All plays will be laying 3 units, unless marked as a rare 5 unit play.
11/3
Bulls@Pacers UNDER 216.5 (-110)
So this total is just straight up too high. Both of these teams rank in the bottom half of the league in pace. They are also both bottom 10 in points per game. Defensively, the Bulls have been about average, ranked 19th in the league. The Pacers have been a bit better, ranked 13th in the league. Both of these teams have struggled big time shooting the 3 ball. These teams have averaged 206 points per game the last 3 times they played. Although both of these teams may be a bit suspect defensively, the slower pace combined with the poor shooting should lead to this one going comfortably under the already way too high line of 216.5.
Best trend: The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games.
Worst trend: Chicago’s last 2 games have gone OVER.
Rockets@Heat OVER 233.5 (-110)
The line has jumped 10.5 points from the opening of 223, but it is for a good reason. The Rockets play at the fastest pace in the league, whereas the Heat play with the 7th fastest. These teams also rank 1 and 6 in points scored per game. Defensively, the Heat are really good, in fact they defend the three point shot at the best rate in the league. Although the Rockets are scoring lots of points, they aren't really shooting the ball well. Ranking 18th in FG% and 22nd in 3P%. The Rockets have been a terrible team all around defensively ranking bottom 5 in FG% against. This game is going to have a really fast pace, that combined with great shooting of Miami against and bad Houston defense, should lead to lots of points. Expect Houston to continue to put up 120+ as well purely because of the pace of this game.
Best trend: The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games against an opponent in the Southeast division.
Worst trend: The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston.
11/3
Bulls@Pacers UNDER 216.5 (-110)
So this total is just straight up too high. Both of these teams rank in the bottom half of the league in pace. They are also both bottom 10 in points per game. Defensively, the Bulls have been about average, ranked 19th in the league. The Pacers have been a bit better, ranked 13th in the league. Both of these teams have struggled big time shooting the 3 ball. These teams have averaged 206 points per game the last 3 times they played. Although both of these teams may be a bit suspect defensively, the slower pace combined with the poor shooting should lead to this one going comfortably under the already way too high line of 216.5.
Best trend: The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games.
Worst trend: Chicago’s last 2 games have gone OVER.
Rockets@Heat OVER 233.5 (-110)
The line has jumped 10.5 points from the opening of 223, but it is for a good reason. The Rockets play at the fastest pace in the league, whereas the Heat play with the 7th fastest. These teams also rank 1 and 6 in points scored per game. Defensively, the Heat are really good, in fact they defend the three point shot at the best rate in the league. Although the Rockets are scoring lots of points, they aren't really shooting the ball well. Ranking 18th in FG% and 22nd in 3P%. The Rockets have been a terrible team all around defensively ranking bottom 5 in FG% against. This game is going to have a really fast pace, that combined with great shooting of Miami against and bad Houston defense, should lead to lots of points. Expect Houston to continue to put up 120+ as well purely because of the pace of this game.
Best trend: The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games against an opponent in the Southeast division.
Worst trend: The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston.
