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Thread: Cnotes 2019-2020 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

  1. #751  
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    523LA CLIPPERS -524 BOSTON
    LA CLIPPERS are 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in road games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons.

    525OKLAHOMA CITY -526 NEW ORLEANS
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the current season.




    NBA
    Long Sheet

    Thursday, February 13


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    LA CLIPPERS (37 - 17) at BOSTON (37 - 16) - 2/13/2020, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA CLIPPERS are 235-294 ATS (-88.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    BOSTON is 31-21 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    BOSTON is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    BOSTON is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    LA CLIPPERS are 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    BOSTON is 143-183 ATS (-58.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
    4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    OKLAHOMA CITY (32 - 22) at NEW ORLEANS (23 - 31) - 2/13/2020, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 26-17 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NBA
    Armadillo's Write-Up

    Thursday, February 13


    Clippers-Celtics
    Clippers won 10 of last 14 games; they’re 5-6 ATS in last 11 road games. Under is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Celtics won seven of their last eight games; they’re 4-1-1 ATS in last six home games. Four of their last five home games stayed under.

    Clippers won their last four games with the Celtics; they covered four of last five visits to Boston. Four of last five series games went over.

    Thunder-Pelicans
    OKC lost last two games, after winning nine of previous 10; they covered their last seven road games. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games. New Orleans won six of its last eight games; they are 9-3 ATS in last dozen home games. Six of last seven Pelican games went over.

    Thunder won four of last five games with New Orleans; they’re 2-3 ATS in last five visits to Bourbon Street. Last three series games stayed under.




    NBA

    Thursday, February 13


    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Trend Report
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Boston Celtics
    Boston is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
    Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games
    Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games at home
    Boston is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Clippers
    Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
    Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
    Los Angeles Clippers
    LA Clippers is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games
    LA Clippers is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Clippers's last 11 games on the road
    LA Clippers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Boston
    LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Boston
    LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
    LA Clippers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston

    New Orleans Pelicans
    New Orleans is 17-5-2 ATS in its last 24 games
    New Orleans is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
    The total has gone OVER in 16 of New Orleans's last 21 games
    New Orleans is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 11 games at home
    New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
    New Orleans is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
    Oklahoma City Thunder
    Oklahoma City is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 games
    Oklahoma City is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
    Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
    Oklahoma City is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma City's last 10 games when playing on the road against New Orleans


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  2. #752  
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    xx
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  3. #753  
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, February 13



    LA Clippers @ Boston

    Game 523-524
    February 13, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Clippers
    117.115
    Boston
    122.776
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Boston
    by 5 1/2
    226
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    by 1 1/2
    227
    Dunkel Pick:
    Boston
    (-1 1/2); Under

    Oklahoma City @ New Orleans


    Game 525-526
    February 13, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oklahoma City
    118.164
    New Orleans
    124.677
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New Orleans
    by 6 1/2
    220
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New Orleans
    by 2
    231 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    New Orleans
    (-2); Under
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  4. #754  
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    Friday’s 4-pack
    XFL odds for Week 2:
    — New York @ Washington (-5.5, 48)
    — Tampa Bay (-2.5, 45) @ Seattle
    — Dallas (-4.5, 48) @ Los Angeles
    — St Louis @ Houston (-8, 50)


    Quote of the Day:
    “It’s about continuing to move forward, it’s about trying to learn from your mistakes, it’s about trying to not repeat your mistakes or bad decisions, and just try to continue to develop the group. I work from a position of positivity always. I don’t dwell on negativity, and I always believe something better’s on the horizon.”
    Joe Maddon

    Friday’s quiz
    In between coaching Cincinnati and West Virginia, Bob Huggins went 23-12 in one season as head coach of which Big X team?

    Thursday’s quiz
    Golfer Dustin Johnson has a famous father-in-law, the great hockey player Wayne Gretzky.

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Red Sox have won four World Series since 2004, under Terry Francona (2), John Farrell, Alex Cora.

    *****************************************************************************

    Friday’s List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…….

    13) When ESPN first started 40 years ago, during the NCAA tournament, they would replay games all night long; it was excellent. You could basically go from noon Thursday to 6:30 Sunday night, constantly watching basketball, except you have to sleep, so I’d pick crummy games to catch naps during, two hours at a time.

    These days, CBS Sports Network does that during the tournament, and ESPNU has started showing games all night long during the regular season. Tremendous.

    12) Cincinnati 92, Memphis 86— Young Tigers led by 10 with 6:11 left, but couldn’t finish the job and are now 4-5 in their last nine games, after starting season 12-1.

    11) Oregon 68, Colorado 60— Ducks’ G Payton Pritchard is only player in country to lead his team in assists per game, and scoring. He had 15 points, six assists in this game.

    10) Jeff Bezos is the CEO of Amazon; he just bought a mansion in Beverly Hills, for $165M. Not sure what the hell is in a mansion that costs that much money— pinball machines, bowling alleys, saunas, swimming pools. I’d want a movie theater and a basketball court, for $165M. Maybe even a golf course.

    9) Mike Trout has been in the major leagues for eight years, and has never won a playoff game. Looking at the Angels’ pitching rotation for this year, its not looking good for 2020, either.

    8) There are keeper fantasy baseball leagues that use only one league, so if you’re in an AL-only league and you had Mookie Betts, him getting traded to the Dodgers makes him ineligible, which is a total freaking disaster for your team. Wouldn’t want to be in a league like that.

    7) Upsets:
    — Idaho (+14) 74, Eastern Washington 71
    — SIU-Edwardsville (+10) 76, Eastern Illinois 74
    — UL-Monroe (+6) 74, Troy 71
    — Gardner-Webb (+5) 74, Winthrop 70
    — Eastern Kentucky (+4) 78, Morehead State 71

    6) UCLA 86, Washington State 83 OT— Bruins were down 12 in second half, rallied to win despite a 3-10 night on foul line from freshman G Campbell, who did have four steals and three assists. Kid is shooting 63.3% on foul line for season, so he just had a bad night.

    5) Austin Peay 71, Murray State 68— In three years under Matt Figger, Governors are 36-13 in Ohio Valley games, after going 27-53 the previous five years. Excellent coaching job, but there may be big-money teams looking to poach coach Figger this spring.

    4) Indiana 89, Iowa 77— Hoosiers made 11-21 on arc, broke a 4-game losing skid, surviving a 38-point outburst from Luka Garza.

    One of the most interesting parts about March Madness will be how all these middling Big 14 teams do in the tournament- their TV network makes every team in the league sound like the Kareem/Magic Lakers.

    3) Texas State 74, Little Rock 66— This is a likely semi-final matchup in Sun Belt tourney; this loss breaks the Trojans’ 7-game win streak. Kid for Texas State scored 26 points and he didn’t start the game; the Sun Belt tournament is going to be fun.

    2) Celtics 141, Clippers 133, 2OT— Between this game and the LA-Denver game Wednesday night, two good advertisements for the NBA, as they head into their week off for the All-Star Game. Hard-fought games between good teams. Fun to watch.

    1) Here’s a tip for major league baseball; put an earpiece in the catchers’ ear, put a little mike on the pitcher. Then the pitcher can cover his mouth, talk to the catcher, call his pitches, and there is no issue with this BS/sign stealing stuff. It is 2020, for Pete’s sake. Let’s get creative.
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  5. #755  
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    2020 NBA All-Star Skills Challenge odds to win and betting picks: Don't fade the big men
    Rohit Ponnaiya

    Toronto Raptors forward Pascal Siakam is a +550 underdog to win the NBA All-Star Skills Challenge this weekend but if recent history is any indication don't bet against the big man.

    The NBA skills challenge might not be the flashiest event at the All-Star Game, but it has proved to be very profitable for bettors who like to wager on underdogs. We take a look at the odds to win the NBA skills challenge for this year's field and break down our betting picks for the 2020 event.

    WHAT ARE THE RULES FOR THE TACO BELL SKILLS CHALLENGE?

    The skills challenge features eight NBA players going through an obstacle course which tests their dribbling skills, passing ability, agility and shooting.

    Two players face off next to each other on identical courses on the court. For the first leg, they run down the court while dribbling between five obstacles, before throwing a pass through a target. Then they turn around and dribble back the full length of the court for a lay up. Then they head back up the court before hitting a 3-pointer from the top of the key. The first player to sink his shot from beyond the arc wins.

    It's a single elimination format with three rounds and the brackets won't be chosen until Saturday.

