Thursday Service Play Thread 11/14/2019

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Marco 5%

Browns

Big AL

Cleveland Browns -2.5

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Football jesus : Steelers

Hank Goldberg
HAMMER
12:28 AM
PITTSBURGH +3
PITTSBURGH @ CLEVELAND | 11/14 | 8:20 PM EST
The Steelers are hot, they have 26 takeaways this year and they're playing against a guy who can be a turnover machine. Mason Rudolph threw for 242 yards last week; everyone rips him but he's pretty good. James Conner will be back this week, boosting the offense. Cleveland should not be favored.

5-1-1 IN LAST 7 CLE ATS PICKS | +389


R.J. White
SUPER STAT GEEK
YESTERDAY 7:17 PM
PITTSBURGH +3
PITTSBURGH @ CLEVELAND | 11/14 | 8:20 PM EST
The story of this game will be takeaways, as the Steelers defense has racked up at least three takeaways in five straight games while posting the No. 1 turnover rate in the league. Baker Mayfield has the second-most interceptions in the league, and he plays behind an offensive line that should struggle to keep the Steelers pass rush at bay. The Pittsburgh O-line, which ranks No. 1 in adjusted sack rate this year, won't have similar issues against the Browns, especially with Olivier Vernon out. Pittsburgh leans on the run game and defense to pick up a road divisional win here.

3-1 IN LAST 4 NFL PICKS | +194
16-9 IN LAST 25 PIT ATS PICKS | +603

10-6-2 IN LAST 18 CLE ATS PICKS | +345


Mike Tierney
TOP DOG
YESTERDAY 4:42 PM
OVER 40.5
PITTSBURGH @ CLEVELAND | 11/14 | 8:20 PM EST
Pittsburgh RB James Conner returns from a two-game absence due to a shoulder injury and upgrades the offense. He rushed for 145 yards in his last game and caught seven passes for 78 yards in his previous outing. The Steelers scored at least 20 points in seven straight prior to last week while Cleveland could reach that mark if QB Baker Mayfield targets WR Odell Beckham Jr. more often. Browns RB Kareem Hunt shook off the rust from his half-season suspension on Sunday and will contribute more.

8-3-1 IN LAST 12 NFL O/U PICKS | +470
9-4 IN LAST 13 PIT O/U PICKS | +468


Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
YESTERDAY 3:32 PM
PITTSBURGH +130
PITTSBURGH @ CLEVELAND | 11/14 | 8:20 PM EST
Both teams are coming off victories, but I like Pittsburgh to extend its winning streak to five games as it is winning more than 50 percent of my simulations. The Steelers will have RB James Conner back from his shoulder injury and are unbeaten in their last eight meetings with the Browns (7-0-1). Cleveland has yet to post back-to-back victories this season and will be denied again by a solid Pittsburgh defense.

8-5-1 IN LAST 14 NFL PICKS | +249
2-1-1 IN LAST 4 PIT ML PICKS | +355


Emory Hunt
THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK
YESTERDAY 12:55 PM
PITTSBURGH +3
PITTSBURGH @ CLEVELAND | 11/14 | 8:20 PM EST
With Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb in the backfield, the Browns offense figures to be a tough challenge for the Steelers. The hope is that the Cleveland defense can make things complicated for Pittsburgh QB Mason Rudolph. He is holding back the offense, but the Steelers defense hasn't held back since Minkah Fitzpatrick arrived.

27-16 IN LAST 43 NFL ATS PICKS | +932

Larry Hartstein
SENIOR ANALYST
MON 11/11
PITTSBURGH +2.5
PITTSBURGH @ CLEVELAND | 11/14 | 8:20 PM EST
The Browns haven't committed a turnover in two straight games -- a streak I expect will end Thursday versus Pittsburgh's ferocious defense. The Steelers should get James Conner back from his shoulder injury, which would be a huge boost to their offense. In their last six games, the Steelers are 5-1 with the only loss coming in overtime to the Ravens. The Browns were fortunate to beat Buffalo, as the Bills missed two field goals, including a 34-yarder. Grab the points with a Pittsburgh team that's 7-0-1 straight-up in the last eight meetings.

36-19-2 IN LAST 57 NFL ATS PICKS | +1490
5-1 IN LAST 6 PIT ATS PICKS | +389

2-0-1 IN LAST 3 CLE ATS PICKS | +200

Stephen Oh

Miami -2.5

My projections love the Heat as small road chalk Thursday against the Cavaliers. I've got Miami winning by at least nine points and covering the spread in nearly 70 percent of simulations. The Heat have been one of the NBA's more improved teams so far and already have three solid road wins to their credit. At 4-6, the Cavaliers have likely been better than most observers expected, but they are given a bit too much respect in this spread.

4-0 IN LAST 4 MIA ATS PICKS | +400

Emory Hunt

THE CZAR OF THE PLAYBOOK

Emory is the founder and CEO of Football Gameplan, which has been supplying analysis of all levels of football since 2007. Born and raised in New Orleans, Hunt played running back at the University of Louisiana-Lafayette and coached high school football before starting Football Gameplan. Hunt is a regular contributor to CBS Sports HQ, where he breaks down CFB and NFL games with Danny Kanell and Raja Bell.

FEATURED PICK
BUFFALO -6
BUFFALO @ KENT ST. | 11/14 | 7:00 PM EST
TUE 11/12
I like how the Golden Flashes have improved this season under second year coach Sean Lewis. They've been playing competitively, and I feel that they are a year away from being a factor in the MAC. Meanwhile Buffalo RB Jaret Patterson is a chunk play waiting to happen and is averaging 110.6 yards per game and 5.2 yards per carry. He's five yards short of 1,000 yards on the season. He'll cross that barrier and more en route to a Bulls victory. Lay it with Buffalo.

82-45 IN LAST 127 CFB ATS PICKS | +3334
2-1 IN LAST 3 BUFF ATS PICKS | +88

ELITE SPORTS PICKS

Kent State+6 (NCAAFB)

INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

4* Siena+12 (NCAABB)

3* Bucks-11.5

3* Steelers+2.5

NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE

4* Florida-17 (NCAABB)

3* Steelers/Browns OVER 40.5

Primetime Sports Picks For 11/14/19

4 Unit --> Florida -17 over Towson (NCAAB)

3 Unit --> North Carolina/Pittsburgh UNDER 50.5 (NCAAF)

3 Unit --> Michigan St. -5.5 over Seton Hall (NCAAB)

Goodfella 3*

Steelers

Marc Lawrence

NFL Thursday Night Never Lost Kill Play!

Steelers

Chris Fallica (The Bear)

Kent +6

The Bear: I don't really understand the line move from Buffalo -1 to -6, so I will take the points with the home 'dog here. Sure, the Bulls have covered in four straight, but Kent State has blown out a bad team at home (Bowling Green), beat a good FCS team (Kennesaw State) and was actually favored at home against the team that could be the best in the MAC (Miami Ohio). All three of the Golden Flashes' MAC losses have been one-score affairs, and our numbers have Buffalo by about two. I'll go against the line move here and grab the six.

Leiner 2000 ?

Fezzik:

666 Arizona/ 665 San Jose St. Over 142.5 2*
314 Pittsburgh -4 vs 313 North Carolina 2*
312 Kent St. / 311 Buffalo Under 51 2*
505 Dal -7 vs 506 NYK 3*

Brandon Lang TIA

Root

Mill- Cleveland