Tuesday Service Play Thread 12/10/2019

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BuzzKill

BuzzKill

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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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sailfish

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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

4* Tennessee State+6.5 NCAABB

3*Nevada-Reno+7.5 NCAABB

3* Wizards-1 NBA
 

sailfish

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NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE

4* Saint JOhns-12.5 NCAABB

3* Knicks/Trail Blazers OVER 219 NBA
 

sailfish

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MTI

5-Star Hawks at Heat UNDER 214.5
4-Star Nuggets at 76ers UNDER 205.5
4-Star Knicks at Trailblazers OVER 219.5
 

sailfish

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Primetime Sports Picks For 12/10/19

4 Unit --> Tennessee St. +6.5 over Arkansas-Little Rock (NCAAB)

3 Unit --> Monmouth +6.5 over Princeton (NCAAB)

3 Unit --> Portland -9 over N.Y. Knicks (NBA
 

bowlda

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I will run all my algorithms around 12-2pm ET. I will also run the LJP at that time and use the LJP score to gauge the sharp confirmation of the algorithm selections. Even though sharp information has been uneventful the past 10 days, I also don’t want to have an algorithm play run head first into a large sharp move. One of the keys to sports betting is to ALWAYS BE EVOLVING! Unlike my buddy “Kevin” Garrett, you need to be prepared to make adjustments to your game plan at all times to win the game!
 

dyacker

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GREG SHAKER | CBB TOTALTUE, 12/10/19 - 8:00 PM
616 Princeton / 615 Monmouth Under 139.0 Bookmaker​
triple-dime bet​
Analysis:
We use 3 CBB Models, all developed differently to pick different ways. They help us SPOT Potential Totals and all 3 have agreed that this number is too high. It is not the only thing we use but it is a starting point. We also use techniques that as far as I know have not yet been discovered by others including books. While these are not fail proof techniques they have been very profitable over the last few years. We also use offensive and defensive efficiency numbers, pace, projected pace, venue trends, league and division trends, injuries, along with other more "Standard" Handicapping Principles to get our final number and possibly make a play rated at 1* 2* and 3*.


Strong trending here with the Tigers going UNDER last 4 home games and there are a couple of things to know about Princeton that our Database Guy has discove‰red. They DO PLAY Better D on their home court and they DO PLAY a slower pace. Overall they are ranked #280 for Tempo out of 353 D1 Teams but that ranking has been skewed upward when they travel. Both teams have played OVER their last 2 and Odds Makers have reacted to that with a higher than usual number for these squads. The visitors are about average tempo (#173) but when they travel, and especially when they do after 3 or more consecutive home games, their shooting % drops significantly and part of the reason in this situation they are 6-1 UNDER. They also tend to play their opponents pace which is this situation is good for us. We have other factors we have considered and believe this to be a solid betting opp. All 3 Models Concur. You can play 3* here at your best number and down to 134.5..


Pick Made: Dec 10 2019 6:53AM PST


GREG SHAKER | CBB TOTALTUE, 12/10/19 - 7:00 PM
604 Temple / 603 St. Joseph's Under 146.0 Southpoint​
dime bet​
Analysis:
‡1* Play at your best number..UNDER

Pick Made: Dec 10 2019 7:43AM PST




 

CapperKT

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Thank you, Dyacker!

dyacker said:
GREG SHAKER | CBB TOTALTUE, 12/10/19 - 8:00 PM
616 Princeton / 615 Monmouth Under 139.0 Bookmaker​
triple-dime bet​
Analysis:
We use 3 CBB Models, all developed differently to pick different ways. They help us SPOT Potential Totals and all 3 have agreed that this number is too high. It is not the only thing we use but it is a starting point. We also use techniques that as far as I know have not yet been discovered by others including books. While these are not fail proof techniques they have been very profitable over the last few years. We also use offensive and defensive efficiency numbers, pace, projected pace, venue trends, league and division trends, injuries, along with other more "Standard" Handicapping Principles to get our final number and possibly make a play rated at 1* 2* and 3*.


Strong trending here with the Tigers going UNDER last 4 home games and there are a couple of things to know about Princeton that our Database Guy has discove‰red. They DO PLAY Better D on their home court and they DO PLAY a slower pace. Overall they are ranked #280 for Tempo out of 353 D1 Teams but that ranking has been skewed upward when they travel. Both teams have played OVER their last 2 and Odds Makers have reacted to that with a higher than usual number for these squads. The visitors are about average tempo (#173) but when they travel, and especially when they do after 3 or more consecutive home games, their shooting % drops significantly and part of the reason in this situation they are 6-1 UNDER. They also tend to play their opponents pace which is this situation is good for us. We have other factors we have considered and believe this to be a solid betting opp. All 3 Models Concur. You can play 3* here at your best number and down to 134.5..


Pick Made: Dec 10 2019 6:53AM PST


GREG SHAKER | CBB TOTALTUE, 12/10/19 - 7:00 PM
604 Temple / 603 St. Joseph's Under 146.0 Southpoint​
dime bet​
Analysis:
‡1* Play at your best number..UNDER

Pick Made: Dec 10 2019 7:43AM PST
Click to expand...
 

sailfish

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Dwayne Bryant

COLLEGE HOOPS TOTALS SYSTEM

4% Northern Iowa-Colorado under 125

4% play at 124 or higher
3% play at 123 or 123.5
No play below 123
 

sailfish

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Miller locks

7:00 pm est ncaab
maryland vs. Penn state

pick: Penn state (-104)

risk: 11 units

7:05 pm est nba
washington wizards vs. Charlotte hornets

pick: Charlotte hornets +2.5 (-104)

risk: 11 units

9:00 pm est ncaab
butler vs. Baylor

pick: Baylor -5.5 (-110)

risk: 11 units

10:05 pm est nba
new york knicks vs. Portland trail blazers

pick: New york knicks +9 (-104)

risk: 11 units
 
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