    ODDS TO WIN NBA SKILLS CHALLENGE

    PLAYER TEAM ODDS

    Spencer Dinwiddie Brooklyn Nets +350
    Khris Middleton Milwaukee Bucks +410
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder +460
    Jayson Tatum Boston Celtics +550
    Pascal Siakam Toronto Raptors +550
    Domantis Sabonis Indiana Pacers +850
    Patrick Beverley Los Angeles Clippers +900
    Bam Adebayo Miami Heat +1,200

    NBA SKILLS CHALLENGE BETTING PREDICTION

    This year's event features three former winners: Patrick Beverley (2015), Spencer Dinwiddie (2018) and Jayson Tatum (2019). While Dinwiddie has the best odds to win at +350, if recent history is any indication this is one contest where underdogs have a good chance of coming out on top.

    Since the event started including big men in 2016, two players have won with the worst odds (Dinwiddie and Karl-Anthony Towns) while another took home the title with the second-worst odds (Kristaps Porzingis in 2016). Last year, Tatum won with the fifth-best odds at +600.

    That said, we're not taking the player with the worst odds this year. Adebayo is having a terrific season but he's only connected on one 3-point shot all year (on 11 attempts), so the final step in this event could prove to be a challenge.

    We like the +550 payout for Tatum to repeat, but our money is on the player tied with Tatum in the odds department: Raptors forward Pascal Siakam. Siakam is quicker and has better handles than many give him credit for, and he's really improved his shot from beyond the arc this season (connecting on more than two 3-point shots per game at a clip of 36 percent).

    Siakam also seems to play at his best when the pressure is on, so expect him to thrive under the spotlight in Chicago this weekend. We're betting on the Raptors' big man.
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    2020 NBA All-Star 3-point contest odds to win and betting picks: New rules will help these shooters
    Andrew Caley

    Brooklyn Nets shooter Joe Harris is the co-favorite to defend his 3-point contest title at +350 but no one has repeated as champion since Jason Kapono back in 2007 and 2008.

    The surge in long-range shooting across the NBA has helped move the league's 3-point contest to main event status during the annual NBA All-Star Saturday Night showcase, but the 3-point shootout has always held a special place in NBA betting. It's far more entertaining than the slam dunk contest and the odds to win the NBA 3-point contest hold much more betting value with past winners cashing in at lofty payouts.

    Given the massive uptick in production from beyond the arc, the NBA decided to give the 3-point contest a little tweak in 2020. We look at how those rule changes could impact your NBA bets, preview this year’s crop of sharp shooters and their odds, and give our picks to win the NBA All-Star 3-point contest.

    WHAT ARE THE NEW 3-POINT CONTEST RULES?

    The eight-player field will take turns shooting balls from five racks set up around the 3-point arc. Four of the racks will hold four regular balls worth one point each and one multi-colored “money ball” that are worth two points apiece. One rack will be a special “all money ball” rack. The new rule twist is the addition of two extra green balls set six feet behind the 3-point line. That makes for a maximum score of 40 points in a round. Contestants will also get an extra 10 seconds to take their shots, bringing the total up to 70 seconds.

    This is a two-round event, with each player shooting in the first round. The three players with the highest score move on to the championship round. They then shoot again with the lowest score going first. The player with the highest total in the championship round is the winner.

    ODDS TO WIN NBA 3-POINT CONTEST

    PLAYERS 3-POINT PERCENTAGE ODDS TO WIN

    Joe Harris (Brooklyn Nets) 40.8 +350
    Trae Young (Atlanta Hawks) 36.9 +390
    Dāvis Bertāns (Washington Wizards) 42.4 +460
    Duncan Robinson (Miami Heat) 43.8 +460
    Devin Booker (Phoenix Suns) 35.8 +500
    Buddy Hield (Sacramento Kings) 38.5 +700
    Zach LaVine (Chicago Bulls) 38.5 +1200
    DeVonte Graham (Charlotte Hornets) 37.4 +1200

    The 2020 field is very impressive considering it's the first 3-point contest that won’t feature a Splash Brother (Stephen Curry or Klay Thompson) since 2012. Hield, Graham, Young, LaVine and Robinson rank third to seventh respectively in terms of 3-pointers taken this season. While Bertāns and defending champion/favorite, Joe Harris, rank third and fifth respectively when it comes to 3-point percentage among players who have attempted at least 300 shots from deep. Devin Booker has stepped in to replace Damian Lillard and while he has the lowest 3-point percent of any shooter in the compeition, he won the contest in Los Angeles two years ago.

    NBA 3-POINT CONTEST BETTING PICK

    Harris is the favorite to defend his title at +300, but no one has repeated as champion of the 3-point contest since Jason Kapono back in 2007 and 2008. The other sexy pick will be Trae Young at +390, but the Hawks’ star is the most inconsistent shooter of the bunch.

    LaVine is an interesting long shot at +1200 odds to win the contest. The Bulls guard is hoping to become the first player to win both the slam dunk and 3-point contest in his career. Unfortunately, he's a streaky shooter and he's a bit of a jumper with his shot, which means it’s harder to find a rhythm in this type of competition. Graham at +1,200 is tempting, but we’ve got to go with Buddy.

    Hield has shot more 3-pointers than anyone not named James Harden and Lillard this season, all while hitting at a rate of nearly 39 percent and he can get as hot as anybody in this competition. But what makes me really like Hield is his form. He squares his body to the net very well and his release is one of the quickest and smoothest in the NBA. It’s perfect for the 3-point contest and at these odds, what’s not to like.

    PICK: Buddy Hield +750
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    2020 NBA All-Star Slam Dunk contest odds to win and betting picks: Third time's a charm for Gordon
    Rohit Ponnaiya

    Orlando Magic forward Aaron Gordon is the betting favorite for the NBA All-Star Slam Dunk Contest this Saturday, set at +150 after finishing runner-up in 2016.

    The NBA slam dunk contest is one of the highlights of All-Star weekend and comes with plenty of betting intrigue. This year, the four competitors include a former winner and two players that finished runner-up in recent contests. We break down the odds to win the NBA slam dunk contest for each of the contestants and give you our betting pick for the final All-Star event on Saturday night.

    WHAT ARE THE SLAM DUNK CONTEST RULES?

    This is a two-round event with each player getting two turns to perform a dunk during the first round. Their dunks will be graded by five judges and the two players with the highest combined scores move on to the final round. In the finals the two remaining dunkers get two more turns with the highest combined score taking home the title.

    Keep in mind that since this is a judged event, legal sportsbooks in the U.S. will not be taking wagers and overseas odds can vary greatly.
    2020 NBA All-Star Skills Challenge odds to win and betting picks: Don't fade the big men

    ODDS TO WIN NBA SLAM DUNK CONTEST

    PLAYER TEAM ODDS
    Aaron Gordon Orlando Magic +150
    Derrick Jones Jr. Miami Heat +160
    Pat Connaughton Milwaukee Bucks +450
    Dwight Howard Los Angeles Lakers +600

    AARON GORDON +150

    This is Gordon's third time in the contest and he seems hungry to win after a fantastic runner-up performance in 2016 where he got three straight perfect scores of 50. Gordon's dunks in that contest were some of the best that have ever been seen, including my personal favorite where he jumped over Orlando's bizarre mascot, grabbed the ball, passed it underneath his legs and slammed it down with authority.

    Unfortunately for Gordon, Zach Lavine also had a jaw-dropping display in 2016 and won probably the best slam dunk duel in recent memory. Gordon has terrific jumping ability, length, coordination and creativity and is the betting fave for good reason.

    DERRICK JONES JR. +160

    Gordon was the runner-up in 2016 and Jones Jr. was the runner-up the following year, albeit in a far less entertaining contest. Jones is an incredible leaper who casually throws down 360-degree, between-the-legs dunks during warmups. The Heat small forward has terrific power and elevation and will put on a show.

    PAT CONNAUGHTON +450

    After rookie sensation Ja Morant declined his invitation to this event, many fans on Twitter were pretty disappointed when the Bucks guard was named as the final competitor. Despite the obvious Woody Harrelson-inspired stereotype, Connaughton is actually a very impressive dunker who had the second-highest max vertical in NBA draft combine history at 44 inches. And as you can see from the above video, the Notre Dame product has been throwing down insane dunks since he was a teenager.

    That said, this is Connaughton's first time competing in this event and while his hang time is impressive he doesn't have the explosiveness of Gordon or Jones. Judges and fans tend to go wild for the sorts of vicious throwdowns that the two favorites are capable of.

    DWIGHT HOWARD +600

    If Howard managed to claim this contest after winning in 2008, it would be a heartwarming comeback story for the big fella that once laid claim to the Superman title. The 34-year-old has made a comeback of sorts, becoming an integral role player for a Lakers team that has a strong shot at the NBA title.

