Thursday Service Play Thread 12/19/2019

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Let's go Brandon!
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Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post their daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

4* Georgia State-3 NCAABB

3* Northeastern-7 NCAABB

3* Nets+2.5 NBA
 

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NATIONAL SPORTS SERVICE

4* Southern Utah-1.5 NCAABB

3* Clippers-5 NBA
 

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Primetime Sports Picks For 12/19/19

4 Unit --> Georgia St. -3 over Texas-Arlington (NCAAB)

3 Unit --> Arkansas-Little Rock -1.5 over Louisiana-Monroe (NCAAB)

3 Unit --> Northern Arizona +7 over California-Riverside (NCAAB)
 

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Essler............ Minus 25 units over the last 7 days.....

Under 142 in Seton Hall/Maryland for 3*.........this line is down to 137.5/138....
Princton -2 for 2*
 

Let's go Brandon!
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Watch.. shaker gonna come with at least one of these..... over 721. Over 725. The guy steals B G ‘ ss plays
 

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GREG SHAKER | CBB TOTALTHU, 12/19/19 - 8:00 PM
726 Houston / 725 UTEP Over 125.5 Pinnacle
triple-dime bet
Analysis:
We use 3 CBB Models, all developed differently to pick different ways. They help us SPOT Potential Totals and all 3 have agreed that this number is too low. It is not the only thing we use but it is a starting point. We also use techniques that as far as I know have not yet been discovered by others including books. While these are not fail proof techniques they have been very profitable over the last few years. We also use offensive and defensive efficiency numbers, pace, projected pace, venue trends, league and division trends, injuries, along with other more "Standard" Handicapping Principles to get our final number and possibly make a play rated at 1* 2* and 3*.


This is a very low number for a Houston Cougar game and about average for a UTEP Game. Both teams like the slow pace, the Minors a bit more and both play very good defense. But there is a good reason why we LOVE the OVER here and part of that has to do with a database entry that we are not going to talk about. We do need to keep some things private to continue to do what we do which is outsmart the books. The Minors have yet to play a team that has offensive skills like the Cougs and we expect Houston to score plenty. That should open up this game considerably especially in the 2nd half. Don't be alarmed if we are not looking great at halftime. We got this number early and since then it has dropped giving you much more value. We are seeing anywhere from 123.5 to 124.5 at most books at this writing. Get your best number and let's play..


Mid Morning Update: Sharp Money is driving this number up right now and we are now seeing 127 to 128 numbers. Still a play at this level


Pick Made: Dec 18 2019 8:09PM PST



GREG SHAKER | CBB TOTALTHU, 12/19/19 - 8:00 PM
720 South Alabama / 719 Appalachian St. Under 140.0 Westgate
dime bet
Analysis:
‹1* Play at your best number..UNDER

Pick Made: Dec 19 2019 8:00AM PST




GREG SHAKER | CBB TOTALTHU, 12/19/19 - 8:00 PM
722 Chicago St / 721 N.Illinois Under 140.0 Bookmaker
dime bet
Analysis:
1* Play at your best numbe…r UNDER

Pick Made: Dec 19 2019 9:42AM PST



 

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