Monday Service Play Thread 9/23/2019

BuzzKill · Sep 16, 2019

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BuzzKill · Sep 19, 2019

Newsletters

BuzzKill · Sep 22, 2019

Joe Gavazzi

3% Chicago (-3-) 8:15 PM ET Monday

BuzzKill · Sep 22, 2019

Emory Hunt

WASHINGTON +4

CHICAGO @ WASHINGTON | 9/23 | 8:15 PM EDT
WED 9/18
This Bears defense is still every bit as good as advertised, which is good because the offense has been anemic and quarterback Mitch Trubisky seems to be regressing week to week. Trubisky has only thrown for 238 yards and doesn't have a passing TD so far en route to a 22.1 QBR. Washington had looked downright capable in the first half of games against Philadelphia and Dallas, only to fade in both down the stretch. This is a game for the Redskins to finally figure it out for four quarters, and for more questions about Trubisky to be asked in Chicago.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL ATS PICKS | +190
13-7 IN LAST 20 WAS ATS PICKS | +511

9-7-1 IN LAST 17 CHI ATS PICKS | +124

BuzzKill · Sep 22, 2019

Mike Tierney

WASHINGTON +4

CHICAGO @ WASHINGTON | 9/23 | 8:15 PM EDT
WED 9/18
The Redskins’ flailing defense is about to get some relief. Chicago has scored only 19 points -- three on the final play of its last game on a mile-long field goal. QB Mitch Trubisky has not caught onto coach Matt Nagy’s offense. No such team should be spotting four points to anyone aside from Miami. In fact, Washington QB Case Keenum, a placeholder for rookie Dwayne Haskins, has been better than Trubisky. An extra day to prepare could allow various injured Redskins enough time to mend. If the heightened home-field advantage on Monday night kicks in, the ’Skins, in desperation mode at 0-2, could win outright.

8-4 IN LAST 12 NFL ATS PICKS | +355
13-5 IN LAST 18 WAS ATS PICKS | +743

BuzzKill · Sep 22, 2019

R J White

UNDER 41 CHICAGO @ WASHINGTON | 9/23 | 8:15 PM EDT

THU 9/19
I've already hit the spread in this game, but I'm going to come back around and take the Under as well. Mitchell Trubisky and the Bears offense have looked pretty awful so far, and I don't know how you trust them on the road. But Chicago has one of the best defenses in the league, and you have to figure they'll show up in primetime. This should be just like the first two Bears game, with not a lot of scoring in the cards.

13-7 IN LAST 20 NFL PICKS | +529
2-1 IN LAST 3 WAS O/U PICKS | +90

ATLANTA +1.5
ATLANTA @ INDIANAPOLIS | 9/22 | 1:00 PM EDT
THU 9/19
The Falcons come into this game as the healthier team, with the Colts banged up in particular on defense. I like the matchup of Matt Ryan vs. Jacoby Brissett considering that we're on the side getting points. The Falcons defense ranks top eight in net yards allowed per pass attempt and yards allowed per rush attempt, so that defense has played well through two weeks despite tough matchups. The Falcons' receiving weapons should win out in this battle, and I like the Falcons in an indoor game when they go on the road.

13-7 IN LAST 20 NFL PICKS | +529
21-7-1 IN LAST 29 IND ATS PICKS | +1317

24-11 IN LAST 35 ATL ATS PICKS | +1176

BuzzKill · Sep 22, 2019

Pointwise phones

2 chicago

BuzzKill · Sep 22, 2019

VSI

3 redskins +4

BuzzKill · Sep 22, 2019

DR. CHUCK

FOOTBALL PLAYS

Game: (489) Chicago Bears at (490) Washington Redskins
Date/Time: Sep 23 2019 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Under 42.0 (-104)