    But let's be realistic, Dwight isn't anywhere close to the athletic speciman he was a decade ago. Time takes its toll on every athlete and it has been especially brutal on Howard, who has been hit with numerous back injuries since 2012. Howard fans will be better off rooting for him to win his first NBA championship than another slam dunk title.

    NBA SLAM DUNK CONTEST BETTING PICK

    While it's not always that profitable to back a favorite, all indications are that this will be a two-horse race and both Gordon and Jones Jr. offer plenty of value. Although Gordon competed as the betting favorite in 2017 and didn't make it into the final round, he was coming off a foot injury at the time and didn't seem to have his usual bounce.

    Gordon also attempted extremely creative dunks in the first round of that event and couldn't quite pull them off with his usual panache. When it comes to the creativity department, Gordon seems to be ahead of the field and now that he's healthy, the sky is the limit. Put your money on the favorite and back Gordon on Saturday night.
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    New format makes 2020 NBA All-Star Game betting odds a test for bookmakers
    Patrick Everson

    Milwaukee Bucks standout Giannis Antetokounmpo will captain Team Giannis against Team LeBron in Sunday's NBA All-Star Game. A new format has made setting the odds a little more difficult.

    Setting NBA All-Star Game betting odds is always a tricky proposition, since as a general rule, neither team is much interested in playing defense, leading to ridiculously high scoring. Five of the last six All-Star tilts have seen both teams eclipse 150 points, including last year, when Team LeBron topped Team Giannis 178-164, as the Over hit on a whopping total of 315.5.

    For the 2020 NBA All-Star Game, it gets trickier still for oddsmakers, as Sunday night’s matchup in Chicago rolls out a new format: the score will reset to 0-0 after the first and second quarters; after the third quarter, the cumulative score for both teams comes into play, as it normally would. However, there will be no game clock; rather, a final target score will be set, and the first team to reach that score wins the game.

    That target, in a nod honoring the memory of Kobe Bryant, will come by taking the leading team’s cumulative score and adding 24 points to that number. For example, if Team Lebron leads Team Giannis – yes, the captains are the same as last year – 100-95 after three quarters, the final target score is 124.

    It’s enough to make one Las Vegas operator, The SuperBook at Westgate, take a wait-and-see approach on posting the odds.

    “We have a good idea of how we are going to approach it, but it’s not official yet,” SuperBook executive director John Murray told Covers on Thursday, noting the game isn’t yet on the odds board. “It definitely won’t be today. It’s possible it could be Friday, but more likely Saturday.”

    Back east in New Jersey, PointsBet USA’s trading team agreed the format is a little wonky, but for the moment is doing what it can to treat the matchup like a typical game. PointsBet head of content Matt Chaprales intimated that there might even be advantages to this remodel.

    “From a linemaking perspective, we don’t believe the side should be too affected by the new format. In fact, it may lend to a truer full-game sample, given that the players have incentive to go hard in the first three quarters, due to the stakes,” Chaprales said. “Typically, the first halves in particular see a lot more variance in All-Star Games, as they’re more of a dunk showcase with no real game flow. That doesn’t figure to be the case this year.

    “We went up with Team LeBron -4.5 for the full-game spread, and that’s simply a reflection of the clear talent edge they have over Team Giannis.”

    Team LeBron was still at -4.5 on Thursday night, and reflecting Chaprales’ point about players taking the contest more seriously – along with the fourth-quarter format – the total was 285.5, 30 points below last year’s closing total.

    “The total is a more difficult proposition. In recent years, the market has shaped it pretty drastically down from the opener, so we have to keep that in mind,” Chaprales said. “Then you have the fact that 1) the first three quarters figure to feature more defense than we’re accustomed to seeing in the All-Star Game, given the incentive to win each quarter; and 2) the new format means it’s unlikely we’ll see more than 50 points in the fourth, give or take.

    “We’re currently up with player point totals for the starters, which will help guide our linemaking process on the game total, as they’re derivative markets.”

    PointsBet USA will also offer first-half side/moneyline as normal, and in the first half, there will be in-game options, as well. However, the only in-game market in the second half will be the moneyline, going up near the end of the third quarter. In addition, as Chaprales alluded to, there are proposition bets, potentially including alternate sides and totals.

    The SuperBook is renowned for its array of offerings, so don’t be surprised to see plenty of options there, as well, once those post on Friday or Saturday. But Murray isn’t convinced bettors will take to these changes.

    “I definitely think the format is going to negatively impact handle on the game,” Murray said. “People won’t understand it and will be less likely to bet the game because of it. I do think we will see a decrease in handle, due to confusion over the format.”

    All that said, with a 285.5-point total, bettors and fans alike can still expect a boatload of scoring.
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    Saturday’s 6-pack
    Highest valued NBA teams (from Forbes Magazine);
    — New York Knicks $4.6B
    — Los Angeles Lakers $4.4B
    — Golden State Warriors $4.3B
    — Chicago Bulls $3.2B
    — Boston Celtics $3.1B
    — Los Angeles Clippers $2,6B


    Quote of the Day:
    “That’s lower-class football. I don’t support XFL, man. If it ain’t the highest level, man, I’m not playing … I don’t want to go chill with 60 dudes every day and guys jealous ’cause AB getting all the touchdowns, AB getting all the girls they wishing about, you know?”
    Antonio Brown

    Saturday’s quiz
    Peyton Manning was the first pick in the 1998 NFL Draft; which QB was the #2 pick?

    Friday’s quiz
    In between coaching Cincinnati and West Virginia, Bob Huggins went 23-12 in one season as head coach at Kansas State.

    Thursday’s quiz
    Golfer Dustin Johnson has a famous father-in-law, the great hockey player Wayne Gretzky.

    **************************************************************************************

    Saturday’s List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

    13) Most teams from one conference in one NCAA tournament?

    2011 Big East had 11 teams in the tournament; the teams went 7-4 in first round, 2-5 in second round; Marquette lost in the Sweet 16, UConn won the national title, after going 9-9 in the Big East regular season.

    2012 Big East and 2018 ACC had 10 teams each; sounds like this year’s Big 14 is going to challenge that record of 11.

    12) Cleveland Indians’ P Mike Clevinger had meniscus surgery on his knee, is out 6-8 weeks, so he’ll probably miss Opening Day.

    11) Indians also signed OF Domingo Santana, who had an OPS of .850 in the first half of the season, but only .468 in the second half, while playing for the Mariners last year.

    10) Funny how Vanderbilt sucks at football/basketball, but they probably have the best baseball program in the country. Makes no sense.

    College baseball is a little different; in a 1-1 game vs Michigan Friday night. Vandy executed a squeeze play on an 0-2 count. That would never happen in the major leagues.

    9) NHL’s LA Kings, Colorado Avalanche are playing an outdoor game at the Air Force Academy in Colorado Springs today. NHL struck gold with these outdoor games; no way did they know how popular they would become.

    8) Siena 73, Rider 64— Rider’s senior G Stevie Jordan wears #23; any similarity between him and the other Jordan who wore #23 is purely coincidental.

    Siena is 11-0 at home, 1-10 on the road; conference tournament moves to Atlantic City this year, after usually being in Albany, good news for the rest of the MAAC.

    7) Manhattan signed basketball coach Steve Masiello to a 3-year contract extension; Jaspers are 11-11 this year, as they try to avoid their fifth losing season in a row. Manhattan is 35-51 in MAAC games the last five years, after going 28-12 from 2013-15.

    6) CB Josh Norman is getting released by the Redskins, who recently hired Ron Rivera as their head coach. Norman played four years in Carolina under Rivera; not a good sign that they dump him as soon as Rivera is on board. Why should another team want Norman if Rivera doesn’t?

    5) University of Washington’s softball team has a left-handed catcher; you don’t see those every day. Last lefty catcher in the major leagues was Mike Squires of the White Sox in 1980, who was a first baseman most of the time.

    4) A Northern Iowa student had his prize money reduced from $10,000 to $2,000 after some unclear rules determined that the half-court shot he made went in after time on the clock had expired. Watching the replay, there was no running clock visible, so it was a little cheesy when they wouldn’t pay the kid his $10K. He made his only try from halfcourt.

    3) Eight NHL coaches have already been fired this season; seems like a lot.

    2) Dartmouth 65, Columbia 63— Lions led 61-53 with 7:53 left, then scored two points the rest of the game and lost, their sixth defeat in a row.

