Woodbine 11-09-2019

Prof_Factor · Nov 9, 2019

WO 11-08-2019

Interesting stat: Drexler is 1/34 with maiden claimers this season, and 21 of those were ridden by top jockeys. Seems strange for a claiming trainer with 32% (35/110) strike rate with claimers.

race #1 - 7f
#5 5-2 EARTHQUAKEDIRECTOR
#4 8-1 FAFA FOOEY
#1 3-1 SURE WOULD FOREST
#2 10-1 NOW WE ARE NINE

race #2 - 6.5f
#2 3-1 MADISON WAY
#3 5-2 BELLE DANSEUSE - jock+
#4 12-1 AFLEET CONNECTION
#9 6-1 MOONSTONE

race #3 - 6.5f
#6 2-1 MASSEY HALL
#2 3-1 GROUNDHOG DAY
#7 20-1 MAJESTIC FEVER
#4 20-1 GRIMGRINNIN'GHOST

race #4 - 6.5f
... wide open MCL
#8 8-1 TIMBERLEA - Emma's favorite race scenario
#7 10-1 RING IN SILENCE - connections 2/2 w/firsters
#5 4-1 MERINO WOOL - works are just too good to ignore
#6 3-1 BETWIXTING

race #5 - 6f
... another tuff MCL
#6 7-2 MR.RAINBOW
#5 8-1 BYEBYE BYEBYE
#8 20-1 I'VE PAID MY DUES

race #6 - 6.5f
#5 7-2 STERLING SPEED
#3 9-2 ARTIE'S FIRST KISS
#10 5-2 TARA DAWN
#2 20-1 SILENT CAUSEWAY

... rest to follow ...

HossSense · Nov 9, 2019

Good Luck Prof, how did your girlfriend Emma make out yesterday on her return?

Prof_Factor · Nov 9, 2019

race #7 - 7f
#1 6-1 LEA RO
#8 3-1 COMPENSATE
#10 10-1 MALIBU DIAMOND

race #8 - 7f
#6 3-1 ARTIE'S PRINCESS
#8 20-1 TORPEDO MAX
#3 6-1 FORESTER'S TURN

race #9 - 8.5f
#8 6-1 RIDEFORTHECAUSE
#3 8-1 OCEANS OF LOVE - the other Casse
#7 15-1 STOP WHO'S THAT
#2 4-1 BEAR PAW

... rest to follow ...

Prof_Factor · Nov 9, 2019

HossSense said:
Good Luck Prof, how did your girlfriend Emma make out yesterday on her return?

She rode in 4 ... didn't hit the board in any .... needed one as projected. Expect better today. lol

HossSense · Nov 9, 2019

Wish you and her the best

Saddlesore · Nov 9, 2019

:smoking: Professor i decided to sit this one out today because of my Brain Cramp yesterday...I was looking at the 5th race yesterday
at Woodbine and my brain exploded...I said to myself this race is gonna pay...I applaud Woodbine for starting horses on time unlike many
of our racetracks who disregard the clock...When Woodbine says 0 minutes to post time they are usually loading up...Well Professor Good Luck

Prof_Factor · Nov 9, 2019

race #10 - 5.5f
#3 4-1 D'S SOUL
#10 3-1 FOREST LASS
#2 7-2 COOLWATER

race #11 - 8.5f
#14 3-1 JUST KITTEN YOU
#4 8-1 COUNTRYSIDE DRIVE
#8 20-1 JUST FOR ROSE
#6 8-1 EVERGLOW

FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
"fiddler" - don't expect top effort if low price
My wagers are exacta keybox top pick, plus straight win bet on top pick.
Good luck to all!

Prof_Factor · Nov 9, 2019

Saddlesore said:
:smoking: Professor i decided to sit this one out today because of my Brain Cramp yesterday...I was looking at the 5th race yesterdayat Woodbine and my brain exploded...I said to myself this race is gonna pay...I applaud Woodbine for starting horses on time unlike many of our racetracks who disregard the clock...When Woodbine says 0 minutes to post time they are usually loading up...Well Professor Good Luck

Good luck to you. Sometimes it's good to regroup after bad string of events. I do it all the time. Develop a plan for those instances when the toteboard changes things up. If the toteboard is misbehaving then I'll generally reassess. May alter my plan of attack or let the race go. Tough luck you had yesterday. The $73 pay is likely the one that got you steaming. It would me too. One of the things I ask myself when I'm not exactly sure if I should bet is "would you be pissed if this comes in at that price", if the answer in No ... then it's an easy pass. If Yes, then I will play it.