Saturday Service Play Thread 9/28/2019

BuzzKill · Sep 22, 2019

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BuzzKill · Sep 24, 2019

Bryan Leonard

MAC GOM
4% Central Michigan +17

Big 12 GOM
4% Oklahoma State -4

119 Central Michigan at Western Michigan

After losing to Wisconsin 61-0 the Chippewas were basically written off by many. Coming off a 1-11 season with a new head coach it looked like same ole same ole in Mt Pleasant. But that new head coach is Jim McElwain who has done wonders without expectations in his career. Since that game the Chippewas crushed Akron 45-24 while using a backup quarterback. Last week Central traveled to Florida and gave Miami all it could handle in a 17-12 loss. That was despite a -2 turnover differential and holding the Hurricanes to 301 total yards.

The last three times the Chippewas have played in Kalamazoo, the team outscored the Broncos by a combined 101 to 91 margin. The road team in this series is a perfect 7-0 ATS.

Western Michigan was 7-6 a year ago but were fortunate to go 4-1 in one score games. The difference in these two teams is nowhere near this point spread. The last 14 meetings in this series were lined at 7 points or less. This is an extreme overlay we can take advantage of. PLAY CENTRAL MICHIGAN

166 Kansas State at Oklahoma State

The Wildcats are coming in off a bye after upsetting Mississippi State on the road. But while K State got the victory, it was out-gained by 83 yards. The Wildcats live and die off the running game, but this will be the best rush defense they have faced. As for stopping the run this team has permitted 4.74 yards per carry, against a weak overall slate.

Oklahoma State has run the ball effectively this season. In three FBS games the Cowboys have produced 5.94 ypc. All three of those games were on the road. Oklahoma State is much better tested and has double revenge for losses by 19 and 5 points the past two seasons. This team is 9-2 ATS off a straight up loss the last three seasons. We look for a Cowboy rebound on Saturday. PLAY OKLAHOMA STATE

BuzzKill · Sep 24, 2019

Stephen Oh

UAB -3

UAB @ W. KENTUCKY | 9/28 | 7:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 12:27 PM
The Blazers are 3-0 and I like them to keep rolling Saturday at Western Kentucky, as they're covering about 60 percent of my simulations. Even with the Hilltoppers off a bye, they've been a bad bet at home. Lay the small number.

12-3 IN LAST 15 CFB PICKS | +870

MASSACHUSETTS +4.5

AKRON @ MASSACHUSETTS | 9/28 | 3:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:32 PM
Both teams are winless. Neither has covered a game this season. My simulations show this spread is out of whack, as UMass is covering more than 65 percent of the time. Play on the home dog.

12-3 IN LAST 15 CFB PICKS | +870
4-0 IN LAST 4 AKRON ATS PICKS | +400

2-1 IN LAST 3 MA ATS PICKS | +90

Rybread9 · Sep 24, 2019

Buzz Kill said:
Bryan Leonard

MAC GOM
4% Central Michigan +17

Big 12 GOM
4% Oklahoma State -4

119 Central Michigan at Western Michigan

After losing to Wisconsin 61-0 the Chippewas were basically written off by many. Coming off a 1-11 season with a new head coach it looked like same ole same ole in Mt Pleasant. But that new head coach is Jim McElwain who has done wonders without expectations in his career. Since that game the Chippewas crushed Akron 45-24 while using a backup quarterback. Last week Central traveled to Florida and gave Miami all it could handle in a 17-12 loss. That was despite a -2 turnover differential and holding the Hurricanes to 301 total yards.

The last three times the Chippewas have played in Kalamazoo, the team outscored the Broncos by a combined 101 to 91 margin. The road team in this series is a perfect 7-0 ATS.

Western Michigan was 7-6 a year ago but were fortunate to go 4-1 in one score games. The difference in these two teams is nowhere near this point spread. The last 14 meetings in this series were lined at 7 points or less. This is an extreme overlay we can take advantage of. PLAY CENTRAL MICHIGAN

166 Kansas State at Oklahoma State

The Wildcats are coming in off a bye after upsetting Mississippi State on the road. But while K State got the victory, it was out-gained by 83 yards. The Wildcats live and die off the running game, but this will be the best rush defense they have faced. As for stopping the run this team has permitted 4.74 yards per carry, against a weak overall slate.