    1) Yale 88, Princeton 64— Bulldogs take over first place in Ivy League at 6-1; top four teams make Ivy tournament.
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  10. #760  
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    All-Star Weekend Betting Odds

    The NBA All-Star Weekend heats up Saturday at the United Center from Chicago, Illinois with contests that feature the skills of the players.

    The Skills Challenge and 3-Point Contest are two of the popular events and DraftKings is offering betting opportunities.

    NBA Expert Tony Mejia provides his "Best Bets" on Saturday's events.

    Boston Celtics young gun Jayson Tatum is the defending champion of the Skills Challenge and he’s listed at 5/1 odds to repeat (Bet $100 to win $500). The co-favorites are Spencer Dinwiddie of the Nets and Khris Middleton of the Bucks. Dinwiddie took home the contest in 2018 at the Staples Center in Los Angeles.

    NBA All Star Skills Challenge Betting Odds

    Spencer Dinwiddie +450 (Bet $100 to win $450)
    Khris Middleton +450
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander +500
    Jayson Tatum +500
    Patrick Beverley +600
    Pascal Siakam +600
    Bam Adebayo +1000
    Domantas Sabonis +1000

    Tony Mejia's pick: Jayson Tatum

    All-Star Saturday night should see Boston’s Jayson Tatum and Brooklyn’s Spencer Dinwiddie duel for the Skills Challenge title after winning the last two competitions. Tatum won last year’s and will be motivated to hang on to the title in tribute to Bryant. I like him to join Damian Lillard, Steve Nash and Dwyane Wade as repeat Skills Challenge winners.

    NBA All Star 3-Point Contest Betting Odds

    While this year's 3-Point Contest lacks some luster due to the absence of the “Splash Brothers” from Golden State – Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson – the league still has plenty of sharpshooters on display in Chicago come Saturday. Brooklyn shooting guard Joe Harris is the defending champion and he is currently the betting favorite.

    Joe Harris +450 (Bet $100 to win $450)
    Duncan Robinson +500
    Trae Young +500
    Devin Booker +500
    Davis Bertans +550
    Buddy Hield +700
    Zach LaVine +1000
    Devonte' Graham +1200

    Tony Mejia's pick: Duncan Robinson

    Miami Heat forward Duncan Robinson will beat LaVine in the Three-Point Contest and should be a great value pick since he’s the biggest unknown in the field. Young, Booker, defending champ Harris, Sacramento’s Hield and Chicago’s own LaVine will all be more popular choices who won’t be able to hang with the undrafted 25-year-old, second-year wing.

    Slam Dunk Odds

    Unfortunately for bettors in the United States, sportsbooks regulated will not be taking action on the event since the judges are celebrities and the scoring is subjective.

    The 2020 field includes:

    Aaron Gordon
    Derrick Jones Jr.
    Pat Connaughton
    Dwight Howard

    Tony Mejia's pick: Derrick Jones Jr.

    There's a rumor that LaVine may treat Chicago fans to a 360 dunk from the free-throw line, but he's not expected to partake in this event. Miami's Jones, Jr. is therefore my choice to keep former runner-up Aaron Gordon of the Magic from earning his first dunk title in his third attempt.
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    Sunday’s 6-pack
    Six of the most experienced teams in country:
    2) South Alabama 16-11, 9-7
    3) Iona 8-12, 6-7 (coach is out)
    4) Central Michigan 13-11, 6-5
    5) South Dakota 19-9, 9-4
    7) Hofstra 20-7, 11-3
    9) BYU 21-7, 10-3


    Quote of the Day:
    “I support Mason Rudolph not only because I know him, but also because I was on that field immediately following the altercation with Myles Garrett, and subsequently after the game. I interacted with a lot of people in the Cleveland Browns organization — players and coaches. If Mason said what Myles claimed, it would have come out during the many interactions I had with those in the Browns’ organization. In my conversations, I had a lot of expressions of sorrow for what transpired.”
    Mike Tomlin

    Sunday’s quiz
    Which college basketball team is known as the Anteaters?

    Saturday’s quiz
    Peyton Manning was the first pick in the 1998 NFL Draft; Ryan Leaf was the #2 pick.

    Friday’s quiz
    In between coaching Cincinnati and West Virginia, Bob Huggins went 23-12 in one season as head coach at Kansas State.

    **************************************************************************

    Sunday’s List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

    13) 12 of college hoop’s top 25 teams played on road Saturday; eight of them lost.

    12) Maryland 67, Michigan State 60:
    — Terps outscored MSU 14-0 over final 3:24 of game.
    — Maryland led by 15 in first half.
    — Spartans lost four of their last five games.

    11) Cal-Fullerton 105, Cal Poly 101, 4OT:
    — First time they met, Cal Poly won 101-100 in OT.
    — Fullerton was 37-53 on foul line, Cal Poly 29-36
    — Titans made 10-19 on arc, still needed 4 OT’s to win.

    10) Kentucky 67, Ole Miss 62— Rebels led by 7 with 9:58 left, but had their 3-game win streak snapped, as Wildcats won despite going 2-22 on arc. Kermit Davis is a very good coach; Ole Miss was 1-7 in SEC at one point, but Davis has made the #251 experience team a much better team.

    9) Mississippi State 78, Arkansas 77— Bulldogs blew a 17-point lead, then put a rebound back in for game-winning hoop with less than a second to play. Miss State is an old school team; they took 44 2-point shots, were only 3-7 on the arc. Only senior who played for State was Tyson Carter- he gave them 26 points off the bench.

    8) Florida State 80, Syracuse 77— Seminoles bounced back from Duke loss, winning game they trailed by 11 in with 12:11 left. Syracuse played six guys basically; a 7th guy played only 7:00. None of the seven guys are seniors; only Hofstra’s subs play less than Syracuse subs.

    7) Upsets:
    — Georgetown (+11) 73, Butler 66
    — Incarnate Word (+10) 67, New Orleans 66
    — LMU (+7.5) 65, Santa Clara 59
    — George Washington (+7) 73, George Mason 67
    — Maryland (+7) 67, Michigan State 60
    — Bowling Green (+7) 77, Ball State 71
    — Md-Eastern Shore (+6.5) 66, Bethune-Cookman 58
    — Clemson (+6) 77, Louisville 62
    — Western Carolina (+6) 80, Wofford 74

    6) Colorado State 77, Wyoming 70— Rams outscored their rivals 14-0 over final 2:26 to get out of Laramie with win, after they trailed by 19 with 14:06 left. State was 26-40 on foul line; not often a road team takes 40 foul shots in a game.

    5) Loyola 82, Northern Iowa 73 OT— Loyola butchered end of regulation, not fouling when they led by 3 and still had fouls to give in last 0:05— UNI hit a 3-pointer to tie game, but Ramblers had a strong overtime and closed to within one game of the Panthers atop the MVC standings.

    4) Virginia 64, North Carolina 62— Virginia tore the Tar Heels’ heart out of their chest, making a 3-pointer with 0:00.6 left in game. Carolina lost its last five games, is 3-11 in the ACC.

    3) Richmond 77, VCU 59— Spiders avenge an earlier loss to their crosstown rival; they’ve won four games in row, are up to 19-6 this season, 9-3 in A-14.

    2) Florida 84, Vanderbilt 66— They named the court in Gainesville after Billy Donovan last night; think about it- since 2001, the ’07 Gators are the only defending national champ to get to the Elite 8. They won consecutive national titles, very difficult in this era of college ball, where kids bolt to pro basketball as soon as they make two layups in a row.

    1) Providence 74, Seton Hall 71— Friars led this game 34-9….34-9!!!! Lot of people are picking Seton Hall to get to the Final Four, but they’ve lost three of last five games. NCAA Tournament is going to be very difficult to predict. Lot of wildly erratic teams out there.
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  12. #762  
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    All-Star Best Bets
    Tony Mejia

    While NBA All-Star weekend will provide an extended tribute Kobe Bryant, the league will mourn by celebrating.

    There were issues getting to Chicago due to inclement weather affecting travel throughout the country but those who experienced turmoil will be able to zap it out and perform. That goes for players, coaches and reporters who know that overcoming adversity is part of the gig.

    Bettors shouldn’t feel bad about letting it ride in this All-Star Game either. Some who refuse to let their money ride on exhibitions wouldn’t have touched this game outside of blindly betting the ‘over’ and now have no angle due to the league’s decision to honor Bryant by changing the format.

    Scores will reset after every quarter and will therefore be more attractive to bet since each 12 minutes will produce a $100,000 winner for charity. The combined score of the first three quarters will be added to open the fourth and we’ll get a target score that will need to be reached to close out the contest. In tribute to Bryant, the team that has the lead will then need 24 points to win the game. If Team LeBron is up on Team Giannis 121-115 through the first three quarters, the game would end when either team arrives at 145 points.

