Thursday Service Play Thread 10/31/2019

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+EV: NFL 3u: 302 Arizona Cardinals +10 -108 (Thursday, October 31st)
 

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Ben Burns

NFLSide - Thursday, Oct 31 2019 8:20PM
302 ARI 8.0(-110) Sportsbook.ag vs 301 SFX triple-dime bet


Analysis:
I'm playing on ARIZONA. You've probably heard about Garoppolo's impressive record as a starter. Thats only partly him. Football is a team game and the 49ers have been a very good team. Still, this is asking a lot. Here, they're playing on the road, playing on a short week, against a divisional opponent and laying more than a touchdown. They've also got a huge showdown vs. Seattle on deck. Note that the 49ers are just 6-11 ATS the past 17 times that they were road favorites in the -7.5 to -10 range. During that span, the Cards were 9-6 ATS as home underdogs in the 7.5 to 10 range. The Cards have dominated the 49ers in recent seasons, including five straight wins here at Arizona. With the last three meetings here all having been decided by a field goal, I'm grabbing the points.
 

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Mike Tierney


BAYLOR -17.5
WEST VIRGINIA @ BAYLOR | 10/31 | 8:00 PM EDT
MON 10/28
When West Virginia loses, it tends to lose big. The Mountaineers have been bulldozed by 28 and 31 in their road losses and fell by 22 at home. The Bears have a net advantage of 30 points per game based on comparative scoring offense and defense. Baylor has covered in eight of its past 12 under second-year coach Matt Rhule. With Oklahoma’s unexpected loss last Saturday, Baylor will be inspired to win decisively.


18-9 IN LAST 27 CFB PICKS | +807
4-0 IN LAST 4 WVU ATS PICKS | +400
 

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Stephen Oh


DATA SCIENTIST
1:07 AM
APP. ST. -15.5
GA. SOUTHERN @ APP. ST. | 10/31 | 8:00 PM EDT
Appalachian State has won 13 straight games, and the Mountaineers surely remember that Georgia Southern handed them their last loss. It was a 20-point loss a year ago. While the Eagles have won three in a row, I don't see them keeping this close. I have Appalachian State covering in over 60 percent of simulations. Lay the points.


17-10 IN LAST 27 CFB ATS PICKS | +595
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Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
YESTERDAY 9:22 PM


ARIZONA +10
SAN FRANCISCO @ ARIZONA | 10/31 | 8:20 PM EDT
Extensive travel caught up with the Cardinals last Sunday when their three-game win streak ended against the Saints, who were inspired by the return of beloved QB Drew Brees. Arizona is back home after playing three away games in four weeks — all back east. San Francisco might be unbeaten, but the double-digit line is a case of overexuberance, especially for a Thursday nighter on the road.


9-5 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS | +354




Zack Cimini
CONTRARIAN WITH CHUTZPAH
YESTERDAY 12:23 PM


ARIZONA +9.5
SAN FRANCISCO @ ARIZONA | 10/31 | 8:20 PM EDT
The San Francisco 49ers continue to show new levels of excellence. Last week’s statement win over the Carolina Panthers was all the more impressive as they handled an above-average team coming off a bye week. With Thursday's quick turnaround, I expect San Fran to try to run the ball and wear down the Cardinals. Yet, look for Arizona to match the 49ers offensively and keep this within the number. Grab Arizona.


4-3 IN LAST 7 NFL ATS PICKS | +66
6-0-1 IN LAST 7 ARI ATS PICKS | +605
 

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Micah Roberts
OVER 43
San Francisco @ Arizona | 10/31 | 8:20 PM EDT

The 49ers have allowed only 11 points per game this season, helping five of their seven games stay under the total. The San Francisco offense will be able to match its season scoring average (29.6) against a Cardinals defense that allows 28.9 per game. The main variable here is how the Cardinals offense will fare, and I believe it will do well. The Arizona offense is hard to stop, and it will only get better with each game. Over is the play.

8-5 IN LAST 13 NFL O/U PICKS | +250
2-1 IN LAST 3 ARI O/U PICKS | +90
 

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Anyone have SPS NHL today? He's on fire right now.

I bought him last 2 days, he went 4-2 with about an 8-9unit profit.
 

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