Redskins have looked quite decent to above average on offense...despite being led by Case Keenum and a slew of receivers no one knows...no Jordan Reed yet and for the game in question...no Guice as the primary back either!
Skins came out HOT in both the losses they've suffered so far...but as the game normalized the better divisional opponent took over and other than garbage time TDs the game came down to the wire not in doubt...either week 1 or 2. The game they just played against the Boys yielded just 4.6 yards per play and featured just 9 drives. The defense Keenum has faced with his new team improved vastly from the Eagles to the Cowboys....and will now take a further step up facing the Bears on Monday night. What the Bears have lacked while they possessed the ball they have made up for by being even better than they were last year on the defensive end.
Bears defense has given up a total of 24 points despite going 1-1...and the Nagy/Trubisky combo ALMOST letting them down to the tune of 0-2 were it not for a season saving FG as time expired in Denver. Trubisky has looked anything but good and now gets a second straight road start no matter how lacking the opponent may be the spot ain't good for the Bears offense at all...and while the defense has allowed 24 points their offense has put just 19 points on the board for the Super Fans.
Vegas is certainly baiting us here with a stand alone game and knowing the action will be hot and heavy from come one come all bettors...and the majority of bettors aren't running to any windows to bet an Under....no matter what defenses are on display...and.when a total pops at 42 they are desperate!

I will have further analysis to come....but want to make sure everyone has a chance at such a great number!
41 and 41.5 (buy the hook) are both solid spots and key numbers as well....maybe not quite to the 5% range but the winner of this game likely has 20 points at most!

BuzzKill · Sep 22, 2019

Teyas Sports

9/23/2019

GUARANTEE NFL WASHINGTON OVER 41

BONUS PLAY NFL WASHINGTON +4

sailfish · Sep 23, 2019

Stephen Oh

BOSTON +1.5

BOSTON @ TAMPA BAY | 9/23 | 7:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:38 PM
Take the Red Sox on the run line Monday at -119, as they're covering in about two-thirds of my simulations. Boston has been eliminated but has been very competitive in this series, including a 7-4 win Sunday.

169-135 IN LAST 304 MLB PICKS | +2926
11-5 IN LAST 16 TB ATS PICKS | +500

multiple_scorgasms · Sep 23, 2019

Mti stl -145
Sbb phi +180
Anyone have mti nfl 4.5* total?

RCJhawk · Sep 23, 2019

Marco
Bears -5
3%

BuzzKill · Sep 23, 2019

Tom Fornelli

WASHINGTON +4

CHICAGO @ WASHINGTON | 9/23 | 8:15 PM EDT
THU 9/19
Matt Nagy does not believe in his quarterback. That was evident in Chicago's offensive gameplan against Denver on the road last weekend, and it will be clear again on the road against Washington. The Bears are going to win this game, but if his coach isn't willing to, why should I trust Mitch Trubisky as a road favorite?

9-3 IN LAST 12 NFL PICKS | +574
3-1 IN LAST 4 WAS ATS PICKS | +194

pjoyce5893 · Sep 23, 2019

Consensus

NFL
8u Bears/Redskins UNDER 41.5

pjoyce5893 · Sep 23, 2019

CleInsiderSports

MLB
Mets ML (-230)

NFL
Bears/Redskins OVER 41

stretchrunner147 · Sep 23, 2019

My 10* #NFL Game of the Year is OUT!!...........Fezzik....................Anyone know it?

DOITFORDADDY · Sep 23, 2019

Anyone have Midwest NFL Handicapping for tonight?

NYJ +21.5 WIN
ATL +2 LOSS
HOU +3 WIN
MINN -8.5 WIN
GB -6.5*** WIN
PITT +6.5 WIN
NYG +6.5 WIN
LAR -2.5 WIN
SEA ML LOSS

Teasers
MINN -2.5/GB -.5 WIN
MINN -2.5/HOU +9 WIN
NYG +12.5/ATL +8 WIN
PITT +12.5/CLEV +8.5 WIN
BALT +11.5/GB -.5 WIN
MINN-OAK UNDER 50.5/
CLEV-LAR UNDER 53 WIN

Dude went 13-2 yesterday/10-4 last week/13-5 week 1. Dude is on fire. Anyone know his site???

BuzzKill · Sep 23, 2019

Brandon Lang

60 Dimes - Washington Redskins First Half +3

sailfish · Sep 23, 2019

Root

Mill/ Washington

Monday Service Play Thread 9/23/2019

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