    My hope is that the players selected to star in this game honor their fallen brother by playing with some tenacity. For that reason, I fully expect that we’ll see the lowest-scoring All-Star Game in over a decade.

    Tony Mejia's pick: Under 304

    Back in 2009, the Western Conference, led by Bryant’s 27 points, defeated the LeBron-led East 146-119. He shared MVP with former teammate Shaquille O’Neal, leading his group on a game-clinching 19-0 run. Bryant won top honors once more two years later since he had to represent at Staples and went for 37 points and 14 boards, The 291 points produced in that showcase are part of a run now spanning 10-plus years where at least 280 points have been scored.

    Last year’s total closed at 316 and was surpassed easily as Team LeBron routed Team Giannis 178-164. The year prior to that featured James’ squad edging Stephen Curry’s group 148-145 as he won MVP at Staples Center in his final season with the Cavs. Scoring has skyrocketed over the past 15 years. In 2006, there were 242 points scored on the heels of 240 the previous season. In 2016, the West beat the East 196-173. They won 192-182 in ‘17.

    This All-Star Game’s rule changes mean we won’t be able to accurately rely on past behavior to try and forecast this exhibition game. The total moving 10-15 points to the north has been a trend that bettors have been able to count upon over the past few years, although the ’18 game did manage to cash for ‘under’ bettors. Typically, you bet the ‘over’ as soon as numbers are released and rejoice at getting in early as the closing figure skyrockets as tip-off approaches. That’s unlikely to be a sound strategy this time around, although this figure opened at ‘under’ 300 and climbed as high as 305 at some shops on Saturday.

    If the NBA sticks to using this “Elam Ending” where they post a final score to reach in order to end the game, we’ll at least have this year’s game as an indicator of what to expect. Resetting the scores at the beginning of the second and third quarters to set up three mini games is also something you should probably get used to since Commissioner Adam Silver is very interested in “fixing” the competitive balance of the All-Star game and views the teams playing for prize money for charity as something that should yield results.

    The number ‘24’ is being used for the fourth quarter to honor Bryant, so it will be interesting to monitor whether that figure ends up closer to 35 points down the road. Even with the team trailing likely to lock in on the defensive end in pursuit of a comeback, notching 24 points doesn’t sound too challenging for a team of All-Stars, which may result in a fairly brief fourth quarter.

    James’ team was always going to be favored and the chemistry he shares with Chicago native Anthony Davis should serve as a driving force for Team LeBron. If you’re laying the points and backing James to improve to 3-0 since drafting your own teams became the norm, find a way to ride Davis to win All-Star MVP if you can find it. A top point scorer prop is available at FanDuel Sportsbook and pays out +400. His individual number is set at 21.5, which is my top player prop for this game.

    Team Giannis has the ability to clamp down if they really take playing defense to heart. Although they would only be able to close with one of their starting guards, Trae Young or Kemba Walker, the group has Jimmy Butler, Antetokounmpo, Bam Adebayo and Rudy Gobert capable of closing out a game on the defensive end. I’m a big fan of the Team Giannis/under parlay as a result. His points total at FanDuel is 25.5, which looks a little too steep given the atmosphere. I’d ride the ‘under’ there at -135. Take a shot at teammates Young (16.5) and Butler (9.5) going ‘over’ their projections. Young winning MVP and leading the entire contest in points carries a solid return at +750

    Tony Mejia's Player Prop Picks: Over – Anthony Davis Points (21.5), Trae Young (16.5), Jimmy Butler (9.5). Under - Giannis Antetokounmpo (25.5)
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    WHAT ARE THE NEW NBA ALL-STAR GAME RULES?

    The first three quarters will begin with the score of 0-0 and runs the standard NBA 12 minutes with each team playing for a Chicago-based charity. The winner of each quarter will receive $100,000 to donate to their respective charity.

    The clock will be turned off for the fourth quarter with the teams playing to a final target score. The final target score will be set by taking the leading team’s cumulative score through the first three quarters and adding 24 points. So, for example, if Team LeBron is leading Team Giannis 100-95 after three quarters the target score would be 124. Meaning Team LeBron would need to score 24 points before Team Giannis scores 29 points (and vice versa) to win.

    The 24 points target score is a tribute to the late Kobe Bryant.

    All of this will make wagering on this game very difficult for bettors and oddsmakers alike. (Checkout the article below from our Patrick Everson on how sportbooks plan on handling the situation), but we’re giving it our best shot and give our best picks and predictions for the NBA All-Star Game.


    QUICK HITTER

    Team Giannis will roll out a starting lineup of himself, Joel Embiid, Pascal Siakam, Kemba Walker and Trae Young. While LeBron will open the game alongside teammate Anthony Davis, Kawhi Leonard, Luka Doncic, and James Harden. (Put it this way, LeBron has three more all-star appearances than all of the Team Giannis starters). Now, that may seem like a mismatch on paper, but that is just the way Giannis likes it.

    Giannis may have drafted the “all-fun” team, not to mention an all-time “smiles” team. But they are also full of young competitors. And that’s why we like them early in this game. They have two guys in Siakam and Young, making their first All-Star Game appearance, who will be motivated to show they belong.

    Team Giannis also features three starters from last year’s squad which got out to a 53-37 lead after one quarter in last year’s game. There’s just too much value with Team Giannis to take the first mini-game.

    Pick: Team Giannis 1st Quarter Moneyline (+125)


    TOTAL BET

    Oddsmakers agreed that the new format would make for a more competitive NBA All-Star game, opening the total at 285. That’s lowest it’s been in the last five years. That said it was quickly bet up to 300.5 and currently sits at 303.5. And even at the current number only one of the last five All-Star games would have fallen Under that number.

    Obviously, the final quarter being untimed has an affect on this number, because hypothetically, as few as 24 points could be scored in the fourth quarter. But that is traditionally the quarter where players turn up the intensity anyways. The average combined score over the last five All-Star games has been 339.8. Even with the new rules we’re betting this goes Over.

    Pick: Over 303.5


    SIDE BET

    The best part about the final target score is that no matter what, we get a game winning shot. So, that’s kind of cool. But who will cover?

    As mentioned before, Team Giannis got off to a good start last year, taking a 95-82 lead into halftime before Team LeBron stormed back in the second half on their way to a 178-164 victory. James improved to 2-0 SU/ATS and we can see more of the same happening this time around. Just like last year, it appears LeBron’s fantasy draft skills are better than Giannis’.

    Giannis once again filled his roster with first-time All Stars in the hope that they will “play harder.” It also seems like he has too many centers. And while LeBron has some first year all-stars as well, his seem more dynamic like Luka Doncic and Jayson Tatum. He also seems to have all the player-makers. Doncic, Kawhi, Paul, Jokic, himself. It could be a lot of fun watching Team LeBron move the ball around. And in the end their depth will be the difference.

    Pick: Team LeBron -6
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    xx
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    Thursday’s 6-pack
    Odds for this week’s WGC – Mexico Championship
    6-1— Rory McIlroy
    8-1— Dustin Johnson
    10-1— Jon Rahm, Justin Thomas
    20-1— Fleetwood, Matsuyama, Schauffele, Scott, Simpson
    30-1— Bryson DeChambeau
    40-1— Casey, Garcia, Kuchar, Morikawa, Oosthuizen, Reed, Woodland


    Tweet of the Day:
    “The way the media talk so down on us (Cincinnati Bengals) is really absurd. The disrespect is crazy but it’s life all it consist of is proven people wrong.”
    Bengals’ WR Tyler Boyd

    Thursday’s quiz
    Which current ACC basketball coach was coach at George Mason when they made the Final Four in 2006?

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Excalibur Casino in Las Vegas casino looks like a castle on the outside.

    Tuesday’s quiz
    Matt Doherty was basketball coach at North Carolina before they hired Roy Williams.

    *****************************************************************************

    Thursday’s List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

    13) NC State 88, Duke 66:
    — Sunday, Wolfpack lost to a sub-par Boston College team
    — This game, they ran the Blue Devils off the floor.
    — Saturday, they host Florida State, another top 25 team.

    To win the national title, you have to win six games in a row; not sure how many teams there are in this year of incredibly erratic play that can play well six games in a row.

    12) Seton Hall 74, Butler 72— Pirates scored on a lob pass on an out-of-bounds under play with 0:00.6 left to win this game, after they blew a 5-point lead with 0:35 left. Butler lost for fourth time in last six games, despite shooting 58.8% inside arc.

