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Thread: Super Best Bets...12-01

  1. #1 Super Best Bets...12-01 
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    After 8 Supers the results...3 wins..5 loses..+418.70...I will keep going until i bust out.

    Churchill 11th race 20 cents Supers

    #2 CHESS CHIEF
    #9 FRA MAURO
    #1 CROATIAN

    129 w 129 w 378 w 456
    129 w 129 w 456 w 378

    129 w 378 w 129 w 456
    129 w 378 w 456 w 129
    129 w 456 w 129 w 378
    129 w 456 w 378 w 129

    378 w 129 w 129 w 456
    378 w 129 w 456 w 129
    456 w 129 w 129 w 378
    456 w 129 w 378 w 129
    ----------------------------------------------------------------------

    Golden Gate 9th race

    #6 MIDVALE MAGIC
    #9 OMACHE KID
    #5 MANY MOODS

    569 w 569 w 138 w 124
    569 w 569 w 124 w 138

    569 w 138 w 569 w 124
    569 w 138 w 124 w 569
    569 w 124 w 569 w 138
    569 w 124 w 138 w 569

    138 w 569 w 569 w 124
    138 w 569 w 124 w 569
    124 w 569 w 569 w 138
    124 w 569 w 138 w 569
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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  2. #2  
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    Final stats before moving on...10 supers.....won 3...lost 7...+214.70

    Yes its a profit but i don't think i could hang on...The Churchill race look like a win but once again splitting my back horses
    proved fatal in the wrong order....Its all about luck and my luck has run out.
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  3. #3  
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    I'm curious SS, what if you bet all that on the win end with your top 2 choices? But GL either way
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  4. #4  
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    Would have more or less $$$ ?
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  5. #5  
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    Quote Originally Posted by Saddlesore View Post
    Final stats before moving on...10 supers.....won 3...lost 7...+214.70

    Yes its a profit but i don't think i could hang on...The Churchill race look like a win but once again splitting my back horsesproved fatal in the wrong order....Its all about luck and my luck has run out.
    Good luck, SS. I'm not done with my research on this bet (and variations of it). I worked on it for about an hour last week. Hoping to get more time on it this weekend. Takes me time because I can't enter the whole scheme at once, I have to enter each combo seperate. Positive side, it gets me info for each aspect of the bet. I actually expect to find something concrete.
    I would not classify this a churn-style bet, even though it has a lot of tickets, more like a longshot style bet waiting for the windfall payout to propel into the black.
    Thanks for the inspiration and the work that goes with it. :-)
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  6. #6  
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    Will i ever come back to it?...Probably...lol
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  7. #7  
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    You cad you...Now you got me thinking...The only way this works if i key on a horse placing them all 4 places.
    That way i wouldn't have to split the field horses like thusly ...[456] [789]...It might work !!!
    I'll get on it right away.


    Professor Let's keep this our secret
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  8. #8  
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    AFTER MORE RESEARCH ...

    This strategy is more promising than I thought.
    Simply stated, your strategy will produce a profit. Without taking into account a selective race strategy, which would likely improve the outcome. Of course, you may already have KNOWN this.
    I ran strategies independently thru 2016, 2017, 2018. And each year produced a standalone profit.

    My research only looked at races with 10-horse fields or more, and filtered out races with first-time starters, excessive lay-off horses, and new surface switch.
    The bet went 9-deep (A=1,2,3 B=4,5,6 C=7,8,9). With the A group in the 1-2, 1-3, 1-4, 2-3, 2-4 positions.
    Like I said, your strategy produced a profit but the better results came keying the A-group in 1st.
    Of course, your selective process will improve the strategy since my research forces a play in all races.

    The one variation I discovered that worked incredibly was when the A-group is keyed on top and the B-group is used twice instead on the A-group.
    Like so:
    A/B/B/C
    A/B/C/B
    A/C/B/B

    Once again, a selective race process will likely even improve this one.

    2 things to note ...
    1)I am confident both betting strategies will work with anybodies handicapping technique because I did not have my analyzer key-on value indicators like overlays or false favorites or field competitiveness. All races that met the base perimeters were bet. Basically 10-horse fields with horses with race recency.The handicapping method employed is generic.
    2)It is probably a wise idea to bet the minimum because there are instances of pool take-downs. You don't need to be splitting the pot with yourself.

    I will do more research on smaller 8-9 horse fields and also more selective race process.
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  9. #9  
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    Yes Professor splendid reading...It took me hour and a half to get through the second paragraph.
    Remember i boast an education of Jethro of the Beverly Hillbillies.
    Continue your quest as well as [eye].
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  10. #10  
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    Good thing we have computers to do "that-there cypher'n".
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