Parx 11-24-2019

Prof_Factor · Nov 24, 2019

PRX 11-24-2019

race #1 - 6f
... tough race
#2 10-1 DUE GEMELLI - seems wrong not to look for a price in here
#1 7-5 HIDE THE RANSOM - logical, speedy Ness acquisition on rail
#3 3-1 COUSIN PETE - always seems too late to the party
#5 20-1 BET HE CANHULA - exotic booster, how can I not include Chacon/Castillo and talk about price?

race #2 - 8f
... favorite can obviously win this but here we go again
#7 6-1 DANCIN DEBBIE - could be a bad claim or could be a sleeper, we shall see
#3 6-1 VIVA NEVADA
#6 12-1 MIDDAY PRAYER - private $ to 0/60 trainer makes me pause, but gets good jock ... so that's sumthin'

race #3 - 6f
#3 8-1 VIA AVANTI
#4 9-5 EZ ON THE EYES - logical, expected to clear
#5 5-2 TERPEYE

race #4 - 6f
#9 9-5 FRAN'S WORRIER
#5 10-1 RACEHORSEINARED
#2 20-1 KRAKOV
#10 15-1 LAY IT ON THE LINE

race #5 - 7f
... race could be a total crap shoot if they go too slow
#6 6-1 NO PICNIC
#9 3-1 LITTLEMISSBUSINESS
#5 7-2 JEMROSE
#3 15-1 COLD HEARTED PEARL - bomb alert

... rest to follow shortly ...

Prof_Factor · Nov 24, 2019

race #6 - 6f
#1 2-5 FLY ON ANGEL
#3 8-1 LIVELY KITTEN

race #7 - 5.5f
#1A 8-1 HONORABLE SERVICE
#8 12-1 SARATOGA WILDCAT
#5 6-1 SHANE'S JEWEL

race #8 - 6f
#6 9-5 DIRECT ORDER
#3 5-2 FOR THE ROAD
#4 6-1 START MEEE

FYI, definitions:
"pick to click" - most likely (aka best bet)
"bomb alert" - very possible, don't ignore if big price
"exotic booster" - use underneath only
"fiddler" - don't expect top effort if low price
My wagers are exacta keybox top pick, plus straight win bet on top pick.
Good luck to all!

Saddlesore · Nov 24, 2019

:smoking:

You like it...Indeed professor...lol

Professor after i failed on my conquest picking exactas i looked in the mirror and i said to myself "What do you do best"?
LOSE of course ...lol...Betting against yourself may seem crude but if it works the possibilities are endless....Besides professor
if this doesn't work i,ll find something else to invent...Hehehe

Saddlesore · Nov 26, 2019

:smoking:

Professor one more thing...If you would of used my method for Parx last race you've might of hit that Super.
And that wasn't even a large field...Paid pretty good didn't it...lol

HossSense · Nov 26, 2019

Good Luck today Prof. I wonder who the other 2 stooges are? I guess you're Moe?

Prof_Factor · Nov 26, 2019

I will look into it today. I don't use real money to test a theory. That's why I wrote the program. It has 10 years of results and 100,000 races it can run thru.
Systems like the superfecta are tricking because they have a low frequency to hit and a high projected losing streak. It takes a very large sample size to get reliable performance numbers. Anyways, a perfect betting system will show a positive bankroll after subracting the largest cash hit from the cycle as well as subtracting the largest projected (calculated) losing streak. Guaranteed gold.
Syndicate groups target carryovers. They have to. Does not pay for groups to pool their money for some average 25%-raked superfecta and the IRS to boot.

Prof_Factor · Nov 26, 2019

Saddlesore said:
:smokingrofessor one more thing...If you would of used my method for Parx last race you've might of hit that Super.And that wasn't even a large field...Paid pretty good didn't it...lol

The selective process .... why would you select that particular 8-horse field for your superfecta play?