 ON DAL
*HOU -9.5 JAX 130 ON HOU
*PIT -3.5 SEA 150 ON SEA
S.F -2.5 *CIN 124 ON S.F
*G.B -3.5 MIN 140 ON MIN
K.C -9.5 *OAK 146 ON K.C
*LAR -3.5 NOR 159 ON NOR 62% ON NOR - PUBLIC DOG
*DEN -0.5 CHI 153 ON CHI 60% ON CHI - PUBLIC DOG
PHI -1.5 *ATL 152 ON PHI
CLE -2.5*NYJ 140 ON CLE
So, 4 plays today - Bills, Fins, Rams, and Broncos.
GL RX brothers!
For purposes of the fade, obvious bad lines or "wrong favorites" (point spread differences of 3 or more) are thrown out.
There was one play in week one and it would have been a winner - Dallas. NYG were a public dog. Indy almost made the cut but didn't quite make it. I didn't post so of course it won't count towards the record.
To see how fading the pool did last year here is the week 17 post which summarizes the season: http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1129221&highlight=office+pool+fades
WEEK ONE
234 ENTRIES
*HOME
*NYJ -3.5 BUF 155 ON NYJ
*DAL -7.5 NYG 147 ON NYG 63% ON NYG - PUBLIC DOG
*MIN -3.5 ATL 121 ON MIN
*PHI -9.5 WAS 149 ON PHI
BAL -6.5 *MIA 148 ON BAL
*T.B -1.5 S.F 115 ON T.B
K.C -4.5 *JAX 150 ON K.C
*CLE -5.5 TEN 141 ON CLE
LAR -3.5 *CAR 119 ON CAR
DET -2.5 *ARI 101 ON DET
*SEA -9.5 CIN 145 ON SEA
*LAC -6.5 IND 161 ON LAC 69% ON LAC
*N.E -5.5 PIT 120 ON N.E
*NOR -7.5 HOU 130 ON NOR
*OAK -0.5 DEN 133 ON OAK
WEEK TWO
256 ENTRIES
*HOME
BUF -2.5 *NYG 168 ON NYG 66% ON NYG - PUBLIC DOG
*TEN -3.5 IND 164 ON TEN
LAC -3.5 *DET 153 ON LAC
*BAL 13.5 ARI 134 ON BAL
N.E 15.5 *MIA 187 ON N.E 73% ON N.E
DAL -5.5 *WAS 163 ON DAL
*HOU -9.5 JAX 130 ON HOU
*PIT -3.5 SEA 150 ON SEA
S.F -2.5 *CIN 124 ON S.F
*G.B -3.5 MIN 140 ON MIN
K.C -9.5 *OAK 146 ON K.C
*LAR -3.5 NOR 159 ON NOR 62% ON NOR - PUBLIC DOG
*DEN -0.5 CHI 153 ON CHI 60% ON CHI - PUBLIC DOG
PHI -1.5 *ATL 152 ON PHI
CLE -2.5*NYJ 140 ON CLE
So, 4 plays today - Bills, Fins, Rams, and Broncos.
GL RX brothers!