Saturday Service Play Thread 11/02/2019

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GREG SHAKER | CFB SIDE	SAT, 11/02/19 - 3:30 PM
372 Florida 6.0 (-105) Southpoint vs 371 Georgia​	double-dime bet​

Analysis:
Double Revenge time for the Gators and they have the team to win outright here. Very Strong D and a Georgia Squad that has lost a lot of punch this season offensively. This number opened at just 3.5 a~nd early bettors give us this good number on the neutral site. Let's grab the points..

Pick Made: Oct 29 2019 7:08AM PST

GREG SHAKER | CFB SIDE	SAT, 11/02/19 - 4:00 PM
392 Washington 3.5 (-110) Southpoint vs 391 Utah​	double-dime bet​

Analysis:
The Utes have only been challenged once on the road losing to USC as a coincidental -3.5 favorite but the fact is that is the o~nly good team they have played away from familiar surrounding. Washington off the bye week and folks this will be a hostile atmosphere at this venue on Saturday. Love the points here and also playing some Money Line as well..

Pick Made: Oct 29 2019 7:18AM PST

+EV: CFB 4u: 319 Nebraska/Purdue ov54.5 -115 (Saturday, November 2nd)

+EV: CFB 4u: 351 Vanderbilt/South Carolina ov50.5 -110 (Saturday, November 2nd)

+EV: CFB 4u: Central Michigan Chippewas +1 -110 (Saturday, November 2nd)

+EV: CFB 4u: 340 Utah State Aggies -3 -117 (Buy 1/2 Point) (Saturday, November 2nd)

sailfish said:

+EV: CFB 4u: 319 Nebraska/Purdue ov54.5 -115 (Saturday, November 2nd)

+EV: CFB 4u: 351 Vanderbilt/South Carolina ov50.5 -110 (Saturday, November 2nd)

+EV: CFB 4u: Central Michigan Chippewas +1 -110 (Saturday, November 2nd)

+EV: CFB 4u: 340 Utah State Aggies -3 -117 (Buy 1/2 Point) (Saturday, November 2nd)

Click to expand...

+EV: CFB 5u: 343 Oregon Ducks -4 -109 (Saturday, November 2nd)

+EV: CFB 4u: 337 Virginia/North Carolina ov46.5 -110 (Saturday, November 2nd)

+EV: CFB 4u: 322 UCF Knights -21.5 -110 (Saturday, November 2nd)

Josh Nagel


WASHINGTON +3.5
UTAH @ WASHINGTON | 11/02 | 4:00 PM EDT
MON 10/28
Now that Washington's Pac-12 title hopes are shot amid a surprising three conference losses, the best the Huskies can do is spoil Utah's bid to come out of the South Division and reach the title game. Recent history suggests they will do just that. Washington swept two from the Utes last year, including the title game. They are the one Pac-12 club capable of matching Utah's physicality and, while the Utes are efficient on offense, they don't have the type of firepower that helped Oregon overcome a two-touchdown deficit against Washington. The underdog is a major value against this key number.


40-23-3 IN LAST 66 CFB PICKS | +1447
5-0 IN LAST 5 WASH ATS PICKS | +500


2-1 IN LAST 3 UTAH ATS PICKS | +84


GEORGIA -4.5
GEORGIA VS FLORIDA | 11/02 | 3:30 PM EDT
MON 10/28
The Gators allowed more than 500 yards of total offense in their loss to LSU, followed by allowing nearly 400 to South Carolina in a game in which several breaks fell their way. Georgia responded to its loss to the Gamecocks with a shutout of Kentucky. Although the Bulldogs have lacked imagination and explosive plays on offense, look for them to come out refocused after the bye and see increased production. Their edge on defense is what makes the difference Saturday in this rivalry contest.


