Two smaller plays keeps me slightly in the red. Georgia and Charlotte won easily, but the BC loss is still a mystery. I guess BC benefitted too much from turnovers vs. VT, otherwise they would have lost.
YTD: 12-20, -1.70 units
Both of these moved while I researched them, for the worse.
5* Washington -6 Under Chris Petersen, the Huskies have won a number of big road games, and with BYU coming off two huge wins, both in OT, I think this is a good spot for them. They should have beat Cal in that long weather delay, and yet going into Provo 2-1 instead of 3-0 will give them extra incentive. I also think BYU has not been as impressive as their two wins seem to imply. Tennessee is mediocre, and outplayed BYU much of the game. And in both games, BYU benefitted a lot from penalties, turnovers, short fields, etc. They rarely sustained long drives. I think we'll see things even out here vs. well-disciplined Husky team that really has no glaring weaknesses. Also, like the coaching matchup. BYU also looks a little slow in their defensive back 7, and I think Washington breaks off some big plays. USC freshman QB, Kedon Slovis, looked very much like a freshman Saturday, with a number of miscues. In fact, USC played sloppy all night.
5* Baylor -27.5 This was 26.5 just an hour ago. Couple keys here: This will not feel much like a home game for Rice as Baylor fans will travel and likely fill up half the Rice Stadium. Also, the backup Baylor QB , and skill players, are dynamic and fast- so garbage time will not mean Rice gets a backdoor. Watch out for QB Gerry Bohanon to score a late TD or two when Charlie Brewer finally takes a seat. In watching Rice, I don't see how they score much at all. Terrible OL, with an immobile QB, and a sluggish running game. Rice also lacks the secondary/ linebacker speed to cover Baylor backs and receivers. Baylor finally shored up their leaky 2018 OL, and this is one reason HC Matt Rhule will likely have a Big 12 contender this season- that and finally getting a couple of good recruiting years that overhauled the personnel from the scandals of 3 years ago. Baylor gets some new defensive starters that will also make a difference from last year. Off a bye, they should roll.
YTD: 12-20, -1.70 units
Both of these moved while I researched them, for the worse.
5* Washington -6 Under Chris Petersen, the Huskies have won a number of big road games, and with BYU coming off two huge wins, both in OT, I think this is a good spot for them. They should have beat Cal in that long weather delay, and yet going into Provo 2-1 instead of 3-0 will give them extra incentive. I also think BYU has not been as impressive as their two wins seem to imply. Tennessee is mediocre, and outplayed BYU much of the game. And in both games, BYU benefitted a lot from penalties, turnovers, short fields, etc. They rarely sustained long drives. I think we'll see things even out here vs. well-disciplined Husky team that really has no glaring weaknesses. Also, like the coaching matchup. BYU also looks a little slow in their defensive back 7, and I think Washington breaks off some big plays. USC freshman QB, Kedon Slovis, looked very much like a freshman Saturday, with a number of miscues. In fact, USC played sloppy all night.
5* Baylor -27.5 This was 26.5 just an hour ago. Couple keys here: This will not feel much like a home game for Rice as Baylor fans will travel and likely fill up half the Rice Stadium. Also, the backup Baylor QB , and skill players, are dynamic and fast- so garbage time will not mean Rice gets a backdoor. Watch out for QB Gerry Bohanon to score a late TD or two when Charlie Brewer finally takes a seat. In watching Rice, I don't see how they score much at all. Terrible OL, with an immobile QB, and a sluggish running game. Rice also lacks the secondary/ linebacker speed to cover Baylor backs and receivers. Baylor finally shored up their leaky 2018 OL, and this is one reason HC Matt Rhule will likely have a Big 12 contender this season- that and finally getting a couple of good recruiting years that overhauled the personnel from the scandals of 3 years ago. Baylor gets some new defensive starters that will also make a difference from last year. Off a bye, they should roll.