    11) Sounds like the NFL is expanding the playoffs to 14 teams next year, so the #1 seeds in each conference will be the only teams to get a first-round bye.

    10) Mississippi State 79, South Carolina 76— Bulldogs won eight of last 11 games, are 8-5 in SEC as they try to get off the NCAA bubble.

    Miss State coach Ben Howland got UCLA to the Final Four three years in a row, from 2006-08, never won the national title, and wound up getting fired after a 25-10, 13-5 season in 2013. He’s a really good coach; Starkville ain’t the easiest place to win. Would be impressive if Miss State makes it to the NCAAs this year, with experience team #287.

    9) East Tennessee State 75, Furman 66— Buccaneers improve to 12-3 in SoCon, lead Furman and NC-Greensboro by game. In five years under Steve Forbes, ETSU is 124-47, 68-19 in conference games. How the hell has some big $$$$ team not hired this guy?

    8) Stephen F Austin could be a very nervous team on Selection Sunday, unless they win the Southland Conference tournament. Lumberjacks are 23-3, have run away with the regular season title in Southland, and they won 85-83 in OT at Duke Nov 26. Big win.

    But SF Austin is ranked #110 on KenPom, nowhere near the bubble; they lost by 12 at Rutgers, by 10 at Alabama, two losses that look better now than they did then- they also lost a league game in Corpus Christi, a bad loss.

    If the Lumberjacks were to get upset in the Southland tourney, I’d still much rather see them in the NCAAs than the 10th or 11th place team in the Big 14. Don’t think it’ll happen, though.

    7) Upsets:
    — Central Florida (+11) 89, Cincinnati 87, 2OT
    — Texas A&M (+10.5) 74, Alabama 68
    — George Washington (+10) 70, Duquesne 67
    — Lamar (+8.5) 77, Sam Houston State 65
    — Tulane (+8) 80, SMU 72
    — VMI (+8) 74, Western Carolina 71
    — NC State (+7.5) 88, Duke 66
    — Indiana (+6.5) 68, Minnesota 56
    — Incarnate Word (+6.5) 65, McNeese State 59

    6) Michigan 60, Rutgers 52— Scarlet Knights are much improved at 18-9, 9-7 in conference, but they look like they practice without a basketball. Rutgers is shooting 29.8% on arc (#318), 65.2% on arc (#320). No bueno.

    5) Miami 102, Virginia Tech 95, 3OT— Kameron McGusty scored 21 points in 44:00 for Miami, and he didn’t start. Teams combined to make 53 of 60 foul shots. Hurricanes led by 12 early in second half, needed 3 OT’s to break their 6-game road losing streak.

    Tech led by 7 with 4:35 left, but lost for sixth time in last seven games.

    4) Someone posted a video on Twitter Wednesday; Bogdan Bogdanovic of Sacramento Kings, making 90 foul shots in a row at practice- they actually just showed him missing the 91st foul shot, but you get the idea. The skill level of NBA players is underrated, how hard they work to become as good as they are.

    3) Drake 77, Valparaiso 75 OT— Bulldogs were up 18 at the half, survive in OT and improve to 18-10, 8-7 in Missouri Valley. Drake is on its fifth head coach in eight years; they’re 20-13 in MVC in two years under Darian DeVries.

    2) ESPN runs a promo for SportsCenter during the NC State-Duke game, what is their big promo? Lebron James? Astros? Drew Brees? The Wilder fight this weekend?

    Nope, they hype an interview with Zion Williamson, who would be on the network less if his mother ran ESPN. Enough already with the kid, at least for a while.

    1) They called a flagrant foul on a Duke player early in the 2nd half last night; players were under the basket, jockeying for position, nothing major, but the NC State kid got slapped in the face, and they called it a flagrant foul. Rule makers are making basketball a much softer game, and I don’t think it helps the game— too many whistles, too many replay reviews.
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    Thursday's NBA Betting Tip Sheet
    Kevin Rogers

    Bucks at Pistons – 7:05 PM EST

    MIL: 46-8 SU, 31-23 ATS, 27-26-1 O/U
    DET: 19-38 SU, 21-35-1 ATS, 34-23 O/U

    Last 10 games:

    MIL: 8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS, 5-5 O/U
    DET: 2-8 SU, 4-6 ATS, 5-5 O/U

    Head-to-Head:

    The Bucks have captured 10 consecutive meetings with the Pistons, which included an easy four-game sweep in the opening round of the 2019 playoffs. Milwaukee has cruised past Detroit in two matchups this season, including a 127-103 blowout of the Pistons at Little Caesars Arena as 8 ˝-point favorites in early December.

    Betcha Didn’t Know:

    -- Since the start of last season, the Bucks are 27-1 in the regular season in the last 28 games off a loss. In this stretch, Milwaukee has covered 22 times.

    -- The Pistons are 3-34-1 ATS this season in a loss, but two of the three covers came in the past four games.


    Heat at Hawks – 7:05 PM EST

    MIA: 35-19 SU, 29-23-2 ATS, 31-22-1 O/U
    ATL: 15-41 SU, 25-30-1 ATS, 33-23 O/U

    Last 10 games:

    MIA: 4-6 SU, 4-6 ATS, 4-6 O/U
    ATL: 4-6 SU, 4-5-1 ATS, 7-3 O/U

    Head-to-Head:

    The Heat have won and covered each of the first three meetings with the Hawks, including a 135-121 overtime triumph as eight-point favorites on December 10. In the other two victories, Miami has limited Atlanta to 97 points each, while the ‘under’ cashed in each of those games.

    Betcha Didn’t Know:

    -- Miami has lost seven of its past 10 road games, including losses to Portland, Sacramento, San Antonio, Brooklyn, and New York, all who own losing records.

    -- The Hawks have covered six of their last nine home contests in the underdog role, while beating the Clippers, 76ers, and Pacers outright.


    Hornets at Bulls – 8:05 PM EST

    CHA: 18-36 SU, 26-28 ATS, 27-27 O/U
    CHI: 19-36 SU, 24-30-1 ATS, 30-25 O/U

    Last 10 games:

    CHA: 3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS, 4-6 O/U
    CHI: 3-7 SU, 3-7 ATS, 9-1 O/U

    Head-to-Head:

    The Hornets have taken two of the three meetings this season, while the two teams have split a pair of games decided by one point each. Charlotte has covered in all three games in the underdog role, including the most recent matchup at United Center in mid-December by beating Chicago, 83-73 as seven-point ‘dogs.

    Betcha Didn’t Know:

    -- Charlotte owns an incredible 11-3 ATS record against Central division foes this season. The Hornets are 9-0 ATS against Chicago, Detroit, and Cleveland.

    -- The Bulls closed the first half by cashing eight consecutive ‘overs,’ including each of the last six with a total of less than 220.


    Nets at 76ers – 8:05 PM EST

    BKN: 25-28 SU, 26-27 ATS, 25-27-1 O/U
    PHI: 34-21 SU, 22-29-4 O/U, 26-28-1 O/U

    Last 10 games:

    BKN: 7-3 SU, 8-2 ATS, 4-6 O/U
    PHI: 5-5 SU, 3-7 ATS, 5-5 O/U

    Head-to-Head:

    The 76ers have grabbed six of the last seven matchups with the Nets, including two of three this season. After Brooklyn knocked off Philadelphia by 20 points at home in December, the Sixers took a pair of meetings in a six-day span in January.

    Betcha Didn’t Know:

    -- The Nets ended the first half off consecutive wins over the Pacers and Raptors, but Brooklyn is 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in its last five games off back-to-back victories.

    -- Philadelphia has compiled a 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS mark at home against division foes this season. The lone ATS defeat came as a 12 ˝-point favorite in a five-point win over the Knicks.


    Grizzlies at Kings – 10:05 PM EST

    MEM: 28-26 SU, 30-23-1 ATS, 27-27 O/U
    SAC: 21-33 SU, 26-27-1 ATS, 29-25 O/U

    Last 10 games:

    MEM: 8-2 SU, 8-2 ATS, 5-5 O/U
    SAC: 6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS, 7-3 O/U

    Head-to-Head:

    The home team has captured each of the first two matchups this season by a combined nine points. Memphis held off Sacramento at FedEx Forum on December 21 as two-point underdogs, 119-115, while the Kings edged the Grizzlies at Golden 1 Center, 128-123 less than two weeks later.

    Betcha Didn’t Know:

    -- Since losing at Sacramento on January 2, the Grizzlies have posted an incredible 15-4 SU and 14-5 ATS mark the last 19 games. Memphis is 6-3 SU/ATS on the road in this stretch, which includes a 4-1 SU/ATS ledger against teams with losing records.

