Friday Service Play Thread 12/27/2019

• PINSTRIPE BOWL: SPARTY vs DEACONS
  Game: (229) MICHIGAN STATE at (230) WAKE FOREST
  Date/Time: Dec 27 2019 3:20 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Bookmaker
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: WAKE FOREST 4.5 (-102)
  
  View Analysis
  
  PLAY: Wake Forest +4.5 (good to +3)
  4% confidence rating
  (229) MICHIGAN STATE at (230) WAKE FOREST
  ACC quarterback Jamie Newman suffered an injury in the school's regular season finale against Syracuse. Clauson says that backup Sam Hartman will be ready if needed under center. Michigan State’s rugged defense. The Spartans held teams to just 22.7 points a game this season. However, Michigan State averaged only 22 points a game offensively. Furthermore Sparty failed to score more than 20 points in five out of the last seven contests.
  More gameday analysis posted shortly.
  WAKE FOREST +4.5
  
• FINNs HOLIDAY BOWL: USC v IOWA
  Game: (233) USC at (234) IOWA
  Date/Time: Dec 27 2019 8:00 PM EST
  Betting Line Provider: Westgate
  Play Rating: 4%
  Play: IOWA -1.0 (-110)
  
  View Analysis
  
  NOTE: This Holiday Bowl release will be Finn's first of two Bowl selections featured on the Free Picks page and in the WagerTalkNews. It is a recommended 4% Best Bet.. game details below.
  _________________________
  
  PLAY: Iowa Hawkeyes -1 (good to -3)
  4% confidence rating
  (233) USC at (234) IOWA
  The Holiday Bowl matches Big 10 Iowa and Pac-12 USC. The Holiday Bowl is one of those games that rarely garners a large share of hype despite traditionally having intriguing matchups. The time of this bowl, 48 hours after Christmas and a handful of days before New Years is my belief as to why it is semi-overlooked.
  Holiday Bowl Vitals
  (233) USC Trojans vs. (234) Iowa Hawkeyes
  Line: Iowa -2
  Total: 52
  Game date and time: Friday, Dec. 27, 2019 at 8pm ET
  TV Coverage: FS1
  Venue: SDCCU Stadium
  
  The result of the Pac-12 Championship game that saw Oregon defeat Utah complicated which conference school would go to what contracted bowl. Utah was part of last year’s Holiday affair. As a result USC was selected to be in the Holiday Bowl game. Without detailing all of the scenarios of which bowl director wasn't satisfied with the pa-12 member taking part in their bowl know that regardless of where USC head coach Clay Helton goes drama follows.
  
  The Big Ten Iowa Hawkeyes were an easy choice for the Holiday spot. After NY6 spots were filled by Ohio State, Wisconsin and Penn State, the Citrus Bowl took Michigan, which also was a candidate to come here, which left Iowa as the proud Big 10 participant to square off against the Trojans.
  
  USC Trojans (+2, 52)
  
  The game features two teams that couldn't be different in terms of scheme and style. USC has one of the nation’s most explosive offenses (463.7 ypg ranking 18th in FBS). The Trojans average 33.2 points per game. (36th).
  
  Just when you thought Helton and his staff had sold their K-Gunn offense to the young quarterbacks and skilled players injuries set this team back. And make no mistake that USC is the West Coast equivalent of Alabama, LSU, Michigan, Ohio State, Clemson and more in terms of capturing the best high school players in the world.
  
  The coaching staff handed the ball to Kedon Slovis after injuries to the top two signal-callers on the depth chart. And while Slovis was as consistent as the weather he had his 15-minute moments, as well. Slovis averaged 9.0 yards per attempt with a 28/9 TD/INT ratio. USC ranked No. 4 in passing success rate. Much of the credit of the offenses success came with the slew of talent this Trojans croup has at wide receiver.
  
  The USC defense wasn't as exciting nor where they big play oriented. Like Helton's offense the Trojans defense suffered its share of injuries as well. USC ranked in the bottom 10 percent, (ranked 111 in defensive efficiency.
  
  Iowa Hawkeyes (-2, 52)
  
  Iowa is one of the FBS defensive elite. The Hawkeyes surrendered a mere 304.3 yards a game (13th) and 13.2 points (6th) overall. College football pundits will argue that Iowa will never be the best of the Big 10 as long offensive coordinator Brian Ferentz is in charge of the scheme. The Hawkeyes’ offense ranks 87th in yards per play and with the 56th ranking in overall efficiency it puts Iowa in a difficult position to score enough points to support their top-tiered "D"
  
  The Hawkeyes are true to Big 10 tradition. This being effective rushing the football on offense and stopping the run defensively is a winning formula. Iowa ranks 37th in rushing success rate and 71st in passing, So why then does Iowa throw nearly twice as many passes as they have rushing attempts?
  
  The 2019 Holiday Bowl Winner is....
  
  The age ole adage "believe only half of what you see and none of what you hear" is the advise I was given when Helton took the reins of the Trojans football program. I was also advised that it was a waste of time to follow and report to much on USC both in-season and during the summer. Why? Because you can't believe or trust what Helton says or does.
  
  You can trust head coach Ferentz in bowl games. And his offensive coordinator will be much looser with his play calling in a holiday bowl event than he is during the regular season slate.
  
  This Holiday Bowl matchup significantly favors the Hawkeyes. Little Frerentz will play to what this game is in the big picture. Which is nothing more or less than a reward for the kids and the fan base. Expect a balanced attack by Iowa with a few wrinkles that will allow them to take advantage of a defense that is near the top of the BFS in allowing explosive plays, 20 yards or longer.
  
  When Ohio State's Jim Tressel left as Columbia's bench boss it moved Iowa's Kirk Ferentz to the top spot in BTATS (Big Ten Against the Spread). Ferentz's career record against the Las Vegas line is an impressive 112-87.
  
  The Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games; 0-5 ATS in their last 5 December contests and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. Big Ten teams.
  
  And the icing is that all of the above trends are a part of the current head coach, Helton, not all however. And the Trojans are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.
  IOWA HAWKEYES -1.0 (-110)

cubuffs1250 said:

Any Northcoast late phones?

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