40-23-3 IN LAST 66 CFB PICKS | +1447
5-0 IN LAST 5 UGA ATS PICKS | +500


2-1 IN LAST 3 FLA ATS PICKS | +90

Mike Tierney


MARYLAND +18.5
MICHIGAN @ MARYLAND | 11/02 | 12:00 PM EDT
MON 10/28
After a six-game gauntlet in which it confronted Wisconsin, Iowa, Penn State and Notre Dame, Michigan must brace for a letdown. Who wouldn’t be prone against a team that was outscored 126-52 in its three previous outings? Josh Jackson, the Terrapins' QB during their decent start, missed two of those lopsided defeats with an ankle injury and played sparingly last Saturday. A native of Ann Arbor, he will be motivated to play — and play well. The Wolverines have covered in just two of its 10 recent roadies.


18-9 IN LAST 27 CFB PICKS | +807
10-1 IN LAST 11 MICH ATS PICKS | +889

Micah Roberts

NEBRASKA -3
NEBRASKA @ PURDUE | 11/02 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 3:58 PM
Nebraska has lost its last two games, but it didn’t have QB Adrian Martinez. He gave an indication this week that he will be starting against Purdue. The Boilermakers sunk to new depths with a home loss to Illinois last week. Backup QB Jack Plummer has been horrendous and star WR Rondale Moore has been missing since week 5. Nebraska is the play.

3-0 IN LAST 3 CFB PICKS | +300


OVER 70.5
SMU @ MEMPHIS | 11/02 | 7:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 3:24 PM
This figures to be the most exciting game of the week in college football with back-and-forth scoring throughout. SMU (8-0) averages 43.0 points and 504.1 yards per game, while Memphis (7-1) averages 39.5 points and 470.6 yards per game. Memphis has gone Over the total in its last five games while SMU has gone Over in seven of its eight games. (The one Under was by a half-point.) Over is the play.

7-3-1 IN LAST 11 CFB O/U PICKS | +365

Barrett Sallee


OVER 60
BOSTON COLLEGE @ SYRACUSE | 11/02 | 12:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:27 PM
Boston College is dead last in the ACC in total defense, and Syracuse isn't much better at No. 11. Meanwhile, the Eagles have been racking up 6 yards per play and have a punishing rushing attack. If you have to pick a side, go with Boston College. But definitely take the over.


23-15-2 IN LAST 40 CFB PICKS | +647



UNDER 44.5
PITTSBURGH @ GEORGIA TECH | 11/02 | 4:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:23 PM
The Yellow Jackets' single-game season high in total offense is 379 yards, and Pitt hasn't given up more than 328 since it beat UCF in a shootout on Sept. 21. This game might not even break 35. Pat Narduzzi vs. a Georgia Tech offense in transition can serve as both a football matchup and a horror movie.


23-15-2 IN LAST 40 CFB PICKS | +647



UNDER 46.5
MIAMI (FLA.) @ FLORIDA ST. | 11/02 | 3:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 6:20 PM
Florida State's quarterback situation is so bad that running back Cam Akers might get more time under center. The news isn't much better for Miami, which hasn't been able to find a reliable signal-caller all season. Defense will rule the day, and neither offense will get cranked up enough to come anywhere close to the total.


23-15-2 IN LAST 40 CFB PICKS | +647



TCU +3
TCU @ OKLAHOMA ST. | 11/02 | 3:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:43 PM
The Horned Frogs sprung the slight upset of Texas last weekend, with quarterback Max Duggan leading the charge with 273 passing yards. The true freshman has completed 64.2 percent of his passes in October, which shows that things are starting to click. The Cowboys have a star in running back Chuba Hubbard, but the Horned Frogs have the best run defense in the conference (103.71 yards per game). Duggan will lead his team to the slight upset in a sloppy affair.


23-15-2 IN LAST 40 CFB PICKS | +647
3-1 IN LAST 4 TCU ATS PICKS | +189




KANSAS ST. -5.5
KANSAS ST. @ KANSAS | 11/02 | 3:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 2:42 PM
Both teams come in to this one rolling, but the Wildcats proved last week that they are not only capable of pulling a big upset, but can contend for the Big 12 title. The Jayhawks defense has given up a whopping 537 yards per game in Big 12 action this year, and have given up 483 or more for four straight games. The Wildcats build off of last week's upset of Oklahoma and pull away late for a cover.