    -- The Kings lost 10 of 12 home games from December 13 through February 1, but Sacramento has won each of its past three contests at Golden 1 Center. However, this is the first time the Kings will be listed as a home favorite since losing to Orlando on January 13.


    Rockets at Warriors – 10:35 PM EST

    HOU: 34-20 SU, 26-28 ATS, 23-31 O/U
    GS: 12-43 SU, 27-28 ATS, 25-30 O/U

    Last 10 games:

    HOU: 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS, 4-6 O/U
    GS: 2-8 SU, 5-5 ATS, 6-4 O/U

    Head-to-Head:

    Both matchups have been won by the home team and each by double-digits. The Rockets knocked off the Warriors as hefty 16-point favorites in early November, 129-112, but Golden State returned the favor on Christmas Day at home in a 116-104 stunner as 11 ˝-point underdogs.

    Betcha Didn’t Know:

    -- Since Christmas, the Rockets are 1-6 ATS in the role of a road favorite, while winning only two of those games straight-up.

    -- The Warriors are 1-9 in their last 10 games at Chase Center with six of those defeats coming by double-digits.
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  17. #767  
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    NBA's Top OVER Referees at the All-Star Break (min. 10 games):

    1. John Goble 30-10
    2. Tre Maddox 28-12
    3. Brett Nansel 18-8
    t4. Eric Dalen 24-12
    t4. Jenna Schroeder 16-8
    6. Ray Acosta 24-13
    7. Haywoode Workman 7-4
    8. Dedric Taylor 25-16


    NBA's Top UNDER Referees at All-Star Break (min. 10 games):

    1. Karl Lane 29-14
    2. Derek Richardson 22-11
    3. Eric Lewis 25-14
    4. Phenizee Ransom 17-10
    5. Leon Wood 19-12
    6. Jonathan Sterling 20-13
    t7. Z. Zarba, S. Twardoski, K. Mauer tied at 21-16
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  18. #768  
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    501MILWAUKEE -502 DETROIT
    MILWAUKEE is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    505CHARLOTTE -506 CHICAGO
    CHICAGO is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in home games after a combined score of 225 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

    507BROOKLYN -508 PHILADELPHIA
    PHILADELPHIA is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game in the current season.

    509MEMPHIS -510 SACRAMENTO
    SACRAMENTO is 76-57 ATS (13.3 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.
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  19. #769  
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    Long Sheet

    Thursday, February 20


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MILWAUKEE (46 - 8) at DETROIT (19 - 38) - 2/20/2020, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MILWAUKEE is 88-60 ATS (+22.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 24-7 ATS (+16.3 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    MILWAUKEE is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    MILWAUKEE is 67-46 ATS (+16.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in all games this season.
    DETROIT is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    DETROIT is 32-48 ATS (-20.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    DETROIT is 41-59 ATS (-23.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MILWAUKEE is 9-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    MILWAUKEE is 12-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (35 - 19) at ATLANTA (15 - 41) - 2/20/2020, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 160-123 ATS (+24.7 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
    MIAMI is 156-120 ATS (+24.0 Units) in February games since 1996.
    MIAMI is 239-194 ATS (+25.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
    ATLANTA is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ATLANTA is 6-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    MIAMI is 7-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CHARLOTTE (18 - 36) at CHICAGO (19 - 36) - 2/20/2020, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 184-146 ATS (+23.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
    CHARLOTTE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against Central division opponents this season.
    CHICAGO is 59-75 ATS (-23.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 39-57 ATS (-23.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 44-58 ATS (-19.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CHICAGO is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CHARLOTTE is 6-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
    CHICAGO is 5-5 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
    8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BROOKLYN (25 - 28) at PHILADELPHIA (34 - 21) - 2/20/2020, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHILADELPHIA is 70-47 ATS (+18.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    PHILADELPHIA is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
    BROOKLYN is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games when playing with 3 or more days rest since 1996.
    BROOKLYN is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games after a division game since 1996.
    BROOKLYN is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 58-43 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    BROOKLYN is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 9-7 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 11-5 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
    9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MEMPHIS (28 - 26) at SACRAMENTO (21 - 33) - 2/20/2020, 10:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MEMPHIS is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    MEMPHIS is 50-37 ATS (+9.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
    MEMPHIS is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
    SACRAMENTO is 5-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (34 - 20) at GOLDEN STATE (12 - 43) - 2/20/2020, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    HOUSTON is 133-98 ATS (+25.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
    GOLDEN STATE is 70-86 ATS (-24.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 30-46 ATS (-20.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 57-74 ATS (-24.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    GOLDEN STATE is 25-38 ATS (-16.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    HOUSTON is 13-9 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
    GOLDEN STATE is 11-11 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    13 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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  20. #770  
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    NBA
    Dunkel

    Thursday, February 20



    Milwaukee @ Detroit

    Game 501-502
    February 20, 2020 @ 7:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Milwaukee
    125.884
    Detroit
    108.782
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 17
    228
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 13
    225 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (-13); Over

    Miami @ Atlanta


    Game 503-504
    February 20, 2020 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    117.776
    Atlanta
    108.199
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami
    by 9 1/2
    244
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami
    by 6
    230 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (-6); Over

    Brooklyn @ Philadelphia


    Game 507-508
    February 20, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Brooklyn
    112.610
    Philadelphia
    117.918
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Brooklyn
    by 4 1/2
    217
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 8
    215
    Dunkel Pick:
    Brooklyn
    (+8); Under

    Charlotte @ Chicago


    Game 505-506
    February 20, 2020 @ 8:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Charlotte
    111.032
    Chicago
    109.425
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Charlotte
    by 1 1/2
    207
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago
    by 5 1/2
    210
    Dunkel Pick:
    Charlotte
    (+5 1/2); Under

    Memphis @ Sacramento


    Game 509-510
    February 20, 2020 @ 10:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Memphis
    119.778
    Sacramento
    115.805
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Memphis
    by 4
    228
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Memphis
    by 1
    229 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Memphis
    (-1); Under

    Houston @ Golden State


    Game 511-512
    February 20, 2020 @ 10:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    121.690
    Golden State
    108.149
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 13 1/2
    229
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    by 10
    232 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-10); Under
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  21. #771  
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    By: Monique Vág


    MILWAUKEE BUCKS AT DETROIT PISTONS
    MISMATCH IN MOTOWN


    The Bucks are 13-point road favorites as they take on the Pistons. Milwaukee has won 10 straight in the head-to-head versus Detroit, and has covered the spread eight times throughout that stretch.

    With the Pistons slumping offensively losing eight of their last 10 games and being held under 100 points four times throughout that stretch, expect Milwaukee to take care of business and cover the large spread on the road.


    MIAMI HEAT AT ATLANTA HAWKS
    HEAT COOLING OFF?


    The Heat are 6.5-point favorites as they travel to Atlanta to take on the Hawks. Miami has won three straight in the head-to-head by an average score of 117-105.

    Before the break, the Heat had some offensive struggles shooting under 45 percent in seven of their last 10 games. The Hawks on the other hand have averaged 123.7 points over their last three games and are capable of keeping things close. Take the Hawks getting 6.5-points.


    CHARLOTTE HORNETS AT CHICAGO BULLS
    LACK OF FIREPOWER


    The lowest game total of the night is set at 211 between the Bulls and Hornets. These are two of the lower scoring teams in the Association with Chicago ranking 25th with 106.4 points a game, and the Hornets dead last with 102.9.

    The Bulls are still too shorthanded to trust, with Lauri Markannen, Otto Porter Jr. and Wendell Carter Jr. among several other players still listed as out on the injury report. The Hornets have not been able to find an offensive groove, being held to 100 points or fewer in seven of their last 10. Look for both teams to continue to struggle putting up points, and bet Under the game total of 211.


    BROOKLYN NETS AT PHILADELPHIA 76ERS
    FILLING AN OFFENSIVE VOID


    Brooklyn's Caris LeVert has finally started to round back into form after missing some time away due to injury. He's logged 20 or more points in four of his last five games and has attempted 20 field goals three times throughout that stretch.

    With Kyrie Irving out of the lineup with a shoulder injury and LeVert shooting well, expect a big impact on the offensive end versus the 76ers today. The volume of attempts will surely be there, so take the Over 17.5 on his points total.


    MEMPHIS GRIZZLIES AT SACRAMENTO KINGS
    SLOW OUT OF THE GATE


    The Grizzlies have won eight of their last 10 games overall and 10 of their last 12 versus Western Conference opponents. Despite their recent success, they are only 1.5-point road favorites tonight against the Kings.

