Navy - Notre Dame

AlistairCookie · Nov 10, 2019

Made two bad plays last time out, let's see if I can get it back. I'm making a large play on Navy +10 here in South Bend - I can't imagine it is 10 points by Saturday. Will be playing the ML small here as well once I see it. Not even sure why it opened this high - I was expecting 3-6 at most. Navy certainly does not have the better athletes here but they have the better team. Navy is actually playing for something whereas Notre Dame has that "we're not in a conference" problem. They have one goal every year, and it's unattainable after maybe one and definitely two losses.

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On Navy plays this year
9-3 overall
3-2 Large (5 cookie play)
1-1 ml dog
+12.2 cookies

bpoint · Nov 10, 2019

The Duke game may have inflated the line a little, so you can use that to your advantage. Good luck.

AlistairCookie · Nov 11, 2019

Ok I didn’t get 10 points but got 9.5 5 cookies as soon as I saw it and Navy ML at +280 one cookie It’s already at 8. — SP+ giving Navy a 40% chance of winning outright which should be about 3½ - 4 spread. Doubt it will get that low just b/c ND is such a public team.

AlistairCookie · Nov 12, 2019

Navy is 6-1 last 7 ATS vs ND including 3-0 the last three with one SU win. Navy hasn’t been favored vs. ND in my lifetime.
ND 2-8 last 10 ATS vs AAC teams.
Spread has not budged which is surprising to me but it’s only Tuesday.