It's a longtime rx member, long term successful NFL capper & the same guy as this:
http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=1143734&highlight=
He obviously doesn't bet against the Patriots very often, because if he did he'd be losing much more often
what matters is that they are overrated by the bookmakers. they have major issues on offense at left guard, tight end, fullback, running back, qb mobility and major issue with the place kicking. defense has carried them but should digress with 4 tough games coming up consecutively. they will do handstands if they can go 2-2 during this stretch. that will put them at 10-3 with 3 cupcakes (bengals, jets, bills) to close out the season. then they will have to knock off the chiefs and ravens in the playoffs. not likely.
just because they are 6-3 against the spread doesn't mean that they weren't overpriced in those games. they were, they covered anyway. they are overpriced again tomorrow vs the eagles. should be 2 maybe 2 1/2 and yet they are a ridiculous 4. of course most favorites and overs are 1- 1 1/2 higher than they should be since the books know what people are going to bet before they bet. for 50 years straight it's been favorites and overs and will never change.
I assume he was excluding the coach, Bellichick, from his remarks about the talent on the NE team. After all, the coach doesn't ever play on offence, defence or special teams.
As for Brady, IMO he gives NE the advantage in talent over most other teams QB's, but that's only one position out of dozens on a team. How does NE match up in all the other positions?
NE has been getting action & 4.5's are now available:
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nfl-football/
Which would equate to NE -10.5 if the game were in Foxborough? That seems too high.