    Expect points to be difficult to come by early on, as both teams have gotten off to slow starts recently. The Grizzlies, who are typically high scoring, average only 53.8 first half points away from home, while the Kings put up just 52.3 first half ppg at home - ranking them 27th overall. Look for another slow start out of both sides, and bet Under the first half total of 112.5.
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  22. #772  
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    Friday’s 6-pack
    NBA trends submitted for your perusal……
    — Washington covered eight of its last 11 home games.
    — Mavericks are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 road games.
    — Phoenix covered once in its last six road games.
    — Knicks are 9-6 ATS at home since changing coaches.
    — Minnesota covered twice in its last sixteen games.
    — Nuggets are 7-4 in their last eleven games.

    Quote of the Day:
    “It’s kind of hard when you have a computer program that breaks your signs. We actively changed signs. Every single pitch, we were changing signs. You had to because they would relay them to second, stealing them from first, too — from between your legs. They had a very intricate system going on. We were well aware of it and it was a challenge. It was a mental challenge to really overcome that. ”
    Veteran catcher Jonathan Lucroy, talking about playing against the Astros

    Friday’s quiz
    Of the 40 teams in the Final Four over the last ten years, how many of them won their conference tournament that season?

    Thursday’s quiz
    Miami coach Jim Larranaga was coach at George Mason when they made the Final Four in 2006.

    Wednesday’s quiz
    Excalibur Casino in Las Vegas casino looks like a castle on the outside.

    ***************************************************************************

    Friday’s List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……

    13) Eastern Illinois 63, Murray State 60— Racers led this game 50-23 with 11:45 left to play, and lost; they led by 24 with 8:33 left. Panthers outscored Murray 35-10 over last 10:00 of game, as Racers lose for third time in last five games, and slip into a tie for 2nd in OVC with Belmont.

    12) Gonzaga 71, San Francisco 54— USF was up 31-22 at half; first time they met, Gonzaga was down 43-35 at halftime, but won 83-79. Gonzaga was 25-32 on foul line in first meeting, only 4-5 on arc. Last night, they were 5-13 on arc, 8-15 on foul line.

    San Francisco might be the best 17-11 team in the country; whoever draws Gonzaga in the NCAA’s is going to watch film of these two games, for sure.

    11) Four games in the WCC Thursday, favorites won all four, but none of them covered.

    10) Arizona State 77, Oregon 72— Bill Walton’s random fact of the night: Tempe, AZ is the #1 drop-off destination in the country for U-Haul vehicles.

    Frank Caliendo joined the broadcast for part of the first half; his impersonation of Walton is spot-on. Having two guys on a broadcast who talk like Walton was a bit much.

    9) Temple 93, UConn 89 2OT— Owls were 27-35 on foul line, UConn 18-20, in game where the Huskies led by 12 early on. Temple won three of its last four games, with all three wins by 4 or less points, or in OT.

    8) 3-pointers became a permanent thing in college basketball in the fall of 1986; since then, only two teams (UNLV, Princeton) have made a 3-pointer in all their games.

    Vanderbilt was also on this list, until they went 0-25 on arc against Tennessee January 18.

    7) Indiana State 67, Northern Iowa 64— Minor upset in MVC, but Panthers lose in Terre Haute for fifth year in a row, so not as big an upset as the standings would suggest.

    6) Hawai’i 56, Cal-Riverside 55— Rainbows blew a 17-point lead, but won and snapped their 4-game losing skid in what was an oddly entertaining game. Not often Riverside gets national TV exposure; both teams played their hearts out, but neither team is very good.

    5) Stanford 72, Washington 64— This is how fragile teams are in today’s college basketball, even really good teams. On January 5, Washington pounded USC 72-40; they were 11-4, ranked #50 in country by KenPom. Then point guard Quade Green flunked out of school.

    Since then, losing one player, Washington is 1-11, and has dropped into last place in Pac-12. Huskies would be a lock for the NCAA’s if they had better tutors (kidding, kind of).

    4) Upsets:
    — Denver (+6.5) 100, Oral Roberts 96 OT
    — Wm & Mary (+6) 61, Towson State 51
    — Youngstown State (+6) 88, Wright State 70
    — UMBC (+5) 69, Albany 50
    — Eastern Illinois (+4.5) 63, Murray State 60

    3) Surprising stat of the day: Patrick Mahomes played for three years at Texas Tech; they went 16-21 in those three seasons.

    2) 76ers 112, Nets 104 OT— If you had Brooklyn +6.5, this was a bitter defeat; Nets led by 20 at one point. Ben Simmons didn’t play; Embiid scored 39, grabbed 16 rebounds.

    1) All winter long, I’ve read about the Cubs trading Kris Bryant; all of a sudden, Bryant is going to be their new leadoff hitter. Go figure.
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  23. #773  
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    513CLEVELAND -514 WASHINGTON
    CLEVELAND is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% in the current season.

    515DALLAS -516 ORLANDO
    DALLAS are 14-1 ATS (12.9 Units) in road games after playing a home game in the current season.

    517PHOENIX -518 TORONTO
    TORONTO is 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points in the current season.

    521BOSTON -522 MINNESOTA
    MINNESOTA is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

    523DENVER -524 OKLAHOMA CITY
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 272-222 ATS (27.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game since 1996.

    525SAN ANTONIO -526 UTAH
    SAN ANTONIO is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

    527NEW ORLEANS -528 PORTLAND
    NEW ORLEANS are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

    529MEMPHIS -530 LA LAKERS
    LA LAKERS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games off a road win in the current season.
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  24. #774  
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    Long Sheet

    Friday, February 21


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (14 - 40) at WASHINGTON (20 - 33) - 2/21/2020, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 101-133 ATS (-45.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 62-83 ATS (-29.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    WASHINGTON is 41-61 ATS (-26.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 166-218 ATS (-73.8 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 144-185 ATS (-59.5 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
    WASHINGTON is 45-63 ATS (-24.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    WASHINGTON is 5-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
    CLEVELAND is 6-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DALLAS (33 - 22) at ORLANDO (24 - 31) - 2/21/2020, 7:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DALLAS is 32-23 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
    DALLAS is 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) in road games this season.
    DALLAS is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
    DALLAS is 74-47 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
    DALLAS is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
    ORLANDO is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
    ORLANDO is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
    ORLANDO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
    ORLANDO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    ORLANDO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
    ORLANDO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    PHOENIX (22 - 33) at TORONTO (40 - 15) - 2/21/2020, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    PHOENIX is 61-75 ATS (-21.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 47-63 ATS (-22.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 26-42 ATS (-20.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 45-64 ATS (-25.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 63-43 ATS (+15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
    PHOENIX is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    TORONTO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHOENIX is 4-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
    TORONTO is 4-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    INDIANA (32 - 23) at NEW YORK (17 - 38) - 2/21/2020, 7:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    INDIANA is 236-177 ATS (+41.3 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
    NEW YORK is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW YORK is 44-59 ATS (-20.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW YORK is 5-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    INDIANA is 7-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BOSTON (38 - 16) at MINNESOTA (16 - 37) - 2/21/2020, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BOSTON is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
    BOSTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
    MINNESOTA is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in all games this season.
    MINNESOTA is 11-28 ATS (-19.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    MINNESOTA is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in home games this season.
    MINNESOTA is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    MINNESOTA is 389-461 ATS (-118.1 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
    MINNESOTA is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
    MINNESOTA is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    MINNESOTA is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    MINNESOTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
    MINNESOTA is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    MINNESOTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BOSTON is 4-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    BOSTON is 4-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DENVER (38 - 17) at OKLAHOMA CITY (33 - 22) - 2/21/2020, 8:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    DENVER is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 226-182 ATS (+25.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
    DENVER is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    DENVER is 9-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    DENVER is 8-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
    5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SAN ANTONIO (23 - 31) at UTAH (36 - 18) - 2/21/2020, 9:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    UTAH is 40-27 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 67-49 ATS (+13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
    UTAH is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    SAN ANTONIO is 1116-989 ATS (+28.1 Units) in all games since 1996.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UTAH is 4-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    UTAH is 5-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ORLEANS (23 - 32) at PORTLAND (25 - 31) - 2/21/2020, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ORLEANS is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ORLEANS is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
    PORTLAND is 17-26 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
    PORTLAND is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 9-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ORLEANS is 9-5 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
    7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MEMPHIS (28 - 27) at LA LAKERS (41 - 12) - 2/21/2020, 10:35 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MEMPHIS is 27-18 ATS (+7.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
    MEMPHIS is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
    LA LAKERS is 5-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
    6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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