let me begin by saying that i hope jose santos isn't so stupid that he would use a device while riding in the kentucky derby, where there are thousands of photographers and hundreds of cameras focused in on the riders/horses. it's a black eye racing does not need. on to the holiday card.
race 3: arch ability. this filly is a big 10/1 on the morning line and looks to have as good a chance as anybody in here. american saga is probably going to go favored, but she's stuck at the rail and the comebackers, cat fighter and nazareen both have serious question marks. playgirl is the other one that enthuses in here, but with pval and the outside draw, she's likely to be overbet, so i'm going to take a shot with the gallagher firster who has been working fairly well in the mornings. at 6/1 or better, i'm biting.
race 3. xtrasensory. who's going to run with grant marty a wish? that's the key to this race- if 'marty goes unopposed in the early stages, she'll be impossible to run down, but the turf course has been kinder to late runners recently, and i'm gambling nakatani will have the gaines newcomers ready to roll at the top of the lane. i'm relying on mist on moon hill and the parties over to apply token pressure, knowing that 'marty doesn't have the best action for turf, and may start to tire in the final 1/8th, even without significant early pressure.
race 5: george's stick. 20/1 on this cardenas returnee? not likely, but the big m/l will surely dissuade some bettors. this is a classic case of a dog field- no one seems to want to break their maiden, so i'll take a flyer with the new addition to the cardenas barn. he's shown some ability before and ruben should have him cranked off the short layoff. worth a shot.
race 7: strictly a two horse race between a song for billy and spicy stuff. no value, but that's your exacta.
race 8: i'm going to try to beat quero quero, not because i don't think she can win, she's actually the most likely winner, but she's in the 9 hole going a mile and that's not the place to be- i'm hoping somebody parks her wide on the turn before she crosses and clears. i'm going to use both varnished and potri mambo. varnished will be the second choice and should get a ground saving trip with valdivia aboard- the worry is finding room and i don't really trust jose because he's never met a hole he wanted to go through, but varnished ran a very good race in january and should be right there with any improvement. potri mambo showed some speed sprinting in her debut and now stretches out to what she's bred to do- route on the grass. the major drawback is usually an asset- trainer eduardo inda. he's frozen this year- 0 for 36-- maybe this longshot is the one to break his slump.
[This message was edited by mazeltrick on May 11, 2003 at 12:00 PM.]
race 3: arch ability. this filly is a big 10/1 on the morning line and looks to have as good a chance as anybody in here. american saga is probably going to go favored, but she's stuck at the rail and the comebackers, cat fighter and nazareen both have serious question marks. playgirl is the other one that enthuses in here, but with pval and the outside draw, she's likely to be overbet, so i'm going to take a shot with the gallagher firster who has been working fairly well in the mornings. at 6/1 or better, i'm biting.
race 3. xtrasensory. who's going to run with grant marty a wish? that's the key to this race- if 'marty goes unopposed in the early stages, she'll be impossible to run down, but the turf course has been kinder to late runners recently, and i'm gambling nakatani will have the gaines newcomers ready to roll at the top of the lane. i'm relying on mist on moon hill and the parties over to apply token pressure, knowing that 'marty doesn't have the best action for turf, and may start to tire in the final 1/8th, even without significant early pressure.
race 5: george's stick. 20/1 on this cardenas returnee? not likely, but the big m/l will surely dissuade some bettors. this is a classic case of a dog field- no one seems to want to break their maiden, so i'll take a flyer with the new addition to the cardenas barn. he's shown some ability before and ruben should have him cranked off the short layoff. worth a shot.
race 7: strictly a two horse race between a song for billy and spicy stuff. no value, but that's your exacta.
race 8: i'm going to try to beat quero quero, not because i don't think she can win, she's actually the most likely winner, but she's in the 9 hole going a mile and that's not the place to be- i'm hoping somebody parks her wide on the turn before she crosses and clears. i'm going to use both varnished and potri mambo. varnished will be the second choice and should get a ground saving trip with valdivia aboard- the worry is finding room and i don't really trust jose because he's never met a hole he wanted to go through, but varnished ran a very good race in january and should be right there with any improvement. potri mambo showed some speed sprinting in her debut and now stretches out to what she's bred to do- route on the grass. the major drawback is usually an asset- trainer eduardo inda. he's frozen this year- 0 for 36-- maybe this longshot is the one to break his slump.
[This message was edited by mazeltrick on May 11, 2003 at 12:00 PM.]