Oklahoma State has run the ball effectively this season. In three FBS games the Cowboys have produced 5.94 ypc. All three of those games were on the road. Oklahoma State is much better tested and has double revenge for losses by 19 and 5 points the past two seasons. This team is 9-2 ATS off a straight up loss the last three seasons. We look for a Cowboy rebound on Saturday. PLAY OKLAHOMA STATE

I know I speak for many... Love the early posts Buzz! Thanks!

Yankees5560 · Sep 24, 2019

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 28 2019 10:30PM
150 Nevada -2.0(-110) Westgate vs 149 Hawaii triple-dime bet

Analysis: First major cold front of the season hits the West this weekend. Right now, game time temps could dip into the 40’s here. When you go from the beach and upper 80 degree temperatures all week to temps nearly 40 degrees cooler and on top of that 4,610 feet in elevation, it will play a factor here. Nevada is 6-1 SU/ATS vs Hawaii with an average cover of 10 ppg. The last 5 times they’ve hosted the Rainbows Warriors, they won all of them by 10 points or more. Nevada has been good at home under head coach Jay Norvell at 9-3 SU/ATS their last 12 with an average cover of 10 ppg. Finally, Hawaii is just 8-35 SU/16-26-1 ATS (-2.8 ATS ppg) on the road since 2012.

Yankees5560 · Sep 24, 2019

Everyone that has paid subscriptions should post immediately when their plays are released ,, makes a big difference on CLV

Yankees5560 · Sep 24, 2019

Fezzik | CFL Side - Saturday, Sep 28 2019 10:00PM
696 BC -3.5(-110) Pinnacle vs 695 MON triple-dime bet

Analysis: CFL 3 star GAME OF THE MONTH! Note, the oddsmakers did not adjust this line nearly enough for a great situation for BC, AND Mon's big dropoff at QB.

Aok to play this -5.5 for 3 stars.

**This pick is on Canadian Football**

Fezzik | CFL Total - Saturday, Sep 28 2019 7:00PM
693 SAS / 694 TOR UNDER 50.5 Pinnacledouble-dime bet

Analysis: My CFL totals guy LOVES this CFL under this week.....

BuzzKill · Sep 24, 2019

+EV: CFB 2u: 133 Akron Zips -6.5 -103 (Saturday, September 28th)

BuzzKill · Sep 24, 2019

NFAC UFC

UFC : GUNNAR NELSON +120…($600) via Pinnacle

UFC : BURNS-NELSON = NOT Go Distance (+140)…($600) via 5dimes

UFC : LANSBERG-CHAISSON = NOT Go Distance (-135)…($600) via 5dimes

UFC : MICHAL OLEKSIEJCZUK -230…($500) via 5dimes

UFC : MACY CHIASSON -370…($500) via 5Dimes

Rybread9 · Sep 24, 2019

Yankees5560 said:
Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 28 2019 10:30PM
150 Nevada -2.0(-110) Westgate vs 149 Hawaii triple-dime bet

Analysis: First major cold front of the season hits the West this weekend. Right now, game time temps could dip into the 40’s here. When you go from the beach and upper 80 degree temperatures all week to temps nearly 40 degrees cooler and on top of that 4,610 feet in elevation, it will play a factor here. Nevada is 6-1 SU/ATS vs Hawaii with an average cover of 10 ppg. The last 5 times they’ve hosted the Rainbows Warriors, they won all of them by 10 points or more. Nevada has been good at home under head coach Jay Norvell at 9-3 SU/ATS their last 12 with an average cover of 10 ppg. Finally, Hawaii is just 8-35 SU/16-26-1 ATS (-2.8 ATS ppg) on the road since 2012.

