20+ Point Spreads

Hamilbet · Sep 16, 2019

I was listening to the radio and swore I heard the following, while they were talking about the upcoming MIA @ DAL -20.5 game this week...
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Since 1985, teams giving up 20 or more points are 2-9 ATS.
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Can anyone confirm or dispute this?

Slurve~Ball · Sep 16, 2019

Going back to '89

line <= -20 and (1989 , 1) <= (season , week)

SU:	11-0-0 (14.82, 100.0%)		Teaser Records
ATS:	2-9-0 (-6.77, 18.2%)	avg line: -21.6	+6: 3-8-0 (27.3%)	-6: 2-9-0 (18.2%)	+10: 3-7-1 (30.0%)	-10: 2-9-0 (18.2%)
O/U:	5-6-0 (-3.59, 45.5%)	avg total: 45.1	+6: 3-8-0 (27.3%)	-6: 7-4-0 (63.6%)	+10: 0-11-0 (0.0%)	-10: 8-3-0 (72.7%)

	Rushes	Rush Yds	Passes	Pass Yds	Comp	TOs	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Team	29.1	125.2	32.7	225.3	20.0	1.7	7.5	7.2	7.2	6.3	28.2
Opp	26.7	93.8	35.4	202.9	21.3	1.9	2.1	5.3	2.5	3.5	13.4

Date	Link	Day	Week	Season	Team	Opp	Site	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	Line	Total	SUm	ATSm	OUm	DPS	DPA	SUr	ATSr	OUr	ot
Oct 13, 1991		Sunday	7	1991	Bills	Colts	home	14-0	14-6	7-0	7-0	42-6	-20.5	41.0	36	15.5	7.0	11.2	-4.2	W	W	O	0
Sep 20, 1992		Sunday	3	1992	Bills	Colts	home	7-0	3-0	14-0	14-0	38-0	-20.0	41.5	38	18.0	-3.5	7.2	-10.8	W	W	U	0
Nov 01, 1992		Sunday	9	1992	Bills	Patriots	home	0-0	0-7	9-0	7-0	16-7	-20.0	40.0	9	-11.0	-17.0	-14.0	-3.0	W	L	U	0
Dec 19, 1992		Saturday	16	1992	Fortyniners	Buccaneers	home	7-7	0-0	7-0	7-7	21-14	-20.0	40.5	7	-13.0	-5.5	-9.2	3.8	W	L	U	0
Dec 05, 1993		Sunday	14	1993	Fortyniners	Bengals	home	7-2	0-6	7-0	7-0	21-8	-23.5	43.5	13	-10.5	-14.5	-12.5	-2.0	W	L	U	0
Nov 25, 2007		Sunday	12	2007	Patriots	Eagles	home	14-7	10-14	0-7	7-0	31-28	-23.5	51.0	3	-20.5	8.0	-6.2	14.2	W	L	O	0
Dec 03, 2007		Monday	13	2007	Patriots	Ravens	away	3-7	7-3	7-7	10-7	27-24	-20.0	49.5	3	-17.0	1.5	-7.8	9.2	W	L	O	0
Dec 16, 2007		Sunday	15	2007	Patriots	Jets	home	7-0	10-7	0-0	3-3	20-10	-21.5	44.5	10	-11.5	-14.5	-13.0	-1.5	W	L	U	0
Dec 23, 2007		Sunday	16	2007	Patriots	Dolphins	home	7-0	21-0	0-7	0-0	28-7	-22.0	43.5	21	-1.0	-8.5	-4.8	-3.8	W	L	U	0
Dec 04, 2011		Sunday	13	2011	Patriots	Colts	home	3-0	14-3	14-0	0-21	31-24	-20.5	48.5	7	-13.5	6.5	-3.5	10.0	W	L	O	0
Oct 13, 2013		Sunday	6	2013	Broncos	Jaguars	home	14-0	0-12	14-7	7-0	35-19	-26.0	53.0	16	-10.0	1	-4.5	5.5	W	L	O	0
Sep 22, 2019	view	Sunday	3	2019	Cowboys	Dolphins	home						-21.0	47.5

Showing 1 to 12 of 12 entries

Serbone · Sep 16, 2019

Yes but no team since 1985 traded a lot of their top players for draft choices BEFORE the season and given up.
Unprecedented.
Are the remaining players giving it 100%? Not so far, they are pissed off. Chaos. Anarchy.
And they have an old beat up QB. And their OL is decimated. Etc.
Well, they did play two top notch teams at the beginning of the season when both were healthy and hungry.
BUT IMO looking at a stat like this does not apply...
GL!

Serbone · Sep 16, 2019

HA Miami just traded former #1 draft pick DB Fitzpatrick to the Steelers, for a #1 pick, so they are even worse, and team morale is probably in the "mutiny" category.

PeePee · Sep 16, 2019

Add Jets to the list this week vs Pats.

I rather take my money and back door some hot hookers than watching Phins and Jets trying to back door the 21 pts

Hamilbet · Sep 17, 2019

Thanks for double checking

varkeyboy · Sep 17, 2019

PeePee said:
Add Jets to the list this week vs Pats.

I rather take my money and back door some hot hookers than watching Phins and Jets trying to back door the 21 pts

Lol agree 100%.

The amount of people that I saw at the Horseshoe Casino this weekend placing bets on the Miami Dolphins, i wanted to throw up. Couldn't believe everyone got suckered into that.