Sunday Service Play Thread 11/24/2019

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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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HITMAN | NFL SIDESUN, 11/24/19 - 4:25 PM
  1. 270 NEP -6.0 (-105) Bookmaker vs 269 DAL
  1. triple-dime bet
Analysis:
The Patriots are 60.1% ATS since 2003, which is a more then 300 game sample size. They have accomplished this remarkable ATS record despite seemingly having negative value every single week. This week, for one rare time, I have value on New England. I make this game Patriots -8.


The Patriots were just laying 4.5 on the road to a Eagles team that is slightly inferior to the Cowboys, yet are now only laying 6 at ho—me to Dallas. Recently, the best role the Patriots have had is competitive spreads in home games. In "competitive spread games", which I classified as the spread being seven points or less, the Patriots are a remarkable 23-6-1 ATS in their last 30 games. They are 8-1 in their last 9 games when laying a touchdown or less.


The Patriots have the fifth best defense in DVOA since 1985. Amari Cooper is playing at less then 100%. The Cowboys have played four above average teams this season in my rankings, losing three of them to the Vikings, Saints, and Packers. You will hear a lot about the Patriots offensive struggles recently, but those were on the road against an elite Ravens defense and improving Eagles defense. The Cowboys defense has let up above expectation games recently to Aaron Rodgers, Sam Darnold, Kirk Cousins, and Jeff Driskel. This is not a unit to fear. Plus, they are one of the worst defenses in the league at giving up passes to running backs, specifically against screens, which is a strength of the Patriots offense.


The coaching edge is huge in this game, with a rookie play caller on offense and Jason Garrett going against Belichick. The Patriots have won 21 straight home games, winning 19 of them by 6 points or more.


 

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HITMAN | NFL SIDESUN, 11/24/19 - 4:25 PM
  1. 270 NEP -6.0 (-105) Bookmaker vs 269 DAL
  1. triple-dime bet
Analysis:
The Patriots are 60.1% ATS since 2003, which is a more then 300 game sample size. They have accomplished this remarkable ATS record despite seemingly having negative value every single week. This week, for one rare time, I have value on New England. I make this game Patriots -8.


The Patriots were just laying 4.5 on the road to a Eagles team that is slightly inferior to the Cowboys, yet are now only laying 6 at ho—me to Dallas. Recently, the best role the Patriots have had is competitive spreads in home games. In "competitive spread games", which I classified as the spread being seven points or less, the Patriots are a remarkable 23-6-1 ATS in their last 30 games. They are 8-1 in their last 9 games when laying a touchdown or less.


The Patriots have the fifth best defense in DVOA since 1985. Amari Cooper is playing at less then 100%. The Cowboys have played four above average teams this season in my rankings, losing three of them to the Vikings, Saints, and Packers. You will hear a lot about the Patriots offensive struggles recently, but those were on the road against an elite Ravens defense and improving Eagles defense. The Cowboys defense has let up above expectation games recently to Aaron Rodgers, Sam Darnold, Kirk Cousins, and Jeff Driskel. This is not a unit to fear. Plus, they are one of the worst defenses in the league at giving up passes to running backs, specifically against screens, which is a strength of the Patriots offense.


The coaching edge is huge in this game, with a rookie play caller on offense and Jason Garrett going against Belichick. The Patriots have won 21 straight home games, winning 19 of them by 6 points or more.


 

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[FONT=&quot]Greg Shaker | NFL Total - Sunday, Nov 24 2019 8:20PM [/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]271 GBP / 272 SFX [/FONT]OVER 47.0 Southpoint triple-dime bet
 

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Marc Lawrence has his 10* NFL GOM released today for Sunday if anyone stumbles across it...
Thank you!
 

Love the Public
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Can anyone link me to MTI information? I want to see their website or twitter or whatever they have. Seems like a good service to be following!
 

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yankee5560.........really appreciate your posts. Hitman is solid. Would you mind if I reposted in black? I for one cannot read the green. I change it to black to read it. Thought others might feel similar. Wanted to ask first.

thanks again......and BOL with your plays




HITMAN | NFL SIDESUN, 11/24/19 - 4:25 PM
270 NEP -6.0 (-105) Bookmaker vs 269 DAL
triple-dime bet
Analysis:
The Patriots are 60.1% ATS since 2003, which is a more then 300 game sample size. They have accomplished this remarkable ATS record despite seemingly having negative value every single week. This week, for one rare time, I have value on New England. I make this game Patriots -8.


The Patriots were just laying 4.5 on the road to a Eagles team that is slightly inferior to the Cowboys, yet are now only laying 6 at ho—me to Dallas. Recently, the best role the Patriots have had is competitive spreads in home games. In "competitive spread games", which I classified as the spread being seven points or less, the Patriots are a remarkable 23-6-1 ATS in their last 30 games. They are 8-1 in their last 9 games when laying a touchdown or less.


The Patriots have the fifth best defense in DVOA since 1985. Amari Cooper is playing at less then 100%. The Cowboys have played four above average teams this season in my rankings, losing three of them to the Vikings, Saints, and Packers. You will hear a lot about the Patriots offensive struggles recently, but those were on the road against an elite Ravens defense and improving Eagles defense. The Cowboys defense has let up above expectation games recently to Aaron Rodgers, Sam Darnold, Kirk Cousins, and Jeff Driskel. This is not a unit to fear. Plus, they are one of the worst defenses in the league at giving up passes to running backs, specifically against screens, which is a strength of the Patriots offense.


The coaching edge is huge in this game, with a rookie play caller on offense and Jason Garrett going against Belichick. The Patriots have won 21 straight home games, winning 19 of them by 6 points or more.


 

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