Thank you for BP and Fez &#55358;&#56605;

Southpaw217 · Sep 25, 2019

Dave Essler

UCLA +7 vs Arizona State 3*
Washington -10 vs Southern Cal 2*

dough · Sep 25, 2019

Thx southpaw and for Sunday also but ucla plays Arizona

Yankees5560 · Sep 25, 2019

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 28 2019 10:30PM
204 Arizona -6.5(-102) Pinnacle vs 203 UCLA triple-dime bet

Analysis: The Wildcats come in fresh off a bye after one of their best performances to date under 2nd-year coach Kevin Sumlin (won 28-14 vs Texas Tech as slight home dogs). Arizona ran the ball 13 straight times during a 99-yard TD drive in the fourth quarter.“They imposed their will on us,” Red Raiders coach Matt Wells said. “That’s tough to take.” Arizona QB Khalil Tate showed flashes of his 2017 self with a 84-yard TD run. Meanwhile, how much does UCLA have left in the tank after pulling off the 3rd largest comeback in CFB history last week? The Bruins offense which had only scored 59 points in more than 3.5 games, somehow got 50 points in the final 20 minutes. The Bruins were +5 in TO’s and UCLA scored a couple of long special teams TD’s which obviously played a huge part. We like the Wildcats here.

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Sep 28 2019 6:00PM
182 Liberty -7.0(-109) Pinnacle vs 181 New Mexico double-dime bet

Analysis: We like Liberty here catching New Mexico flying across the country for the 2nd time in 3 weeks and coming off an emotional win over their arch rival. New Mexico had a 598-489 yard edge including 243-154 on the ground in the 55-52 win. New Mexico St actually took a 38-34 in the 3Q before New Mexico score 3 straight TD’s to take a 55-38 lead. Head coach Bob Davie could be back for this game (sat out last couple of games with a health condition). Meanwhile, Liberty thumped Hampton 62-27 as Liberty had a 575-405 yard edge including 256-113 on the ground. The Flames led 41-12 at halftime. Now that head coach Hugh Freeze isn’t coaching from a hospital bed, the Liberty offense has taken off.

sailfish · Sep 26, 2019

College saturday stanford steve

9/28/19 Akron -7 vs Massachusetts
9/28/19 Rice + 8 vs Louisiana Tech
9/28/19 Alabama -37 vs Ole Miss
9/28/19 Oregon State + 4 vs Stanford
9/28/19 Oklahoma -27 vs Texas Tech

BuzzKill · Sep 26, 2019

sailfish said:
College saturday stanford steve

9/28/19 Akron -7 vs Massachusetts
9/28/19 Rice + 8 vs Louisiana Tech
9/28/19 Alabama -37 vs Ole Miss
9/28/19 Oregon State + 4 vs Stanford
9/28/19 Oklahoma -27 vs Texas Tech

'Stanford Steve' and 'The Bear': Week 5 college football picks, bets, nuggets

Kyrieswirving · Sep 26, 2019

Anybody have Eddie walls from bettor iq plays .. he’s been killing it apparently. TIA

tmoney1033 · Sep 26, 2019

Anyone have Dave Cokin? Guys been good in CFB. Thanks

hman5000 · Sep 26, 2019

Colin Cowherd’s Marquee 3 (1-2 last week, 3-6 overall)

Virginia +12.5
Northwestern +24.5
Washington -10

Zano · Sep 26, 2019

Northcoast Newsletter Keys

Power Sweep

4* Houston over North Texas by 10
3* Temple over Ga. Tech by 15
3* Virgina (+) over Notre Dame (Notre Dame wins by 4)
2* Vanderbilt over Northern Illinois by 13
2* Cincinnati over Marshall by 10

Underdog of the week: Kansas State +4 over Oklahoma State

Power Plays

4.5* Toledo 30 BYU 27
4.5* Iowa 40 Middle Tenn State 10
4* Duke 25 Va. Tech 23
4* Louisiana 37 Ga. Southern 29
4* Kansas State 33(+) Oklahoma State 33
4* Rice 20(+) La. Tech 25
3* UNC 14 (+) Clemson 36
3* Charlotte 34 FAU 32
3* Central Michigan 27(+) Western Mich 41

Footballfan31 · Sep 26, 2019

Anyone have sterlings 50 unit? Tia!

Saturday Service Play Thread 9/28/2019

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