Odds of successfully kicking a PAT was around 95% since they changed the distance. Odds for a successful 2pt conversion are about 50%. PLUS...you have to throw in the situation of being up seven in the third quarter which makes it even more a bonehead play. If the coach is so smart, why didn't he go for two on the first TD which was 13-6 before the kick? Let's check in with Bill Bellichick when asked about his use of analytics, his response, "Less than zero." Not saying using the numbers is wrong...just should stick to some common sense and basic math.