23-15-2 IN LAST 40 CFB PICKS | +647



FLORIDA -6
FLORIDA 38 @ SOUTH CAROLINA 27
10/19WINTUE 10/15
The Gamecocks are the darlings of the college football world after upsetting Georgia, but Florida now knows not to take them likely. Quarterback Kyle Trask was awesome in the loss to LSU in Death Valley, and coach Dan Mullen will take that experience and build off of it. South Carolina will get quarterback Ryan Hilinski back, but how healthy will he be? Can he have success against this Gators defense? I don't think so.


23-15-2 IN LAST 40 CFB PICKS | +647
2-0-1 IN LAST 3 FLA ATS PICKS | +200




UNDER 51
WISCONSIN 23 @ ILLINOIS 24
10/19WINTUE 10/15
The Badgers will basically dial up any score they want, and they've been scaling it back pretty quickly throughout the course of the season. Unless they make some very uncharacteristic mistakes, the stagnant Illinois offense will have a hard time finding the end zone. This feels like a 38-3 kind of game.


23-15-2 IN LAST 40 CFB PICKS | +647



BOISE ST. -6.5
BOISE ST. 25 @ BYU 28
10/19LOSSTUE 10/15
This line is small because the status of Broncos freshman QB Hank Bachmeier is unknown after he suffered a hip pointer vs. Hawaii. But Chase Cord and Jaylon Henderson were fine after Bachmeier went out, so the Broncos are in good hands. Cougars backup Jaren Hall suffered a concussion in the loss to USF, so they could be starting third-stringer Baylor Romney. This is a game of quarterback roulette, but I'm confident with either Bachmeier or Cord having enough success to cover a touchdown.


23-15-2 IN LAST 40 CFB PICKS | +647



LSU -19
LSU 36 @ MISS. STATE 13
10/19WINTUE 10/15
Mississippi State's quarterback situation is a mess, and its defense has a sieve. Unless LSU QB Joe Burrow gets hit with a cowbell, the Tigers should roll with ease. Take LSU.


23-15-2 IN LAST 40 CFB PICKS | +647
4-1 IN LAST 5 LSU ATS PICKS | +290




UNDER 53.5
ARKANSAS 20 @ KENTUCKY 24
10/12WINTHU 10/10
The Razorbacks are starting the wrong quarterback by going with Nick Starkel over Ben Hicks, and Kentucky's quarterback situation is so bad that star wide receiver Lynn Bowden is taking significant snaps. Both defenses are bad, but this is a game where the offenses will get in their own way early and often.


23-15-2 IN LAST 40 CFB PICKS | +647

Fezzick False Favorite NCAAF?

Ben Burns GOY - Ole Miss +18

Hey sailfish or others, do you have dave cokin? Will share other services when I have them.

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Nov 2 2019 10:00PM
339 BYU 3.5(-110) Westgate vs 340 Utah St. triple-dime bet

Analysis: BYU has played the much tougher schedule so far (No. 7 vs No. 57 in Sagarin’s ratings). Also BYU is coming off a much needed bye after already playing Utah, Tennessee, USC, Washington, at Toledo, at South Florida and Boise St. On the other side, Utah St lost by 24 to Air Force last week and it should’ve been by 40 points! The Aggies’ defense was on the field for more than 45 minutes! We think “big brother” will be feeling disrespected here. BYU in 33 meetings vs Utah St since 1980 has been the underdog only one other time...in 2013 when they won outright 31-14. Utah St’s QB Jordan Love (8-9 ratio this year) is clearly not the same player under new head coach Gary Andersen (32-6 ratio last year) and finally BYU is 21-6 ATS as a road dog since 2010.

Brad Powers | CFB Side - Saturday, Nov 2 2019 2:30PM
341 Virginia Tech 17.5(-110) Westgate vs 342 Notre Dame double-dime bet

Analysis: After last week’s blowout loss at Michigan, what does ND have to play for? No conference championship, no playoff bid. Remember, ND has struggled with nothing to play for in November going 6-15 ATS the last 5 years (-5.7 ppg) and 3-14 ATS taking out last year when they were unbeaten and were still shooting for a playoff bid. Their opponent VT comes in fresh off a bye, feeling confident after 3 straight wins. We like the Hokies here.

Jack Jones Saturday Plays Thank you.

Newsletter Year to Date Records and Picks

Confidential Kick-Off
11* (4-4) UAB
10* (18-19) Air Force, Hawaii, Jacksonville, Detroit
o/u (6-9) Wash/Buffalo u36.5, NE/Balt u44.5

Gridiron Gold Sheet
NCAA Best Bets (26-19-2) App St, Baylor, Navy, Notre Dame, WKU
NFL Best Bets (13-11-0) (partial record)

Marc Lawrence's Playbook NCAA
5* (3-5-1) Utah
4* (3-6) SMU
3* (6-3) USC
Upset pick (5-4) BYU
Betcha Didn't Know (5-8) Tennessee (NFL)
Awesome Angle (4-4-1) Washington (NFL)
Incredible Stat (4-4) Green Bay

Marc Lawrence's Playbook NFL
5* (4-3-1) Detroit
4* (2-6) Minnesota
3* (3-5) Tennessee

Pointwise NCAA
1* (6-11) Auburn, Michigan
2* (3-6) Kansas
3* (2-7) Oregon St
4* (9-9) BC, BGSU
5* (13-5) Utah, Baylor

Pointwise NFL
3* (5-3) NE
4* (11-5) Houston, Chicago
5* (7-8-1) Detroit, KC

Power Sweep NCAA
4* (5-3) Ark St
3* (8-10) FIU, Michigan
2* (10-8) Pitt, Georgia
Underdog Play of the Week (4-5) TCU
Tech Play of the Week (3-5) Cincy
Revenge Play of the Week (3-6) BC
Situational Play of the Week (3-2)
Series Play of the Week (4-1) Ark St

Power Sweep NFL
4* (4-4) Oakland
3* (5-3) GB
2* (5-3) Tampa
NFL System play (6-3) Wash
4* Pro Angle (5-3) GB
3* o/u play (5-3) Chi/Philly Under

Powers' Picks NCAA
3* (6-6-1) BYU, Washington
2* (15-14-1) Virginia Tech, WKU, Kansas

Powers' Picks NFL
3* (3-5) Tampa
2* (11-5) Jacksonville, Philly

Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-1)
NCAA Best Bets (21-11) USC, CMU, Florida
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0)
NFL Best Bets (11-6) Jacksonville, Philly

Red Sheet
90* (1-0)
89* (5-12) Michigan, BC
88* (20-15-1) Florida, USC, Navy, Miami (NFL)

Winning Points
NCAA 4* (2-7) Georgia
NCAA 3* (6-3) Marshall
NFL 4* (3-5) Philly
NFL 3* (4-4) Tampa

Killer Sports, not including teasers
MTI 5* (2-1)
MTI 4.5* (4-1) Cleveland
MTI 4* (4-4) Eagles/Bears UNDER
MTI 3* (0-0)
SBB 4.5* (0-3-1)
SBB 4* (6-6) LAC, Indy/Pitt UNDER
Cajun NCAA (7-3) Tulsa
Pick 60 Play of the Week (4-4)

Victor King's Totals Tipsheet
3* (5-5) Ravens/Pats OVER
2* (10-5) 49ers/Cards UNDER, Cowboys/Giants UNDER
Team Total of the Week (6-2) Bills OVER 23

Power Plays
NCAA 4.5* (7-7) South Carolina, Michigan
NCAA 4* (14-17-1) Louisiana, Rice
NFL 4* (6-2) Tampa

Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (16-18-2) Troy, BC, USC, Florida
NFL Key Releases (14-10) Jax/Houston Under, Philly, NE
Tech Play (5-4) ULL

Buzz, so correct me if I am wrong- King Creole’s Selection for this upcoming Sunday is the Ravens/Patriots Over?

RapidRacing said:

Buzz, so correct me if I am wrong- King Creole’s Selection for this upcoming Sunday is the Ravens/Patriots Over?

Click to expand...

The Ravens/Patriots Over bet is his top newsletter pick, his top paid service play may be on another game.

Dave Cokin:

335 Buffalo Pk
347 Kansas State -6
368 Tennessee -12
314 Florida International -17.5